Monday, 30 September 2013

Tuesday 1-10-13

Morning all, happy new month. Must be quick this morning as I'm already on the drag.

AYR

425 LAST SUPPER

CHEPSTOW

200 GASSIN GOLF
305 DARK SPIRIT
450 SUPERCILIARY

KEMPTON

820 AL SAHAM
920 JAY BEE BLUE

Good Luck and Happy Punting

In the tennis my 2 mens bets have already started, but the ladies come soon
LISICKI to beat Venus Williams
BOUCHARD to beat Stephens


Sunday, 29 September 2013

Monday 30-9-13

Morning all, I'm leaving the horses alone today. Nothing really catches my eye. I've had a couple bets on the Tennis and the Football, the Tennis starts early if you're following.

LEYTON HEWITT to beat Tommy Haas.
2 elder statesmen of the tour, both have some form this year, with Leyton looking very good on the grass in the summer. Hewitt leads the H2H 6-3 but they've not met since 2004! Both were beaten by Youzhny in the US Open, Hewitt in 5, Haas in 4. Both men are capable of turning up and really probably not a lot between them so the value lies with Hewitt.

JUAN MONACO to beat Jarkko Nieminen
H2H here is 2-2 but both Nieminen's wins came before 2008. Monaco has won the 2 meetings since, albeit both on clay. Another decent 1st round tie in prospect, and the value lies again with the outsider of the pair.

FIORENTINA to beat Parma
Fiorentina have won this fixture to nil the last 3 years, they are in decent form so far winning 3 of their 4 league games, The only blip a draw with Cagliari before their Europa league tie. Parma yet to register a win and have only managed 2 goals to La Viola's 10. They maintain the tiniest squeak of a fair price at Victor's 8/13, Hills a penny in the pound shorter at 6/10. Betfred won't even give you a ton to 2ton so 8/13 is a bet.

Good Luck and Happy Punting


Friday, 27 September 2013

Saturday 28-9-13

Morning all, I'm just going to tap this out quickly today. Little loss yesterday but only 3 points and to be fair that's a small cost for a full day of entertainment.

CHESTER

155 ROUGH COURTE
230 GREEN PARK
305 ASGARDELLA
340 GABRIAL THE THUG
450 APOSTLE
520 ARLECCHINO

HAYDOCK

330 BARNET FAIR
405 BABY STRANGE
440 COSMIC HALO
515 SUEGIOO
550 MISTER MUSIC

MARKET RASEN

145 DUROBLE MAN
215 TAARESH
250 DOVERS HILL
355 BENEFIT CUT
430 GALLEY SLAVE

NEWMARKET

235 JOYEUSE
310 INTEGRAL
350 SAM SHARP
500 GOLD HUNTER
535 VAN PERCY

RIPON

245 CHUNKY DIAMOND
315 VINE DE NADA
350 DOC HAY
420 CHOISAN
455 STOPPED OUT
525 SILVANUS

WOLVERHAMPTON

630 GOAL
800 WEST COAST DREAM
830 GLENRIDDING
900 LIVING THE LIFE

NAVAN

120 DONATIS COMET
150 BANNA MAN
255 WHATEVER IT TAKES
400 HELLO LOUIE
435 THE OTHER SIDE

FOOTY

TREBLES

BRADFORD, ROTHERHAM + CHESTERFIELD
BURNLEY, LEYTON ORIENT + WOLVES
CRAWLEY, PRESTON + OXFORD

BTTS

VILLA/MAN CITY
SPURS/CHELSEA
MILLWALL/LEEDS
TRANMERE/PORT VALE
CHELTENHAM/WIMBLEDON

FULHAM/CARDIFF
SWANSEA/ARSENAL
IPSWICH/BRIGHTON
CRAWLEY/OLDHAM
MK DONS/STEVENAGE
PRESTON/SWINDON
BURTON/SCUNTHORPE
NEWPORT/TORQUAY

Good Luck and Happy Punting

Thursday, 26 September 2013

Friday 27-9-13

Morning all, a little loss yesterday. Didn't damage Wednesday's profit though. So far, this way is going okay. And I seem to get more views by picking more horses so I'm guessing you guys like it.

