A nice winner found on Wednesday, and a 3rd at a solid price. Sadly the other horse was barely sighted, but the odds of the winner more than covered the 3 bets. I have a few to bounce up today, hopefully there'll be a winner or two amongst them.
LOSTOCK HALL 120 DONCASTER (7/2 Victor and Coral)
Improved with each start and looks to be a fair mark on handicap debut, with 2nd and 4th from his maiden win scoring next time up. Falls into the solid "top weight in a nursery" system and due to rise in the weights in the near future.
VEGAS REBEL 320 NEWBURY (100/30 888, 3/1 Widely)
Scored comfortably on first look at soft ground last time up, and gets similar conditions today. This will be trickier for sure, but I think this one is generously priced.
WIESENTRAUM 340 FAKENHAM (11/4 888, Betway, 5/2 Fred, SJ)
Firstly, it's rare for a Fakeham card to go by without Lucy Wadham registering a chase winner, secondly this one has visited the track twice, registering a win and a second by a head. Also he has been raised 7lb, but for a 14 length demolition of a orse he was only getting a pound from that's probably fair.
Now I have 3 at Dundalk tonight.
STOICHKOV 610 DUNDALK (20/1 PaddyPower)
Right, you have to take a bit of time to ignore the 458480 next to his name. Fundamentally they are irrelevant figures as the only one on this surface, taking jockey claims in, was off a mark 9lb higher. He's a regular here, 27 of his 45 starts. His last win here came over C&D in February off today's exact mark of 53, this will be the first time since that he's raced off this mark. I can't tell you much about the jockey as he's only had 1 ride, but that was very nearly a winner in an apprentice race at Navan.
MISS TEMPLE 740 DUNDALK (11/4 Hills, 365)
Handicap debut for this one, last visit here doesn't offer up the most inspiring form on face value but deeper investigation finds a Group 3 winner, a 20k handicap winner, and a few decent efforts in solid races. Showed pace but didn't quite get home over 6f last time so try at 5 is far from unjustified.
RUSSIAN SOUL 810 DUNDALK (7/2 Victor, Coral, Boyle)
Class animal, only twice finished out of the first 2 on AW, both at Meydan, one of which was the Group 1 Golden Shaheen. For me this is a 2 horse race between the selection and Sir Maximilian. Both rated 108, carrying same weight, one is 7/2 the other as short as 6/4. Then take that the 7/2 is a Group 3 winnr, the 6/4 a listed winner, the 7/2 has a record of 3 wins 4 seconds from 9 AW starts, the 6/4 has 2 3rds (one of which unplaced in 7 runner affair) both in class 4 handicaps at Kempton. The value angle is a no brainer, and for me Russian Soul is the better horse.
Good Luck
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