Morning all, I'm 29 today (I do go backwards now, right?) Just a real quickie today, I'm not going to test out birthday luck, because my overall luck has been pretty poor lately, I'm just putting up 3 today. That's all. I'll go straight in.
CYRUS SOD - 1515 LINGFIELD (NAP)
was beaten by 2 he was giving away a stone in weight to on handicap debut. Final maiden attempt he was seen off only by a smart performer who competed a large prize on Saturday. Ground no concern, Sire has SR in double figures on soft and heavy, question marks on the distance but dams full brother Eijaaz is a multiple winner over 1m4/1m6, this one has to start winning soon and appears to have been found a solid opening.
PISCEAN - 1550 LINGFIELD
AW-Turf Strike rate reads 28%-8% meaning he will be happy that this is the first race on the polytrack at Lingfield today. 25% at the track, 50% over the distance, the negatives are that he is higher in the weights than ever, and yet to win at this level. But pretty prolific below it. Has a chance at a decent price if things fall right.
YOU'RE THE TOP - 2040 SOUTHWELL
One for the incredible pairing of Henderson-McCoy. 33% strike rate on all career starts. Missed over a year with injury, but kept in by connections and may well have needed last times run. Hurdle form reads 33F111, this was a festival rated horse in his day and todays handicap rating of 130 is lower than that he achieved on final hurdle win (131) before going chasing. Bet365 are laying at 9/1 while he is as low as 13/2 elsewhere, I believe the latter price will look good come racetime if he has a chance. Surely any horse with McCoy on has A chance?
That's it for me, now the footy.
A great day yesterday, correctly predicting both results with a CS thrown in on the England game.
GREECE v CZECH REP
The Greeks won't be as urgent as Russia, that will help the ageing Czech's no end. But we will get more clue as to the standard of the teams in this group. I think the Greeks will be keen to get 3 points on the board after squandering chances and suffering from bad decisions versus the co-hosts. I predict
GREECE 1 CZECH REP 0 - GEKAS to score.
POLAND v RUSSIA
Expect a full blooded game here, the Poles and Russians don't generally see eye to eye, and perhaps the football could be lost. That will play into the hands of the Poles, who lets face it, are much less classy than their opponents. I think the hosts will take home advantage in hand and the scrappy game to take the lead but will struggle to withstand the inevitable barrage of Russian pressure and the visitors will equalise.
POLAND 1 RUSSIA 1 - Lewandowski is to obvious so I'm taking a punt on OBRANIAK
Good Luck and Happy Punting
No comments:
Post a Comment