Morning all, and happy month of May. What a month ahead too, The Guineas at Newmarket, Madrid derby in the Champions League final, the Premier League running to the wire, Froch-Groves II, Eurovision :-) , There's plenty I haven't included. Right just a quickie today, I have 5
ZAAWIA 255 REDCAR
SIZING MACHINE 415 PUNCHESTOWN
MASTER RED 555 TOWCESTER
JUNE FRENCH 630 TOWCESTER
CATCHING ON 650 FFOS LAS
Good Luck and Happy Punting
Wednesday, 30 April 2014
Tuesday, 29 April 2014
Wednesday 30th April
Morning all, it was ok yesterday, we made a little bit. I'm on the drag today as I've overslept so I'll just crack on.I'm going to chuck down, I think, 13 and I'll highlight my main bets. See how this goes.
ROYAL HOLIDAY 150 SOUTHWELL
CHINA EXCELS 220 SOUTHWELL
COCKTAIL QUEEN 345 ASCOT
LADY YEATS 355 PONTEFRACT
NOBLE GIFT 445 ASCOT
JET MATE 450 BRIGHTON
STEELE RANGER 500 PONTEFRACT
HIMALAYAN EXPRESS 515 CHELTENHAM
THIRD OF THE THIRD 545 CHELTENHAM
LAMBERT PEN 555 BRIGHTON
JOLLY ALLAN 605 PUNCHESTOWN
LINDSAYS DREAM 625 BRIGHTON
INVISIBLE MAN 820 CHELTENHAM
Good Luck and Happy Punting
ROYAL HOLIDAY 150 SOUTHWELL
CHINA EXCELS 220 SOUTHWELL
COCKTAIL QUEEN 345 ASCOT
LADY YEATS 355 PONTEFRACT
NOBLE GIFT 445 ASCOT
JET MATE 450 BRIGHTON
STEELE RANGER 500 PONTEFRACT
HIMALAYAN EXPRESS 515 CHELTENHAM
THIRD OF THE THIRD 545 CHELTENHAM
LAMBERT PEN 555 BRIGHTON
JOLLY ALLAN 605 PUNCHESTOWN
LINDSAYS DREAM 625 BRIGHTON
INVISIBLE MAN 820 CHELTENHAM
Good Luck and Happy Punting
Tuesday 29th April
Morning all, a sorry day yesterday. It was Monday, I wasn't expecting the world in truth. So I've 6 bets today, and I'll have a quick look at some of the Punchestown races, because I'm nice like that.
KASHMIRI SUNSET 315 NOTTINGHAM
Bred to go as far as he wants. Done all best work late last twice. Step up in trip therefore a huge positive. Hard to gauge whether his opening handicap mark is too high, too low, just right, we'll find out later.
MEET ME HALFWAY 405 YARMOUTH
Done all her best running on the All Weather, but Yarmouth should be quick enough. Although saying that I'm about an hour away and it's not stopped raining all morning. I think she's the one to beat here.
WICKLOW BRAVE 420 PUNCHESTOWN
Do I think this horse beats Faugheen, don't be daft, however I think it represents each way value. He'll have to run to his best to nick 3rd as the first 2 look pretty much tied in. His last 2 efforts certainly weren't his best and he seemed to throw it in when beaten which probably isn't ideal on a place/each way bet.
SALIENT 430 LINGFIELD
Only Course and Distance winner in the field, won this race off 1lb higher last year. He's run well last twice so should be bang in there today.
BALLYCASEY 640 PUNCHESTOWN
I'm having to give this one another chance after his tumble a week or so ago. He looked to have the race sewn up on that occasion. Trip a worry and interesting that Ruby has jumped onto Djakadam.
KNIGHT CHARM 700 WOLVERHAMPTON
This was the outsider of the 4 early on and has been backed a little. Giving weight away to the younger horses but more experienced. Spatterings of decent form including a couple of placed efforts on the All Weather and this won't take a lot to win.
Good Luck
My picks for Punchestown
340 THE MULL
420 WICKLOW BRAVE (EW)
455 ROCKY WEDNESDAY
530 TWINLIGHT
640 BALLYCASEY
I havent done the bumpers.
KASHMIRI SUNSET 315 NOTTINGHAM
Bred to go as far as he wants. Done all best work late last twice. Step up in trip therefore a huge positive. Hard to gauge whether his opening handicap mark is too high, too low, just right, we'll find out later.
