A disappointing blank yesterday, a couple placed but no joy. I have 12 today! Sadly time is at a premium so I'll just pop them down.
WESTERN HYMN 200 SANDOWN
LONGSHADOW 220 DONCASTER
BRETON ROCK 230 SANDOWN
KODAFINE 325 DONCASTER
ANGELITO 400 DONCASTER
FULL JACK 420 PERTH
LOS NADIS 450 PERTH
IRON MAJOR (NAP) 705 DUNDALK
MIDNIGHT DOVE 740 CHEPSTOW
SPARTILLA 755 PLUMPTON
BASILICA 805 DUNDALK
HOUSE LIMIT 835 DUNDALK
Thursday, 23 April 2015
Wednesday, 22 April 2015
Thursday 23 April
Morning, and a good bounce back to something resembling form yesterday. Wins at 8/1 and 7/2 with 4/1 and 25/1 shots finishing second. I have 6 today, hopefully one or two will score.
FLAWLESS FILLY 250 PERTH
Useful on the flat, was roughly a 70 rated performer which should make her capable of getting close to 100 over obstacles so her mark of 90 has some scope, potentially. Obviously it's not always black and white but there's just a little twinkle that says this one is worth watching for a little while, if not today then you'd naturally expect her to drop in class slightly next time.
AMBLESIDE 330 BEVERLEY
Tumbled down the handicap after struggling last campaign and is back down to his last winning mark. Fit from a run 2 weeks ago on ground probably a bit softer than he'd have wanted.
HI EMPRESS 545 TIPPERARY
Narrowly touched off when returning from a 100+ day break at this meeting last year, Wayne Lordan is an eye catching jockey booking, the 3yo in the field is the worry taking lumps of weight but Paddys put up 13/2 if you prefer to try each way.
SCHOTTISCHE 735 SOUTHWELL
At least placed (1 was win) 3 times in 5 handicaps here, other results were 4/11 and 6/13 so hardly disasters. This is an open looking race though I actually have Venus Grace as a danger and Minionette was very close to hitting another set of criteria. Having first run for Alan Bailey who has had 50% of the runners he's sent to Southwell in the last year make the frame.
COOL OSCAR 745 TIPPERARY
Generally gives his running at this track, winning here in October under today's pilot Paul Townend. Has it all to do off top weight but Townend is a jockey that will give the horse every chance.
SMUGGLERS LANE 755 BATH
In form to date this year, worth chancing at a good price for a trainer who is profitable to follow at this track.
Good Luck and Happy Punting
FLAWLESS FILLY 250 PERTH
Useful on the flat, was roughly a 70 rated performer which should make her capable of getting close to 100 over obstacles so her mark of 90 has some scope, potentially. Obviously it's not always black and white but there's just a little twinkle that says this one is worth watching for a little while, if not today then you'd naturally expect her to drop in class slightly next time.
AMBLESIDE 330 BEVERLEY
Tumbled down the handicap after struggling last campaign and is back down to his last winning mark. Fit from a run 2 weeks ago on ground probably a bit softer than he'd have wanted.
HI EMPRESS 545 TIPPERARY
Narrowly touched off when returning from a 100+ day break at this meeting last year, Wayne Lordan is an eye catching jockey booking, the 3yo in the field is the worry taking lumps of weight but Paddys put up 13/2 if you prefer to try each way.
SCHOTTISCHE 735 SOUTHWELL
At least placed (1 was win) 3 times in 5 handicaps here, other results were 4/11 and 6/13 so hardly disasters. This is an open looking race though I actually have Venus Grace as a danger and Minionette was very close to hitting another set of criteria. Having first run for Alan Bailey who has had 50% of the runners he's sent to Southwell in the last year make the frame.
COOL OSCAR 745 TIPPERARY
Generally gives his running at this track, winning here in October under today's pilot Paul Townend. Has it all to do off top weight but Townend is a jockey that will give the horse every chance.
SMUGGLERS LANE 755 BATH
In form to date this year, worth chancing at a good price for a trainer who is profitable to follow at this track.
Good Luck and Happy Punting
Tuesday, 21 April 2015
Wednesday 23 April
Morning, I'm on a bad run right now, it's perplexing in truth, I can normally get about 1 in 6 to the winning line, on average, I'm putting up 8 today, I don't have time to go in to deep but I'll throw up a few words of positivity.
