Right, where do I begin, good day yesterday. NAP and Nb both obliged, but it looks like another tough day ahead today. As of tomorrow this will be the set system for this blog, no more changes. I will keep P&L and SR up to date, I will also add results/stats pointing to which are my most successful tracks, if I'm right then you may all find your way to my blog come March. I am also going to do a PPot using one meeting each day, this will either be the meeting which contains my most advised bets, or a meeting from my top 3 SR. The latter obviously being preferential.
KEMPTON (PPOT MEETING)
100 - zama zama (+no2)
130 - BILLY MERRIOTT
205 - KADOUCHSKI
240 - LAUSTRA BAD
310 - SOMERSBY (Nb)
345 - handtheprizeover (+no3)
420 - dancewiththedevil
PP 4x2.5pt lines = 10pts
PLUMPTON
1250 - judiciary
120 - tara rose
155 - mavalenta
225 - RUN TO FLY
300 - a little bit dusty
330 - the darling boy
405 - winning show
WEXFORD
110 - walter de la mare
140 - FOURTH CLASS
210 - binocular
245 - PICKAPOCKETORTWO (NAP)
315 - GROODY HILL
350 - tico
425 - how time flys
WOLVERHAMPTON
215 - crazy too
250 - kickahead
320 - PERSIDHA
355 - tortoni
430 - stylistickhill
500 - kidlat
530 - spring secret
Good luck all
MELBOURNE CUP
I'm assaulting the Cup with a string of 5 european raiders
I'll be having win bets on
Jukebox jury and Lucas Cranach
and Each way bets on
Lost in the Moment, Modun and Moyenne Corniche
Good luck, see you all at 4am!
Monday, 31 October 2011
Sunday, 30 October 2011
Sunday 30th October - My NFL bets and some more losing horseys.
Firstly I should thank anyone who actually still reads this blog, we've been having a tough time of it lately. I'm feeling quietly confident about today. We got 8 winners yesterday but my misfiring NAP cost us dearly.
I am shortly going to set up my MoSpace for Movember, as once again I shall be growing a full on mutton chop style moustache in aid of Male cancers, My wife is grateful that our wedding anniversary is the 6th of the month so I won't look like too much of a Kn*b when we go out for dinner! The downside is that I shall keep my profile pics updated on FB, Twitter and this blog so you can see how i am getting on, this unfortunately means you shall all have to put up with my ugly mug for a month.
Right onto the horses.
HUNTINGDON
1255 - hope point
125 - BALZACCIO
155 - FOLK TUNE (NAP)
225 - guns of love
300 - fintan
335 - TARVINI (Nb)
405 - greenlaw
CARLISLE
110 - dar es salaam
140 - signalman
210 - benefique
240 - captain americo
315 - hidden keel
350 - fairynuff
420 - phoenix returns
LEOPARDSTOWN
100 - princess highway
130 - nephrite (purely on value grounds)
200 - angel bright
230 - FAMOUS NAME
305 - coin of courage
340 - toufan express
410 - mutiska
WEXFORD
115 - knockahill lady
145 - articular
215 - sugar bullet
245 - littletown lass
320 - beau micheal
355 - gates of rome
425 - chasing shadows
Good luck
FOOTBALL
Hamburg
Fiorentina
Gijon/Bilbao Draw
NFL
Handicaps
1pt trebles/CAP selections are in additional 15pt treble
NEW ORLEANS -13.5
DETROIT -3
cincinatti -1.5
baltimore -12
TENNESSEE -8.5
carolina -3.5
Points bets (same staking plan)
New Eng/Pittsburgh over 52
WASH/BUFF OVER 45
MIAMI/NYG OVER 41.5
new o/st louis over 47
dallas/philly over 48.5
MINN/CAROL OVER 46.5
Good luck
I am shortly going to set up my MoSpace for Movember, as once again I shall be growing a full on mutton chop style moustache in aid of Male cancers, My wife is grateful that our wedding anniversary is the 6th of the month so I won't look like too much of a Kn*b when we go out for dinner! The downside is that I shall keep my profile pics updated on FB, Twitter and this blog so you can see how i am getting on, this unfortunately means you shall all have to put up with my ugly mug for a month.
Right onto the horses.
HUNTINGDON
1255 - hope point
125 - BALZACCIO
155 - FOLK TUNE (NAP)
225 - guns of love
300 - fintan
335 - TARVINI (Nb)
405 - greenlaw
CARLISLE
110 - dar es salaam
140 - signalman
210 - benefique
240 - captain americo
315 - hidden keel
350 - fairynuff
420 - phoenix returns
LEOPARDSTOWN
100 - princess highway
130 - nephrite (purely on value grounds)
200 - angel bright
230 - FAMOUS NAME
305 - coin of courage
340 - toufan express
410 - mutiska
WEXFORD
115 - knockahill lady
145 - articular
215 - sugar bullet
245 - littletown lass
320 - beau micheal
355 - gates of rome
425 - chasing shadows
Good luck
FOOTBALL
Hamburg
Fiorentina
Gijon/Bilbao Draw
NFL
Handicaps
1pt trebles/CAP selections are in additional 15pt treble
NEW ORLEANS -13.5
DETROIT -3
cincinatti -1.5
baltimore -12
TENNESSEE -8.5
carolina -3.5
Points bets (same staking plan)
New Eng/Pittsburgh over 52
WASH/BUFF OVER 45
MIAMI/NYG OVER 41.5
new o/st louis over 47
dallas/philly over 48.5
MINN/CAROL OVER 46.5
Good luck
Friday, 28 October 2011
Saturday 29th October - I'll drink to that
A combination of winning NAP Blodwen Abbey and a terrific fighting double from Choc Thornton, we made a profit yesterday. 14.31pts to advised stakes!!!!! I'm afraid I can't go on as i have to be at work in about 40 minutes!
NEWMARKET
100 - proximity
130 - cape crossing
205 - ecliptic
240 - HAZAZ
315 - double dealer
355 - TACTFULLY (NAP)
425 - jet away
500 - king of eden
WETHERBY
140 - helpston
215 - ALASI
245 - carlito brigante
320 - DIAMOND HARRY
400 - proud times
430 - havingotascoobydoo
505 - jawaab
AYR
150 - dubious escapade
225 - born to shine
255 - aerodynamic
330 - neutrafa
405 - arabian spirit
440 - pertemps network
515 - lady blue sky
ASCOT
155 - thoresby
230 - fifty one fifty one
300 - via gallilei
340 - niche market
415 - saute
450 - MICHEAL FLIPS
525 - stormy gale
NAAS
145 - mccauleys lad
220 - NOBLE PRINCE (Nb)
250 - canaly
325 - farawaysoclose
400 - double seven
430 - tian shan
500 - don cossack
530 - paramount (most bookmakers are not betting on this race)
WOLVERHAMPTON
550 - frequency
620 - roman straight
650 - naughtical
720 - global village
750 - buxton
820 - hallmark star
850 - nibani (fellisha is #notebook horse in this race)
920 - martines spirit
Good luck
FOOTIE
ACCA
BRISTOL ROVERS
NORTHAMPTON
BARNSLEY
SWANSEA
OVER 2.5gls
MAN CITY/WOLVES
HARTLEPOOL/CHARLTON
PRESTON/BOURNEMOUTH
NORTHAMPTON/ROTHERHAM
BRISTOL R/DAGENHAM
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
NORWICH/BLACKBURN
DONCASTER/COVENTRY
PRESTON/BOURNEMOUTH
ROCHDALE/LEYTON ORIENT
NORTHAMPTON/ROTHERHAM
NEWMARKET
100 - proximity
130 - cape crossing
205 - ecliptic
240 - HAZAZ
315 - double dealer
355 - TACTFULLY (NAP)
425 - jet away
500 - king of eden
WETHERBY
140 - helpston
215 - ALASI
245 - carlito brigante
320 - DIAMOND HARRY
400 - proud times
430 - havingotascoobydoo
505 - jawaab
AYR
150 - dubious escapade
225 - born to shine
255 - aerodynamic
330 - neutrafa
405 - arabian spirit
440 - pertemps network
515 - lady blue sky
ASCOT
155 - thoresby
230 - fifty one fifty one
300 - via gallilei
340 - niche market
415 - saute
450 - MICHEAL FLIPS
525 - stormy gale
NAAS
145 - mccauleys lad
220 - NOBLE PRINCE (Nb)
250 - canaly
325 - farawaysoclose
400 - double seven
430 - tian shan
500 - don cossack
530 - paramount (most bookmakers are not betting on this race)
WOLVERHAMPTON
550 - frequency
620 - roman straight
650 - naughtical
720 - global village
750 - buxton
820 - hallmark star
850 - nibani (fellisha is #notebook horse in this race)
920 - martines spirit
Good luck
FOOTIE
ACCA
BRISTOL ROVERS
NORTHAMPTON
BARNSLEY
SWANSEA
OVER 2.5gls
MAN CITY/WOLVES
HARTLEPOOL/CHARLTON
PRESTON/BOURNEMOUTH
NORTHAMPTON/ROTHERHAM
BRISTOL R/DAGENHAM
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
NORWICH/BLACKBURN
DONCASTER/COVENTRY
PRESTON/BOURNEMOUTH
ROCHDALE/LEYTON ORIENT
NORTHAMPTON/ROTHERHAM
Thursday, 27 October 2011
Friday 28th October - See a penny!
This is the level of my misfortune, true story. I went out to get my paper this morning. On the floor, twinkling away, I saw a shiny golden penny. I thought to myself "I'll pick that up on the way back, that'll give me a bit of luck". On the way back I completely disregarded the existence of said penny, and walked straight past it without realising my error until I turned the key in my front door. So follow me with caution today.
NEWMARKET
120 - OPERA FLUTE
150 - FA'IZ
225 - lothian sky
300 - excelette
335 - miss topsy turvy
410 - may be some time
445 - parc de launay
520 - defence of duress
UTTOXETER
200 - paddy the hare
235 - KRISTALETTE
310 - goat castle
345 - pena dorada
420 - gulf punch
455 - no second chance
530 - peg leg
WETHERBY
210 - yar patrick
245 - raya star
320 - safari adventures
355 - secret edge
430 - dawn ridge
505 - tears from heaven
WOLVERHAMPTON
540 - BLODWEN ABBEY (NAP)
610 - AMELIAS SURPRISE (Nb)
640 - GLORIAM
710 - MOUNT MCLEOD
740 - PINOTAGE
810 - the absent mare
840 - forward feline
DUNDALK
600 - wave
630 - sovereign secure
655 - flic flac
725 - truly genius
755 - john veale
820 - swing pattern
850 - tribes and banner
915 - sloane street
Good luck, surely it has to change soon?
NEWMARKET
120 - OPERA FLUTE
150 - FA'IZ
225 - lothian sky
300 - excelette
335 - miss topsy turvy
410 - may be some time
445 - parc de launay
520 - defence of duress
UTTOXETER
200 - paddy the hare
235 - KRISTALETTE
310 - goat castle
345 - pena dorada
420 - gulf punch
455 - no second chance
530 - peg leg
WETHERBY
210 - yar patrick
245 - raya star
320 - safari adventures
355 - secret edge
430 - dawn ridge
505 - tears from heaven
WOLVERHAMPTON
540 - BLODWEN ABBEY (NAP)
610 - AMELIAS SURPRISE (Nb)
640 - GLORIAM
710 - MOUNT MCLEOD
740 - PINOTAGE
810 - the absent mare
840 - forward feline
DUNDALK
600 - wave
630 - sovereign secure
655 - flic flac
725 - truly genius
755 - john veale
820 - swing pattern
850 - tribes and banner
915 - sloane street
Good luck, surely it has to change soon?
Thursday 27th October - Where's the light?
There should be a light at the end of the tunnel, but I can't seem to find it, and todays punters graveyard at Lingfield isn't going to produce the answers. I'll make one surefire prediction, nobody is winning the jackpot today!!! Right I was up late today and the ASDA shop is impending so I have to get on.
LINGFIELD
140 - al andaleeb
210 - aiaam al wafa
240 - grizzle
310 - shamir
340 - night lily
410 - quiz mistress
440 - choral festival
510 - pipers piping
FONTWELL
200 - helium
230 - JACKIES SOLITAIRE
300 - tenzing
330 - CAUNAY (NAP)
400 - kappelhoff
430 - aghill
500 - alphabetical order
STRATFORD
220 - bay central
250 - ERDELI
320 - dusty dane
350 - SHUIL ROYALE
420 - sybarite
450 - GOLDEN CALL
520 - rebel flag
KEMPTON
530 - MASTER OF DISGUISE
600 - SNOWED IN
630 - laylali dubai
700 - my flame
730 - PALAZZO BIANCO
800 - FELLISHA (Nb)
830 - fifty cents
900 - morermaloke
Good Luck, let's stop the rot!
LINGFIELD
140 - al andaleeb
210 - aiaam al wafa
240 - grizzle
310 - shamir
340 - night lily
410 - quiz mistress
440 - choral festival
510 - pipers piping
FONTWELL
200 - helium
230 - JACKIES SOLITAIRE
300 - tenzing
330 - CAUNAY (NAP)
400 - kappelhoff
430 - aghill
500 - alphabetical order
STRATFORD
220 - bay central
250 - ERDELI
320 - dusty dane
350 - SHUIL ROYALE
420 - sybarite
450 - GOLDEN CALL
520 - rebel flag
KEMPTON
530 - MASTER OF DISGUISE
600 - SNOWED IN
630 - laylali dubai
700 - my flame
730 - PALAZZO BIANCO
800 - FELLISHA (Nb)
830 - fifty cents
900 - morermaloke
Good Luck, let's stop the rot!
Tuesday, 25 October 2011
Wednesday 26th October - Positive thoughts
It's easy to get carried away after 2 pretty poor days. Although when the racing is so poor then it can be tough to guage what is going to happen, I will look again next Mon and Tues but if there is no improvement then I may swerve those days in future. Back to it today and decent cards from Haydock and Punchestown plus competitve looking efforts elsewhere and hopefully we can turn a profit today.