MEET ME HALFWAY 405 YARMOUTH
Done all her best running on the All Weather, but Yarmouth should be quick enough. Although saying that I'm about an hour away and it's not stopped raining all morning. I think she's the one to beat here.
WICKLOW BRAVE 420 PUNCHESTOWN
Do I think this horse beats Faugheen, don't be daft, however I think it represents each way value. He'll have to run to his best to nick 3rd as the first 2 look pretty much tied in. His last 2 efforts certainly weren't his best and he seemed to throw it in when beaten which probably isn't ideal on a place/each way bet.
SALIENT 430 LINGFIELD
Only Course and Distance winner in the field, won this race off 1lb higher last year. He's run well last twice so should be bang in there today.
BALLYCASEY 640 PUNCHESTOWN
I'm having to give this one another chance after his tumble a week or so ago. He looked to have the race sewn up on that occasion. Trip a worry and interesting that Ruby has jumped onto Djakadam.
KNIGHT CHARM 700 WOLVERHAMPTON
This was the outsider of the 4 early on and has been backed a little. Giving weight away to the younger horses but more experienced. Spatterings of decent form including a couple of placed efforts on the All Weather and this won't take a lot to win.
Good Luck
My picks for Punchestown
340 THE MULL
420 WICKLOW BRAVE (EW)
455 ROCKY WEDNESDAY
530 TWINLIGHT
640 BALLYCASEY
I havent done the bumpers.
Sunday, 27 April 2014
Monday 28th April
Morning all, a pretty good day yesterday with only one selection failing to make the frame and pig prices for those that were landed on the podium. So I'm sat here this morning clicking away, and my system throws up 17 horses! 17, on a Monday! Obviously it's summertime now in horsey world so the night racing extends to 6 meetings, so in essence it averages out at less than 3 a meeting, just. Obviously I'd have to be some form of algorythmic, and potentially cosmic, genius to develop a system which produces 17 winners in a day. I'd also have no need to turn up to work 5 days a week! So I've streamlined them and picked out 6 that look most likely to my naked eye. I'm going to chuck the others on here because I'd hate to miss one, but I'd suggest just going in gently. It's still early in the season.
MAIN
GLOBAL LEADER 150 WOLVES
MCBIRNEY 250 WOLVES
SPREADABLE 420 WOLVES
KATMAI RIVER 450 WOLVES
FLOW CHART 715 SOUTHWELL
ADILI 815 SOUTHWELL
THE OTHER 11!
LIFFEY VIEW 455 NAAS
BURNWYND BOY 525 NAAS
CAPPADOCIA 525 NAAS
IRON MAJOR 725 NAAS
MELVIN THE GRATE 725 NAAS
SONATA CANTATA 210 KEMPTON
STAMPEDED 240 KEMPTON
ACCESSION 310 KEMPTON
ANTON CHIGURH 735 WINDSOR
KEEP CALM 250 WOLVES
KUNG HEI FAT CHOY 645 SOUTHWELL
Good Luck and Happy Punting
MAIN
GLOBAL LEADER 150 WOLVES
MCBIRNEY 250 WOLVES
SPREADABLE 420 WOLVES
KATMAI RIVER 450 WOLVES
FLOW CHART 715 SOUTHWELL
ADILI 815 SOUTHWELL
THE OTHER 11!
LIFFEY VIEW 455 NAAS
BURNWYND BOY 525 NAAS
CAPPADOCIA 525 NAAS
IRON MAJOR 725 NAAS
MELVIN THE GRATE 725 NAAS
SONATA CANTATA 210 KEMPTON
STAMPEDED 240 KEMPTON
ACCESSION 310 KEMPTON
ANTON CHIGURH 735 WINDSOR
KEEP CALM 250 WOLVES
KUNG HEI FAT CHOY 645 SOUTHWELL
Good Luck and Happy Punting
Saturday, 26 April 2014
Sunday 27th April
Morning People.
Ballincurrig ensured a smidgen of profit yesterday, although the failed Scoop 6 coup took me under personally. But the brightside is that nobody won it, so it's going to be even more monumental next week.
I've got 6 today, hopefully they'll run well and we'll secure enough returns to keep this little run of profit going.