HAYDOCK

130 PRECEISION STRIKE
200 ARTFUL PRINCE
300 TANCRED
410 GINGER JACK
445 ESHTIAAL
520 MISS BLINK

NEWMARKET

210 MAUREEN
240 GLORY AWAITS
315 RIZEENA
425 RENEW
500 ON MY OWN
530 DR LIVINGSTONE

WOLVERHAMPTON

540 GOAL
640 DANA'S PRESENT
710 BENIDORM
810 BLUE NOODLES
840 JONNIE SKULL
910 GABRIAL THE THUG

WORCESTER

150 INANDOVER
400 MONEY MONEY MONEY
435 CORSO PALLADIO
545 TRANSFER

DOWNPATRICK

320 ROJA DOVE
430 NELL'S NAN
535 RODRIGUEZ
605 LAMBS CROSS

DUNDALK

550 EALAIN AIBREAN
720 TOUGH LADY
820 KIM'S DREAM
920 JAZZ GIRL

Good Luck and Happy Punting

Wednesday, 25 September 2013

Thursday 26-9-13

Morning, an excellent day yesterday with a final profit of 13 points. Very pleased. Onto today and not quite as many selections.

NEWMARKET

235 GOLD TOP
310 ASTONISHING
340 CHAMPIONSHIP
410 TROPICAL BEAT
450 ANNINA
525 LADYSHIP

PERTH

245 CALL OF DUTY
430 WAYNE MANOR
505 DHAULAR DHAR

PONTEFRACT

330 CAPTAIN ROYALE
405 CROQUEMBOUCHE
515 SHOWBOATING

WOLVERHAMPTON

615 NIGHT TRADE
745 FLAMBOROUGH BREEZE
915 PEARLA

Good Luck and Happy Punting

Tuesday, 24 September 2013

Wednesday 25-9-13

Morning all, a small loss yesterday. 2.75 points. I'm just to be quick this morning, I'm putting up my horses, footy and tennis here. Golf will be tweeted later, and NFL should be on tomorrow.

HORSES

GOODWOOD

305 BLUE SURF
340 MISTER MUSIC
415 BATALLION (NAP)
450 AYE AYE DIGBY
520 DARK LANE

KEMPTON

630 CHECKPOINT
700 QUEEN OF THE TARTS
730 URIAH HEEP
800 SAVANNA LA MAR
830 SKIDBY MILL
900 DIAMOND VINE

PERTH

250 KNIGHT WOODSMAN
325 ITS A MANS WORLD
400 TOLEDO GOLD
435 ESTINAAD
510 ANEYEFORANEYE
540 WHAT A STEEL

REDCAR

315 AL MUHEER
350 CHOC A MOCA
425 PROPHESY
500 AUTO MAC
530 MERCERS ROW
605 BLACK DOUGLAS (Nb)

FOOTBALL

ARSENAL
MILAN
ROMA
LYON
TOULOUSE

BTTS

MAN UTD / LIVERPOOL
HEARTS / QUEEN OF THE SOUTH
CHIEVO / JUVENTUS
ELCHE / REAL MADRID

TENNIS

R. BATISTA-AGUT (B)
L. SAFAROVA (T)
Y. SHVEDOVA (N)

Good Luck and Happy Punting

Monday, 23 September 2013

Tuesday 24-9-13

Morning all, after a long arduous day, I've bagged 2 winners back to back late on to trim the losses down to a mere 3.5 points yesterday. I can live with that. Onto today

BEVERLEY

240 ASSIZES
340 ROCKY GROUND
410 MUJAADEL
440 SUMMER DANCER
510 AL FURAT
540 RUB OF THE RELIC

CARLISLE

505 GREEN PARK
540 ROKER PARK
615 RIO'S ROSANNA
650 JUDICIOUS

LINGFIELD

230 OUTBID
330 SUMMER DREAM
400 BIG WHISKEY
430 STEELY
500 BAJAN STORY
530 SPRING TONIC

NEWTON ABBOT

250 IF I WERE A BOY
350 QULINTON
420 CHANKILLO
450 SADLERS STAR (NAP)
520 LANDENSTOWN STAR

BALLINROBE

315 ANCIENT SANDS
345 SENSING
515 NEAREST THE PIN
550 FANTASTIC GOLD
620 HIGH TALK

Good Luck

Sunday, 22 September 2013

Monday 23-9-13

Morning, so sifting through all those selections on Saturday the winners were scarce but a 5 point profit was there to behold. Good old Ancient Cross. A few again today, I'll mark my NAP and Nb, hopefully I've got it right.

