There's going to be a few changes to the blog, basically it's going to be streamlined a little. I'm going to look at the best races each day, plus any alerts I have, some course specialists, and a look at the juvenile races. Essentially I'm dropping the class 5/6 races down the bog as they are using up a lot of my time. I have a very busy homelife, I work full time, my eldest child needs a lot of our time at the moment, plus the 2 others, I also have a training course that for one reason or another I'm too far behind and need to catch up. The weekend/festival blogs will remain pretty full as the racing is of a significantly improved standard. I shall try to maintain any multiples to the same stakes where applicable, but if i don't look at the volume of races required, it's not going to happen.
Right I'll start with HQ,
NEWMARKET
Houses the first classic of the season, I've looked at each race in turn and I'll run down my thoughts.
200 MAKFI SUFFOLK STAKES
My first choice in this is Roger Charlton's PROPONENT, young James Doyle has really grasped the opportunity that has been thrust upon him and he is riding out of his skin. Runner up in this last year, he went pretty well in a few races after without winning, before being put away for the winter. He hasn't really required a run in the past so I'd trust to give his running fresh and could well be a big player. I also like DANADANA, another who comes into the race fresh, he is less exposed than a lot of these. He won on his first start last year and could well be a horse to follow this season. Golden girl Hayley Turner gets the leg up from Luca Cumani.
As for staking, that's your perogative, I'll be backing both the same stake, good luck.
230 QATAR JOCKEY CLUB STAKES (Group 2)
I've sided with the french raider here MEANDRE, a good campaign last year, probably wasn't suited by the electric pace of the Arc. I've seen this chap possess an explosive finish so if he has it left at he end expect him to win going away. I'm unsure as to whether St Leger hero MASKED MARVEL will run as he wants the ground better ideally, and obviously multi-national scorer DUNADEN requires respect but it will be tough for him giving away weight with cut in the ground, in my opinion.
So just a bet on MEANDRE here.
310 QIPCO 2000 GUINEAS (Group 1)
You, me, my nan and Jim down the pub know that potentially CAMELOT is the best horse in the race. Is the trip too short? Will the ground suit? etc... In my opinion if you have any doubt at all you cannot be backing at 15/8 or shorter. I'm pretty well in Antepost on this race, one day I'll write a blog on how I put together my Antepost book, most bases covered at decent odds. My choice for this really hasn't changed since the 21st May last year. I watched POWER scrap to win a listed race over an unsuitably short distance, I saw in that race a horse that wanted further but looked willing to fight for his corner no matter, he is a winner, I backed him for the 2000 Guineas the next morning, at 25/1. I even advised, on this blog, on the 14th June the morning of the Coventry Stakes, to back him at that price before he went on to win said race later that day, which incidently he did. That Coventry Stakes was his best ride given by Ryan Moore, who I was very pleased to see booked on today. His defeats mean little to me, when chinned by La Collina, Seamie Heffernan put him in front far too early, and the Dewhurst he was done tactically, the winner grabbed the rail stuck his head down and went, Ryan found trouble in running and had to really search for a run, which cost him a couple lengths over the frantic 7f on the day. He has an extra furlong to protect the horse today. He's my winner ladies and gents. Being a Street Cry fanatic I've been following FENCING, it's a frustrating task as he always seems to get a problem when he's due to run. Word on the heath is that he has been working very well, but if I had a pound for every time I heard a Gosden horse was working well I wouldn't need to bet! I think he'll probably enjoy the extra 2 furlongs that his breeding suggests in the future but if he's well and runs, it appears the 2 cannot be exclusive, then he has a chance of a place at least. My best Antepost result, bar Power, is ABTAAL, but if it stopped that smug, cheese-eating, monkey climbing into the winners enclosure I'd be happy for the bookies to keep that cash, however it would take the sting off.
POWER to win, FENCING E/w.
345 PEARL BLOODSTOCK PALACE HOUSE STAKES
This is going to be an absolute dash. On paper the draw appears to be the low numbers, but we won't really know until we've seen a couple of races and where the ground is. On that basis I'm not going to go too much up a garden path here. I've backed INXILE, who is pretty prolific over the minimum trip, drawn low, and the ground won't hamper. SPIRIT QUARTZ is a horse I'm following but he's done his best work over 6 so I may just leave him today (I won't because I would probably self harm were he to win, but I'm just offering up doubts before you guys stick your mortgage on him), Last year I backed the winner of this, and the same trainer/jockey have one in here with a decent chance MOVE IN TIME. Drawn low, between some decent nags, has been generally consistent with results so I give him every chance of making the frame. 25/1 looks big.