SWISS CROSS 210 EPSOM
Put in 2 solid efforts at Epsom last summer around today's mark, will appreciate quick ground.
PAVERS STAR 235 CATTERICK
Hit a purlple patch at the back end of the last turf season, icluding 2 good runs at today's venue. Big chance if ready to go again.
PERTUIS 310 CATTERICK
C&D winner, kept fit over winter hurdling. Only previous time Graham Lee sat on the horse it won.
REGAL DAN 420 CATTERICK
Been tumbling down the weights, David O'Meara has picked him up. Anyone who's been watching racing the last couple weeks will have seen how much Mr O'Meara has been getting over the handicapper.
OXALIDO 440 PERTH
On a workable mark sent back hurdling. Won on only previous visit to track off just 1lb lower.
CANGO 510 PERTH
Has a massive weight swing reopposing the favourite, hopefully can make that count today.
SMALLJOHN 520 CATTERICK
Was involved in a race that has thrown up a few winners 2 starts ago at Wolverhampton. Last time out found 1 too good but will like better ground today. Often an advantage in these races to look for the jockeys who don't claim.
LONAN 525 FAIRYHOUSE
Travelled well and finished 3rd on handicap debut last time out. Should be on the premises again today.
Good Luck if you follow, or if you use these to narrow your race down. Happy Punting
SWISS CROSS 210 EPSOM
Put in 2 solid efforts at Epsom last summer around today's mark, will appreciate quick ground.
PAVERS STAR 235 CATTERICK
Hit a purlple patch at the back end of the last turf season, icluding 2 good runs at today's venue. Big chance if ready to go again.
PERTUIS 310 CATTERICK
C&D winner, kept fit over winter hurdling. Only previous time Graham Lee sat on the horse it won.
REGAL DAN 420 CATTERICK
Been tumbling down the weights, David O'Meara has picked him up. Anyone who's been watching racing the last couple weeks will have seen how much Mr O'Meara has been getting over the handicapper.
OXALIDO 440 PERTH
On a workable mark sent back hurdling. Won on only previous visit to track off just 1lb lower.
CANGO 510 PERTH
Has a massive weight swing reopposing the favourite, hopefully can make that count today.
SMALLJOHN 520 CATTERICK
Was involved in a race that has thrown up a few winners 2 starts ago at Wolverhampton. Last time out found 1 too good but will like better ground today. Often an advantage in these races to look for the jockeys who don't claim.
LONAN 525 FAIRYHOUSE
Travelled well and finished 3rd on handicap debut last time out. Should be on the premises again today.
Good Luck if you follow, or if you use these to narrow your race down. Happy Punting
Monday, 20 April 2015
Tuesday 21 April
At least I got my money back on the non runner yesterday, disappointing day really. Nothing was getting up from behind at Pontefract which saw to Lexington Abbey, Chevalgris seemingly didn't get the trip after travelling well and Atlantis Crossing got no help in running. I have just one today, so I can't lose as much. Positives people, think of the positives.
KING MASSINI 240 LUDLOW
Price ranges from 5/1 to 7/1. Coral providing the top end. Ran with credit on last 3 starts, second both of last 2 times out and the start before that has had a couple of boosts to the form. This horse had a purple patch about 16 months ago, during which time he landed 2 C&D successes, the only 2 times he has lined up over C&D. add another 2nd here over a shorter trip and he has a decent record at this track. He has a decent weight swing from a previous meeting with the favourite a race in which Guiding George was ridden out for a place and this one not treated harshly.
Let's hope he goes better than yesterday's efforts. Good Luck.
KING MASSINI 240 LUDLOW
Price ranges from 5/1 to 7/1. Coral providing the top end. Ran with credit on last 3 starts, second both of last 2 times out and the start before that has had a couple of boosts to the form. This horse had a purple patch about 16 months ago, during which time he landed 2 C&D successes, the only 2 times he has lined up over C&D. add another 2nd here over a shorter trip and he has a decent record at this track. He has a decent weight swing from a previous meeting with the favourite a race in which Guiding George was ridden out for a place and this one not treated harshly.
Let's hope he goes better than yesterday's efforts. Good Luck.
Sunday, 19 April 2015
Monday 20th April
The less said about yesterday's selection, the better. It ran like, well quite frankly like I had backed it. I have 4 taken my eye today. I'm hoping for a bit more excitement for my money. I'll pop them in time order.