NOTTINGHAM
130 - igoyougo
200 - motirani
230 - raspberry fizz
305 - cameron highland
340 - JUST BOND
415 - refractor
445 - PETSAS PLEASURE (NAP)
515 - MARKET PUZZLE
MUSSELBURGH
210 - royal straight
240 - distant sun
315 - star date
350 - lexington bay
425 - profile star
455 - tadalavil
525 - soprano
PUNCHESTOWN
215 - nearest the pin
245 - STONEMASTER (Nb)
325 - kylebeg krystal
355 - make a track
430 - beef to the heels
500 - st killians run
HAYDOCK
220 - LUGGERS HALL
250 - deuteronomy
325 - PIPPA GREENE
400 - foxesbow
435 - balnagore
505 - my brother sylvest
KEMPTON
535 - disturbia
605 - hint of honey
635 - en hiver
705 - circus mambo
735 - halling dancer
805 - shaws diamond
835 - requisite
905 - CATCHANOVA
FOOTBALL
EVERTON
STOKE
BIRMINGHAM
GOLF
EUROPE
G.McDowell
J.Rose
USA
A.Cabrera
K.Stanley
Good luck.
NOTTINGHAM
130 - igoyougo
200 - motirani
230 - raspberry fizz
305 - cameron highland
340 - JUST BOND
415 - refractor
445 - PETSAS PLEASURE (NAP)
515 - MARKET PUZZLE
MUSSELBURGH
210 - royal straight
240 - distant sun
315 - star date
350 - lexington bay
425 - profile star
455 - tadalavil
525 - soprano
PUNCHESTOWN
215 - nearest the pin
245 - STONEMASTER (Nb)
325 - kylebeg krystal
355 - make a track
430 - beef to the heels
500 - st killians run
HAYDOCK
220 - LUGGERS HALL
250 - deuteronomy
325 - PIPPA GREENE
400 - foxesbow
435 - balnagore
505 - my brother sylvest
KEMPTON
535 - disturbia
605 - hint of honey
635 - en hiver
705 - circus mambo
735 - halling dancer
805 - shaws diamond
835 - requisite
905 - CATCHANOVA
FOOTBALL
EVERTON
STOKE
BIRMINGHAM
GOLF
EUROPE
G.McDowell
J.Rose
USA
A.Cabrera
K.Stanley
Good luck.
Tuesday 25th October - Oh brother, wherefore art thou?
The main buzz around the racing community is the impending first glimpse of the younger full brother of the greatest racehorse in the world. One half of me hopes he is incredible and the hype is justified, to be honest, if my wife wasn't out and about in the car today I'd have made the trip up the coast to Yarmouth to have a look at him first hand. I'm taking him on. just for value purposes really. Also I think Godolphin could potentially have a cracking afternoon, the main reasoning behind my belief is that Frankie is riding for Mahmood over Saeed meaning those horse should be better. Chatterati makes her nursery bow today, a filly by Street cry she is bred to be better than she has shown, she has an appealing mark and Frankie gets on for the first time today, all positives, negatives are that she is probably the only Street Cry or Godolphin 2yo that owes me any money and the price is too short to make anything off her.
Coming soon will be a blog on my Tote ten to follow, I'll try to post mine before the Racing Post put the list up, which I think will be Sunday. I am narrowed down to about 20 now! Also I'm going to add links to this blog so if anyone is interested in climbing onboard then DM me on twitter, I will put some up anyway that I read on a regular basis, also I am building quite an Antepost portfolio, and will put up the horses that i have and how much at what prices etc...
Right shall we move on to the selections, apologies if any of these have been pulled, I picked them out early and if one comes out I don't bother relooking at the race, it's just wasting money in my opinion.
YARMOUTH
130 - invisible hunter
200 - chatterati
230 - swedish sailor
300 - ruban
330 - comrade bond
400 - diplomasi
430 - ignatieff
500 - ROYAL PREMIER
CATTERICK
150 - IDLER
220 - BLACK ANNIS BOWER
250 - CORNUS (NAP)
320 - gaselee
350 - another citizen
420 - donna elvira
450 - vittachi
520 - prince of visa
CHEPSTOW
210 - bob lewis
240 - VINCENTIAN (Nb)
310 - tin pot man
340 - misala
410 - my brother silvest
440 - taste the wine
510 - LORD SINGEUR
Good luck with them and any others.
A little footie treble before i go
CRYSTAL PALACE
COLCHESTER
CHELTENHAM
Coming soon will be a blog on my Tote ten to follow, I'll try to post mine before the Racing Post put the list up, which I think will be Sunday. I am narrowed down to about 20 now! Also I'm going to add links to this blog so if anyone is interested in climbing onboard then DM me on twitter, I will put some up anyway that I read on a regular basis, also I am building quite an Antepost portfolio, and will put up the horses that i have and how much at what prices etc...
Right shall we move on to the selections, apologies if any of these have been pulled, I picked them out early and if one comes out I don't bother relooking at the race, it's just wasting money in my opinion.
YARMOUTH
130 - invisible hunter
200 - chatterati
230 - swedish sailor
300 - ruban
330 - comrade bond
400 - diplomasi
430 - ignatieff
500 - ROYAL PREMIER
CATTERICK
150 - IDLER
220 - BLACK ANNIS BOWER
250 - CORNUS (NAP)
320 - gaselee
350 - another citizen
420 - donna elvira
450 - vittachi
520 - prince of visa
CHEPSTOW
210 - bob lewis
240 - VINCENTIAN (Nb)
310 - tin pot man
340 - misala
410 - my brother silvest
440 - taste the wine
510 - LORD SINGEUR
Good luck with them and any others.
A little footie treble before i go
CRYSTAL PALACE
COLCHESTER
CHELTENHAM
Monday, 24 October 2011
Monday 24th October - Selections
LEICESTER
130 - jordaura
200 - lady advocate
230 - madgenta
300 - colombian
330 - moones my name
400 - COOTEHILL LASS (NAP)
430 - little rainbow
500 - hayek
REDCAR
140 - champagne katie
210 - WAKE UP SIOUX
240 - oxbow
310 - chilled to the bone
340 - body language WINNER 7/2
410 - menha
440 - tombelini
510 - ARCH WALKER
SOUTHWELL
220 - third half
250 - QUITE A THING WINNER 8/11
320 - ELUSIVE WARRIOR (Nb)
350 - totally trusted
420 - amazing blue sky
450 - REFUSE TO SURRENDER
Good luck, I'm off to take my little girl swimming. Not sure what to make of Noble Mission tomorrow, will probably be a cracking value lay with all the hype, we'll see.
130 - jordaura
200 - lady advocate
230 - madgenta
300 - colombian
330 - moones my name
400 - COOTEHILL LASS (NAP)
430 - little rainbow
500 - hayek
REDCAR
140 - champagne katie
210 - WAKE UP SIOUX
240 - oxbow
310 - chilled to the bone
340 - body language WINNER 7/2
410 - menha
440 - tombelini
510 - ARCH WALKER
SOUTHWELL
220 - third half
250 - QUITE A THING WINNER 8/11
320 - ELUSIVE WARRIOR (Nb)
350 - totally trusted
420 - amazing blue sky
450 - REFUSE TO SURRENDER
Good luck, I'm off to take my little girl swimming. Not sure what to make of Noble Mission tomorrow, will probably be a cracking value lay with all the hype, we'll see.
Sunday, 23 October 2011
Sunday 23rd October - Horseys and Padded Egg chucking.
The people are padded rather than the egg! Anyway get serious Guy, Yesterday Pimpernel became the 6th successful NAP for the blog, out of the last seven. I'm going to tweak the staking a little, I'm a bit behind on P&L and SR, sorry, the 1pt/2pt will stay the same but I'm going back to a 10pt NAp/5pt Nb scoring system, unless otherwise stated.
AINTREE
200 - HOLLOW TREE
235 - ASTRACAD
310 - battle group
345 - RIGUEZ DANCER
420 - barbatos WINNER 7/4
455 - talk on the street
WINCANTON
215 - ROCK OF DEAUVILLE
250 - BALLYVESEY
325 - BRIEFCASE (NAP)
400 - my brother sylvest WINNER 11/8
435 - cioran jack
510 - adrenaline flight WINNER 5/4
GALWAY
240 -TYNEAGHS TROOPER
315 - NORAS FANCY WINNER 11/2
345 - viaduct joey WINNER 7/1
415 - forjoetheplumber
450 - fists of fury
520 - MUBROOK
550 - bridgets pet WINNER 6/1
FOOTBALL
MAN UTD
NAPOLI
REAL SOCIEDAD
pays around 10/1ish
NFL
HANDICAPS
OAKLAND -4
BALTIMORE -9
NEW YORK JETS +1
DENVER -1
11/1ish
POINTS BETS
SD/NYJ over 43.5
KAN/OAK over 41
DEN/MIA over 41.5
GB/MIN over 47
CHI/TB over 43.5
23/1
MONEY LINE BETS
NEW ORLEANS
DALLAS
DETROIT
OAKLAND
NEW YORK JETS
3/1
Good luck all.
AINTREE
200 - HOLLOW TREE
235 - ASTRACAD
310 - battle group
345 - RIGUEZ DANCER
420 - barbatos WINNER 7/4
455 - talk on the street
WINCANTON
215 - ROCK OF DEAUVILLE
250 - BALLYVESEY
325 - BRIEFCASE (NAP)
400 - my brother sylvest WINNER 11/8
435 - cioran jack
510 - adrenaline flight WINNER 5/4
GALWAY
240 -TYNEAGHS TROOPER
315 - NORAS FANCY WINNER 11/2
345 - viaduct joey WINNER 7/1
415 - forjoetheplumber
450 - fists of fury
520 - MUBROOK
550 - bridgets pet WINNER 6/1
FOOTBALL
MAN UTD
NAPOLI
REAL SOCIEDAD
pays around 10/1ish
NFL
HANDICAPS
OAKLAND -4
BALTIMORE -9
NEW YORK JETS +1
DENVER -1
11/1ish
POINTS BETS
SD/NYJ over 43.5
KAN/OAK over 41
DEN/MIA over 41.5
GB/MIN over 47
CHI/TB over 43.5
23/1
MONEY LINE BETS
NEW ORLEANS
DALLAS
DETROIT
OAKLAND
NEW YORK JETS
3/1
Good luck all.
Saturday, 22 October 2011
Saturday 22nd October - Busy morning, I'm sorry it's late
I'll just whip my selections on, I've tweeted the early ones,
AINTREE
225 - RUMBLE OF THUNDER WINNER 7/2
255 - far more serious
330 - albertas run WINNER 3/1
405 - gormanstown cuckoo WINNER 5/2
440 - the cockney mackem
515 - rio gael
545 - hazy tom WINNER 4/5
CHEPSTOW
135 HARRY THE VIKING WINNER 11/10
205 - dovecote wood
235 - ace high WINNER 11/1
305 - ban uisce
340 - baile anrai
415 - sir harry ormesher (+personal bet on Houblon des Obeaux)
450 - GILBARRY
525 - don't tell nina
STRATFORD
150 - horseshoe reef
220 - fools wildcat
250 - grandads horse WINNER 11/10
320 - lord ryeford WINNER 9/2
350 - OFFICER IN COMMAND
425 - FARLEIGH HOUSE
500 - bazart WINNER 85/40
NEWBURY
140 - tears for joy
215 - saigon
245 - colombian
315 - PIMPERNEL (NAP 10pts) WINNER EVS
345 - naqshabban
420 - inchina
455 - romantic wish
530 - SHADES OF GREY WINNER 7/2
DONCASTER
130 - RED JADE
200 - singuer
230 - WEST LEAKE DIMAN
300 - FENCING
335 - ortac rock
410 - lady chapparal
445 - skilful
520 - links drive lady
WOLVERHAMPTON
550 - indian valley
620 - flowing cape
650 - artistic thread
720 - potentiale
750 - golestan palace
820 - ionwy
850 - interchoice star
920 - mawjoodah
ADVISED BETS SR 50%
I know a couple of these are non runners, but i picked them out earlier and have only now had time to publish.
FOOTBALL
acca
BOLTON
MAN UTD
IPSWICH
NOTTS CTY
SOUTHEND
over 2.5gls
READING/SOUTHAMPTON
WIMBLEDON/CRAWLEY
HUDDERSFIELD/PRESTON
BOLTON/SUNDERLAND
CARDIFF/BARNSLEY
both to score
MK DONS/SCUNTHORPE
BOLTON/SUNDERLAND
NEWCASTLE/WIGAN
SHEFF WED/COLCHESTER
ROTHERHAM/SHREWSBURY
good luck.
AINTREE
225 - RUMBLE OF THUNDER WINNER 7/2
255 - far more serious
330 - albertas run WINNER 3/1
405 - gormanstown cuckoo WINNER 5/2
440 - the cockney mackem
515 - rio gael
545 - hazy tom WINNER 4/5
CHEPSTOW
135 HARRY THE VIKING WINNER 11/10
205 - dovecote wood
235 - ace high WINNER 11/1
305 - ban uisce
340 - baile anrai
415 - sir harry ormesher (+personal bet on Houblon des Obeaux)
450 - GILBARRY
525 - don't tell nina
STRATFORD
150 - horseshoe reef
220 - fools wildcat
250 - grandads horse WINNER 11/10
320 - lord ryeford WINNER 9/2
350 - OFFICER IN COMMAND
425 - FARLEIGH HOUSE
500 - bazart WINNER 85/40
NEWBURY
140 - tears for joy
215 - saigon
245 - colombian
315 - PIMPERNEL (NAP 10pts) WINNER EVS
345 - naqshabban
420 - inchina
455 - romantic wish
530 - SHADES OF GREY WINNER 7/2
DONCASTER
130 - RED JADE
200 - singuer
230 - WEST LEAKE DIMAN
300 - FENCING
335 - ortac rock
410 - lady chapparal
445 - skilful
520 - links drive lady
WOLVERHAMPTON
550 - indian valley
620 - flowing cape
650 - artistic thread
720 - potentiale
750 - golestan palace
820 - ionwy
850 - interchoice star
920 - mawjoodah
ADVISED BETS SR 50%
I know a couple of these are non runners, but i picked them out earlier and have only now had time to publish.
FOOTBALL
acca
BOLTON
MAN UTD
IPSWICH
NOTTS CTY
SOUTHEND
over 2.5gls
READING/SOUTHAMPTON
WIMBLEDON/CRAWLEY
HUDDERSFIELD/PRESTON
BOLTON/SUNDERLAND
CARDIFF/BARNSLEY
both to score
MK DONS/SCUNTHORPE
BOLTON/SUNDERLAND
NEWCASTLE/WIGAN
SHEFF WED/COLCHESTER
ROTHERHAM/SHREWSBURY
good luck.