HAMILTON

240 LAUDATION
410 SECRET LOOK
440 ARAMIST
510 CARRIES MAGIC

KEMPTON

420 LIONHEART
450 LISA'S LEGACY (Nb)
520 CRUISER

LEICESTER

200 A CHILDS DREAM
230 BALDER SUCCES
330 TRULY MADLY
400 TAX FREE
430 STAG HILL
500 EURYSTHEUS
530 LIVING THE LIFE

TIPPERARY

345 DOROTHY PARKER (NAP)
415 RES NULLIUS
445 POSITIVE VIBES

Good Luck and Happy Punting

Friday, 20 September 2013

Saturday 21-9-13

Morning, so the SR wasn't amazing yesterday, 15.3%, but 6 places as well and a profit of 0.87 points to level stakes shows promise. I'm going to stick with this method as it's a bit quicker for me, although placing my bets takes a lot longer! I'll chuck up my footy treble as well, plus tomorrows NFL bets as there will be no blog tomorrow, it's my boy's birthday.

AYR

130 CULDAFF
205 CLON BRULEE
240 ANCIENT CROSS
350 BACCARAT
425 ANNAS PEARL
500 MAGIC DESTINY
535 RUTHERGLEN

CATTERICK

320 ESTINAAD
355 GLOBAL ICON
430 AILSA CRAIG
505 AL FURAT
540 DRIVE HOME
610 WHISPERED TIMES

NEWBURY

150 SPILLWAY
255 DISCLAIMER
330 STEPS
405 MASTER CARPENTER
510 COMBUSTIBLE

NEWMARKET

305 VINE DE NADA
340 BURNHAM
415 MIDNIGHT RIDER
450 JONTLEMAN
525 ASTONISHING
555 ROCKALONG

WOLVERHAMPTON

550 CHORISTERS CHOIR
620 DANZOE
650 MUKHABARAT
720 KODAFINE
750 PRINCESS PATSKY
850 CEELO
920 GETAWAY CAR

LISTOWEL

155 NEW PHASE
300 KILCOMMON PRIDE
410 BANNA MAN
445 ADAMS ISLAND
545 HIDDEN DIAMOND


FOOTY

LIVERPOOL
BLACKPOOL
HAMILTON

ROMA
CELTA VIGO
P.S.G

BTTS

NORWICH/VILLA
BLACKBURN/HUDDERSFIELD
DERBY/READING
OLDHAM/CREWE
SHEFF UTD/PRESTON
STEVENAGE/CARLISLE
WALSALL/ROTHERHAM
ACCRINGTON/ROCHDALE
WIMBLEDON/BURTON

NFL

BANKER - HOUSTON

SPREAD
SAN DIEGO +3
MINNESOTA -6.5
ST LOUIS +4
DETROIT +2.5
(INDIANAPOLIS +10) *a tentative selection

OVERS
HOU/BAL 45
STL/DAL 47.5
DET/WAS 49

UNDERS
TB/NE 43.5
IND/SF 46
JAX/SEA 40.5

Good Luck and Happy Punting

Thursday, 19 September 2013

Friday 20-9-13

Morning all, keeping up with this blog is difficult. I study lots of formlines, look at so many factors, it can take a long time to whittle down to one bet, which then loses. It can get disheartening. Sure it's great when one comes off, but even if you get a 12/1 winner followed by 10 losers despite being in profit it still feels like losing. Now what I do each day is draw up a shortlist of the races/horses i'm going to be looking at. This comes from a complex background where i have over 4000 horses entered and they change daily as some go in and some come out. I'm going to merely put up the horse that comes up first for each race. So you will get more tips each day, probably a worse strike rate but I'd have had some big winners using this method previously had I done so. We'll see how it goes, I'll record the data daily for now then maybe move to a weekly or monthly figure going forward.