ROSE KAZAN 245 KEMPTON
HE'S OUR MAN 250 LIMERICK
MEGALEKA 300 AYR
DOWN TIME 350 LIMERICK
FAST ON 435 GOWRAN PARK
FLEMISH SCHOOL 515 KEMPTON
Good Luck and Happy Punting
Ballincurrig ensured a smidgen of profit yesterday, although the failed Scoop 6 coup took me under personally. But the brightside is that nobody won it, so it's going to be even more monumental next week.
I've got 6 today, hopefully they'll run well and we'll secure enough returns to keep this little run of profit going.
ROSE KAZAN 245 KEMPTON
HE'S OUR MAN 250 LIMERICK
MEGALEKA 300 AYR
DOWN TIME 350 LIMERICK
FAST ON 435 GOWRAN PARK
FLEMISH SCHOOL 515 KEMPTON
Good Luck and Happy Punting
Friday, 25 April 2014
Saturday 26th April
Morning all, how are we doing? So another profit yesterday, 15/2 winner, 8/1 and 14/1 places too. I struggled to find many to bet on today but I've done my best I have 5. And I'll pop up my Scoop 6 also, as it's a 4 million pound scoop it would be rude not to I guess.
Bets first
STIFF UPPER LIP 205 SANDOWN
BALLINCURRIG 500 SANDOWN
VALLARTA 520 LEICESTER
CASPIAN PRINCE 720 WOLVES
MYBOYALFIE 820 WOLVES
Scoop 6
205 S STEPHEN HERO / STIFF UPPER LIP
220 H FORT BASTION / DONTBOTHERME
250 R CAPTAIN RAMIUS / DOC HAY
325 H THE RECTIFIER / BRAE HILL
330 R MUBARAZA / ESTEAMING
350 S SAME DIFFERENCE / ROALCO DES FARGES
(note for those unfamiliar to tote betting, were you to walk into a betting shop and present that as your scoop 6 bet it would cost you £128, each straight bet costs £2 and multiplies for each extra horse you have per race, I'd suggest placing 4/5 straightlines mixing and matching a bit.)
Good Luck
Bets first
STIFF UPPER LIP 205 SANDOWN
BALLINCURRIG 500 SANDOWN
VALLARTA 520 LEICESTER
CASPIAN PRINCE 720 WOLVES
MYBOYALFIE 820 WOLVES
Scoop 6
205 S STEPHEN HERO / STIFF UPPER LIP
220 H FORT BASTION / DONTBOTHERME
250 R CAPTAIN RAMIUS / DOC HAY
325 H THE RECTIFIER / BRAE HILL
330 R MUBARAZA / ESTEAMING
350 S SAME DIFFERENCE / ROALCO DES FARGES
(note for those unfamiliar to tote betting, were you to walk into a betting shop and present that as your scoop 6 bet it would cost you £128, each straight bet costs £2 and multiplies for each extra horse you have per race, I'd suggest placing 4/5 straightlines mixing and matching a bit.)
Good Luck
Thursday, 24 April 2014
Friday April 25th
Morning all, better day yesterday. 7/1 and 9/4 winners and a 20/1 place. Can't grumble at that. I have 7 selections today, if we can do as well again that would be grand.
TELESCOPE 210 SANDOWN
WILDE PASTURES 230 PERTH
TRAVEL 255 DONCASTER
KEEP IT DARK 435 DONCASTER
BILLY DUTTON 635 CHEPSTOW
DOVILS DATE 725 NEWTON ABBOT
HOBB'S DREAM 740 CHEPSTOW
Good Luck and Happy Punting
TELESCOPE 210 SANDOWN
WILDE PASTURES 230 PERTH
TRAVEL 255 DONCASTER
KEEP IT DARK 435 DONCASTER
BILLY DUTTON 635 CHEPSTOW
DOVILS DATE 725 NEWTON ABBOT
HOBB'S DREAM 740 CHEPSTOW
Good Luck and Happy Punting
Wednesday, 23 April 2014
Thursday 24th April
Morning, just a quickie today as I spent a bit too long arseing about. Trying to break this losing streak. I'll just jot down my bets today as the kids need to get to school as some point.