Friday, 21 October 2011
Friday 21st October - Can Shuja make it a perfect week?
Already written this once and blogger deleted it!!!!!!!!! So just selections i'm afraid
NEWBURY
120 - Swan Song
150 - EMPEROR VESPASIAN
220 - Dream Tune
255 - Captain Cat
330 - Tina's Spirit
405 - KENYAN CAT
440 - Great Shot
515 - Warnes Way
DONCASTER
130 - SHUJA (NAP 5pts)
200 - INFIRAAJ
235 - Gabrials Layla
310 - STELLAR EXPRESS
345 - Advanced
420 - Mazagee
455 - All Annalena
525 - CHOSEN FOREVER
FAKENHAM
210 - MURFREESBORO
245 - NO PANIC
320 - Monroe Park
355 - HELPSTON
430 - TINSELTOWN
505 - INVESTMENT AFFAIR WINNER 10/3
WOLVERHAMPTON
545 - Wandering Lad
620 - Spykes Bay WINNER 10/3
650 - Army of Stars
720 - GREEN LIGHTNING
750 - BEACH BABE WINNER 3/1
820 - Mill Mick
850 - Querido
920 - Look for Love
DUNDALK
615 - HOMEBREW (Nb)
645 - MID MON LADY
710 - KNOCKGRAFFIN LAD
735 - Flic Flac WINNER 6/1
800 - CATFROMTHEROCK
830 - Breathless Kiss
900 - Denny Crane WINNER 9/4
925 - ACUSHLADEAR WINNER 4/1
Good Luck.
NEWBURY
120 - Swan Song
150 - EMPEROR VESPASIAN
220 - Dream Tune
255 - Captain Cat
330 - Tina's Spirit
405 - KENYAN CAT
440 - Great Shot
515 - Warnes Way
DONCASTER
130 - SHUJA (NAP 5pts)
200 - INFIRAAJ
235 - Gabrials Layla
310 - STELLAR EXPRESS
345 - Advanced
420 - Mazagee
455 - All Annalena
525 - CHOSEN FOREVER
FAKENHAM
210 - MURFREESBORO
245 - NO PANIC
320 - Monroe Park
355 - HELPSTON
430 - TINSELTOWN
505 - INVESTMENT AFFAIR WINNER 10/3
WOLVERHAMPTON
545 - Wandering Lad
620 - Spykes Bay WINNER 10/3
650 - Army of Stars
720 - GREEN LIGHTNING
750 - BEACH BABE WINNER 3/1
820 - Mill Mick
850 - Querido
920 - Look for Love
DUNDALK
615 - HOMEBREW (Nb)
645 - MID MON LADY
710 - KNOCKGRAFFIN LAD
735 - Flic Flac WINNER 6/1
800 - CATFROMTHEROCK
830 - Breathless Kiss
900 - Denny Crane WINNER 9/4
925 - ACUSHLADEAR WINNER 4/1
Good Luck.
Thursday, 20 October 2011
Thursday 20th October - Winners
A scorching day yesterday saw nearly 50 points returned in my favour, and today will be hard going again but hopefully we can pick up one or two, I was gutted with the start made by Finalist in the Kempton opener yesterday, but he is one to certainly take from the race, he stayed on like a TGV and made up about 10 lengths in the final 2 furlongs, he enjoys the polytrack and will most likely get to run off the same mark next time out. If connections are savvy they will put him back out on the all weather soon and we can cash in as bare form shows 3375, but he was green on debut, came up against a couple of useful sorts on poly next time, raised 3 grades for third start and seriously outclassed, missed break last night. I would be lumping on next time, and with my knowledge of markets I'd expect him to be around 12-14/1.
Sivola de Sivola is todays NAP and hopefully number 6 in the winning streak. He comes up as a 10pt bet but ran very well last time, has a 7lb penalty, for a win in this code, to overcome so could be vulnerable to a couple less exposed, but anywhere near his race last time should be enough for this, and projected improvement would make light of the penalty.
CARLISLE
150 - SIVOLA DE SIVOLA (NAP) 10PTS WINNER 11/10
220 - Double Ross
255 - Cloonawillin Lady
325 - Ring Bo Ree
355 - Horsham Lad WINNER 11/2
430 - CREDIT SWAP
500 - Going Wrong
LUDLOW
210 - Rainy Champon
240 - That'll Do Nicely
315 - LAVA LAMP
345 - Olympian Boy NR
415 - Itzacliche
450 - Taste the Wine NR
520 - Sublime Talent WINNER 11/4
BRIGHTON
200 - Visions of Johanna
230 - Recalcitrant
305 - Infiraaj NR
335 - Avalon Bay NR
405 - Oscan WINNER 10/3
440 - SIOUXPERHERO 2ND
510 - We Have a Dream 2ND
THURLES
215 - Royal Choice
245 - Rattan
320 - Kilbane River
350 - Experimentalist
420 - Aibrean
455 - Sea of Thunder WINNER EVS
525 - Baby's Hot
WOLVERHAMPTON
540 - Courtland King
610 - HONEST STRIKE
640 - AMORALIST (Nb) WINNER 4/5
710 - Silver Alliance
740 - Katy's Secret
810 - Smalljohn
840 - GOOD AUTHORITY WINNER 8/11
910 - Titan Diamond
ADVISED BETS PROFIT 8.05pts
ADVISED BETS SR = 50%
TOTAL BETS SR = 20.3%
TOTAL BETS LOSS = 4.25pts
Good luck with these or any you choose yourself.
FOOTBALL
marseille and preston poor last night.
Tonight I am going for a Benelux special, well without the Lux.
BRUGES
ANDERLECHT
TWENTE
PSV
all to win around 10/1
Sivola de Sivola is todays NAP and hopefully number 6 in the winning streak. He comes up as a 10pt bet but ran very well last time, has a 7lb penalty, for a win in this code, to overcome so could be vulnerable to a couple less exposed, but anywhere near his race last time should be enough for this, and projected improvement would make light of the penalty.
CARLISLE
150 - SIVOLA DE SIVOLA (NAP) 10PTS WINNER 11/10
220 - Double Ross
255 - Cloonawillin Lady
325 - Ring Bo Ree
355 - Horsham Lad WINNER 11/2
430 - CREDIT SWAP
500 - Going Wrong
LUDLOW
210 - Rainy Champon
240 - That'll Do Nicely
315 - LAVA LAMP
345 - Olympian Boy NR
415 - Itzacliche
450 - Taste the Wine NR
520 - Sublime Talent WINNER 11/4
BRIGHTON
200 - Visions of Johanna
230 - Recalcitrant
305 - Infiraaj NR
335 - Avalon Bay NR
405 - Oscan WINNER 10/3
440 - SIOUXPERHERO 2ND
510 - We Have a Dream 2ND
THURLES
215 - Royal Choice
245 - Rattan
320 - Kilbane River
350 - Experimentalist
420 - Aibrean
455 - Sea of Thunder WINNER EVS
525 - Baby's Hot
WOLVERHAMPTON
540 - Courtland King
610 - HONEST STRIKE
640 - AMORALIST (Nb) WINNER 4/5
710 - Silver Alliance
740 - Katy's Secret
810 - Smalljohn
840 - GOOD AUTHORITY WINNER 8/11
910 - Titan Diamond
ADVISED BETS PROFIT 8.05pts
ADVISED BETS SR = 50%
TOTAL BETS SR = 20.3%
TOTAL BETS LOSS = 4.25pts
Good luck with these or any you choose yourself.
FOOTBALL
marseille and preston poor last night.
Tonight I am going for a Benelux special, well without the Lux.
BRUGES
ANDERLECHT
TWENTE
PSV
all to win around 10/1
Tuesday, 18 October 2011
Wednesday 19th October - Another dire day,
unless you thoroughly enjoy 2yo races! I have a 20pt bet today, and I don't expect it to go off favourite, nice.
I've picked selections out for the Newmarket card but they are all 1pt selections and my best advice is have a notebook ready and record what you see, don't just look at the winners, look at ones that take a bit of time but come home strong. I'm going to get on because my son is pulling at my trouser leg, I think he wants some breakfast!
FONTWELL
220 - GETAWAY DRIVER
250 - BALZACCIO (NAP) 20pts WINNER 7/4
325 - Island News
400 - Double Chocolate WINNER 9/4
430 - Manadam
505 - Osmosia 2ND
WORCESTER
210 - Combustible Lady WINNER 3/1
240 - Canadian Diamond
315 - Aldertune 2ND
350 - Chilbury Hill WINNER 7/1
420 - Edgefour 2ND
455 - Quel Bruere
530 - No No Charlie 2ND (Given this is my sons name, charlie, this is probably the phrase I most use in life, so it has to be backed, I don't normally touch bumpers)
NEWMARKET
130 - Miss Cap Estel
200 - District Attorney
230 - Leqqaa 2ND
305 - Kiz Kulesi WINNER 14/1
340 - Top Billing
410 - Mantoba
445 - Underwritten
520 - Main Sequence WINNER 7/2
NAVAN
205 - The Munster Maori
235 - Dane Street
305 - Canary Wharf
335 - Don Long
405 - Fred Fenster WINNER 9/10
440 - Lilys Star
515 - Blue Ridge Lane
KEMPTON
550 - FINALIST
620 - Canadian Danehill
650 - Poyle Punch WINNER 7/2
720 - Pilgrims Rest
750 - Fine Painting
820 - Our Play
850 - Santefisio 3RD
920 - Loyalty WINNER 7/1
Good Luck with these or any of your own
ADVISED BETS PROFIT 31pts
ADVISED BETS SR = 33.3%
TOTAL BETS PROFIT 47.15pts
TOTAL BETS SR = 25%
FOOTBALL
Fresh on the back of last nights treble, we are going to jump in on another, I've selected 3 sides playing at home who, in my belief, are overpriced
MARSEILLE
BAYER LEVERKUSEN
PRESTON
GOLF
CASTELLO MASTERS
.
G. Orr
K. Ferrie
US PGA
M. Thompson
H. Haas
Good luck all, hopefully we can land back to back footie trebles and back to back winners on the US golf tour. Plus looking to get the 5th NAP winner on the bounce. Good times.
I've picked selections out for the Newmarket card but they are all 1pt selections and my best advice is have a notebook ready and record what you see, don't just look at the winners, look at ones that take a bit of time but come home strong. I'm going to get on because my son is pulling at my trouser leg, I think he wants some breakfast!
FONTWELL
220 - GETAWAY DRIVER
250 - BALZACCIO (NAP) 20pts WINNER 7/4
325 - Island News
400 - Double Chocolate WINNER 9/4
430 - Manadam
505 - Osmosia 2ND
WORCESTER
210 - Combustible Lady WINNER 3/1
240 - Canadian Diamond
315 - Aldertune 2ND
350 - Chilbury Hill WINNER 7/1
420 - Edgefour 2ND
455 - Quel Bruere
530 - No No Charlie 2ND (Given this is my sons name, charlie, this is probably the phrase I most use in life, so it has to be backed, I don't normally touch bumpers)
NEWMARKET
130 - Miss Cap Estel
200 - District Attorney
230 - Leqqaa 2ND
305 - Kiz Kulesi WINNER 14/1
340 - Top Billing
410 - Mantoba
445 - Underwritten
520 - Main Sequence WINNER 7/2
NAVAN
205 - The Munster Maori
235 - Dane Street
305 - Canary Wharf
335 - Don Long
405 - Fred Fenster WINNER 9/10
440 - Lilys Star
515 - Blue Ridge Lane
KEMPTON
550 - FINALIST
620 - Canadian Danehill
650 - Poyle Punch WINNER 7/2
720 - Pilgrims Rest
750 - Fine Painting
820 - Our Play
850 - Santefisio 3RD
920 - Loyalty WINNER 7/1
Good Luck with these or any of your own
ADVISED BETS PROFIT 31pts
ADVISED BETS SR = 33.3%
TOTAL BETS PROFIT 47.15pts
TOTAL BETS SR = 25%
FOOTBALL
Fresh on the back of last nights treble, we are going to jump in on another, I've selected 3 sides playing at home who, in my belief, are overpriced
MARSEILLE
BAYER LEVERKUSEN
PRESTON
GOLF
CASTELLO MASTERS
.
G. Orr
K. Ferrie
US PGA
M. Thompson
H. Haas
Good luck all, hopefully we can land back to back footie trebles and back to back winners on the US golf tour. Plus looking to get the 5th NAP winner on the bounce. Good times.
Monday, 17 October 2011
Tuesday 18th October - Nothing to inspire today,
unless of course you enjoy a good 2 horse race! The card at Exeter today is why I don't consider myself a NH racing fan, I have proven myself wrong on my punting prowess with the recent meetings at Cheltenham and Kempton, but these meetings where the largest field is a 9 runner bumper just don't get the juices flowing and certainly don't get my wallet excited. The problem with these teeny fields is that I am struggling to get a price on my NAP, todays NAP is no different, It's odd sometimes how punters view the racing. I have started using a system which denotes effectively the likelihood/distance of a win, it's by no means an exact science. On Sunday I had Australia Day landing by between 25-30 lengths, yet he was sent off 4/5 and won by 51, today I have Soulard by around 15 and yet he is expected to go off short as 1/7. I have devised a staking plan for NAPs and will advise daily, otherwise it will remain 2pts for Advised(BOLD) selections and 1pt for the others.
EXETER
210 - SOULARD (NAP) 5pts WINNER 1/9
240 - SHALLOW BAY 2ND
310 - Trooper Clarence WINNER 9/2
340 - Consulate NR
410 - Morestead 2ND
YARMOUTH
150 - Tempest Fugit
220 - Hikma
250 - Lady Macduff
320 - Jack's Revenge
350 - Coach Montana
420 - CALDERMUD
450 - Swansea Jack
520 - Merito
LINGFIELD
230 - Hi Note
300 - Remix 3RD
330 - Equity Card WINNER 2/1
400 - Silver Turn
430 - Roman Straight 2ND
500 - Catalinas Diamond 3RD
530 - Absa Lutte WINNER 9/1
Good luck with them, my blog-keeping will be sorted tonight with results and SR's from last couple of days.
