Saturday 5-1-13

Morning, after 2 successive losing days, it's a relief to see some better racing. I'm going to switch things up a little and do selective writeups, where time allows. Don't worry too much, I'll try to keep it as simple as possible, mostly highlighting the areas I think makes the selection worth a punt. Hopefully it helps.

CEDRE BLEU (NAP) 210 CHEPSTOW

This horse proved himself a tough cookie last time out with a very game win from the front, bookies suggest that Ruby and AP are most likely to fight out this finish too. He's 50% in the class, 50% on the ground and 66% when Ruby Walsh jocked up. I don't think he is on too tough a handicap mark here and certainly looks one of the better favourites to my naked eye.

TERMINAL (Nb) 220 CORK

This one could potentially prefer better ground going forward, but he ran well in defeat in a much more competitive event than this one on his chasing debut. Hopefully he'll drift from his current odds on status on the machines, perhaps some would fancy taking him on at that price. I think he is backable definately at anything above even money, probably not a lump on job given the uncertainty with the heavy ground.

ELEVEN FIFTY NINE 1225 CHEPSTOW

Another one with a question on the ground, and sure to test her going up in trip, but she likes to be held up so that will suit, she keeps coming across some pretty good mares in gender specific events and connections have opted to shake her maiden tag here. She gets 5lb for being of the fairer sex, couple that with the 3lb that the incredible Rachael Green can take off, she has over half a stone advantage against horses that she is already rated 6lb higher. Effectively she looks, on the bare face, a stone well in to her rivals, there is no way on this earth that won't be an advantage in testing conditions.

LUGHNASA 110 CORK

This one sneaks into my previews, most likely one for each way players with the Mullins/Gigginstown hot favourite taking a dramatic drop in class. The selection looked a decent prospect when running away with a bumper on debut, maybe had some issues in running next time out, but was ultimately dissapointing on most recent start. I;m hoping he needed that run. This is his hurdling debut and trainer Robert Tyner is in decent form lately as is jockey Phillip Enright. This one is too big a price (last i looked was 8/1 on exch) if you can land that from a fixed odds layer when they get out of bed then you've a decent each way play in my eyes.

the others

CHEPSTOW

355 SEEBRIGHT

SANDOWN

115 SIR FREDLOT
150 DOMTALINE
225 MELODIC RENDEZVOUS

LINGFIELD

200 GEORGE FENTON

NEWCASTLE

1205 MADAM LILLIBET

WINCANTON

315 RUSSIAN SONG

CORK

1210 JOXER
1240 PACELLI ROAD

Good Luck and Happy Punting