With 11 class 1 events today forcing a fantastic days racing on us I thought it best to keep yesterday to a watching brief. On entering my selections in my various tipping leagues I appear to have picked one or two favorites. I would just like to reassure you all that during the process of making my selections I do not acknowledge or even look at the price, only when i have chosen the horse i make the decision whether or not the right price is available.
NAP : Johannes 340 York - Been running well below potential, in fact his last win was just over 1 year ago, but for that he has steadily been dropping down the weights and is now 1lb lower than when he won. You can never discount Richard Fahey, especially when the racing goes north of Nottingham, Ancient Cross has gone up 6lb for l.t.o win at york, so Johannes is 7lb better off from that day where he finished a staying-on 41/2-5 lengths behind the winner. As long as Lee Topliss can quickly get him in position I see no reason why this isn't the event to shake his losing run, and at 10/1 being available, a solid each way chance.
NB : Brae Hill 400 Chester - Another Richard Fahey runner in a big money handicap, I know it's not hugely original but he can't be ignored. Again 8/1 is a price that can be used as an each-way saver. Generally been close to the win but once again last win came a year ago, in fact this weekend last year at this meeting! In this race! He is 4lb higher than that day but still on the same mark as when 4/28 in the victoria cup at Ascot.
TREBLE : Merchant of Medici 705 Newbury - Only up 4lb for l.t.o win in a higher class. At time of writing (7.48am BST) no prices available but trading at 11 on betfair, definately worth chucking in for an each-way treble. Place treble would pay just over 38/1 at current odds.
CURRAGH
240 Power - Impressive winner at 6f on debut but showed enough speed that day when contesting early prominence to suggest 5f will suit, should go all his own way.
310 Hitchens - The toughest race on the card, between 3 Hitchens 4th in DOY, Tiddliwinks 3rd in DOY and Sing Softly 2nd in Nell Gwyn, if course form is taken as a large positive then we would have to go with Sing Softly. But Aidan O Briens filly is up in class and running against the boys. I'm going to take Hitchens to reverse the Duke of York form and take this, but should be a cracker.
345 Dubawi Gold - The only danger to this would be if Roderic O Connor needed the run at Newmarket, trial winner Dunboyne Express is a long way behind the other 2 on ability. Zabarajad is still a maiden and most likely still will be. Slim Shadey completely overran his odds at Newmarket when Luke Morris kept him going as all others beat by Frankel's demolition job. Dubawi Gold for me.
420 Lolly for Dolly - Head and shoulders above the rest of the field, missed out on a group 3 hattrick when beaten a short-head here at the start of the month.
450 Super Say - Generally wins in smaller fields but does get involved in the larger packs, a decent each way shot (boyles giving 12's) in a race where picking the winner looks almost impossible
520 Duke of Rutherford - Another huge handicap to finish the card, form reads 323 for last 3 races, only needs 4 to land place money today but positive jockey booking suggests connections going for the win.
HAYDOCK
200 Brown Panther - A huge market mover mostly because people had ignored it early, won in same grade last time out, rivals form can be picked apart and if they can't give it away on course could return to a decent price with the Queen running one here.
300 Tangerine Trees - My old favourite, done me a turn at Newmarket with an 18/1 success, the "Budapest Bullet" Overdose makes his first trip to the UK with a view to a Royal Ascot raid. Of the potential front runners Tangerine showed at Newmarket he has the pace to turn his foot and should go with Overdose, he also showed the stamina to hold off his rivals and I think if anything is going to cause an upset it will be him.
330 Aneedah - Close second in listed company over this trip last time out, but some useful sorts in this race, worth a go with trainer in form.
GOODWOOD
320 Forte dei Marmi - Probably the weakest race he will contest this year, been sent here for the win I'm sure, Kieron Fallon knows how to get a horse over the line and Luca Cumani provides a lot of them for him.
425 Jet Away - I'm never going to argue with Henry Cecil, the man is a racing genius, this is a colt that shows tremendous potential, what happens is Henry and Teddy Grimthorpe sit down and find winable races for the Prince's horses, this is the race they have chosen for Jet Away, so it will win. Field is limited so no problems for Tom Quealley who often makes mistakes in running. A true favorite.
YORK
310 Times Up - Career best effort last time out and some stamina doubts, probably not a fair favorite but can't really see much for anything else.
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