ADVISED BETS LOSS -3.44pts
ADVISED BETS SR = 33.3%
TOTAL BETS LOSS -0.95pts
TOTAL BETS SR = 21%
FOOTBALL
I think it's worth a little double on Napoli and Lille both to win their home matches tonight. Joe Cole is playing very well in France and should be able to pull the strings against a below par Inter, Napoli are the most underated side in the tournament, mostly due to the group they landed, I fancy them to win the group, if not then definately qualify and Bayern should find themselves with more of a game than they recieved from Man City.
Napoli and Lille - 1pt double pays around 7/1-15/2
and a little treble, Ipswich can be taken to continue their good run of form, I can see Pompey being distracted by off field antics and with Chopra finding the net again and Scotland seemingly capable of changing games at the moment the tractorboys look dangerous. Crystal Palce look a good price to beat bottom side Bristol City. Bristol have picked up just 4 points on the road and I can't see them adding to that today. Finally Kidderminster are at home to a very off colour Braintree. The Iron boss Alan Devonshire has been seriously struck down by the manger of month curse after a 6 game winning streak they have now lost 3 on the bounce, Kiddermister are always very consistent if not top level and should polish this off professionally.
Ipswich, C. Palace and Kidderminster - 2 pt treble pays around 11/2
EXETER
210 - SOULARD (NAP) 5pts WINNER 1/9
240 - SHALLOW BAY 2ND
310 - Trooper Clarence WINNER 9/2
340 - Consulate NR
410 - Morestead 2ND
YARMOUTH
150 - Tempest Fugit
220 - Hikma
250 - Lady Macduff
320 - Jack's Revenge
350 - Coach Montana
420 - CALDERMUD
450 - Swansea Jack
520 - Merito
LINGFIELD
230 - Hi Note
300 - Remix 3RD
330 - Equity Card WINNER 2/1
400 - Silver Turn
430 - Roman Straight 2ND
500 - Catalinas Diamond 3RD
530 - Absa Lutte WINNER 9/1
Good luck with them, my blog-keeping will be sorted tonight with results and SR's from last couple of days.
ADVISED BETS LOSS -3.44pts
ADVISED BETS SR = 33.3%
TOTAL BETS LOSS -0.95pts
TOTAL BETS SR = 21%
FOOTBALL
I think it's worth a little double on Napoli and Lille both to win their home matches tonight. Joe Cole is playing very well in France and should be able to pull the strings against a below par Inter, Napoli are the most underated side in the tournament, mostly due to the group they landed, I fancy them to win the group, if not then definately qualify and Bayern should find themselves with more of a game than they recieved from Man City.
Napoli and Lille - 1pt double pays around 7/1-15/2
and a little treble, Ipswich can be taken to continue their good run of form, I can see Pompey being distracted by off field antics and with Chopra finding the net again and Scotland seemingly capable of changing games at the moment the tractorboys look dangerous. Crystal Palce look a good price to beat bottom side Bristol City. Bristol have picked up just 4 points on the road and I can't see them adding to that today. Finally Kidderminster are at home to a very off colour Braintree. The Iron boss Alan Devonshire has been seriously struck down by the manger of month curse after a 6 game winning streak they have now lost 3 on the bounce, Kiddermister are always very consistent if not top level and should polish this off professionally.
Ipswich, C. Palace and Kidderminster - 2 pt treble pays around 11/2
Sunday, 16 October 2011
Monday 17th October - On a roll
Yesterday saw a decent profit made with yet another NAP scoring, I have to be quick though this morning as I am suffering NFL syndrome, an inability to get up and ready due to spending the night watching the NFL!
PONTEFRACT
210 - Bedlam
240 - Release the Funds
310 - Spinatrix
340 - Salford Art
410 - Spruzzo
440 - Sir Garfield Sobers
510 - Legal Eagle
540 - Sharp Sovereign
PLUMPTON
220 - NEW CODE (NAP) WINNER 2/5
250 - Fongoli
320 - Highland River
350 - RUNSHAN WINNER 5/4
420 - Only Witness WINNER 2/1
450 - Youandme
WINDSOR
230 - BLANC DE CHINE 2ND
300 - RETAINER 3RD
330 - Majestic Rose NR
400 - Wiggy Smith
430 - Swaninstockwell
500 - Tap Dance Way
Good Luck
ADVISED BETS LOSS -4.35pts
ADVISED BETS SR = 50%
TOTAL BETS LOSS -12.70pts
TOTAL BETS SR = 15.7%
PONTEFRACT
210 - Bedlam
240 - Release the Funds
310 - Spinatrix
340 - Salford Art
410 - Spruzzo
440 - Sir Garfield Sobers
510 - Legal Eagle
540 - Sharp Sovereign
PLUMPTON
220 - NEW CODE (NAP) WINNER 2/5
250 - Fongoli
320 - Highland River
350 - RUNSHAN WINNER 5/4
420 - Only Witness WINNER 2/1
450 - Youandme
WINDSOR
230 - BLANC DE CHINE 2ND
300 - RETAINER 3RD
330 - Majestic Rose NR
400 - Wiggy Smith
430 - Swaninstockwell
500 - Tap Dance Way
Good Luck
ADVISED BETS LOSS -4.35pts
ADVISED BETS SR = 50%
TOTAL BETS LOSS -12.70pts
TOTAL BETS SR = 15.7%
Sunday 16th October - Onto the Jumps
Now the flat season has had it's curtain drawn in such an epic setting. Frankel as incredible. And at an SP of 4/11 that's a 36% boost to your investment, if anyone can find me a financial institution that can better that then be my guest. In other news there was my well documented failure to actually place a competition Lucky 15 entry which yielded a 4.5k profit!!! Needless to say I won the competition, I haven't discussed my prize with Paddy Power quite yet, but it's 2 tickets to Cheltenham on Paddy Power Chase day and there is a possibility that I won't be able to go. Today I've put one up EW in the maiden at Bath, he has a lot of progression to do to catch up the top two on ratings but his best run to date came with cut in the ground so could be well worth a little each way play.
My NAP today actually comes up with a better likelihood of winning rating than Frankel did yesterday. I would never suggest he is a better horse as it's a completely different type of race, in fact you probably couldn't get much more removed, but comparitively regarding what he is up against, he should hose home by my count.
BATH
130 - Peira
200 - Athaakeel
230 - Jawim (e/w)
305 - Native Colony 3RD
335 - Rafeej WINNER 11/4
410 - Peachez
440 - Ninfea NR
515 - Seeking Magic WINNER 11/4
KEMPTON
215 - Alfraamsey WINNER 15/8
245 - AUSTRALIA DAY (NAP) WINNER 4/5
320 - Rajnagan 2ND
350 - Ballagio WINNER 6/1
425 - NEARBY 2ND
455 - ZORRO DE LA VEGA WINNER 5/2
530 - Fennis Bay WINNER 6/5
NAAS
210 - Sambusca WINNER 7/4
240 - Stratagem
315 - Srucahan 2ND
345 - Manieree NR
420 - DONNAS PALM 2ND
450 - CLARKEY
520 - Reggae Rock
CORK
220 - Walter de la Mare NR
250 - Rebel Fitz WINNER 6/4
325 - The Pott Reidy
355 - King High WINNER 13/2
430 - Stephanie Kate
500 - Mount Welcome
Good Luck with them, or any others you should choose.
ADVISED BETS PROFIT 0.60pts
ADVISED BETS STRIKE RATE 40%
TOTAL BETS PROFIT 12.92pts
TOTAL BETS STRIKE RATE 40%
NFL
HANDICAPS 20pts x 1pt trebles
Cleveland +7
Pittsburgh -12.5
Detroit -4.5
Buffalo +3
Carolina +3
Washington +3
POINTS 8pt Treble
St Louis @ Green Bay over 47.5
Miami @ New York Jets over 42.5
Philadelphia @ Washington over 47pts
MONEY LINE 2pt treble
Washington
Buffalo
Carolina
FOOTBALL 2.2pt treble
Cagliari
Novara
Seville
Also I feel it in my waters that Scott Parker will open his Tottenham account today, and can be backed to score anytime @ 15/2 with Paddy Power
My NAP today actually comes up with a better likelihood of winning rating than Frankel did yesterday. I would never suggest he is a better horse as it's a completely different type of race, in fact you probably couldn't get much more removed, but comparitively regarding what he is up against, he should hose home by my count.
BATH
130 - Peira
200 - Athaakeel
230 - Jawim (e/w)
305 - Native Colony 3RD
335 - Rafeej WINNER 11/4
410 - Peachez
440 - Ninfea NR
515 - Seeking Magic WINNER 11/4
KEMPTON
215 - Alfraamsey WINNER 15/8
245 - AUSTRALIA DAY (NAP) WINNER 4/5
320 - Rajnagan 2ND
350 - Ballagio WINNER 6/1
425 - NEARBY 2ND
455 - ZORRO DE LA VEGA WINNER 5/2
530 - Fennis Bay WINNER 6/5
NAAS
210 - Sambusca WINNER 7/4
240 - Stratagem
315 - Srucahan 2ND
345 - Manieree NR
420 - DONNAS PALM 2ND
450 - CLARKEY
520 - Reggae Rock
CORK
220 - Walter de la Mare NR
250 - Rebel Fitz WINNER 6/4
325 - The Pott Reidy
355 - King High WINNER 13/2
430 - Stephanie Kate
500 - Mount Welcome
Good Luck with them, or any others you should choose.
ADVISED BETS PROFIT 0.60pts
ADVISED BETS STRIKE RATE 40%
TOTAL BETS PROFIT 12.92pts
TOTAL BETS STRIKE RATE 40%
NFL
HANDICAPS 20pts x 1pt trebles
Cleveland +7
Pittsburgh -12.5
Detroit -4.5
Buffalo +3
Carolina +3
Washington +3
POINTS 8pt Treble
St Louis @ Green Bay over 47.5
Miami @ New York Jets over 42.5
Philadelphia @ Washington over 47pts
MONEY LINE 2pt treble
Washington
Buffalo
Carolina
FOOTBALL 2.2pt treble
Cagliari
Novara
Seville
Also I feel it in my waters that Scott Parker will open his Tottenham account today, and can be backed to score anytime @ 15/2 with Paddy Power
Saturday, 15 October 2011
Saturday 15th October - Sorry it's late.
My Nap is going to be very unoriginal but your nap is essentially your Knapp hand, the one that you go all-in on to take home the gold. Frankel will not be beaten, no chance, only one horse has ever been in the same league as Frankel at any point and that was Canford Cliffs, and the tank essentially ended his career. Do what you like with Frankel, lay down your house, double up with all your selections for a winnings boost, or just watch him hammer home. It says a lot when very few people in racing can admit to having seen a better racehorse in their lives. Tom Queally has taken the criticism of his ride at Ascot last time and shown that he truly is a decent jockey. Enjoy
Remember 2pts advised bets (BOLD) 1pt others
I'll start with Ascot and it was very hard with lots of eenie meenie miney mo going on at stages.
ASCOT
150 - Times Up
225 - Moonlight Cloud
300 - Crystal Capella
335 - FRANKEL (NAP) WINNER 4/11
410 - Midday
445 - Noble Citizen
KELSO
135 - Zaru
210 - Soft Spoken Guy
245 - Mullaghwillin Boy
325 - Hennessey
355 - Aggravation
430 - Royal Deal 3RD
505 - The Paddy Premium
540 - Rexmehead
CATTERICK
145 - Quite a Thing 2ND
220 - Ladykin
255 - Taurus Twins
330 - Kinloch Castle
400 - Teds Brother
440 - JUST LILLE NR
515 - Catallout
550 - Stormy Morning 2ND
CHELTENHAM
205 - Ongenstown Lad WINNER 5/2
240 - Marley Roca
315 - Palawi
350 - Definite Dawn 2ND
425 - Ixora WINNER 9/1
455 - LANCETTO WINNER 7/3
530 - Amber Cloud 3RD
WOLVERHAMPTON
525 - Ilie Nastase
600 - You're in the will
630 - Laconicos
700 - Coastal Passage
730 - Evens and Odds
800 - Prickles
830 - ZAFEENS PEARL WINNER 11/4
900 - Just Call me Handsome.
ADVISED BETS PROFIT 14.86pts SR 100%
TOTAL LOSS 7.25pts SR 13.8%
FOOTBALL
This weeks Acca
Man Utd
Middlesborough
Preston
Southend
This weeks over 2.5goals
Wigan/Bolton
Birmingham/Leicester
Ley.Orient/Bury
AFC Wimb/Crewe
This weeks Goals Galore
Chelsea/Everton
Derby/Southampton
Brentford/Scunthorpe
Hereford/Bradford
NFL tips will be up tomorrow but the bookies haven't got a lot too far wrong this week.
Have a great Frankel day, good luck and happy punting.
Remember 2pts advised bets (BOLD) 1pt others
I'll start with Ascot and it was very hard with lots of eenie meenie miney mo going on at stages.
ASCOT
150 - Times Up
225 - Moonlight Cloud
300 - Crystal Capella
335 - FRANKEL (NAP) WINNER 4/11
410 - Midday
445 - Noble Citizen
KELSO
135 - Zaru
210 - Soft Spoken Guy
245 - Mullaghwillin Boy
325 - Hennessey
355 - Aggravation
430 - Royal Deal 3RD
505 - The Paddy Premium
540 - Rexmehead
CATTERICK
145 - Quite a Thing 2ND
220 - Ladykin
255 - Taurus Twins
330 - Kinloch Castle
400 - Teds Brother
440 - JUST LILLE NR
515 - Catallout
550 - Stormy Morning 2ND
CHELTENHAM
205 - Ongenstown Lad WINNER 5/2
240 - Marley Roca
315 - Palawi
350 - Definite Dawn 2ND
425 - Ixora WINNER 9/1
455 - LANCETTO WINNER 7/3
530 - Amber Cloud 3RD
WOLVERHAMPTON
525 - Ilie Nastase
600 - You're in the will
630 - Laconicos
700 - Coastal Passage
730 - Evens and Odds
800 - Prickles
830 - ZAFEENS PEARL WINNER 11/4
900 - Just Call me Handsome.
ADVISED BETS PROFIT 14.86pts SR 100%
TOTAL LOSS 7.25pts SR 13.8%
FOOTBALL
This weeks Acca
Man Utd
Middlesborough
Preston
Southend
This weeks over 2.5goals
Wigan/Bolton
Birmingham/Leicester
Ley.Orient/Bury
AFC Wimb/Crewe
This weeks Goals Galore
Chelsea/Everton
Derby/Southampton
Brentford/Scunthorpe
Hereford/Bradford
NFL tips will be up tomorrow but the bookies haven't got a lot too far wrong this week.
