Yesterday while messing around I rediscovered the success of an old system that I used to use about 6 years ago, it's not the most failsafe system, in fact there are plenty of flaws, but for some reason it does pick up winners. It throws up some massive prices and occasionally one of these will come in. I've found that I cannot ignore some of the selections as sometimes random ones do come in. It does however oddly, pick up the odd forecast, and yesterday it would have landed a 180 pound tricast had i used it!!!!!!!
A few hit the bar moments yesterday meant a little loss, however this loss was restricted to win only players as we landed a couple of E/w value places. The football bet was going swimmingly until Coventry's 76th minute equaliser at the Riverside. I couldn't count on fingers and toes the amount of times Coventry have put down a bet of mine! Perhaps I should get the hint.
Some nice Group races today so I will begin with a little look at each of them, then I will reel of my bets for today. They will be staked as 1pt win per horse (some big prices so do E/w if it pleases you, i calculate win only as, let's face it, it's much easier to work out after a long day) and half point reverse forecasts, combi forecasts and combi tricasts where relevant.
GOODWOOD 320 - SUPREME STAKES GROUP 3
This is quite an open race, there is plenty in this race, that whichever wins you will hear that age old betting shop disdain, "I backed that before and didn't today, typical". I think the Cheka, Donny Rover and Libranno all have very live chances but they give away a lot of weight to Sir Mark Prescotts 3yo filly HOORAY.She has been a bit hit and mss this year, she needed the run in the 1000 guineas, bounced back to land a listed event ay Epsom in June, then struggled in Group 1 company at Ascot, although the soft ground could be put up as an excuse. She was also a disappointing favourite on her first foray to Ireland at Tipperary last time. This will be easier, and with the weight allowance she gets, should be enough to get her head back in front.
CURRAGH 245 - GO AND GO ROUND TOWER STAKES GROUP 3
This in an interesting race, the favourite Lightening Pearl is stepping down in trip, next in the betting Boris Grigoriev is stepping up. The one i like looks to be the stable second string on face value but she is a C&D Group 3 winner. EXPERIENCE can be excused her last two runs as dropped to 5 proved too sharp in my opinion, the other Wachman runner Captain Obvious is making a big step up in class after impressing over 6f at Naas on debut, but I'm going for experience with the selection. As I said this is a Group 3 over 6f at the Curragh and the selection has won a Group 3 over 6f at the Curragh.
CURRAGH 315 - DANCE DESIGN STAKES GROUP 3
An interesting looking fillies only maiden, and on bare form it is between 4. We'll start with John Oxx's Haziyna, this one will be on the premises but she just struggles to get her head in front. Wild Wind looked very impressive last time out when landing a listed contest at Killarney, but steps up in trip where she has been unsuccessful before. The form of Primevere's listed win at Salisbury was given a timely boost last night when Opera Gal (2nd that day) landed a listed race at Windsor last night. But I'm going to side with Jessica Harrington's rapidly improving BIBLE BELT. In 5 racecourse starts she has secured 3 wins, 1 place and a 4th of 14 (on debut). She destroyed a listed class field at Gowran Park by 5lengths last time out and gives every impression that she is on her way to the top.
CURRAGH 350 - FLYING FIVE STAKES GROUP 3
Amour Propre has been unlucky this year, he keeps coming up against Masamah. Today I think he will find one to good in SOLE POWER too if I am honest. The selection became a household name last season when landing the Group 1 Nunthorpe stakes at odds of 100/1. This year he has added the Group 2 Temple stakes to his role of honour and carries a little penalty for that win. I think this will be interesting as both the favourites should come from off the pace. But the quick ground should suit them both. Again I'm taking proven ability over potential.
CURRAGH 425 - MOYGLARE STAKES GROUP 1
This horse had her knockers, but I think most of them were put to bed when she pulled apart the Debutante stakes over C&D last time out on her first visit to this racecourse. La Collina was given a target and a lot of weight when Power was put out front far too early in the Phoenix stakes and I think MAYBE will just have more stamina with no weight difference. At a decent price I like Jessica Harrington's lightly race Princess Sinead to show up well, Stan James offer up a standout 14/1 which looks well worth chancing an Each way bet on. Her first two starts gave the impression that she wanted further than 6 which came to fruition when landing her maiden win over 7 comfortably last time out. She is sired by one of my favourite horses Jeremy, she reopposes the only 2 horses who have beaten her on a racecourse Maybe and Teolane, the former being the selection and the latter having regressed dramatically. Could even be worth sneakily finding a price for this one for the 100 guineas just in case she gets very close to Maybe.
Now the selections in short.
CURRAGH
245 EXPERIENCE 2ND
315 BIBLE BELT WINNER 15/8
350 SOLE POWER 2ND
425 MAYBE (NAP) WINNER 8/13
500 CASTLES BAR SLING WINNER 20/1/MORAN GRA 2ND/PRINTMAKER FC £261.30
530 SIX SILVER LANE/PRINCE OF FASHION
GOODWOOD
210 WEST COAST DREAM/MAC GILLE EOIN 2ND
320 HOORAY
355 PUSH ME/SATURN WAY
505 SILVEE/WITCHRY
YARMOUTH
235 PRINCESS GAIL/BORDER ABBY
345 BOUNCY BOUNCY NR
420 LADY GABRIELLE
455 NUTSHELL
BEVERLEY
150 CHARLIE COOL 3RD
405 DOTTY DARROCK
440 BYRON BEAR NR/PLAYFUL 3RD
GALWAY
255 FEARNWOOD GIRL
510 TORY HILL LAD
This is a monster swipe at trying to grab a respectable position for the month, I hope it pays off.
Hope you all have a good day, good luck and happy punting.
Profit for August -106.49ponits!!!!!!!!
No comments:
Post a Comment