Morning, just the 11/4 winner from 5 shots yesterday meant a small loss but nothing too much to worry about. I have 5 again today, with a bit of luck we'll get the 2 winners we need for a profit and work from there.
MARCIANO 130 SOUTHWELL
Destroyed a class 4 here in February from out of the handicap, and has a crack at a class 5 today. Last time's run at Pontefract should be ignored as the horse wore no headgear. No headgear form reads 08008 whereas with headgear (cheekpieces today) reads 1746531, so why they left off last time is case for Mr Holmes. This won't be easy as it's full of horses that like this surface but I think Marciano can kick on again.
SUBSTANTIVO 355 KEMPTON
A 16 time raced maiden isn't a prospect you'd be laying down the deeds of your house upon, but he put in a very eyecatching effort over C&D last time out, running into 3rd from a bad draw and finding trouble. He's drawn pretty much where you'd want to be drawn and David Probert given the legup again. He'll do well to find a better chance to break his duck than today.
LUCKY MARK 445 SOUTHWELL
C&D record since November reads 211433, you have to assume on that he'll be there or thereabouts again. Dropped a pound by the handicapper despite coming 3rd in a race that's working out well, the second has won twice since including once up in class.
CRAZY CHIC 750 WOLVES
Credible 3rd on his only previous all weather run, he's completely unexposed and although you're working a little on trust, Marco Botti does well in these events so should have every chance.
SWENDAB 820 WOLVES
Has generally run well here since the surface changed, one blip where he didn't get 7f when tried at that trip. Has it all to do from top weight and a wide draw, but I think that's factored into the price for you which makes him a shot of value.
Good Luck and Happy Punting.
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