Have a great Frankel day, good luck and happy punting.
Thursday, 13 October 2011
Friday 14th October - Todays selections
Same system bold = advised bet 2pt, others = my idea 1pt. Simples. Small profit made again yesterday, although it was edge of the seat stuff, confirmed by Advised Bet Blue Cossack getting up in the very last race of the day. Heyho that's the game we play. I'm going to try and go a whole day without playing devils advocate to the rule that has horse racing up in arms. I actually had my first converstion with a punter about it yesterday, 4 days in is good going in my shop, she said she hates it because "the favourite don't win all the time now", okay I'll move on then.
REDCAR
130 - MARKET PUZZLE 3RD
200 - Dream the Blues WINNER EVS
235 - Artists Corner 2ND
310 - Springheel Jake 3RD
345 - Willie Wagtail WINNER 3/1
420 - DAYTIME DREAMER
455 - Wadua
530 - Hoppy's Flyer
HAYDOCK
155 - BEYOND CONCEIT WINNER 10/11
225 - Basantee WINNER 7/2
300 - MINCE 2ND
335 - Gold Rally WINNER 3/1
410 - Daneking 3RD
445 - KEYS OF CYPRUS
520 - OPUS MAXIMUS
555 - Sphinx NR
CHELTENHAM
210 - Bold Addition 2ND
245 - That'll Do WINNER 15/8
320 - Our Island NR
355 - Mad Moose 3RD
430 - OUTRAGEOUS REQUEST (NAP)
505 - CULLAHILL
540 - Priors Gold 2ND
WOLVERHAMPTON
550 - Trojan Rocket 2ND
620 - Tenbridge 2ND
650 - WORTH WINNER 10/1
720 - Saharia WINNER 5/2
750 - Eastward Ho 3RD
820 - FLYING PICKETS
850 - Prince of Passion
920 - JONNIE SKULL
DUNDALK
615 - My Girl Annie
645 - Rachel
710 - Rogue Element WINNER 11/8
735 - Time of my Life (i spotted this at curragh subday and thought "if that was at Dundalk I'd be all over it")
800 - Devonelli
830 - Blue M oon WINNER 13/2
900 - Coppers 3RD
925 - Mid Mon Lady
ADVISED BET PROFIT 3.82pts SR 18%
TOTAL PROFIT 8.55pts SR 20%
Have a good day all, good luck and happy punting
yesterdays results will be caught up soon, most likely tomorrow or sunday.
REDCAR
130 - MARKET PUZZLE 3RD
200 - Dream the Blues WINNER EVS
235 - Artists Corner 2ND
310 - Springheel Jake 3RD
345 - Willie Wagtail WINNER 3/1
420 - DAYTIME DREAMER
455 - Wadua
530 - Hoppy's Flyer
HAYDOCK
155 - BEYOND CONCEIT WINNER 10/11
225 - Basantee WINNER 7/2
300 - MINCE 2ND
335 - Gold Rally WINNER 3/1
410 - Daneking 3RD
445 - KEYS OF CYPRUS
520 - OPUS MAXIMUS
555 - Sphinx NR
CHELTENHAM
210 - Bold Addition 2ND
245 - That'll Do WINNER 15/8
320 - Our Island NR
355 - Mad Moose 3RD
430 - OUTRAGEOUS REQUEST (NAP)
505 - CULLAHILL
540 - Priors Gold 2ND
WOLVERHAMPTON
550 - Trojan Rocket 2ND
620 - Tenbridge 2ND
650 - WORTH WINNER 10/1
720 - Saharia WINNER 5/2
750 - Eastward Ho 3RD
820 - FLYING PICKETS
850 - Prince of Passion
920 - JONNIE SKULL
DUNDALK
615 - My Girl Annie
645 - Rachel
710 - Rogue Element WINNER 11/8
735 - Time of my Life (i spotted this at curragh subday and thought "if that was at Dundalk I'd be all over it")
800 - Devonelli
830 - Blue M oon WINNER 13/2
900 - Coppers 3RD
925 - Mid Mon Lady
ADVISED BET PROFIT 3.82pts SR 18%
TOTAL PROFIT 8.55pts SR 20%
Have a good day all, good luck and happy punting
yesterdays results will be caught up soon, most likely tomorrow or sunday.
Wednesday, 12 October 2011
Thursday 13th October - Today's selections
Well if Tuesday was 1 step forward I guess yesterday was 2 steps back, an 11/1 and a 13/2 winners cut a dent in the torment but we can't win every day I guess. I do this for fun, not to make a living, and I implore anyone to only truly dive in to my selections if they were looking at that horse anyway. Swiftly on.
Remember advised bets in bold are 2pts and outside bets 1pt.
BRIGHTON
230 - Asaid 2ND
300 - Penang Cinta WINNER 10/1
330 - FIRESTARTER (NAP) 3RD
400 - AD VITAM
430 - Timpanist
500 - EVEN BOLDER
UTTOXETER
210 - Toretto WINNER 2/1
240 - Gemini Jim
310 - Hever Road 2ND
340 - Paddy the Hare WINNER 6/4
410 - Arisea 3RD
440 - Golden Dream
510 - Back to Paris
WINCANTON
220 - Tigger 3RD
250 - Sadlers Star WINNER 9/4
320 - Bathwick Scanno
350 - El Diego 2ND
420 - Dance with the Devil 3RD
450 - Freedom Flyer 2ND
PUNCHESTOWN
215 - Il Fenomeno WINNER 15/8
245 - Jack Cool
315 - Akatara
345 - Blazing Beacon
415 - Roi du Mee WINNER 11/4
445 - City of Doral 4TH
KEMPTON
520 - BYRD IN HAND
550 - House Limit
620 - Graser WINNER 7/2
650 - Rockme Cockney
720 - More Than Words
750 - Bountiful Catch
820 - Fanny May
850 - BLUE COSSACK WINNER 9/2
ADVISED BETS PROFIT 1pt SR 20%
TOTAL PROFIT 3.67pts SR 24.2%
Have a good day, good luck and happy punting.
Remember advised bets in bold are 2pts and outside bets 1pt.
BRIGHTON
230 - Asaid 2ND
300 - Penang Cinta WINNER 10/1
330 - FIRESTARTER (NAP) 3RD
400 - AD VITAM
430 - Timpanist
500 - EVEN BOLDER
UTTOXETER
210 - Toretto WINNER 2/1
240 - Gemini Jim
310 - Hever Road 2ND
340 - Paddy the Hare WINNER 6/4
410 - Arisea 3RD
440 - Golden Dream
510 - Back to Paris
WINCANTON
220 - Tigger 3RD
250 - Sadlers Star WINNER 9/4
320 - Bathwick Scanno
350 - El Diego 2ND
420 - Dance with the Devil 3RD
450 - Freedom Flyer 2ND
PUNCHESTOWN
215 - Il Fenomeno WINNER 15/8
245 - Jack Cool
315 - Akatara
345 - Blazing Beacon
415 - Roi du Mee WINNER 11/4
445 - City of Doral 4TH
KEMPTON
520 - BYRD IN HAND
550 - House Limit
620 - Graser WINNER 7/2
650 - Rockme Cockney
720 - More Than Words
750 - Bountiful Catch
820 - Fanny May
850 - BLUE COSSACK WINNER 9/2
ADVISED BETS PROFIT 1pt SR 20%
TOTAL PROFIT 3.67pts SR 24.2%
Have a good day, good luck and happy punting.
Wednesday 12th October - Another step forward
I learnt a bit more yesterday, but results on the whole were positive, so we will keep the same assault tactics today in our bid to get the bookies cowering for cover.
Remember BOLD selections are 2pt and advised bets, while the others are 1pt and speculative bets.
KEMPTON
540 - TUDOR PRINCE (NAP) / Princess Willow
610 - Fine Style
640 - Mr Knightly WINNER EVS
710 - Khudala
740 - Graphic
810 - BEAT ROUTE
840 - Mons Calpe WINNER 13/2
910 - Tenanacy
LINGFIELD
200 - Good Morning Star
230 - Whisky Junction
300 - DESERT ICON
335 - Oblitereight
405 - George Guru WINNER 11/1 / Ferrucio
440 - L'Hirondelle
510 - Suzi's a Class Act
545 - CONDUCTING
NOTTINGHAM
140 - Blanc De Chine
210 - Showboating
240 - GRIFFIN POINT / Bouncy Bouncy
315 - Fattsota
345 - Silver Blossom
420 - Sunley Pride
450 - Spunky
520 - One By The Nose
PUNCHESTOWNS
215 - Hollymount King
245 - Dingle Bay
320 - Chaperoned
350 - Akiem
425 - First Impressions
455 - Got Attitude / Hattons Wood
525 - Chasing Shadows
WETHERBY
220 - Memorabilia
250 - Archies Wish
325 - TEENAGE IDOL / Kings Counsel / Sharadiyn
355 - Horseshoe Reef
430 - Bunratty
500 - Blenheim Brook
530 - Strong Knight
600 - Amtired WINNER 8/11
Loss on Day -17.78pts
Loss in October -145.66pts
SR ADV TODAY = 0%
SR ADV OCOTOBER = 21.4%
SR TOTAL TODAY = 8.8%
SR TOTAL OCTOBER = 11.3%
Good luck and Happy Punting, and maybe now on day 3 we will get to listen to commentators talking about the horses and races rather than a long thin implement. No bans yesterday and the racing was very positive so I think there is light on the horizon. Maybe the Jockeys and BHA can now work together to revise the penalty system, as that for me is the only issue.
GOLF
My bets this week are :
Portugal
L. Slattery
B. Wiesberger
McGladrey Classic
J. Rollins
B. Crane
NFL bets will be studied tonight, and maybe blogged either tonight or tomorrow.
Remember BOLD selections are 2pt and advised bets, while the others are 1pt and speculative bets.
KEMPTON
540 - TUDOR PRINCE (NAP) / Princess Willow
610 - Fine Style
640 - Mr Knightly WINNER EVS
710 - Khudala
740 - Graphic
810 - BEAT ROUTE
840 - Mons Calpe WINNER 13/2
910 - Tenanacy
LINGFIELD
200 - Good Morning Star
230 - Whisky Junction
300 - DESERT ICON
335 - Oblitereight
405 - George Guru WINNER 11/1 / Ferrucio
440 - L'Hirondelle
510 - Suzi's a Class Act
545 - CONDUCTING
NOTTINGHAM
140 - Blanc De Chine
210 - Showboating
240 - GRIFFIN POINT / Bouncy Bouncy
315 - Fattsota
345 - Silver Blossom
420 - Sunley Pride
450 - Spunky
520 - One By The Nose
PUNCHESTOWNS
215 - Hollymount King
245 - Dingle Bay
320 - Chaperoned
350 - Akiem
425 - First Impressions
455 - Got Attitude / Hattons Wood
525 - Chasing Shadows
WETHERBY
220 - Memorabilia
250 - Archies Wish
325 - TEENAGE IDOL / Kings Counsel / Sharadiyn
355 - Horseshoe Reef
430 - Bunratty
500 - Blenheim Brook
530 - Strong Knight
600 - Amtired WINNER 8/11
Loss on Day -17.78pts
Loss in October -145.66pts
SR ADV TODAY = 0%
SR ADV OCOTOBER = 21.4%
SR TOTAL TODAY = 8.8%
SR TOTAL OCTOBER = 11.3%
Good luck and Happy Punting, and maybe now on day 3 we will get to listen to commentators talking about the horses and races rather than a long thin implement. No bans yesterday and the racing was very positive so I think there is light on the horizon. Maybe the Jockeys and BHA can now work together to revise the penalty system, as that for me is the only issue.
GOLF
My bets this week are :
Portugal
L. Slattery
B. Wiesberger
McGladrey Classic
J. Rollins
B. Crane
NFL bets will be studied tonight, and maybe blogged either tonight or tomorrow.
Tuesday, 11 October 2011
Tuesday 11th October - No talk of the "w" word here today.
It's time now we concentrated on the horses, and how are they going to win. Due to my lack of equine experience all my views have been centred on change of rule rather than the specifics of the rule itself, done.
Yesterday was VERY VERY tough, luckily for me some trainers decided to removed my selections from the races so as to ensure I got a little something back from mr Bookie come the end of the day! Today I'm going to try something a little different, I am going to bet in every race! I am well aware that is the first step on the rickety road to the poor house, but there is lots of learning and relearning that needs to take place in this time of change. Now my smaller bets will be considerably smaller and I still have 8 that I want to get a piece of today, they will be in bold and for settlement purposes will be counted as 2pt bets with rest at 1pt bets.
Todays NAP
Beckermet 400 Newcastle
Been very consistent this year and tends to do his best running when a bit of mud underfoot. I'm not usually one for back to back handicap win attempts but lots of things will suit, he gives back a little weight to the 2nd and 3rd from last months Ayr win (2lb and 3lb) respectively, but there was over 2 lenths back to Northern Bolt(3rd) that day so weighting doesn't seem unfair. This is a slightly tougher race than last time on figures but not as tough as some he has placed in, one small issue is that he does tend to need to be stoked up early and PJ will have to be astute to that with the new whip rules.
HUNTINGDON
210 - CRAVAT WINNER 11/4
240 - FLYING PHOENIX 3RD
310 - Mokbil 5th looks like should come on for run
340 - Royal Defence 3rd
410 - I was on Sure Route but already NR so no bet
440 - Mysterious Man
510 - Andrea Bellevica
540 - TRANSFER
LEICESTER
220 - Dear Maurice 4th but in touch when hit the last
250 - WALLS WAY fell 2 from home when disputing second
320 - BEDOUIN BAY WINNER 3/1
350 - Natural Action fell
420 - Saf Investment
450 - Violets Bay 2nd
NEWCASTLE
200 - Thought Worthy WINNER 6/1
230 - Highgrove Welshlady 3rd
300 - Supreme Luxury
330 - BENNY THE BEAR
400 - BECKERMET (NAP) on wrong side for pace, but only second home in group
430 - FLAMES OF THE FOREST WINNER 9/2
500 - Riptide
530 - Eila Wheeler
TOTAL PLACED 29pts TOTAL RETURNS 33.5pts
ADVISED BETS 16pts RETURNS 26.5pts
PROFIT OCTOBER -127.88pts
SR TODAY = 19%
SR ADV BETS ONLY = 37.5%
SR OCTOBER = 12.3%
By all means If you like one of my smaller bets then go for it as you normally would.
