It's time now we concentrated on the horses, and how are they going to win. Due to my lack of equine experience all my views have been centred on change of rule rather than the specifics of the rule itself, done.
Yesterday was VERY VERY tough, luckily for me some trainers decided to removed my selections from the races so as to ensure I got a little something back from mr Bookie come the end of the day! Today I'm going to try something a little different, I am going to bet in every race! I am well aware that is the first step on the rickety road to the poor house, but there is lots of learning and relearning that needs to take place in this time of change. Now my smaller bets will be considerably smaller and I still have 8 that I want to get a piece of today, they will be in bold and for settlement purposes will be counted as 2pt bets with rest at 1pt bets.
Todays NAP
Beckermet 400 Newcastle
Been very consistent this year and tends to do his best running when a bit of mud underfoot. I'm not usually one for back to back handicap win attempts but lots of things will suit, he gives back a little weight to the 2nd and 3rd from last months Ayr win (2lb and 3lb) respectively, but there was over 2 lenths back to Northern Bolt(3rd) that day so weighting doesn't seem unfair. This is a slightly tougher race than last time on figures but not as tough as some he has placed in, one small issue is that he does tend to need to be stoked up early and PJ will have to be astute to that with the new whip rules.
HUNTINGDON
210 - CRAVAT WINNER 11/4
240 - FLYING PHOENIX 3RD
310 - Mokbil 5th looks like should come on for run
340 - Royal Defence 3rd
410 - I was on Sure Route but already NR so no bet
440 - Mysterious Man
510 - Andrea Bellevica
540 - TRANSFER
LEICESTER
220 - Dear Maurice 4th but in touch when hit the last
250 - WALLS WAY fell 2 from home when disputing second
320 - BEDOUIN BAY WINNER 3/1
350 - Natural Action fell
420 - Saf Investment
450 - Violets Bay 2nd
NEWCASTLE
200 - Thought Worthy WINNER 6/1
230 - Highgrove Welshlady 3rd
300 - Supreme Luxury
330 - BENNY THE BEAR
400 - BECKERMET (NAP) on wrong side for pace, but only second home in group
430 - FLAMES OF THE FOREST WINNER 9/2
500 - Riptide
530 - Eila Wheeler
TOTAL PLACED 29pts TOTAL RETURNS 33.5pts
ADVISED BETS 16pts RETURNS 26.5pts
PROFIT OCTOBER -127.88pts
SR TODAY = 19%
SR ADV BETS ONLY = 37.5%
SR OCTOBER = 12.3%
By all means If you like one of my smaller bets then go for it as you normally would.
Good luck with whatever you do, and hopefully we can find some winners today.
FOOTBALL
Firstly I am throwing up a double discussed last night on twitter with William Kedjani, a fellow blogger and sports enthusiast. Check him out on twitter @keejayOV or check out keejayov.blogspot.com
Wales to beat Bulgaria
Holland HT/FT v Sweden
Now i will turn that into 2 trebles
1 with Draw Germany v Belgium
1 with Draw France v Bosnia
and why not make a 4fold just for fun.
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