AYR

220 BONNIE CHARLIE
250 EXCELS BEAUTY
325 FACE VALUE
400 FARLOW
435 HANALEI BAY
510 LUCY BEE

NEWBURY

230 SADLERS RISK
305 TALES OF GRIMM
450 CORRESPONDENT
520 FLOW (NAP)

NEWCASTLE

240 GRANDILOQUENT
315 MAYBEAGREY
350 KING PIN
425 VICKY VALENTINE
500 RELIGHT MY FIRE
530 SIR NOD
600 ON THE HIGH TOPS

WOLVERHAMPTON

610 ANNES ROCKET
710 CAPO ROSSO
740 MR DAVID
810 BITAPHON
840 VANITY RULES
910 TARO TYWOD

LISTOWEL

225 SNAKES AND LADDERS
255 HATTON CROSS
405 TROON
440 MAUNDY MONEY
515 BOB LINGO
545 KING OF THE PICTS
615 MILEYA

Good Luck and Happy Punting

Wednesday, 18 September 2013

Thursday 19-9-13

Morning all, yesterday's selection was poor, I have 2, both a bit speculative really. They'd be bang in there if conditions were spot on but both have a little to prove. The prices however reflect that, therefore a bit of value on offer.

SMALL FURY 340 AYR

PHANGIO 405 LISTOWEL

Good Luck

Tuesday, 17 September 2013

Wednesday 18-9-13

Morning, so yesterdays selection trailed in last. Great. What about today. There's some decent looking races dotted about today. Listowel has a solid card, should make good watxhing, and the listed race at Yarmouth looks to be of a decent standard. I've tweeted that Agent Allison looks a big price, she's been racing at Group level since her debut, she'll enjoy any cut in the ground. I'm not backing I'll quickly explain, I don't do each way, and I don't think she is that keen on winning. But with 16s dotted across the board, you've got a bet at 11/10 to place with the concession of a win, alternatively the place is 3.7 on the exchange so I'm headed there. Enjoy. But moving forward I have 1 bet today,

CHOC 'A' MOCA 410 BEVERLEY
No change in mark from last time out 2nd, form of that race working out quite well, Winner won again, and the 3rd won in a higher grade. Useful claimer takes 5lb off, couple that with the grade rise which means he carries physically a stone less than the last race. I think this is a big chance for this horse, who can often string together a couple of decent efforts. 25% record over C&D useful too. I like this one. And a very workable price, Paddy Power the most generous at 12/1.

Good Luck and Happy Punting

Monday, 16 September 2013

Tuesday 17-9-13

Morning all, 3rd place yesterday, not too bad certainly for those who go each way. I have 1 again today.

CHURCHFIELD CHAMP 510 LISTOWEL

Right up there with these on best form, has a propensity to either run really well or chuck in a stinker, last time out he performed the latter. Shanpalas and Sizing rightly short here but if one or either of them is below par Champ looks the value to capitalise.

Good Luck

Monday 16-9-13

Morning all, nice to get a winner yesterday, I only have one today so hopefully I can get the same amount of winners.

SANTO PRINCE 320 BRIGHTON

Course winner, Drawn well, Will handle cut in ground, Lower weight than last win.

Good Luck

Saturday, 14 September 2013

Sunday 15-9-13

Morning all,
     So, we aren't going to well right now. I have 5 for today, just 1 of them popping up would get the job done so fingers crossed on that front. I shan't rabbit on, I'm tired.

LILY'S STAR 245 CURRAGH

POLLYWOLLYDOODLE 410 LISTOWEL

MISS CAP ESTEL 435 FFOS LAS

SAVE MY BLUSHES 510 LISTOWEL

SUPERIOR EDGE 535 FFOS LAS

Good Luck and Happy Punting

Friday, 13 September 2013

Saturday 14-9-13

Morning all, It's Leger day. Compared to some recent Legers this field looks okay. I won't go into the race too much but I'll tell you what I've bet. I'm into Libertarian Antepost, and the money has come nicely for him, I'm in a decent position if needs be. He should relish the cut, the trip, Godolphin have an excellent record in this race. Sure he wears the Red cap but that doesn't mean a lot really, certainly not anymore. Leading Light's Queen Vase win was visually very stylish, it would be interesting to see if similar tactics deployed today, with doubts on some of these for the trip it would make sense. Finally at a big price is Great Hall. This horse doesn't look anywhere near his potential, he hasn't encountered cut in the ground before so potentially an issue there, but certainly no issue with the trip. Big step up in class but his form from last start watertight with 2nd, 3rd and 4th all winning next time up.