Good luck with whatever you do, and hopefully we can find some winners today.
FOOTBALL
Firstly I am throwing up a double discussed last night on twitter with William Kedjani, a fellow blogger and sports enthusiast. Check him out on twitter @keejayOV or check out keejayov.blogspot.com
Wales to beat Bulgaria
Holland HT/FT v Sweden
Now i will turn that into 2 trebles
1 with Draw Germany v Belgium
1 with Draw France v Bosnia
and why not make a 4fold just for fun.
Yesterday was VERY VERY tough, luckily for me some trainers decided to removed my selections from the races so as to ensure I got a little something back from mr Bookie come the end of the day! Today I'm going to try something a little different, I am going to bet in every race! I am well aware that is the first step on the rickety road to the poor house, but there is lots of learning and relearning that needs to take place in this time of change. Now my smaller bets will be considerably smaller and I still have 8 that I want to get a piece of today, they will be in bold and for settlement purposes will be counted as 2pt bets with rest at 1pt bets.
Todays NAP
Beckermet 400 Newcastle
Been very consistent this year and tends to do his best running when a bit of mud underfoot. I'm not usually one for back to back handicap win attempts but lots of things will suit, he gives back a little weight to the 2nd and 3rd from last months Ayr win (2lb and 3lb) respectively, but there was over 2 lenths back to Northern Bolt(3rd) that day so weighting doesn't seem unfair. This is a slightly tougher race than last time on figures but not as tough as some he has placed in, one small issue is that he does tend to need to be stoked up early and PJ will have to be astute to that with the new whip rules.
HUNTINGDON
210 - CRAVAT WINNER 11/4
240 - FLYING PHOENIX 3RD
310 - Mokbil 5th looks like should come on for run
340 - Royal Defence 3rd
410 - I was on Sure Route but already NR so no bet
440 - Mysterious Man
510 - Andrea Bellevica
540 - TRANSFER
LEICESTER
220 - Dear Maurice 4th but in touch when hit the last
250 - WALLS WAY fell 2 from home when disputing second
320 - BEDOUIN BAY WINNER 3/1
350 - Natural Action fell
420 - Saf Investment
450 - Violets Bay 2nd
NEWCASTLE
200 - Thought Worthy WINNER 6/1
230 - Highgrove Welshlady 3rd
300 - Supreme Luxury
330 - BENNY THE BEAR
400 - BECKERMET (NAP) on wrong side for pace, but only second home in group
430 - FLAMES OF THE FOREST WINNER 9/2
500 - Riptide
530 - Eila Wheeler
TOTAL PLACED 29pts TOTAL RETURNS 33.5pts
ADVISED BETS 16pts RETURNS 26.5pts
PROFIT OCTOBER -127.88pts
SR TODAY = 19%
SR ADV BETS ONLY = 37.5%
SR OCTOBER = 12.3%
By all means If you like one of my smaller bets then go for it as you normally would.
Good luck with whatever you do, and hopefully we can find some winners today.
FOOTBALL
Firstly I am throwing up a double discussed last night on twitter with William Kedjani, a fellow blogger and sports enthusiast. Check him out on twitter @keejayOV or check out keejayov.blogspot.com
Wales to beat Bulgaria
Holland HT/FT v Sweden
Now i will turn that into 2 trebles
1 with Draw Germany v Belgium
1 with Draw France v Bosnia
and why not make a 4fold just for fun.
Sunday, 9 October 2011
Monday 10th October - A new era
Is the whip rule going to really make that much difference? I know it creates safety issues if horses struggle to maintain their path but other than that, I know sometimes a horse needs a hurry up. At least the rules are there in black and white, I think maybe they could have made some balance for distance as it were. As it stands and this may be slightly off, in a 5f sprint they can hit the horse every 150yrds approx, but in the Grand National they can only hit it every 4.5 furlongs! Bit odd!
Anyway I don't train, own or ride horse, I just bet on them and effectively rule changes make my life more intriguing.
Todays selections.
SALISBURY
220 - INTRANSIGENT
325 - CAPE CROSSING NR
400 - ANNES ROCKEY 2nd
500 - MINIS DESTINATION
530 - SPICE FAIR 3rd
WINDSOR
305 - BERMONDSEY BOB
335 - BREAKING THE BANK NR
440 - GRUMETI NR
510 - LITTLE JAZZ
YARMOUTH
210 - TEDS BROTHER NR
315 - IVORY SILK
345 - MAZE
450 - PETSAS PLEASURE (NAP) 3rd
520 - SIMPLE RHYTHM NR
TOTAL PLACED 14pts TOTAL RETURNS 5pts
PROFIT OCTOBER -132.38pts
SR TODAY = 0%
SR OCTOBER = 10.8%
Good luck and Happy Punting
Housekeeping will be caught up ASAP
Strike Rate improved slightly after 2 winners yesterday.
Anyway I don't train, own or ride horse, I just bet on them and effectively rule changes make my life more intriguing.
Todays selections.
SALISBURY
220 - INTRANSIGENT
325 - CAPE CROSSING NR
400 - ANNES ROCKEY 2nd
500 - MINIS DESTINATION
530 - SPICE FAIR 3rd
WINDSOR
305 - BERMONDSEY BOB
335 - BREAKING THE BANK NR
440 - GRUMETI NR
510 - LITTLE JAZZ
YARMOUTH
210 - TEDS BROTHER NR
315 - IVORY SILK
345 - MAZE
450 - PETSAS PLEASURE (NAP) 3rd
520 - SIMPLE RHYTHM NR
TOTAL PLACED 14pts TOTAL RETURNS 5pts
PROFIT OCTOBER -132.38pts
SR TODAY = 0%
SR OCTOBER = 10.8%
Good luck and Happy Punting
Housekeeping will be caught up ASAP
Strike Rate improved slightly after 2 winners yesterday.
Sunday 9th October - Yesterday was tough
Yesterday was very difficult, We landed 4 seconds, which were all beaten by very good rides, most notably Kevin Manning on Parish Hall and Frankie on Never Can Tell. If not for those we would have made huge profit, but instead a little loss. I've been putting up each ways, and although the blog made a profit the other day, it could have made more with straight win bets. So from now on we are doing 1pt wins. Each way doesn't pay. After all, we are looking for winners at the end of the day, aren't we?
GOODWOOD
235 CORPORAL MADDOX
310 POETIC LORD WINNER 11/4
515 MY SON MAX
550 PANDORICA
FFOS LAS
250 SCHUMPTERS LAD
350 LIBERATE NR
500 MANADAM WINNER 9/2
CURRAGH
315 SUNSET BEAUTY 4th
345 MORACHE MUSIC
415 KALANN
520 WHAT A CHARM
TOTAL PLACED 11pts TOTAL RETURNS 10.25pts
PROFIT OCTOBER -123.38pts
SR TODAY = 20%
SR OCTOBER = 12%
Happy Punting and Good luck, remember to have a look at my NFL tips. I'll repost them on twitter now as well.
GOODWOOD
235 CORPORAL MADDOX
310 POETIC LORD WINNER 11/4
515 MY SON MAX
550 PANDORICA
FFOS LAS
250 SCHUMPTERS LAD
350 LIBERATE NR
500 MANADAM WINNER 9/2
CURRAGH
315 SUNSET BEAUTY 4th
345 MORACHE MUSIC
415 KALANN
520 WHAT A CHARM
TOTAL PLACED 11pts TOTAL RETURNS 10.25pts
PROFIT OCTOBER -123.38pts
SR TODAY = 20%
SR OCTOBER = 12%
Happy Punting and Good luck, remember to have a look at my NFL tips. I'll repost them on twitter now as well.
Friday, 7 October 2011
Saturday 8th October - It's Saturday again
Where has the last week gone? Right, I have to be quick as usual on a Saturday. So no frills, no spills, just selections, 1pt win, o.5ptE/w if stated. I'll catch up the housekeeping tomorrow but profit was made yesterday.
NEWMARKET
205 STRONG SUIT WINNER 13/8
235 LILBOURNE LAD (E) 2nd
310 POWER 2nd
350 ERMYN LODGE (E) 2nd
425 REGAL REALM
500 MOON PEARL (E)
535 BUBBLE CHIC WINNER 9/2
YORK
220 HAAJES
250 WEAPON OF CHOICE 2nd
325 DESERT GAZELLE
440 BEAT THE SHOWER
515 ANTIGUA SUNRISE + MUNSARIM(E)
WOLVERHAMPTON
530 PERLACHY
600 BALTIC FLYER
700 LITHOGRAPH
CHEPSTOW
445 JUBAIL
550 TEMPLER
HEXHAM
315 STAGECOACH AMBER
TOTAL PLACED 19pts TOTAL RETURNS 12.12pts
PROFIT OCTOBER -122.63pts
SR TODAY = 10.5%
SR OCTOBER = 10.9%
FOOTIE
The Treble has been upgraded into a four fold for 1 week only as tougher to find value with less games.
COLCHESTER
SHEFFIELD WEDS
SHREWSBURY
OXFORD
TOMORROWS RUGBY DOUBLE
New Zealand -27pts
South Africa
NEWMARKET
205 STRONG SUIT WINNER 13/8
235 LILBOURNE LAD (E) 2nd
310 POWER 2nd
350 ERMYN LODGE (E) 2nd
425 REGAL REALM
500 MOON PEARL (E)
535 BUBBLE CHIC WINNER 9/2
YORK
220 HAAJES
250 WEAPON OF CHOICE 2nd
325 DESERT GAZELLE
440 BEAT THE SHOWER
515 ANTIGUA SUNRISE + MUNSARIM(E)
WOLVERHAMPTON
530 PERLACHY
600 BALTIC FLYER
700 LITHOGRAPH
CHEPSTOW
445 JUBAIL
550 TEMPLER
HEXHAM
315 STAGECOACH AMBER
TOTAL PLACED 19pts TOTAL RETURNS 12.12pts
PROFIT OCTOBER -122.63pts
SR TODAY = 10.5%
SR OCTOBER = 10.9%
FOOTIE
The Treble has been upgraded into a four fold for 1 week only as tougher to find value with less games.
COLCHESTER
SHEFFIELD WEDS
SHREWSBURY
OXFORD
TOMORROWS RUGBY DOUBLE
New Zealand -27pts
South Africa
Friday 7th October - Wolverhampton and York with a squeak of Dundalk
Sorry NH fans, I just can't seem to get into it yet, I like 'em, back 'em, they lose, I like 'em, don't back 'em, they win. Thus far I shall allow the season to kick in before I start putting down any money, although the car at Chepstow will probably test my willpower tomorrow. All bets are 1pt win or 0.5pt E/w if adv. I have had a little play at the placepots and I will tell you how I've staked but due to the nature of placepots they are more for entertainment/interest and shall not be included in profit or strike rate stats.
YORK
200 - JESSIES SPIRIT (E/w) 4th 16/1 / PASSIONADA
JS is pretty unexposed and dropped 3lb after a big field nursery where she found a lot of trouble. Well worth an Each way play today if she gets a run, Passionada interests me as the champ turns up here purely to ride her before heading off to Wolverhampton for the evening. She was only beaten a head by a long odds on shot on debut before heading home herself next time, despite hanging in the final furlong. Hanaghan should keep her straight and she looks game enough to land an event like this.
230 - no bet but 3 pp selections
Jet Away winner- Good second last time out at big weight after long break, signs of more to come.
Dangerous Midge - blinkers back on today back hasn't shown best foot since landing Breeders Cup prize, if he finds that form he wins at a canter
Treasury Devil - Not seen for about 5 months since coming 3rd in higher class race, top yard won't have placed him here for nothing.
305 - ARABIAN SPIRIT (E/w)
Not won this year but well treated for that and showed signs of coming back to best when 4th last time out. Has solid Each way claims in what looks a very open contest.
340 - PEARL SECRET (E/w) WINNER 9/2 / LISIERE
PS is one I've put up before without him running, booking of Jamie Spencer speaks volumes of his chances and on prospective a double figure price is too big. Lisiere looked like she needed the run when a long way behind Kevin Ryan's Peashooter on debut. She probably deserves to be favourite on known form and has every chance to land the spoils. The other 2 newcomers in the race will provide interest and Byronic Hero looks to have a sniff back on firmer ground.
415 - SPES NOSTRA (E/w)
Well drawn, showed promise at the trip last time, despite slow race and finding plenty of problems, when finishing a close 4th. This looks a tougher ask but without the trouble he may have won and found himself with a few more pounds for this. Massive E/w claims in another open race.
450 - SCRUPUL (E/w) 2ND 9/1 / LINKABLE
Luca Cumani's record with 2yo's puts me off Scrupul a little but at a big price he is worth a crack. Stepped up in trip which should suit on breeding, just has to take to the racecourse at second attempt as something looked wrong on debut, Linkable is dropped in grade here after a promising debut effort.
520 - TRIP THE LIGHT (E/w) WINNER 9/1
I'll tell you the truth, I narrowed this down to 10 of 14, then just thought it's an apprentice handicap, I looked at adjusted ratings and C&D form and this one ticked the boxes so I stuck it in, in seriousness though he has each way claims at a big price.
WOLVERHAMPTON
540 - TIABLO NR / YEOMAN OF THE GUARD
Initially I had just picked Tiablo, ran on well here on debut despite being off the bridle very early, he was kept up to the job and finished a never nearer 4th, he is entitled to come on with the step on in trip and worth a play. I cannot however ignore Yeoman of the Guard, it appears that Mr Hanagan is sidestepping the entire York card to ensure he is here for this ride. There is some all weather form to be found down his bloodline but that barely goes over a 10-15% SR, has had stalls problems and that needs to be rectified here also. The 13/8 with Coral is backable but I'd imagine this will shorten dramatically in price and I'd suggest taking your money back as soon as he hits around 11/10-even money just in case.
610 - PATHFINDER (E/w)
This could be a sneaky one really, bare form suggests that he is out of his depth, but you have to look a lot closer with the 2yo's and his AW debut was very promising, never really got going in a large field race on turf hence the 0, sent back here after a decnet break and worth a little E/w play, although the number of non runners has slightly diminished my belief, I'm sticking to my guns.
