Wow September already, that means that my baby boy will be 1 this month, where the hell has a whole year gone? We very narrowly missed out on breaking even for August, we finished 8.13pts down, which is incredible when you consider that we were over 100pts down with less than a week to go, it was an admirable effort if i do say so myself.
There is a nice looking listed fillies event at Salisbury today, any number can win but I've gone with Misty Conquest. 3 starts ago she beat Caspar Netscher into second, then her 3rd place 2 starts ago has had the form franked on a couple of occasions. She was disappointing last time out in France, but that was a big prize on offer and a number of reasons could be thrown into the hat for that effort. I think she is a monster price for her ability and in my eyes should go very close. If i was forced to give a main danger I would probably side with inetrobil.
My NAP today is Amir Pasha who goes in the 450 @ Redcar, I just think he his well treated back down to this grade, he is one who is raising his stock at present, last won 3 starts ago, 2 since then have been off raised mark in a higher grade, he showed improvement last time form the time before and is now taken to raise his mark again with a win today back down in grade 6.
KEMPTON
540 GREATEST DANCER
710 MY OWN WAY HOME
740 ALDEDASH
910 GOLDEN COMPASS WINNER 9/4 / MAGIC CROSS 2ND FORECAST £19.94
NEWTON ABBOTT
220 CONSULATE
250 CHESAPEAKE WINNER 9/2
325 GOURANGA SOCIETY
400 ALWAYS CRUISING
REDCAR
305 TOBY TYLER WINNER 9/2
340 KOO AND THE GANG
450 AMIR PASHA (NAP)
520 COLONEL SHERMAN
CLONMEL
545 KASTANIA 3RD
650 LOCH LONG NR
720 EVERDREAMING
SALISBURY
350 MISTY CONQUEST 2ND
425 GOBAMA
530 HIGHLAND CASTLE WINNER 3/1 / COLOUR VISION
Staking advice 1pt singles, 0.5pt RFC where applicable
Total Staked 22pts Total Returns 29.72pts
Have a good day, good luck and happy punting, there will be a mini blog for the tennis some point today, but it doesn't kick off until about 4pm BST so plenty of time to get that done.
Wednesday, 31 August 2011
Golf - Europa Masters and Deutsche Bank Classic
Howdy, welcome to my Golf selections, if you've never followed my golf selections before I should make it clear, I rarely watch golf, I don't study it very hard (i just look at the statistics available) but I do appreciate it's value as a betting event. I can get suckered into watching it if I'm doing well and there is very little to nothing else on the telly.
My selections this week are below with best prices. Remember to check Laddies as I don't even look there as they pay me my wages. Especially the Deutsche back as the magic sign will refund losing stakes if your selection leads after 18 holes but fails to win after 72.
EUROPA MASTERS - Starts early Thursday morning.
S. KJELDSEN 125/1 Blue Square
A. WALL 125/1 General
D. HORSEY 125/1 Places
F. AGUILAR 149/1 Unibet
F. ZANOTTI 150/1 General
DEUTSCHE BANK
H. MAHAN 60/1 Places
B. WATSON 66/1 Places
R. KARLSSON 66/1 General
B. HAAS 70/1 Places
C. HOFFMANN 80/1 Places
My selections this week are below with best prices. Remember to check Laddies as I don't even look there as they pay me my wages. Especially the Deutsche back as the magic sign will refund losing stakes if your selection leads after 18 holes but fails to win after 72.
EUROPA MASTERS - Starts early Thursday morning.
S. KJELDSEN 125/1 Blue Square
A. WALL 125/1 General
D. HORSEY 125/1 Places
F. AGUILAR 149/1 Unibet
F. ZANOTTI 150/1 General
DEUTSCHE BANK
H. MAHAN 60/1 Places
B. WATSON 66/1 Places
R. KARLSSON 66/1 General
B. HAAS 70/1 Places
C. HOFFMANN 80/1 Places
Tuesday, 30 August 2011
Wednesday 31st August - Just 8 and half points to make.
We are 8.46 points shy of the breakeven line for August, here's hoping.