BATH

250 HURAKAN

CHESTER

220 AL MUHEER
255 STAR LAHIB
330 MICKS YER MAN
410 GABRIAL THE THUG

DONCASTER

240 DOC HAY
       BURWAAZ
       STEPS
       RACY
315 ALJAMAAHEER
350 LEADING LIGHT
       GREAT HALL
       (LIBERTARIAN)
605 GLOBAL VILLAGE

KEMPTON

530 OUTBID
700 BAJAN STORY
830 EXTRASOLAR

CURRAGH

225 CRISTOFORO COLUMBO
335 HOT SNAP

Good Luck and Happy Punting

Thursday, 12 September 2013

Friday 13-9-13

Morning all, just the one winner yesterday at 7/2, could have been a storming day though with a 40/1 second! Small Margins! I have 9 for today. Am I confident? It's tough to tell, I'd be disappointed with less than 2 winners if I'm honest but that should be enough to pay the way, we'll see. So my overs bet on the NFL went down last night, which rings the question Are the Jets actually half decent? They certainly look capable of keeping the games close, potentially a team to follow when recieving a decent start on the spread. I'll pop my Unders and Spread bets up on Sunday.

DONCASTER

140 WIND FIRE
210 SONGCRAFT
240 HIGH JINX

SANDOWN

305 YOURARTISONFIRE
415 SHEILAS BUDDY
520 KICKING THE LILLY

WOLVES

600 ALHAARTH BEAUTY
900 NEW DECADE

DOWNROYAL

615 WEXFORD OPERA

Good Luck and Happy Punting

Wednesday, 11 September 2013

Thursday 12-9-13

Morning all, must be quick this morning. A huge half a point profit yesterday, but 7 placed! Next.....

CHEPSTOW

230 BOUNTY BE A MADAM
300 NARBOROUGH

DONCASTER

210 MAUREEN
240 BEN HALL
500 THA'IR

WOLVERHAMPTON

630 SMALL FURY
730 STONECRABS TOMORROW
830 LITTLE ELI

Good Luck

My NFL Overs starts tonight so

New York @ New England 43
Detroit @ Arizona 47.5
Jacksonville @ Oakland 39.5

Good Luck

Tuesday, 10 September 2013

Wednesday 11-9-13

Morning all, so just the one...er....sort of winner yesterday. The stewards took the race off him, but fortunately thanks to the FPTP rule the bookies don't take our money off us. I have a fair few today, 18 I think in total, I'm quite keen on a couple so hopefully we can land a small profit, we'll see. Here they are.

CARLISLE

250 CALL OF DUTY
505 HOT ROD MAMMA
535 FIRST CLASS FAVOUR
605 O MA LAD

DONCASTER

300 MASAMAH
335 DANA'S PRESENT
445 AHERN

KEMPTON

545 RONDEAU
815 DIPLOMATIC
845 DVINSKY
915 FIRST CLASS

UTTOXETER

425 FLYING DOCTOR
455 GUD DAY

GALWAY

450 DONATI'S COMET
530 LIBERTY'S GIFT
600 WHAT A ISLAND
630 BOB LINGO
700 BOXER BEAT

Good Luck and Happy Punting

Monday, 9 September 2013

Tuesday 10-9-13

Morning all, a blank yesterday, very disappointing. A couple of seconds scratched at limiting the damage but couldn't quite get there. So onto today. I have 8, hopefully we can find more winners than yesterday.

BEVERLEY

540 MISTER MANANNAN
610 LUNAR DEITY
640 OCEAN STORM

LEICESTER

320 SLEEPY JOE

REDCAR

330 DARK OPAL
530 KUNG HEI FAT CHOY

GALWAY

425 YOU GOT HEART
625 SHADOW EILE

Good Luck

Sunday, 8 September 2013

Monday 9-9-13

Morning all, not so good yesterday. We drew some back through Lancelot Du Lac, but sadly not all of it. Anyway forwards is the perpetual motion of choice and today is another day. I have 9 scribbled down today.

LILLIOFTHEBALLEY       420 PERTH
CHARITABLE ACT           430 BRIGHTON
MOYNE NINEOSEVEN   440 HUNTINGDON
NINGALOO REEF            445 GALWAY
HAATEFINA                     500 BRIGHTON
SAINT IRENE                   530 BRIGHTON
LONGFIELD LAD            545 GALWAY
LEAH CLAIRE                  615 GALWAY
ANCIENT SANDS           645 GALWAY

Good Luck and Happy Punting

Saturday, 7 September 2013

Sunday 8-9-13

Morning all, hope some of you followed yesterday as 4 winners amassed a solid 20+ points profit. Can't grumble at that. Looks a decent card at York today and I'm chancing 5 there, plus a couple over on the Irish All Weather. Hopefully they can do us well, if they don't, it's only 7 points of the 20 we borrowed off the bookies yesterday.

