Thursday, 8 September 2011

Friday 9th September - Leger Festival Day 3

The multiples let us down yesterday, but the 12/1 maiden winner eased the pain a little. I think we may just have seen a derby contender there. There is a maiden I like the look of today, He is a colt by Gallileo called Shantaram, he is bred to excel over a mile, and races for a yard with a good record of getting one ready first time out. Also half brother to a smart performer who finished third in the 2000 Guineas. Def worth a watch to see how he goes.
The NFL season didn't start too well with all 3 bets going down. Watch out for the big one on Sunday.
Onto Donny.
DONCASTER

125 A very tricky looking affair until you delve deeper, in my opinion most of these want further than 5 furlongs apart from REQUINTO WINNER 10/3. I think you will get a decent price because of his disappointing run in the Nunthorpe lto, On suitability to distance alone I would have him around 2/1. I think Lilbourne Lad could struggle over the sharper trip giving weight to all rivals. The big danger is Angels will fall who gets weight as a filly and is looking to bounce back from a very poor run last time.

155 The Mallard is one that the bookies could get away with today. A very open handicap and tough to get an idea of the winner. I'm going with PRECISION BREAK. He won this last year and J.Spencer teamed up with D.Simcock to grab a winner yesterday. The horse is a Donny specialist and looks to have the best chance here. Obviously Eternal Heart and Tominator entered the shortlist.

225 I spent a long while just looking for something to beat OPINION POLL 2ND. I'm afraid I couldn't. Therefore he is my NAP. He is a different class and looks set to land a staying cup hattrick. Blue Bajan may get second but never appears to stay an inch over 2m, Tastahil would go close if he remembers he is a racehorse. Something has looked very wrong with him on last few runs.

300 It's going to be Cat and Mouse today between punters and bookies and this one goes to the book. I cannot touch the favourite at all. (Fallen for You) nothing much has come from his maiden and I think there is just far more evidence for others. Regal Realm was hugely game in winning last time out, coming from too far back and essentially coming through a brick wall of horses to get to the line. The one I like today is LYRIC OF LIGHT WINNER 9/1 to give Frankie and Mahmood a quick double. If I wanted to send a horse out at the moment it would be a 2yo Street Cry filly. They just seem to have got it going on right about now. She won vey easily on debut and looked as if she would go further. She seemes to have a bit of foot about her and Regal Realm won't get away with coming late today.

335 Punters to retake the lead. The maiden that EKTIHAAM WINNER 8/15 won is already looking vey strong with a number a winners coming from in behind including the highly respected Harvard and Yale. Can't see anything close to his ability and the bookies will be running for cover from this one.

410 I'm going with C&D winner GRISSOM. He is looking to get hold of cricket stumps on his form and seemingly has enough in hand to stay ahead of the handicapper for now.

440 In the tricky last I'm siding with the very consistent KENYAN CAT. He has been marching up the ladder with great consistency if not always winning. Worth an each way bet at a double figure price.


SANDOWN

245 MATA HARI BLUE / STRATTON BANKER
355 HURRICANE LADY / WHISTLE ON BY
430 BROUGHTONS SWINGER
500 DANESIDE WINNER 9/1

CHESTER

450 ABDICATE
525 AVONCREEK

WOLVERHAMPTON

510 RAINY NIGHT / EMIRATESDOTCOM WINNER 9/2
540 CLASS MONITOR
810 MEYDAN STYLE
840 ALL HONESTY

Todays multiples
1pt Lucky 15 : Requinto, Opinion Poll, Lyric of Light, Ektihaam
0.5pt E/w Patent : Precision Break, Grissom, Kenyan Cat

In the rugby I can't take New Zealand to win by more than 60pts so Tonga on the handicap looks great value.

Good luck and happy punting.
Total placed today 45pts Total Returns 186.98pts!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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