KATACHENKO 220 PERTH
SEEBRIGHT 320 PERTH
MAGNOLIA RIDGE 400 BEVERLEY
SCOTCH WARRIOR 420 PERTH
ZAMRA 430 BEVERLEY
MYBOYALFIE 440 WARWICK
POLAR FOREST 745 NEWCASTLE
Good Luck
KATACHENKO 220 PERTH
SEEBRIGHT 320 PERTH
MAGNOLIA RIDGE 400 BEVERLEY
SCOTCH WARRIOR 420 PERTH
ZAMRA 430 BEVERLEY
MYBOYALFIE 440 WARWICK
POLAR FOREST 745 NEWCASTLE
Good Luck
Tuesday, 22 April 2014
Wednesday 23rd April
Morning all, sadly I couldn't find a bet yesterday but I have today. It's a cagey one in truth and certainly a stronger place claim than a win, but we'll see.
MERCERS ROW 200 CATTERICK
Not the most satisfying horse to follow down the years, but he has hit the frame on 34% of starts on turf. 365 and Victor will give you 14/1 on him so worth a play to make the frame I guess. A slight resurgence in form 2 starts ago with a win at Redcar, and there's a decent 2nd in his form under todays conditions. Like i said, it's not the most convincing bet but there's a little value there, you can get 3.15 for place only on Betfair if you want it, where the E/W will only offer up around 5/4 the place in present terms but you have the win chnce. Up to you, see how we go. Good Luck
MERCERS ROW 200 CATTERICK
Not the most satisfying horse to follow down the years, but he has hit the frame on 34% of starts on turf. 365 and Victor will give you 14/1 on him so worth a play to make the frame I guess. A slight resurgence in form 2 starts ago with a win at Redcar, and there's a decent 2nd in his form under todays conditions. Like i said, it's not the most convincing bet but there's a little value there, you can get 3.15 for place only on Betfair if you want it, where the E/W will only offer up around 5/4 the place in present terms but you have the win chnce. Up to you, see how we go. Good Luck
Sunday, 20 April 2014
Monday 21st April
Morning, so I've been beck for 2 days and picked 2 horses. The first was a big price 4th within a length of the winner, and yesterday my selection took and tumble with the race at his mercy! If I was a melodramatic teen I'd be throwing FMLs all over the show. It's a busy Bank Holiday today with lots of cards. You always have to remember though to take a step back and remember that is still a Monday and the quantity far exceeds the overall quality. I have 3 today.
CLARCAM 245 FAIRYHOUSE (NAP)
A solid enough campaign, travelling a dream in the Fred Winter at Cheltenham when falling 2 out after hitting the front, then at Aintree he was seemingly delivered perfectly only to be passed by Guitar Pete who finished like an express train. He sets the standard here, some 9lbs clear on official figures and I'd suggest if he were trained by Willie Mullins he'd be much shorter than the 5/2 put up by Coral and Bet365.
ROUGH COURTE 410 YARMOUTH
Still a maiden after 14 attempts, but certainly not for want of trying. He just keeps finding 1 or 2 too good. This is the weakest race he's taken heel in for a while and he sets the standard on known form. I'd worry about the Simcock newcomer most personally but this one is trading just over 7/2 on the machine right now so if the layers take a similar view that's a price to grab a chance of.
ADILI 245 REDCAR
This one is arguably a little more chancy than the other 2, he's been in good form since joining the Appleby yard, and the yard itself is going well early doors. That good form has been coming on the fibresand so it remains to be seen whether or not this good ground will suit. Mark is pretty useful to work off though considering the horse has previously run in the 70's. Only 365 have put up so far at 11/2, Betfair is around 15/2 so there could be an opportunity to pull your stake out later in the day and run as essentially a free bet.
Have a nice Easter Monday, best of luck if you follow mine or with whatever you back yourselves. See you tomorrow.
CLARCAM 245 FAIRYHOUSE (NAP)
A solid enough campaign, travelling a dream in the Fred Winter at Cheltenham when falling 2 out after hitting the front, then at Aintree he was seemingly delivered perfectly only to be passed by Guitar Pete who finished like an express train. He sets the standard here, some 9lbs clear on official figures and I'd suggest if he were trained by Willie Mullins he'd be much shorter than the 5/2 put up by Coral and Bet365.
ROUGH COURTE 410 YARMOUTH
Still a maiden after 14 attempts, but certainly not for want of trying. He just keeps finding 1 or 2 too good. This is the weakest race he's taken heel in for a while and he sets the standard on known form. I'd worry about the Simcock newcomer most personally but this one is trading just over 7/2 on the machine right now so if the layers take a similar view that's a price to grab a chance of.