YORK

200 MAJOR CRISPIES
300 HITCHENS
405 HAWK MOUNTAIN
440 LANCELOT DU LAC
510 PROPHESY

DUNDALK

250 DENBIGH RAUR
600 IMPERIAL PLAN

Good Luck and Happy Punting

Friday, 6 September 2013

Saturday 7-9-13

Morning, I have to be quick, I have to leave for work in 20 minutes. We'll have a chat tomorrow.

ASCOT

155 PYTHAGOREAN
330 ELIDOR
440 STARLIGHT  SYMPHONY

HAYDOCK

205 KYLEAKIN LASS
240 TAWHID
315 BLUE BAJAN
350 GORDON LORD BYRON

KEMPTON

255 LOVING SPIRIT
550 EXTRASOLAR

STRATFORD

320 JONNIE SKULL
355 ZARZAL
505 TRY CATCH ME

THIRSK

200 BONNIE CHARLIE
340 BOLD PREDICTION
420 BEAU AMADEUS
455 SIMPLY SHINING
525 NOW MY SUN
555 DREAM MAKER

WOLVERHAMPTON

705 MR DAVID
805 ENGLISH SUMMER

LEOPARDSTOWN

445 BARACK
545 JUST PRETENDING
650 DECLARATION OF WAR
725 MOURANI

Good Luck and Happy Punting

Thursday, 5 September 2013

Friday 6-9-13

Morning all,

 A few for you all today. Hopefully enough win to make a profit. We'll see.

HURAKAN 520 CHEPSTOW

MAYOMAN 200 HAYDOCK
KINGSCROFT 300 HAYDOCK (NAP)
SHOWBOATING 330 HAYDOCK
ABLE MASTER 400 HAYDOCK
CHOOKIE ROYALE 430 HAYDOCK

NOBLE CITIZEN 620 KEMPTON
CASTILO DEL DIABLO 850 KEMPTON

CRACKING CHOICE 310 NEWCASTLE
PETELLA 340 NEWCASTLE
SPIEKEROOG 440 NEWCASTLE
RUNNING REEF 545 NEWCASTLE

ANDALUCIA LADY 505 KILBEGGAN
BENEFIT OF PORTER 535 KILBEGGAN
AUGHNACURRAVEEL 605 KILBEGGAN
DALE STREET 635 KILBEGGAN

Good Luck and Happy Punting

Wednesday, 4 September 2013

Thursday 5-9-13

Morning all, have to be quick today, first day back to school for the biggest of my pests. I've got 2 horses, both pretty short really so you might prefer to just double them up. I'll let you decide. Also I'll jot down my week 1 accas for the NFL, I keep my stakes small this time of year as it can take a couple of weeks to work out who will underperform, and who will exceed expectations.

JOYEUSE 345 SALISBURY

FIREBEAM 405 HAYDOCK


NFL

ATS (Handicap)

NEW ORLEANS -3
CLEVELAND -1
SEATTLE -3
ST LOUIS -4.5
SAN DIEGO +3.5

POINTS (Overs)

BAL @ DEN 48.5
NE @ BUF 51
OAK @ IND 47
GB @ SF 48.5
HOU @ SD 44

POINTS (Unders)

TB @ NYJ 40
MIA @ CLE 41
SEA @ CAR 44.5

Good Luck and Happy Punting

Monday, 2 September 2013

Tuesday 3-9-13

Just a quickie this morning I'm afraid. I have 2.

REMEMBER ROCKY 240 MUSSELBURGH
TOUFAN EXPRESS 525 LAYTOWN

Be Lucky

Sunday, 1 September 2013

Monday 2-9-13

Morning, just a quickie this morning.

The racing isn't horrible for a Monday, but it is still Monday! I have 1, it's pretty short though, at Ffos Las.

ABATED 450 FFOS LAS

She has scope to improve and the 3yo weight allowance will aid here, as will the man of the moment in the saddle James Doyle. A weak race full of exposed horses, this shouldn't be too much of a hurdle.