Tuesday, 8 November 2011

Wednesday 9th Movember - My thoughts

The blog will be completely updated tonight, I promise!
I have 5 bets for you today and I'm going to give a little reason as to why, in each case, then just chuck my selections up as ever.
Southwell 100
BENGALINE - I'm taking on the favorite here, mostly on value grounds as the form is very similar. The favourite doesn't have enough come out of his second run to warrant odds on for me, whereas Bengaline, although the form is unflattering in the most, does have a twinkle on the AW, his second at the end of August has held up with the 3rd(his preferred stablemate) going out and winning next time. His last couple of runs on turf have been in a higher grade and this is surely seen as a step down to land a prize.
No Prices yet but 23/10 on Betfair

Bangor 110
OR D'OUDARIES
This gelding has put in one or two decent efforts in higher class races including when second on reappearance last time out, he faces no penalty for that and I'm taking him to go one better today.
5/1 William Hill

Bangor 210
COOL MISSION
For me this is between the 3 that have been out within the last month, this one, Pyracantha and Far More Serious. The Candlish yard are in form so I have to accept that Pyracantha is a danger, but CM and FMS met last time out and CM outlasted his rival that day. On that basis I'm putting him up with a chance.
8/1 (365 and Boyles)

Kempton 420 
DAWN STORY
This one has a huge each way chance, form says 8, reading it says it was a very hot race, producing numerous winners, including Cesarewitch runner Keys (second), others have gone on to win also and this one is a huge price if she needed that run.
20/1 Betfair

Kempton 620
FAMAGUSTA
Another big price on the Kempton AW. A decent placed effort last time out with no penalty, 2nd that day has run second again since. This should be a decent chance to get off the mark, but provided the step up in trip doesn't hurt, should be in the frame.
14/1 365

EXETER

1250 - Oscar Davy 3rd
120 - Highland Lodge WINNER 7/2
150 - Kayf Aramis
220 - Rif
250 - Easter Meteor WINNER 7/4
320 - Just Cloudy
350 - Dream Function WINNER 2/1

SOUTHWELL

100 - Bengaline
130 - Artlana
200 - Mount Mcleod 2ND
230 - Malvesi
300 - Everymanforhimself WINNER 25/1
330 - Ultimate Beat
400 - Sarahs Art

BANGOR

110 - Or D'oudaries
140 - Peddlers Cross WINNER 1/8
210 - COOL MISSION
240 - Luggers Hall
310 - Distime WINNER 4/6
340 - Ruby Valentine
410 - Saudi Pearl

KEMPTON

420 - Dawn Story
450 - Totally Ours
520 - Glaisdale
550 - Welsh Bard
620 - Famagusta NR
650 - My Best Bet
720 - Avon Supreme
750 - Isingy Red

Good Luck

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