Saturday 3rd May

Good Morning, it's Guineas weekend!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! There's a monster Scoop 6 up for grabs, I'll share it with you, it's fine. I've tweeted a straight line scoop this morning. So the tips aren't really firing at the moment, my job is to rectify that. I have 9 tips today, hopefully they'll give us a run at least, and if we're really lucky maybe the first returns of the month too! So let's get to it.

ADMIRABLE DUQUE 145 GOODWOOD
CIRCUMVENT 205 NEWMARKET
MAGIC CITY 255 GOODWOOD
ZARDSKY 305 PUNCHESTOWN
SHOWBOATING 340 THIRSK
KINGMAN 350 NEWMARKET
MERITOCRACY 425 NEWMARKET
ARCTIC FEELING 520 THIRSK
LIBERTY'S GIFT 635 PUNCHESTOWN (Charity race, so likely not all bookies will take bets)

The main event of the day is the 2000 Guineas, A Group 1 for 3 year old horses run over a mile on Newmarket's Rowley Mile. Run every year since 1809 it has had a prestigious cast list over the years. Hopefully this year will prove to be no different.
Let's take a look at the main protagonists.
AUSTRALIA - Aidan O'Brien's apparent number 1, he was beat on his racecourse debut which doesn't bode well as only 2 of the last 10 winners did also. Add to that he hasn't really beaten a lot and we are reliant of visual and timing aids to assess his ability which can be deceptive at the best of times. Obviously "the lads" have had their money down but I can't advise a bet at restrictive odds, he's 94 in places. Ladbrokes being top price about a Coolmore horse is far from a positive also.
ERTIJAAL - There's 40's available in places for him and that's a squeak of value in my opinion. This is a step up from what he's achieved, but so is it for Australia and he's a best 7/2. The only difference realistically is how they've got their work done. Ertijaal has gotten his done, albeit not as visually impressive. I can't put you off chucking in a pound for a place, he's fit, he's a listed winner and he deserves to be here.
KINGMAN - The favourite, and deservedly so. His Greenham win was very impressive. James Doyle is riding out of his skin. If you had backed him blind the last 2 weeksyou'd have attained 14 winners from 39 bets and made £40 for every £1 you laid out. He comes to the race unbeaten as were the last 4 winners. He's my pick, unimaginative I know, the market tends to get this race right. They certainly have the last 4 years. Victor and Paddy are currently sticking their necks out with 15/8.
KINGSTON HILL - This horse has been subject to some interesting moves on the exchanges over the past few months, most of them negative. Trainer has come out and said that today is a run, he's a Derby horse. He is to be respected though as he comes in having won the Racing Post Trophy and the Autumn Stakes, the latter on this course over today's mile. We know he'll finish well, 14/1 is an acceptable price to chance that he's fresh enough and won't get outpaced, in my opinion.
NIGHT OF THUNDER - Richard Hannon's second string, 2nd to Kingman in the Greenham having previously been unbeaten. That was his first start for 5 months so he's entitled to come on for the that. He could outrun his odds.
NOOZOH CANARIAS - "The Spanish Frankel", the hipster's horse of choice. I know very little about this horse. I've seen the Youtube videos sure, but I have no idea what he's beaten. We do know that he ran second to Karakontie in the Grand Criterium at the back end of last term, that horse ran a very close second in a Group 3 just a couple of weeks ago.
OUTSTRIP - Breeders Cup winner, but was well put away by another lining up today in the Dewhurst. He's pretty closely matched to Toormore on form, on that basis he's well overpriced at 25/1. You'd be taking a chance on his fitness having not run for 6 months.
TOORMORE - The Hannon first string, triple Group winner landing the Vintage at Goodwood, the National in Ireland and the Craven here at Newmarket. He's certainly a player, at a sensible price too. He's never looked hugely flashy but he does seem to know how to win. Owned by the Middleham Park syndicate it'd be a nice winner in a world of billionaire Sheikhs and the like.
WAR COMMAND - Disappointed in the Phoenix Stakes after winning the Coventry, but like the mythical creature bounced back to win the Futurity at Curragh and the Dewhurst here, beating Outstrip comfortably. He may be Aidan O'Brien's second string but let's face it, he has the better jockey of the 2. He'd be my Dark Horse/Saver behind Kingman, although punters have been latching on overnight and 7's is about the best you'll get right now.

My Verdict KINGMAN to beat WAR COMMAND.