Morning all, and a belated Happy New Year I suppose. Thought I'd scribble down a few thoughts this morning. There's a cuple of interesting ones for me at sensible prices.
MAYBE PLENTY 325 NEWBURY (5/1 PaddyPower, SkyBet)
Won a similar event two starts ago at Warwick, but found out when stepping up to listed level last time. Eased off early in that race so margin of defeat grossly inflated.
ROYAL ACQUISITION 335 LINGFIELD (12/1 SkyBet)
All 3 career wins have come on the All Weather, 2 of them in Class 5 events at Lingfield. Last 2 starts were up in class 4 and albeit higher in the weights than win 3 starts ago, conditions are the same again. At to that it's always tricky to ignore sprinters from the Cowell yard and the booking of All Weathe specialist Adam Kirby jumps off the page.
SEE NO SHIPS 435 KEMPTON (13/2 William Hill)
A market mover overnight, and quite straightforward to see why. Dropped into basement grade at this track last time out and was a real eyecatcher, doing best work late on to pinch 3rd place. Upped in trip today in the same class off the same weight suggests the potential for moving up the podium.
EXTRATERRESTRIAL 510 (20/1 Most firms)
His All Weather record isn't great, but 7 of his 9 wins have been over today's trip. He's dropped back down to his last winning mark, a class 3 at Doncaster in June, there's no way this race will be as strong as that. On a going day he has to have a chance.
Footnote on a potential trading angle, Footstepsintherain has hit the front or very close to on last few starts before failing to get home.
One to watch
Shimba Hills 110 Newbury
Looks a winner in waiting after debut second behind a horse that has gone to to be rated. If he can build then he can go very close but the favourite has some serious form in the book having pushed David Pipe's Bidourey on last start, and 3rd, 4th, 5th and 6th have all performed well since. But like I say Shimba Hills, with a solid effort today, should probably be one to jot down in your notebooks.
A little footy treble for tonight
ATH BILBAO
SOUTHAMPTON
TOTTENHAM
Pays just shy of 5/1 (24/5) on Bet365.
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