ADILI 245 REDCAR
This one is arguably a little more chancy than the other 2, he's been in good form since joining the Appleby yard, and the yard itself is going well early doors. That good form has been coming on the fibresand so it remains to be seen whether or not this good ground will suit. Mark is pretty useful to work off though considering the horse has previously run in the 70's. Only 365 have put up so far at 11/2, Betfair is around 15/2 so there could be an opportunity to pull your stake out later in the day and run as essentially a free bet.
Have a nice Easter Monday, best of luck if you follow mine or with whatever you back yourselves. See you tomorrow.
Saturday, 19 April 2014
Sunday 20 April
Morning all, so near yet so far yesterday. A bold effort by the selection at the price. My selection today is a much shorter price but I'm trying to find a winner first and foremost.
BALLYCASEY 440 FAIRYHOUSE
A leading candidate for the RSA chase, he failed to see out the 3m+ trip and not for the first time, the only other time he has been beaten was also at 3m. Dropped back down to 2m4f today will suit, he's the best in this race officially by 4lb, had he gone for the Golden Miller instead of Felix Yonger, who knows? The other 3 in the field certainly have their credentials but I think this horse is a decent one. William Hill are sticking their necks out laying 6/4 so why not indulge them.
Good Luck
BALLYCASEY 440 FAIRYHOUSE
A leading candidate for the RSA chase, he failed to see out the 3m+ trip and not for the first time, the only other time he has been beaten was also at 3m. Dropped back down to 2m4f today will suit, he's the best in this race officially by 4lb, had he gone for the Golden Miller instead of Felix Yonger, who knows? The other 3 in the field certainly have their credentials but I think this horse is a decent one. William Hill are sticking their necks out laying 6/4 so why not indulge them.
Good Luck
Friday, 18 April 2014
Saturday 19th April
Morning all, long time no see.
There are a few reasons I haven't blogged for a while, the first one being that my daughter decided to feed my laptop a drink of water so was without one for a short while. I then had a short sabatical away from betting, certainly on the horses, but I missed it. In the meantime I've been working solidly to get my paperwork and notebooks up to date and I think I'm nearly there. I've got one that sticks out, and one bookie that's seemingly gotten it wrong, we'll see.
CIRCUMVENT 330 KEMPTON 18/1 Coral
This horse has finished in the first 3 on 6 of 9 AW starts, including Group and Listed races. There's an argument that he could perhaps want further than a mile but at the odds I'm willing to punt that he'll be quick enough. He's only met another outsider previously and that was 2 years ago, he beat him nicely and that oursider has a small pull in the weights against a couple of more fancied runners. There's nothing overly consistent in here and nothing that jumps of the page as a superstar, most are running at there level today or above it, my selection is arguably running below. You look at Coral's 18/1 as somewhat of a gift really as if we go elsewhere Victor, Hills and Stan James have 14/1, Labrokes are a standout 10/1! almost half the price.
Good Luck
A few first timers I'm interested in seeing today
all at Nottingham this evening
SAALIB
DR NO
MUHARRIB
There are a few reasons I haven't blogged for a while, the first one being that my daughter decided to feed my laptop a drink of water so was without one for a short while. I then had a short sabatical away from betting, certainly on the horses, but I missed it. In the meantime I've been working solidly to get my paperwork and notebooks up to date and I think I'm nearly there. I've got one that sticks out, and one bookie that's seemingly gotten it wrong, we'll see.
CIRCUMVENT 330 KEMPTON 18/1 Coral
This horse has finished in the first 3 on 6 of 9 AW starts, including Group and Listed races. There's an argument that he could perhaps want further than a mile but at the odds I'm willing to punt that he'll be quick enough. He's only met another outsider previously and that was 2 years ago, he beat him nicely and that oursider has a small pull in the weights against a couple of more fancied runners. There's nothing overly consistent in here and nothing that jumps of the page as a superstar, most are running at there level today or above it, my selection is arguably running below. You look at Coral's 18/1 as somewhat of a gift really as if we go elsewhere Victor, Hills and Stan James have 14/1, Labrokes are a standout 10/1! almost half the price.
Good Luck
A few first timers I'm interested in seeing today
all at Nottingham this evening
SAALIB
DR NO
MUHARRIB
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