BATH
300 MAYDREAM WINNER 10/3
400 ONLY YOU MAGGIE
430 MADAM KINTYRE
500 EQUULEUS PICTOR
HEREFORD
210 PRIORS GOLD Fell when challenging
240 SHADOWS GOLD
440 THE FOX'S DECREE NR
KEMPTON
550 DOUBLE DUCHESS
820 TRUMPINGTON STREET WINNER 8/1
850 HI NOTE 3RD
CARLISLE
635 FAST SHOT / SPES NOSTRA
705 KEY BREEZE 3RD
FOLKESTONE
350 STRATTON BANKER (NAP) NR
Good luck and happy punting.
Amount Placed 15pts Total Returns 15.33pts
BATH
300 MAYDREAM WINNER 10/3
400 ONLY YOU MAGGIE
430 MADAM KINTYRE
500 EQUULEUS PICTOR
HEREFORD
210 PRIORS GOLD Fell when challenging
240 SHADOWS GOLD
440 THE FOX'S DECREE NR
KEMPTON
550 DOUBLE DUCHESS
820 TRUMPINGTON STREET WINNER 8/1
850 HI NOTE 3RD
CARLISLE
635 FAST SHOT / SPES NOSTRA
705 KEY BREEZE 3RD
FOLKESTONE
350 STRATTON BANKER (NAP) NR
Good luck and happy punting.
Amount Placed 15pts Total Returns 15.33pts
Monday, 29 August 2011
Tuesday 30th August - 2 days to go.
With two days to go, we had a monster on Sunday which swung us into profit but then gave a chunk back yesterday, on whgat was a pretty horrid day of racing. Again lot's of trappy little races today, so tread carefully with selections, I've picked out a little Lucky 15 which I will enlighten at the end, fingers crossed.
RIPON
200 JANETS PEARL (NAP) WINNER 1/3 / YORKSTERS PRINCE 2ND FORECAST £5.28
300 ALMOND BRANCHES
335 PONTY ACCLAIM WINNER 2/1
410 EPERNAY
445 SHADOWTIME
515 WHITE DEER
SOUTHWELL
510 FLYING PICKETS 2ND
610 TROJAN GIFT
640 SPIC N SPAN / PRINCESS DAYNA
710 NORCROFT / TWENNY SHORT KID
740 GOLDEN CREEK 2ND
EPSOM
240 BALDEMAR WINNER 4/1 / CLEAR ICE 2ND FORECAST £48.77
350 FILUN
420 LOVING THOUGHT 3RD
GOODWOOD
400 JEWELLED
430 VOLITO / AYE AYE DIGBY
WOLVERHAMPTON
825 STRONG VIGILANCE / AFRICAN CHEETAH
855 TURJUMAN
Stakes = 1pt per selection, 0.5pt RFC where appropriate
1pt Lucky 15
Janets Pearl 1/3
Baldemar 4/1
Spic n Span
Norcroft
Total Placed 45pts Total returns 49.33pts
Have a good day, good luck and happy punting
Profit for August -12.79pts
RIPON
200 JANETS PEARL (NAP) WINNER 1/3 / YORKSTERS PRINCE 2ND FORECAST £5.28
300 ALMOND BRANCHES
335 PONTY ACCLAIM WINNER 2/1
410 EPERNAY
445 SHADOWTIME
515 WHITE DEER
SOUTHWELL
510 FLYING PICKETS 2ND
610 TROJAN GIFT
640 SPIC N SPAN / PRINCESS DAYNA
710 NORCROFT / TWENNY SHORT KID
740 GOLDEN CREEK 2ND
EPSOM
240 BALDEMAR WINNER 4/1 / CLEAR ICE 2ND FORECAST £48.77
350 FILUN
420 LOVING THOUGHT 3RD
GOODWOOD
400 JEWELLED
430 VOLITO / AYE AYE DIGBY
WOLVERHAMPTON
825 STRONG VIGILANCE / AFRICAN CHEETAH
855 TURJUMAN
Stakes = 1pt per selection, 0.5pt RFC where appropriate
1pt Lucky 15
Janets Pearl 1/3
Baldemar 4/1
Spic n Span
Norcroft
Total Placed 45pts Total returns 49.33pts
Have a good day, good luck and happy punting
Profit for August -12.79pts
Sunday, 28 August 2011
Monday 29th August - Bank Holiday Bonanza
Absolutely loads of racing today but tread carefully, a lot of it isn't very special. One single result yeterday turned our month on it's head. WOW. I'll update the stats for yesterday, tomorrow, haven't got time today The boy was a bit of a bugger last night and I've had about 3 hours sleep, however to get up, study and get to work on time I should have only had 2 hours sleep, so I must be quick.
