Thursday, 20 October 2011

Thursday 20th October - Winners

A scorching day yesterday saw nearly 50 points returned in my favour, and today will be hard going again but hopefully we can pick up one or two, I was gutted with the start made by Finalist in the Kempton opener yesterday, but he is one to certainly take from the race, he stayed on like a TGV and made up about 10 lengths in the final 2 furlongs, he enjoys the polytrack and will most likely get to run off the same mark next time out. If connections are savvy they will put him back out on the all weather soon and we can cash in as bare form shows 3375, but he was green on debut, came up against a couple of useful sorts on poly next time, raised 3 grades for third start and seriously outclassed, missed break last night. I would be lumping on next time, and with my knowledge of markets I'd expect him to be around 12-14/1.
Sivola de Sivola is todays NAP and hopefully number 6 in the winning streak. He comes up as a 10pt bet but ran very well last time, has a 7lb penalty, for a win in this code, to overcome so could be vulnerable to a couple less exposed, but anywhere near his race last time should be enough for this, and projected improvement would make light of the penalty.

CARLISLE


150 - SIVOLA DE SIVOLA (NAP) 10PTS WINNER 11/10
220 - Double Ross
255 - Cloonawillin Lady
325 - Ring Bo Ree
355 - Horsham Lad WINNER 11/2
430 - CREDIT SWAP
500 - Going Wrong

LUDLOW


210 - Rainy Champon
240 - That'll Do Nicely
315 - LAVA LAMP
345 - Olympian Boy NR
415 - Itzacliche
450 - Taste the Wine NR
520 - Sublime Talent WINNER 11/4

BRIGHTON


200 - Visions of Johanna
230 - Recalcitrant
305 - Infiraaj NR
335 - Avalon Bay NR
405 - Oscan WINNER 10/3
440 - SIOUXPERHERO 2ND
510 - We Have a Dream 2ND

THURLES


215 - Royal Choice
245 - Rattan
320 - Kilbane River
350 - Experimentalist
420 - Aibrean
455 - Sea of Thunder WINNER EVS
525 - Baby's Hot

WOLVERHAMPTON


540 - Courtland King
610 - HONEST STRIKE
640 - AMORALIST (Nb) WINNER 4/5
710 - Silver Alliance
740 - Katy's Secret
810 - Smalljohn
840 - GOOD AUTHORITY WINNER 8/11
910 - Titan Diamond

ADVISED BETS PROFIT 8.05pts
ADVISED BETS SR = 50%
TOTAL BETS SR = 20.3%
TOTAL BETS LOSS = 4.25pts
Good luck with these or any you choose yourself.

FOOTBALL


marseille and preston poor last night.
Tonight I am going for a Benelux special, well without the Lux.
BRUGES
ANDERLECHT
TWENTE
PSV
all to win around 10/1

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