LEXINGTON ABBEY 320 PONTEFRACT
He's been running well, and seems to enjoy the sit out and rattle late tactics that comes with a certain Mr Spencer sat on your back. This looks a squeak easier than recent tasks and the slightly smaller field might give the tactics a bit more of a chance.
CHEVALGRIS 350 PONTEFRACT
A bit of a shot in the dark as he has the trip to prove, but on decent to quick ground there's nothing to suggest he won't. The thing that caught my eye initially was the booking of Shane Gray, a young man who is on his way to the top. Upon further investigation I noticed he had ridden just once prior for Mr Swinbank and that resulted in a success aboard Lady Kashaan in a staying handicap just 2 weeks ago. You can get 8/1 and provided the dead eight line up each way players have a good bet on their side there, I think.
NINI OK 645 CORK
It would be easy to put up Bold Thady Quill, especially having been given a form boost by Flight Risk yesterday, but I won't. This one won readily at Dundalk back in January, the ability is in there. Wayne Lordan gets the ride, he narrowly missed out on the jockeys title a couple of seasons back so he's a solid man to have. This mare though, if you disect her form it's a lot better on good ground, which is few and far between a lot of the time in Ireland but she gets it today.
ATLANTIS CROSSING 755 WINDSOR
Easy to discount on recent form, but turf mark is very workable. He placed twice last summer in better races off higher marks so has to be respected here, even if only as an each way back, again that is hoping all 8 line up. Overnight players have already been in with a nibble and William Carson is a jockey that'll do you right if you needed a job done, so to speak.
Good Luck and Happy Punting
LEXINGTON ABBEY 320 PONTEFRACT
He's been running well, and seems to enjoy the sit out and rattle late tactics that comes with a certain Mr Spencer sat on your back. This looks a squeak easier than recent tasks and the slightly smaller field might give the tactics a bit more of a chance.
CHEVALGRIS 350 PONTEFRACT
A bit of a shot in the dark as he has the trip to prove, but on decent to quick ground there's nothing to suggest he won't. The thing that caught my eye initially was the booking of Shane Gray, a young man who is on his way to the top. Upon further investigation I noticed he had ridden just once prior for Mr Swinbank and that resulted in a success aboard Lady Kashaan in a staying handicap just 2 weeks ago. You can get 8/1 and provided the dead eight line up each way players have a good bet on their side there, I think.
NINI OK 645 CORK
It would be easy to put up Bold Thady Quill, especially having been given a form boost by Flight Risk yesterday, but I won't. This one won readily at Dundalk back in January, the ability is in there. Wayne Lordan gets the ride, he narrowly missed out on the jockeys title a couple of seasons back so he's a solid man to have. This mare though, if you disect her form it's a lot better on good ground, which is few and far between a lot of the time in Ireland but she gets it today.
ATLANTIS CROSSING 755 WINDSOR
Easy to discount on recent form, but turf mark is very workable. He placed twice last summer in better races off higher marks so has to be respected here, even if only as an each way back, again that is hoping all 8 line up. Overnight players have already been in with a nibble and William Carson is a jockey that'll do you right if you needed a job done, so to speak.
Good Luck and Happy Punting
Saturday, 18 April 2015
Sunday 19 April
Morning, it's been a long time since I posted, but thought I'd resurrect and see how we go. I've got one horse to share today, hopefully it runs well.
DASHWOOD 320 CURRAGH (11/1 Paddy Power)
So he's only won 4 of 25 turf starts, a modest 16%, however 12 of those starts have been over differing trips making a strike over today's 6f a much more resounding 30%, also 2 placings at the trip which incidently have come at today's venue, once off current mark of 75, and once off a squeak higher at 78. His other C&D appearance was 5th of 23 off 86, so safe to say he runs his race here. Posted an excellent effort 2 starts ago on seasonal reappearance (here, 78) a race in which the horse finishing behind him has gone on and won a listed race since. At 11/1 i think he represents solid value.