RIPON
225 ARCTICALITY
335 MASKED DANCE
410 GERFALCON WINNER 4/1
520 ICEBUSTER 2ND
BANGOR
250 ZHUKOV
400 PHARAON DE TOUBAINE WINNER 4/7
435 RUSHWEE
CARTMEL
220 SAVED BY JOHN
440 NO PANIC
CHEPSTOW
500 EUROQUIP BOY
535 DANCING WELCOME / FLAXEN LAKE 4TH
GALWAY
600 JOE EILE / MEASURED APPROVAL
635 STEPS TO FREEDOM / CELENDINE
NEWCASTLE
250 BOLD MARC
435 DUKE OF RAINFORD NR
DOWNPATRICK
520 BABY'S HOT 2ND
EPSOM
525 GREEN EARTH
HUNTINGDON
235 FARLEIGH HOUSE DH 2ND
WARWICK
210 DEAD COOL / SHOSTAKOVICH / DOWNHILL SKIER
Have a good one, good luck and happy punting.
RIPON
225 ARCTICALITY
335 MASKED DANCE
410 GERFALCON WINNER 4/1
520 ICEBUSTER 2ND
BANGOR
250 ZHUKOV
400 PHARAON DE TOUBAINE WINNER 4/7
435 RUSHWEE
CARTMEL
220 SAVED BY JOHN
440 NO PANIC
CHEPSTOW
500 EUROQUIP BOY
535 DANCING WELCOME / FLAXEN LAKE 4TH
GALWAY
600 JOE EILE / MEASURED APPROVAL
635 STEPS TO FREEDOM / CELENDINE
NEWCASTLE
250 BOLD MARC
435 DUKE OF RAINFORD NR
DOWNPATRICK
520 BABY'S HOT 2ND
EPSOM
525 GREEN EARTH
HUNTINGDON
235 FARLEIGH HOUSE DH 2ND
WARWICK
210 DEAD COOL / SHOSTAKOVICH / DOWNHILL SKIER
Have a good one, good luck and happy punting.
Sunday 28th August - Back to the drawing board.
Yesterday while messing around I rediscovered the success of an old system that I used to use about 6 years ago, it's not the most failsafe system, in fact there are plenty of flaws, but for some reason it does pick up winners. It throws up some massive prices and occasionally one of these will come in. I've found that I cannot ignore some of the selections as sometimes random ones do come in. It does however oddly, pick up the odd forecast, and yesterday it would have landed a 180 pound tricast had i used it!!!!!!!
A few hit the bar moments yesterday meant a little loss, however this loss was restricted to win only players as we landed a couple of E/w value places. The football bet was going swimmingly until Coventry's 76th minute equaliser at the Riverside. I couldn't count on fingers and toes the amount of times Coventry have put down a bet of mine! Perhaps I should get the hint.
Some nice Group races today so I will begin with a little look at each of them, then I will reel of my bets for today. They will be staked as 1pt win per horse (some big prices so do E/w if it pleases you, i calculate win only as, let's face it, it's much easier to work out after a long day) and half point reverse forecasts, combi forecasts and combi tricasts where relevant.
