Sunday, 9 September 2012

Sunday 9th September -

Morning all, a nice little profit made on an encouraging day yesterday. Some decent events at Curragh and York today, only a couple in newbie corner, which incidently threw up some good looking things yesterday, and my brief thoughts on tonights NFL matches.

CURRAGH

215 BRONTE
245 TENNESSEE WILDCAT
315 PIRI WANGO
350 UP (NAP)
425 SKY LANTERN
555 POWER TO PLEASE

FONTWELL

205 KINGS WHARF
235 YES CHEF
545 MISS MAYFAIR

YORK

150 LUCK
225 CROSS MY HEART
255 SAMMINDER
330 DOUBLE CEE
400 MAID OF MEFT
435 HAMZA


NEWBIE CORNER

COOLIBAH 215 CURR
MANUKA 555 CURR


NFL

WASHINGTON @ NEW ORLEANS
A huge ruling overturning the bans on the Saints 'bounty' players will have given them a massive boost. Washington are expected to start with rookie quarterback Robert Griffin III and have strengthened their front row, they will struggle here though against arguably the most intelligent QB in the league. The Spread and Points line look a bit too high/fair for me to get involved on week 1, but I'll take an interest play in M. Colston 1st and Anytime TD available at 8/1 and EVS respectively.

INDIANAPOLIS @ CHICAGO
I like Chicago to go a long way this year, Indianapolis not so much. But they look likely to start number 1 draft pick Andrew Luck, and a rebuilding process looks very much on the cards. The Bears will look to dominate this with their running game and that said the prices of M. Forte 7/1-5/6 and M. Bush 11/1 - 5/4 for 1st-AT TD look pretty fair.

ATLANTA @ KANSAS
The Falcons are another side who I feel can come on and make an impression this year. They've bought in a new offense coach who could improve their passing game. I think they can get off to a solid start this year. I'm taking Atlanta on the money line, over 43.5 points in the game, and J. Jones 1st/AT TD

PHILADELPHIA @ CLEVELAND
Cleveland need to strengthen just to not be the whipping boys. But the Eagles are hugely inconsistent thanks in no part to the dream team tag labeled upon them. I have no real interest in this game, although the points line at 43 looks worth a tickle.

ST LOUIS @ DETROIT
Detroit should walk over this match, St Louis have been poor for a while and nothing seems likely to change this year. I'll take Detroit on the spread.

NEW ENGLAND @ TENNESSEE
New England often get involved in high scoring games, mostly because their offence is brilliant their defence shocking. I'm betting New England on the spread, Points over 47. Brady has so many weapons for TD the bookies look to have it well and truly covered.

JACKSONVILLE @ MINNESOTA
2 underachieving franchises really in my opinion. I can't get involved on the game lines. Although Jacksonville do appear to be surpassing Minnesota. Even that Adrian Peterson at EVS to score a TD looks pretty big.

BUFFALO @ NEW YORK JETS
Buffalo could shock their division this year, but they have to get the results against their division rivals, which was their let down last season. I'm taking Buffalo on the money line here against a Jets franchise that made a statement of intent when they bought in the circus act that is Tim Tebow.

MIAMI @ HOUSTON
If this is anything but a Houston win I'll eat my pants. Houston have possibly the strongest run offence in the league and will be time and again pummeling the ball straight at Miami. With all the money going for Arian Foster, Ben Tate AT at 7/5 looks decent value.

SEATTLE @ ARIZONA
Seattle finished last season very strong, but again seem to have a tougher first half than second. I'm backing them on the money line to get off to a good start here at their rivals. Also I'm betting Braylon Edwards to score.

SAN FRANCISCO @ GREEN BAY
Green Bay nearly got a perfect record last year, San Francisco managed 13 wins themselves. The 49'ers however are far from the most exciting side to watch. They will keep it tight and with that should take the spread with a 5pt start.

CAROLINA @ TAMPA BAY
Well the whole world wants to know, what will Cam Newton do in his second season. The guy was an enigma last year, and if he comes on for that he could be anything. I think Carolina have been gifted a nice start here and I take them to cover the spread, also unless they've dramatically improved defensively I can see the losing side nicking points and the Over 47 is worth a play. My final play in this game is Greg Olsen for 1st/AT TD at 14/1 - 21/10

PITTSBURGH @ DENVER
If you sit up and watch this later on Channel 4, I know i shalln't, you'll be forgiven for not realising there are many other players involved in this. I full on predict an overhype on Peyton Manning. It's a tough game to call this so i won't bother. I'll just have a go at Denver WR Eric Decker to score at Anytime at 11/10

So TD scorers are in the blog, but I'll summarise
MONEY LINE
ATLANTA
BUFFALO
SEATTLE

SPREADS
DETROIT -8.5
NEW ENGLAND -4.5
SAN FRANCISCO +5
CAROLINA -2.5

POINTS
ATL-KC OVER 43.5
PHI-CLE OVER 43
NE-TEN OVER 47
CAR-TB OVER 47

Good Luck and Happy Punting

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