DASHWOOD 320 CURRAGH (11/1 Paddy Power)
So he's only won 4 of 25 turf starts, a modest 16%, however 12 of those starts have been over differing trips making a strike over today's 6f a much more resounding 30%, also 2 placings at the trip which incidently have come at today's venue, once off current mark of 75, and once off a squeak higher at 78. His other C&D appearance was 5th of 23 off 86, so safe to say he runs his race here. Posted an excellent effort 2 starts ago on seasonal reappearance (here, 78) a race in which the horse finishing behind him has gone on and won a listed race since. At 11/1 i think he represents solid value.
Tuesday, 13 January 2015
Wednesday 14 January
Morning all, and a belated Happy New Year I suppose. Thought I'd scribble down a few thoughts this morning. There's a cuple of interesting ones for me at sensible prices.
MAYBE PLENTY 325 NEWBURY (5/1 PaddyPower, SkyBet)
Won a similar event two starts ago at Warwick, but found out when stepping up to listed level last time. Eased off early in that race so margin of defeat grossly inflated.
ROYAL ACQUISITION 335 LINGFIELD (12/1 SkyBet)
All 3 career wins have come on the All Weather, 2 of them in Class 5 events at Lingfield. Last 2 starts were up in class 4 and albeit higher in the weights than win 3 starts ago, conditions are the same again. At to that it's always tricky to ignore sprinters from the Cowell yard and the booking of All Weathe specialist Adam Kirby jumps off the page.
SEE NO SHIPS 435 KEMPTON (13/2 William Hill)
A market mover overnight, and quite straightforward to see why. Dropped into basement grade at this track last time out and was a real eyecatcher, doing best work late on to pinch 3rd place. Upped in trip today in the same class off the same weight suggests the potential for moving up the podium.
EXTRATERRESTRIAL 510 (20/1 Most firms)
His All Weather record isn't great, but 7 of his 9 wins have been over today's trip. He's dropped back down to his last winning mark, a class 3 at Doncaster in June, there's no way this race will be as strong as that. On a going day he has to have a chance.
Footnote on a potential trading angle, Footstepsintherain has hit the front or very close to on last few starts before failing to get home.
One to watch
Shimba Hills 110 Newbury
Looks a winner in waiting after debut second behind a horse that has gone to to be rated. If he can build then he can go very close but the favourite has some serious form in the book having pushed David Pipe's Bidourey on last start, and 3rd, 4th, 5th and 6th have all performed well since. But like I say Shimba Hills, with a solid effort today, should probably be one to jot down in your notebooks.
A little footy treble for tonight
ATH BILBAO
SOUTHAMPTON
TOTTENHAM
Pays just shy of 5/1 (24/5) on Bet365.
MAYBE PLENTY 325 NEWBURY (5/1 PaddyPower, SkyBet)
Won a similar event two starts ago at Warwick, but found out when stepping up to listed level last time. Eased off early in that race so margin of defeat grossly inflated.
ROYAL ACQUISITION 335 LINGFIELD (12/1 SkyBet)
All 3 career wins have come on the All Weather, 2 of them in Class 5 events at Lingfield. Last 2 starts were up in class 4 and albeit higher in the weights than win 3 starts ago, conditions are the same again. At to that it's always tricky to ignore sprinters from the Cowell yard and the booking of All Weathe specialist Adam Kirby jumps off the page.
SEE NO SHIPS 435 KEMPTON (13/2 William Hill)
A market mover overnight, and quite straightforward to see why. Dropped into basement grade at this track last time out and was a real eyecatcher, doing best work late on to pinch 3rd place. Upped in trip today in the same class off the same weight suggests the potential for moving up the podium.
EXTRATERRESTRIAL 510 (20/1 Most firms)
His All Weather record isn't great, but 7 of his 9 wins have been over today's trip. He's dropped back down to his last winning mark, a class 3 at Doncaster in June, there's no way this race will be as strong as that. On a going day he has to have a chance.
Footnote on a potential trading angle, Footstepsintherain has hit the front or very close to on last few starts before failing to get home.
One to watch
Shimba Hills 110 Newbury
Looks a winner in waiting after debut second behind a horse that has gone to to be rated. If he can build then he can go very close but the favourite has some serious form in the book having pushed David Pipe's Bidourey on last start, and 3rd, 4th, 5th and 6th have all performed well since. But like I say Shimba Hills, with a solid effort today, should probably be one to jot down in your notebooks.
A little footy treble for tonight
ATH BILBAO
SOUTHAMPTON
TOTTENHAM
Pays just shy of 5/1 (24/5) on Bet365.
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