GOODWOOD 320 - SUPREME STAKES GROUP 3
This is quite an open race, there is plenty in this race, that whichever wins you will hear that age old betting shop disdain, "I backed that before and didn't today, typical". I think the Cheka, Donny Rover and Libranno all have very live chances but they give away a lot of weight to Sir Mark Prescotts 3yo filly HOORAY.She has been a bit hit and mss this year, she needed the run in the 1000 guineas, bounced back to land a listed event ay Epsom in June, then struggled in Group 1 company at Ascot, although the soft ground could be put up as an excuse. She was also a disappointing favourite on her first foray to Ireland at Tipperary last time. This will be easier, and with the weight allowance she gets, should be enough to get her head back in front.
CURRAGH 245 - GO AND GO ROUND TOWER STAKES GROUP 3
This in an interesting race, the favourite Lightening Pearl is stepping down in trip, next in the betting Boris Grigoriev is stepping up. The one i like looks to be the stable second string on face value but she is a C&D Group 3 winner. EXPERIENCE can be excused her last two runs as dropped to 5 proved too sharp in my opinion, the other Wachman runner Captain Obvious is making a big step up in class after impressing over 6f at Naas on debut, but I'm going for experience with the selection. As I said this is a Group 3 over 6f at the Curragh and the selection has won a Group 3 over 6f at the Curragh.
CURRAGH 315 - DANCE DESIGN STAKES GROUP 3
An interesting looking fillies only maiden, and on bare form it is between 4. We'll start with John Oxx's Haziyna, this one will be on the premises but she just struggles to get her head in front. Wild Wind looked very impressive last time out when landing a listed contest at Killarney, but steps up in trip where she has been unsuccessful before. The form of Primevere's listed win at Salisbury was given a timely boost last night when Opera Gal (2nd that day) landed a listed race at Windsor last night. But I'm going to side with Jessica Harrington's rapidly improving BIBLE BELT. In 5 racecourse starts she has secured 3 wins, 1 place and a 4th of 14 (on debut). She destroyed a listed class field at Gowran Park by 5lengths last time out and gives every impression that she is on her way to the top.
CURRAGH 350 - FLYING FIVE STAKES GROUP 3
Amour Propre has been unlucky this year, he keeps coming up against Masamah. Today I think he will find one to good in SOLE POWER too if I am honest. The selection became a household name last season when landing the Group 1 Nunthorpe stakes at odds of 100/1. This year he has added the Group 2 Temple stakes to his role of honour and carries a little penalty for that win. I think this will be interesting as both the favourites should come from off the pace. But the quick ground should suit them both. Again I'm taking proven ability over potential.
CURRAGH 425 - MOYGLARE STAKES GROUP 1
This horse had her knockers, but I think most of them were put to bed when she pulled apart the Debutante stakes over C&D last time out on her first visit to this racecourse. La Collina was given a target and a lot of weight when Power was put out front far too early in the Phoenix stakes and I think MAYBE will just have more stamina with no weight difference. At a decent price I like Jessica Harrington's lightly race Princess Sinead to show up well, Stan James offer up a standout 14/1 which looks well worth chancing an Each way bet on. Her first two starts gave the impression that she wanted further than 6 which came to fruition when landing her maiden win over 7 comfortably last time out. She is sired by one of my favourite horses Jeremy, she reopposes the only 2 horses who have beaten her on a racecourse Maybe and Teolane, the former being the selection and the latter having regressed dramatically. Could even be worth sneakily finding a price for this one for the 100 guineas just in case she gets very close to Maybe.
Now the selections in short.
CURRAGH
245 EXPERIENCE 2ND
315 BIBLE BELT WINNER 15/8
350 SOLE POWER 2ND
425 MAYBE (NAP) WINNER 8/13
500 CASTLES BAR SLING WINNER 20/1/MORAN GRA 2ND/PRINTMAKER FC £261.30
530 SIX SILVER LANE/PRINCE OF FASHION
GOODWOOD
210 WEST COAST DREAM/MAC GILLE EOIN 2ND
320 HOORAY
355 PUSH ME/SATURN WAY
505 SILVEE/WITCHRY
YARMOUTH
235 PRINCESS GAIL/BORDER ABBY
345 BOUNCY BOUNCY NR
420 LADY GABRIELLE
455 NUTSHELL
BEVERLEY
150 CHARLIE COOL 3RD
405 DOTTY DARROCK
440 BYRON BEAR NR/PLAYFUL 3RD
GALWAY
255 FEARNWOOD GIRL
510 TORY HILL LAD
This is a monster swipe at trying to grab a respectable position for the month, I hope it pays off.