640 - GLOBAL VILLAGE (Nb) WINNER 6/4
Ran on well for pressure on return to racecourse after a break, should come on for that and jockey booking is a positive as SDS will be looking for winners to compensate upcoming ban.
715 - SUPERCHARGED (NAP)
Best bet of the day for me. She is well drawn, unexposed and despite the fact that she has only won once, that success was here at Wolverhampton.
745 - I had cotton king, which is now non runner, I have put in unnamed fav on placepot, which looks most likely to be P.Hanagan's mount Lemon Drop Red.
815 - MEANWHILE (E/w)
One of only two course winners in the field, has not been disgraced by bare form turf figures and is well in at the weights now given another go on the polytrack.
915 - HILL TRIBE (E/w)
She let me down last Saturday when she was my NAP, but I am going in again, there isn't a huge amount to worry me here and I think she can bounce back from her last run to continue her improvement today.
DUNDALK
830 - MOUNT ABORA
Won here last Friday and she is taken to follow up despite the 7lb raise.
TOTAL PLACED 17PTS TOTAL RETURN 17.5PTS
PROFIT OCTOBER -115.75pts
SR TODAY = 17%
SR OCTOBER = 11%
Placepot stakes
York 24x0.5pt lines = 12pts
Wolves 2x2.5pt lines = 5pts
FOOTBALL
a little treble for tonight
ROMANIA
GERMANY
WALES
Rugby for the morning
England and Ireland to win
Eng/Fra under 37ps, Ire/Wal over 39pts
F1
Fastest Qualifier
Jensen Button has to be an E/w with Blue Sq offering a standout 14/1 with 3 places, he can be found 6/1 2 places elsewhere.
Race winner
Japan often sees one sneak in from down the field and I'd be happy backing both Mercedes cars (Rosberg/Schumacher) E/w at 100/1 3 places found at Blue Sq, BetFred and Stan James
Good luck and Happy Punting
YORK
200 - JESSIES SPIRIT (E/w) 4th 16/1 / PASSIONADA
JS is pretty unexposed and dropped 3lb after a big field nursery where she found a lot of trouble. Well worth an Each way play today if she gets a run, Passionada interests me as the champ turns up here purely to ride her before heading off to Wolverhampton for the evening. She was only beaten a head by a long odds on shot on debut before heading home herself next time, despite hanging in the final furlong. Hanaghan should keep her straight and she looks game enough to land an event like this.
230 - no bet but 3 pp selections
Jet Away winner- Good second last time out at big weight after long break, signs of more to come.
Dangerous Midge - blinkers back on today back hasn't shown best foot since landing Breeders Cup prize, if he finds that form he wins at a canter
Treasury Devil - Not seen for about 5 months since coming 3rd in higher class race, top yard won't have placed him here for nothing.
305 - ARABIAN SPIRIT (E/w)
Not won this year but well treated for that and showed signs of coming back to best when 4th last time out. Has solid Each way claims in what looks a very open contest.
340 - PEARL SECRET (E/w) WINNER 9/2 / LISIERE
PS is one I've put up before without him running, booking of Jamie Spencer speaks volumes of his chances and on prospective a double figure price is too big. Lisiere looked like she needed the run when a long way behind Kevin Ryan's Peashooter on debut. She probably deserves to be favourite on known form and has every chance to land the spoils. The other 2 newcomers in the race will provide interest and Byronic Hero looks to have a sniff back on firmer ground.
415 - SPES NOSTRA (E/w)
Well drawn, showed promise at the trip last time, despite slow race and finding plenty of problems, when finishing a close 4th. This looks a tougher ask but without the trouble he may have won and found himself with a few more pounds for this. Massive E/w claims in another open race.
450 - SCRUPUL (E/w) 2ND 9/1 / LINKABLE
Luca Cumani's record with 2yo's puts me off Scrupul a little but at a big price he is worth a crack. Stepped up in trip which should suit on breeding, just has to take to the racecourse at second attempt as something looked wrong on debut, Linkable is dropped in grade here after a promising debut effort.
520 - TRIP THE LIGHT (E/w) WINNER 9/1
I'll tell you the truth, I narrowed this down to 10 of 14, then just thought it's an apprentice handicap, I looked at adjusted ratings and C&D form and this one ticked the boxes so I stuck it in, in seriousness though he has each way claims at a big price.
WOLVERHAMPTON
540 - TIABLO NR / YEOMAN OF THE GUARD
Initially I had just picked Tiablo, ran on well here on debut despite being off the bridle very early, he was kept up to the job and finished a never nearer 4th, he is entitled to come on with the step on in trip and worth a play. I cannot however ignore Yeoman of the Guard, it appears that Mr Hanagan is sidestepping the entire York card to ensure he is here for this ride. There is some all weather form to be found down his bloodline but that barely goes over a 10-15% SR, has had stalls problems and that needs to be rectified here also. The 13/8 with Coral is backable but I'd imagine this will shorten dramatically in price and I'd suggest taking your money back as soon as he hits around 11/10-even money just in case.
610 - PATHFINDER (E/w)
This could be a sneaky one really, bare form suggests that he is out of his depth, but you have to look a lot closer with the 2yo's and his AW debut was very promising, never really got going in a large field race on turf hence the 0, sent back here after a decnet break and worth a little E/w play, although the number of non runners has slightly diminished my belief, I'm sticking to my guns.
640 - GLOBAL VILLAGE (Nb) WINNER 6/4
Ran on well for pressure on return to racecourse after a break, should come on for that and jockey booking is a positive as SDS will be looking for winners to compensate upcoming ban.
715 - SUPERCHARGED (NAP)
Best bet of the day for me. She is well drawn, unexposed and despite the fact that she has only won once, that success was here at Wolverhampton.
745 - I had cotton king, which is now non runner, I have put in unnamed fav on placepot, which looks most likely to be P.Hanagan's mount Lemon Drop Red.
815 - MEANWHILE (E/w)
One of only two course winners in the field, has not been disgraced by bare form turf figures and is well in at the weights now given another go on the polytrack.
915 - HILL TRIBE (E/w)
She let me down last Saturday when she was my NAP, but I am going in again, there isn't a huge amount to worry me here and I think she can bounce back from her last run to continue her improvement today.
DUNDALK
830 - MOUNT ABORA
Won here last Friday and she is taken to follow up despite the 7lb raise.
TOTAL PLACED 17PTS TOTAL RETURN 17.5PTS
PROFIT OCTOBER -115.75pts
SR TODAY = 17%
SR OCTOBER = 11%
Placepot stakes
York 24x0.5pt lines = 12pts
Wolves 2x2.5pt lines = 5pts
FOOTBALL
a little treble for tonight
ROMANIA
GERMANY
WALES
Rugby for the morning
England and Ireland to win
Eng/Fra under 37ps, Ire/Wal over 39pts
F1
Fastest Qualifier
Jensen Button has to be an E/w with Blue Sq offering a standout 14/1 with 3 places, he can be found 6/1 2 places elsewhere.
Race winner
Japan often sees one sneak in from down the field and I'd be happy backing both Mercedes cars (Rosberg/Schumacher) E/w at 100/1 3 places found at Blue Sq, BetFred and Stan James
Good luck and Happy Punting
Thursday, 6 October 2011
NFL Week 5
4 weeks have gone past, where I haven't really had the information available to me to translate into considerable tips, but now my internet is connected, my PC is back from the repair shop and I'm ready to roll.
I'll start with the Handicap markets.
Firstly my Bankers.
Detroit -5.5 home to Chicago. win
Tough one to call as Det have only played at home once and the Bears only once away, but on those matches the balance for Detroit is far greater than the 5.5pts on offer and they are my Hcap NAP for this week.
Denver +4.5 home to SanDiego lose
I actually believe Denver may win this outright so a headstart of 4.5pts is cracking value. Both of Denvers home games so far have been tight affairs decided by less than a field goal so trends suggest that even defeat should see us land this handicap.
New York Giants -9.5 home to Seattle lose
Seattle have travelled very poorly so far, suffering defeats by 16 and 24points respectively. The Giants only home game so far saw them comfortable winners versus the Rams. Therefore I think the 9.5 points is too small a headstart and would have fancied the Giants at around 14-15 points so they make up my banker treble.
2point treble
then split bankers into 3x1pt trebles all hcaps
Detroit -5.5, Indianapolis -1.5, Atlanta +5.5
Denver +4.5, Cincinatti +2.5, Arizona +2.5
New York Giants -9.5, New England -8.5, Carolina +6.5
My other favourite market is the total points market, I prefer doing overs as your bet has the potential to stay alive for longer. I will be doing a 3pt 4-fold on overs and a 1pt treble on unders.
Overs
Philadelphia @ Buffalo Over 49.5 win
New York Jets @ New England Over 48.5 win
Tampa Bay @ San Francisco Over 41 win
Kansas @ Indianapolis Over 38.5 win
Unders
Tennessee @ Pittsburgh Under 39.5
New Orleans @ Carolina Under 52
Arizona @ Minnesota Under 45.5
Finally my final 1pt to make a total of 10 staked will go on a conjective Acca with some outsiders I think could win outright.
Denver 7/4
Atlanta 11/5
Cincinatti 23/20
Carolina 5/2
Prices taken from William Hill.com as pays best acca of around 65/1.
Good luck all.
I'll start with the Handicap markets.
Firstly my Bankers.
Detroit -5.5 home to Chicago. win
Tough one to call as Det have only played at home once and the Bears only once away, but on those matches the balance for Detroit is far greater than the 5.5pts on offer and they are my Hcap NAP for this week.
Denver +4.5 home to SanDiego lose
I actually believe Denver may win this outright so a headstart of 4.5pts is cracking value. Both of Denvers home games so far have been tight affairs decided by less than a field goal so trends suggest that even defeat should see us land this handicap.
New York Giants -9.5 home to Seattle lose
Seattle have travelled very poorly so far, suffering defeats by 16 and 24points respectively. The Giants only home game so far saw them comfortable winners versus the Rams. Therefore I think the 9.5 points is too small a headstart and would have fancied the Giants at around 14-15 points so they make up my banker treble.
2point treble
then split bankers into 3x1pt trebles all hcaps
Detroit -5.5, Indianapolis -1.5, Atlanta +5.5
Denver +4.5, Cincinatti +2.5, Arizona +2.5
New York Giants -9.5, New England -8.5, Carolina +6.5
My other favourite market is the total points market, I prefer doing overs as your bet has the potential to stay alive for longer. I will be doing a 3pt 4-fold on overs and a 1pt treble on unders.
Overs
Philadelphia @ Buffalo Over 49.5 win
New York Jets @ New England Over 48.5 win
Tampa Bay @ San Francisco Over 41 win
Kansas @ Indianapolis Over 38.5 win
Unders
Tennessee @ Pittsburgh Under 39.5
New Orleans @ Carolina Under 52
Arizona @ Minnesota Under 45.5
Finally my final 1pt to make a total of 10 staked will go on a conjective Acca with some outsiders I think could win outright.
Denver 7/4
Atlanta 11/5
Cincinatti 23/20
Carolina 5/2
Prices taken from William Hill.com as pays best acca of around 65/1.
Good luck all.
Thursday 6th October - I'm liking Ayr today.
The "back to basics" worked yesterday as we recouped some lost stakes, nowhere near all of them, but some.
There are a few I fancy to have a big chance at Ayr today so I will look at them. + a couple of NH fancies, however my NH knowledge doesn't extend far past the big festivals I'm afraid. I'm keeping with the 1pt per selection. The potential winnings are less, but we tend to tick over better and the liability of loss is far diminished.
AYR
210 - JOSHUA THE FIRST
Been consistent, consistently frustrating! But he has finished in the frame on 7 of 11 starts, put in a decent run on soft ground last time, when 3rd in a competitive race. Could come up against a couple of useful sorts again today most notably the well regarded Never Perfect and Silver Blaze, who is unlucky to be a maiden after a nse 2nd last time.
240 - No bet in this for me but the winner could come from, Blue Shoes, Act your shoe size, Stormy Whatever.
310 - CHOOKIE AVON
Hopefully this will seal an early double for Dalgleish, Fanning and me! This horse loves the Soft ground and is very game in front, just got collared last time out by a game winner. Drop to 6f should be fine given underfoot conditions. Deserved favourite and can't see a lot to beat him.
340 - COOL IN THE SHADE nr
He has a 6lb penalty to overcome but should make light work of that given the nature of his win last time. The well beaten second came out and won on Tuesday. Has won gamely on Gd-Sft and given the quality of opposition the Softer ground should pose little problem. He has shown he can fight a win or scoot away. And of course another winner for the champ as he aims for back to back titles.
410 - AMAZING BLUE SKY (E/w Adv) nr
In a race where nothing can be backed to win with confidence, it pays to try and find a lively Each Way price. Ruth Carr's horses are going pretty well of late, and this one will handle Softer conditions very well. Would have to set a new career high winning mark (3lb above highest winning mark today) and has proven a bit tough to get right over the last few months, but this looks like a more suitable task today and at 14's well worth an Each Way play.
440 - No bet, most likely, Emeralds Spirit, Brockfield, Ours.
510 - MARKET PUZZLE nr
Favourite Botham was my NAP last week when he landed back to back successes, but I am taking him on here. Racheal Kneller has piloted MP to success twice over the distance on testing ground over the last six weeks. Those 2 races were Apprentice handicaps, and she takes on the pros today, I think this gelding is the best chance of taking on the favourite and should negate the 3lb rise by the fact that Rachael can take off an extra 4 against the professionals.
540 - KEYS OF CYPRUS NAP nr
Every man and his dog puts this one up in the Post this morning. It's not difficult to see why. 3 x C&D winner, 100% C&D, 60% at the course. His 2 losses here came over a longer trip in better races, incidently he finished 4th in both attempts. He seems to go well this time of year. 2 years ago he landed a couple of wins at the back end, and last year he had progressed and was competing in much better quality events than this. He has been put up 4lb for that success in a race that both the 2nd and the 9th! have come out and won next time.
My NH fancies
330 Worcester - JACKOS BOY 3rd
Been pretty inconsistent but is unexposed at this discipline on mixed chasing form. This is a very weak race and very open, jockey Harry Skelton has a profit of nearly £10 per £1 level here and this is his only ride.
245 Tramore - BELIAR 3rd
C&D winner, went well most recently over hurdles at Clonmel, gives weight away to second that day, Custodian, but should handle the ground better today.
