Saturday 9-2-13

Morning all, unfortunately just the shortie obliged yesterday, so where the SR improved a little the LSP did not! I have 11 horses, 7 football teams, 2 tennis players and a BTTS acca to note down today. I have to be as quick as possible however, as somehow an entire year has vaporised and it's my baby girl's 1st birthday.

HORSES

TEALISSIO 1255 WARWICK
Given a rating of 119 when landing a soft ground novice hurdle, but struggle under a winners penalty on 2 starts since and has been eased to 116 for his handicap debut. That looks a pretty fair mark and he'll relish the give underfoot.

GLIBIN 145 LEOPARDSTOWN
Her chase form suggests that she could well be on an exploitable handicap mark, I regret I don't know too much about trainer Colin Bowe, but jockey Andrew McNamara is certainly one of the better domestic jockeys over the water.

SIVOLA DE SIVOLA 150 NEWBURY
This horse is consistenly there or thereabouts, I like the Tom George/Paddy Brennan combination, they often pinch a big race at a solid price.

MOLOTOF 205 WARWICK
Stamina saw to him in the Feltham at Christmas. Looks on a good mark here to me back down in trip.

ACT OF KALANISI 240 WARWICK
Been aimed at a couple better races than this and not been disgraced, was travelling well before a fall last start. I feel if this was trained by a Nicholls, Henderson, Hobbs etc.. rather than Dr Richard Newland, then it would not be a double figure price. That basis suggests it's a bet.

SIR DES CHAMPS 320 LEOPARDSTOWN (NAP)
This is to suggest whether or not this horse is a contender for the gold cup, his big market rival Flemenstar, I believe, is not. On the Lexus I'd say SDC has the upper hand, but Flemenstar will likely revert to usual tactics today. This will sure be an unmissable race.

COURT MINSTREL 335 NEWBURY
I've been preparing myself to back Cotton Mill for this all week, but this one really jumped out at me at the last minute. Has decent form ahead of The Romford Pele and behind Dodging Bullets. 2lb out of the handicap isn't a huge bother, especially for a progressive animal, besides Adam Wedge's claim nagates that anyhow.

PROFILE STAR 345 LINGFIELD
Likely to be able to dictate pace, under which condition he flourishes. In good nick at the moment, this years form reads 123.

DISCOTECA 350 LEOPARDSTOWN
On a reasonable mark, likes soft ground, maybe not this soft. I can't see him out of the frame in this.

SALSIFY 420 LEOPARDSTOWN
Renews rivally with 2 time victor Tammy's Hill. although this time on level terms, therefore making a 5lb swing in his favour. Soft ground record isn't entirely convincing, F22, but the 2s were the defeats to TH.

SALMANAZAR 425 WARWICK
A progressive sort for Alan King. Will need to run best race to win this, but nothing in this race has proven anything at this grade. So why not take a stab. If he pops up anywhere near the tissue of 9/2 then that would be pretty generous.

FOOTY
These are intended as singles.
HYDE
LINCOLN
RAITH
ALBION
DEPORTIVO
MALLORCA
STUTTGART

BTTS (games at)
NORWICH
STOKE
SUNDERLAND
BLACKBURN
SCUNTHORPE
BRADFORD
ABERDEEN

TENNIS

HAASE
CILIC
both in Zagreb