Hope you all have a good day, good luck and happy punting.
Profit for August -106.49ponits!!!!!!!!
A few hit the bar moments yesterday meant a little loss, however this loss was restricted to win only players as we landed a couple of E/w value places. The football bet was going swimmingly until Coventry's 76th minute equaliser at the Riverside. I couldn't count on fingers and toes the amount of times Coventry have put down a bet of mine! Perhaps I should get the hint.
Some nice Group races today so I will begin with a little look at each of them, then I will reel of my bets for today. They will be staked as 1pt win per horse (some big prices so do E/w if it pleases you, i calculate win only as, let's face it, it's much easier to work out after a long day) and half point reverse forecasts, combi forecasts and combi tricasts where relevant.
GOODWOOD 320 - SUPREME STAKES GROUP 3
This is quite an open race, there is plenty in this race, that whichever wins you will hear that age old betting shop disdain, "I backed that before and didn't today, typical". I think the Cheka, Donny Rover and Libranno all have very live chances but they give away a lot of weight to Sir Mark Prescotts 3yo filly HOORAY.She has been a bit hit and mss this year, she needed the run in the 1000 guineas, bounced back to land a listed event ay Epsom in June, then struggled in Group 1 company at Ascot, although the soft ground could be put up as an excuse. She was also a disappointing favourite on her first foray to Ireland at Tipperary last time. This will be easier, and with the weight allowance she gets, should be enough to get her head back in front.
CURRAGH 245 - GO AND GO ROUND TOWER STAKES GROUP 3
This in an interesting race, the favourite Lightening Pearl is stepping down in trip, next in the betting Boris Grigoriev is stepping up. The one i like looks to be the stable second string on face value but she is a C&D Group 3 winner. EXPERIENCE can be excused her last two runs as dropped to 5 proved too sharp in my opinion, the other Wachman runner Captain Obvious is making a big step up in class after impressing over 6f at Naas on debut, but I'm going for experience with the selection. As I said this is a Group 3 over 6f at the Curragh and the selection has won a Group 3 over 6f at the Curragh.
CURRAGH 315 - DANCE DESIGN STAKES GROUP 3
An interesting looking fillies only maiden, and on bare form it is between 4. We'll start with John Oxx's Haziyna, this one will be on the premises but she just struggles to get her head in front. Wild Wind looked very impressive last time out when landing a listed contest at Killarney, but steps up in trip where she has been unsuccessful before. The form of Primevere's listed win at Salisbury was given a timely boost last night when Opera Gal (2nd that day) landed a listed race at Windsor last night. But I'm going to side with Jessica Harrington's rapidly improving BIBLE BELT. In 5 racecourse starts she has secured 3 wins, 1 place and a 4th of 14 (on debut). She destroyed a listed class field at Gowran Park by 5lengths last time out and gives every impression that she is on her way to the top.
CURRAGH 350 - FLYING FIVE STAKES GROUP 3
Amour Propre has been unlucky this year, he keeps coming up against Masamah. Today I think he will find one to good in SOLE POWER too if I am honest. The selection became a household name last season when landing the Group 1 Nunthorpe stakes at odds of 100/1. This year he has added the Group 2 Temple stakes to his role of honour and carries a little penalty for that win. I think this will be interesting as both the favourites should come from off the pace. But the quick ground should suit them both. Again I'm taking proven ability over potential.