INXILE and MOVE IN TIME same stakes E/w.
420 AL RAYAN HANDICAP
A tricky little race. I've picked out 3 at decent prices. I won't bore you too much but I'll just briefly explain why, I will be backing all 3, same small stakes, each way. TIOMAN LEGEND was the first that caught my eye, not really on form but on the jockey booking, Jamie Spencer, he is a wins when he wants kind of chap, he could be one of the best but has issues outside of racing that are his priority so we will necer really get to see him back to his very best, if you ask me. Anyway he caught my eye because he takes this ride from Roger Charlton and HRH Sultan Ahmad Shaw despite the fact that Fitri Hay has one entered in the race. Next up is FULBRIGHT, This one is actually pretty closely matched on form to stablemate ES QUE LOVE, going on last year, and ran well on final appearance. His stablemate has really trained on and if he has as well then 20/1 plays 6/1 looks pretty decent value to me. Finally I'LL BE GOOD. Trainer Robert Johnson doesn't have many winners but does have a pretty decent rate of making the frame. This Red Clubs Colt has run well on both turf starts this season and the eyecatching booking of wonderkid Mickael Barzalona, who rides the Rowley as well as anybody, suggests to me that you will get a run and maybe a place for your 28/1.
455 QATAR RACING NEWMARKET STAKES
With Swedish Sailor out of the race, it points towards NOBLE MISSION with a vengeance, this meeting was set alight last year by a certain animal named Frankel, who just so happens to be this fella's brother. He has looked like a proper horse in 2 starts so far, if not a little temperamental, his price is quite short but I'd be a backer provided it stays above 6/4 (2.5), one that catches my eye also is the newcomer MICHELANGELO, his full brother No Heretic put up a fight to some decent horses in first couple of starts and I think this one could announce himself here.
NOBLE MISSION to win, MICHELANGELO small stake win (7/1 isn't an ew price for me) and potentially one for the notebooks.
530 QIPCO SUPPORTS RACING WELFARE HANDICAP
HADAJ and FOURTH OF JUNE are on my alerts so will have a small interest, but no advice, REWARDED is unexposed and could go well, jockey puts me off a little, and DEVDAS catches my eye, I've been made aware that a lot of the Dylan Thomas progeny will train on, and this one put together some consistent results at the back end of last season.
Small win on REWARDED, equal unit EW on DEVDAS
(by equal unit, if you do £5 win on R, do £5 EW (10 total) on DEVDAS.
I'll give you the multi's, then a list of singles, and then we'll see what time we have left for some interesting ones but not advised bets.
TREBLE
MAYFIELD GIRL 1410 THIRSK NAP
HAT'S OFF 1340 GOODWOOD NB
DANADANA 1400 NEWMARKET
E/W DOUBLE
REALLY UNIQUE 1415 LIMERICK
KLASSY 1700 LIMERICK
LUCKY 15
VITA NOVA 1415 GOODWOOD
EASTLAKE 1455 UTTOXETER
NO HERETIC 1530 GOODWOOD
KING OF THE NIGHT 1735 THIRSK
E/W LUCKY 15
LAMPS 1610 UTTOXETER
TIOMAN LEGEND 1420 NEWMARKET
OSTEOPATHIC REMEDY 1430 THIRSK
DEVDAS 1730 NEWMARKET
Obviously I cover all my multis with singles, so these are the rest. You've had Newmarket.
GOODWOOD
1450 SUGAR BEET
1605 RAASEEKHA
1640 POOLE HARBOUR
1715 CAPTAIN CARDINGTON
THIRSK
1440 FORTROSE ACADEMY
1555 DOS AMIGOS
1705 HAMAN
UTTOXETER
1420 ALFIE WILLS
LIMERICK
1345 BRAMANTE
1445 TELLHERI'MNOTTHERE
1625 PERSIAN GALE
1730 GALEFORCE LUCEY
DONCASTER
1825 DUST WHIRL
1855 MILIIKA
1925 BABY STRANGE
2000 SENTARIL
HEXHAM
1840 LADY BLUESKY
1910 CABYLL DOO
2010 TIGER MAGUIRE
2040 WITNESS IN COURT
I'll tweet my other alerts later, no time sorry, but those are my bets today.
Have a great day, good luck and happy punting.
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