315 Tramore - GOLAN GUY
Shrewd operator Tony Martin teams up with Ruby Walsh for an unprecedented hatrick attempt. I guess this is the equivalent of a perfect hatrick in Football, My namesake started by landing the Ulster Cesarewitch on the flat at DownRoyal, before heading to Downpatrick to land a beginner chase. Now he comes here to pick up this handicap hurdle event. Obviously all that aside, I am backing him primarily because he has my name!
Good luck all.
Total Placed 9pts Total Return 4pts
October profit(loss) -116.26
Strike Rate 8.10%
There are a few I fancy to have a big chance at Ayr today so I will look at them. + a couple of NH fancies, however my NH knowledge doesn't extend far past the big festivals I'm afraid. I'm keeping with the 1pt per selection. The potential winnings are less, but we tend to tick over better and the liability of loss is far diminished.
AYR
210 - JOSHUA THE FIRST
Been consistent, consistently frustrating! But he has finished in the frame on 7 of 11 starts, put in a decent run on soft ground last time, when 3rd in a competitive race. Could come up against a couple of useful sorts again today most notably the well regarded Never Perfect and Silver Blaze, who is unlucky to be a maiden after a nse 2nd last time.
240 - No bet in this for me but the winner could come from, Blue Shoes, Act your shoe size, Stormy Whatever.
310 - CHOOKIE AVON
Hopefully this will seal an early double for Dalgleish, Fanning and me! This horse loves the Soft ground and is very game in front, just got collared last time out by a game winner. Drop to 6f should be fine given underfoot conditions. Deserved favourite and can't see a lot to beat him.
340 - COOL IN THE SHADE nr
He has a 6lb penalty to overcome but should make light work of that given the nature of his win last time. The well beaten second came out and won on Tuesday. Has won gamely on Gd-Sft and given the quality of opposition the Softer ground should pose little problem. He has shown he can fight a win or scoot away. And of course another winner for the champ as he aims for back to back titles.
410 - AMAZING BLUE SKY (E/w Adv) nr
In a race where nothing can be backed to win with confidence, it pays to try and find a lively Each Way price. Ruth Carr's horses are going pretty well of late, and this one will handle Softer conditions very well. Would have to set a new career high winning mark (3lb above highest winning mark today) and has proven a bit tough to get right over the last few months, but this looks like a more suitable task today and at 14's well worth an Each Way play.
440 - No bet, most likely, Emeralds Spirit, Brockfield, Ours.
510 - MARKET PUZZLE nr
Favourite Botham was my NAP last week when he landed back to back successes, but I am taking him on here. Racheal Kneller has piloted MP to success twice over the distance on testing ground over the last six weeks. Those 2 races were Apprentice handicaps, and she takes on the pros today, I think this gelding is the best chance of taking on the favourite and should negate the 3lb rise by the fact that Rachael can take off an extra 4 against the professionals.
540 - KEYS OF CYPRUS NAP nr
Every man and his dog puts this one up in the Post this morning. It's not difficult to see why. 3 x C&D winner, 100% C&D, 60% at the course. His 2 losses here came over a longer trip in better races, incidently he finished 4th in both attempts. He seems to go well this time of year. 2 years ago he landed a couple of wins at the back end, and last year he had progressed and was competing in much better quality events than this. He has been put up 4lb for that success in a race that both the 2nd and the 9th! have come out and won next time.
My NH fancies
330 Worcester - JACKOS BOY 3rd
Been pretty inconsistent but is unexposed at this discipline on mixed chasing form. This is a very weak race and very open, jockey Harry Skelton has a profit of nearly £10 per £1 level here and this is his only ride.
245 Tramore - BELIAR 3rd
C&D winner, went well most recently over hurdles at Clonmel, gives weight away to second that day, Custodian, but should handle the ground better today.
315 Tramore - GOLAN GUY
Shrewd operator Tony Martin teams up with Ruby Walsh for an unprecedented hatrick attempt. I guess this is the equivalent of a perfect hatrick in Football, My namesake started by landing the Ulster Cesarewitch on the flat at DownRoyal, before heading to Downpatrick to land a beginner chase. Now he comes here to pick up this handicap hurdle event. Obviously all that aside, I am backing him primarily because he has my name!
Good luck all.
Total Placed 9pts Total Return 4pts
October profit(loss) -116.26
Strike Rate 8.10%
Tuesday, 4 October 2011
Wednesday 5th October - Back to basics
Right we are hideously paying for the bookie to have lobster dinner for a week at the moment. So I'm going back to basics. Straightforward 1pt per selection, that's it, no gimmicks. I shall do my blog housekeeping, results etc.., tonight but for now here are my 3 selections for today.
430 NOTTINGHAM - WEST END LAD 4th
505 NAVAN - TUPELO HONEY WINNER 6/1
540 KEMPTON - BEST ONE NR
Total Placed 3pts, Total Return 8pts
October : -111.26pts
SP : 9.37%
I've also had a look at the golf, heres who i shall be doing.
Madrid Masters
E. Molinari 35/1
M.Warren 75/1
Frys.com
G.Chalmers 100/1
V.Taylor 110/1
Good luck.
430 NOTTINGHAM - WEST END LAD 4th
505 NAVAN - TUPELO HONEY WINNER 6/1
540 KEMPTON - BEST ONE NR
Total Placed 3pts, Total Return 8pts
October : -111.26pts
SP : 9.37%
I've also had a look at the golf, heres who i shall be doing.
Madrid Masters
E. Molinari 35/1
M.Warren 75/1
Frys.com
G.Chalmers 100/1
V.Taylor 110/1
Good luck.
Tuesday 4th October - Today's the day
Disappointing yesterday, we won't try that again. Today I've split my 8 selections into 2 lucky 15's. I will top up with singles on each and will advise stakes as necessary.
1pt Lucky 15
300 Catterick HALF A BILLION (NAP) 10pts win
450 Southwell WATCH CHAIN 1pt E/w
500 Catterick BOGO 0.5pt E/w
520 Southwell BEECHCRAFT BARON 2pts win
0.5pt Lucky 15
320 Southwell DUNASKIN 2.5pts E/w
455 Tipperary LOCAL CELEBRITY 2pts win
510 Leicester MISTER BEN VEREEN 1pt E/w
540 Leicester MONASHEE ROCK 1pt win
Total Placed 47.5pts Total returns 0
October -116.26pts
SR 6.66%
Good luck
FOOTIE TREBLE
GILLINGHAM
OXFORD
NOTTS CTY
DARTS TREBLE
M.HYLTON
J.CAVEN
P.NICHOLSON
1pt Lucky 15
300 Catterick HALF A BILLION (NAP) 10pts win
450 Southwell WATCH CHAIN 1pt E/w
500 Catterick BOGO 0.5pt E/w
520 Southwell BEECHCRAFT BARON 2pts win
0.5pt Lucky 15
320 Southwell DUNASKIN 2.5pts E/w
455 Tipperary LOCAL CELEBRITY 2pts win
510 Leicester MISTER BEN VEREEN 1pt E/w
540 Leicester MONASHEE ROCK 1pt win
Total Placed 47.5pts Total returns 0
October -116.26pts
SR 6.66%
Good luck
FOOTIE TREBLE
GILLINGHAM
OXFORD
NOTTS CTY
DARTS TREBLE
M.HYLTON
J.CAVEN
P.NICHOLSON
Sunday, 2 October 2011
Monday 3rd October - Each Way Special
Today there is very little that tickles my fancy, and after yesterdays bout of seconditis i thought it best to back these each way. The mighty spurs proving to the trenders that North London isn't red at all generally made up for any financial damage caused.
NAP
An Each way nap? It's essentially the one I am risking the largest stake on.
FAULT 300 Windsor
Has been well raced this year to inconsistent degrees, but this his is sort of race, and he was going well this time last year, very good jockey booking, imo. He is 33% at the track and 20% over the distance. Well worth an Each way if getting a double figure price.
5pts E/w
Nb
UNCLE DERMOT 230 Windsor
He returns to scene of his only win in 13 starts but off only 2lb higher. That was a similar race to this. Has not done himself a disservice in higher grade last twice but was beaten by better horses. There are a couple of decent looking animals in here but he could quite cosily sneak into the 3 if running his race.
2.5pts E/w
1pt E/w selections
420 Warwick SHARED MOMENT nr
440 Pontefract SZABO'S DESTINY
530 Windsor MONS CALPE 3rd 25/1
I'm going to chuck them all in a 0.5pt Lucky 31 and hope for the best.
Good Luck
Total Placed 52pts
Profit October 34.25pts
Strike Rate 11.7%
NAP
An Each way nap? It's essentially the one I am risking the largest stake on.
FAULT 300 Windsor
Has been well raced this year to inconsistent degrees, but this his is sort of race, and he was going well this time last year, very good jockey booking, imo. He is 33% at the track and 20% over the distance. Well worth an Each way if getting a double figure price.
5pts E/w
Nb
UNCLE DERMOT 230 Windsor
He returns to scene of his only win in 13 starts but off only 2lb higher. That was a similar race to this. Has not done himself a disservice in higher grade last twice but was beaten by better horses. There are a couple of decent looking animals in here but he could quite cosily sneak into the 3 if running his race.
2.5pts E/w
1pt E/w selections
420 Warwick SHARED MOMENT nr
440 Pontefract SZABO'S DESTINY
530 Windsor MONS CALPE 3rd 25/1
I'm going to chuck them all in a 0.5pt Lucky 31 and hope for the best.
Good Luck
Total Placed 52pts
Profit October 34.25pts
Strike Rate 11.7%
Sunday 2nd October - It's Arc day!
After an inspiring start yesterday, we fizzled out a little. I'm pleased to say that any twitter followers who got involved in my rugby tips i posted last night have seen 2/3 go in this morning. Canada let us down by 6 points, I'd say the converted NZ try in the 80th minute may well have caused a problem there!!! Hopefully the Irsih can come through. It's currently half time with the Emerald 9-6 to the good.
It's Arc day and I'm only betting on the Abbaye and the Arc itself, there are some eyecatchers in the other races but nothing really convincing when you weigh up value.
In the Arc I'm taking 2 at each way value. (will be counted as 1pt wins for blog stat purposes.)
The first is Andre Fabre's MEANDRE, he will like the truer ground and has a terrific turn of foot, he won the Grand Prix de Paris here in July(i think, my notes aren't in front of me!) Maxime Guyon takes the ride, and connections have spent a few quid supplementing him for this race, He is overpriced at anything in double figures for me.
Secondly is TREASURE BEACH. In my opinion he is the most underated horse out there. You have to remember that only 2 horses have beaten Nathaniel on a racecourse, the other is seen as a global superstar despite the fact that TB beat him over a more suitable trip. Strange. All eyes will be on So You Think and if anything would be used as a pacemaker it would be St Nicholas in my eyes, Treasure Beach is here on merit, and will be at the front early. At prices of 28/33 out there, he is a back to lay dream and huge each way value.
The Abbaye I have to side with Robert Cowell's PROHIBIT. For me he is the most consistent sprinter this year. I like front running types Masamah and Tangerine Trees winner 14/1 but as far as I'm aware they are drawn badly? someone correct me on that if I'm wrong and I'll have a bet. I'm not 100% up on draws as yet. Margot Did, in my opinion, isn't a Group 1 horse. I know she won the Nunthorpe, but a lot of things went her way that day and this will be a lot harder. Wizz kid, in my opinion, needs mud underfoot. So that leaves Prohibit to come with his customary late run and swoop another big prize for connections.
NAP FOREVER WAINING 215 Uttoxeter 10pts unplaced (2nd of 4)
Nb GEM MILL 435 Uttoxeter 5pts 2nd
2pt Double on the pair.
Both have been very consistent in defeat and look like a win is not far off, the former is taken as Nap due to a very considerable pull in weights against a key rival.
1pt selections
KELSO
325 ITZACLICHE nr
530 GUNS AND BUTTER
HUNTINGDON
450 DARK ENERGY 2nd
UTTOXETER
510 DIDDLEY DEE 2nd
Total Placed 24pts Total returns 1pt
Tonights NFL bet
Acca on Hcaps
Seattle +4.5
Minnesota -3
Baltimore -3.5
Washington -3
It's Arc day and I'm only betting on the Abbaye and the Arc itself, there are some eyecatchers in the other races but nothing really convincing when you weigh up value.
In the Arc I'm taking 2 at each way value. (will be counted as 1pt wins for blog stat purposes.)
The first is Andre Fabre's MEANDRE, he will like the truer ground and has a terrific turn of foot, he won the Grand Prix de Paris here in July(i think, my notes aren't in front of me!) Maxime Guyon takes the ride, and connections have spent a few quid supplementing him for this race, He is overpriced at anything in double figures for me.
Secondly is TREASURE BEACH. In my opinion he is the most underated horse out there. You have to remember that only 2 horses have beaten Nathaniel on a racecourse, the other is seen as a global superstar despite the fact that TB beat him over a more suitable trip. Strange. All eyes will be on So You Think and if anything would be used as a pacemaker it would be St Nicholas in my eyes, Treasure Beach is here on merit, and will be at the front early. At prices of 28/33 out there, he is a back to lay dream and huge each way value.
The Abbaye I have to side with Robert Cowell's PROHIBIT. For me he is the most consistent sprinter this year. I like front running types Masamah and Tangerine Trees winner 14/1 but as far as I'm aware they are drawn badly? someone correct me on that if I'm wrong and I'll have a bet. I'm not 100% up on draws as yet. Margot Did, in my opinion, isn't a Group 1 horse. I know she won the Nunthorpe, but a lot of things went her way that day and this will be a lot harder. Wizz kid, in my opinion, needs mud underfoot. So that leaves Prohibit to come with his customary late run and swoop another big prize for connections.
NAP FOREVER WAINING 215 Uttoxeter 10pts unplaced (2nd of 4)
Nb GEM MILL 435 Uttoxeter 5pts 2nd
2pt Double on the pair.
Both have been very consistent in defeat and look like a win is not far off, the former is taken as Nap due to a very considerable pull in weights against a key rival.
1pt selections
KELSO
325 ITZACLICHE nr
530 GUNS AND BUTTER
HUNTINGDON
450 DARK ENERGY 2nd
UTTOXETER
510 DIDDLEY DEE 2nd
Total Placed 24pts Total returns 1pt
Tonights NFL bet
Acca on Hcaps
Seattle +4.5
Minnesota -3
Baltimore -3.5
Washington -3
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