CURRAGH 425 - MOYGLARE STAKES GROUP 1
This horse had her knockers, but I think most of them were put to bed when she pulled apart the Debutante stakes over C&D last time out on her first visit to this racecourse. La Collina was given a target and a lot of weight when Power was put out front far too early in the Phoenix stakes and I think MAYBE will just have more stamina with no weight difference. At a decent price I like Jessica Harrington's lightly race Princess Sinead to show up well, Stan James offer up a standout 14/1 which looks well worth chancing an Each way bet on. Her first two starts gave the impression that she wanted further than 6 which came to fruition when landing her maiden win over 7 comfortably last time out. She is sired by one of my favourite horses Jeremy, she reopposes the only 2 horses who have beaten her on a racecourse Maybe and Teolane, the former being the selection and the latter having regressed dramatically. Could even be worth sneakily finding a price for this one for the 100 guineas just in case she gets very close to Maybe.
Now the selections in short.
CURRAGH
245 EXPERIENCE 2ND
315 BIBLE BELT WINNER 15/8
350 SOLE POWER 2ND
425 MAYBE (NAP) WINNER 8/13
500 CASTLES BAR SLING WINNER 20/1/MORAN GRA 2ND/PRINTMAKER FC £261.30
530 SIX SILVER LANE/PRINCE OF FASHION
GOODWOOD
210 WEST COAST DREAM/MAC GILLE EOIN 2ND
320 HOORAY
355 PUSH ME/SATURN WAY
505 SILVEE/WITCHRY
YARMOUTH
235 PRINCESS GAIL/BORDER ABBY
345 BOUNCY BOUNCY NR
420 LADY GABRIELLE
455 NUTSHELL
BEVERLEY
150 CHARLIE COOL 3RD
405 DOTTY DARROCK
440 BYRON BEAR NR/PLAYFUL 3RD
GALWAY
255 FEARNWOOD GIRL
510 TORY HILL LAD
This is a monster swipe at trying to grab a respectable position for the month, I hope it pays off.
Hope you all have a good day, good luck and happy punting.
Profit for August -106.49ponits!!!!!!!!
Friday, 26 August 2011
Saturday 27th August - Massive day
A great day of sport today, I've got 17 tips for you. + 1 that I fancy to nick a place at a big price.
The £5 footie bet will be having a fourth crack today, we got closer last week so this could be the one.
GOODWOOD
215 MOTRICE WINNER 9/4
250 QUESTING
320 SET THE TREND 2ND
350 MANASSAS
500 FAVORITE GIRL
NEWMARKET
155 CRAVAT 3RD
230 SAMITAR 2ND/ Charitable Act E/w
330 MONSIEUR CHEVALIER
400 COBBS QUAY
435 OCEANWAY
BEVERLEY
305 LAS VERGLAS STAR 2ND
35 BREATHLESS KISS
CARTMEL
340 INDIAN PIPE DREAM WINNER 10/1
415 COOL BARANCA
WINDSOR
610 BRUSHING NR
640 PRINCIPAL ROLE
GALWAY
455 SPILL THE BEANS
THE £5 FOOTIE BET
MIDDLESBOROUGH 1-1
MK DONS 1-0
BRIGHTON 2-0
William Hill will give me £31.10 for my £5 if these 3 all succeed at home today.
Good luck, have a great day and happy punting.
yesterdays blog will be updated with winners tomorrow.
The £5 footie bet will be having a fourth crack today, we got closer last week so this could be the one.
GOODWOOD
215 MOTRICE WINNER 9/4
250 QUESTING
320 SET THE TREND 2ND
350 MANASSAS
500 FAVORITE GIRL
NEWMARKET
155 CRAVAT 3RD
230 SAMITAR 2ND/ Charitable Act E/w
330 MONSIEUR CHEVALIER
400 COBBS QUAY
435 OCEANWAY
BEVERLEY
305 LAS VERGLAS STAR 2ND
35 BREATHLESS KISS
CARTMEL
340 INDIAN PIPE DREAM WINNER 10/1
415 COOL BARANCA
WINDSOR
610 BRUSHING NR
640 PRINCIPAL ROLE
GALWAY
455 SPILL THE BEANS
THE £5 FOOTIE BET
MIDDLESBOROUGH 1-1
MK DONS 1-0
BRIGHTON 2-0
William Hill will give me £31.10 for my £5 if these 3 all succeed at home today.
Good luck, have a great day and happy punting.
yesterdays blog will be updated with winners tomorrow.
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