Yes sorry for any confusion yesterday, I was a bit thrown by not going to work on a monday morning and that caused a mix up in the days! Well another day, another profit, seems the Irish beer has has a good effect on me, so far this month
Friday 3rd = £4.30 to £1 level stake
Saturday 4th = £4.50 to £1 level stake
Sunday 5th = -£5.07 to £1 level stake
Monday 6th = £4.95 to £1 level stake
All profits/losses declared to SP. Although I do feel I short changed you all a bit yesterday, my 5 winners came home at 7/1, 4/1, 5/2, 15/8 and 4/7 yet in my book I had them respectively at 9/1, 11/2, 7/1, 15/8 and 4/6, so today I will advise where the best price is. I tend to take prices where i can because mainly I feel my horse is the best in the race therefore I don't see why my price won't shorten, also the majority of bookmakers, esp online, will offer a best price guarantee whereby you get the bigger return SP or EP so you cannot lose. Lets get started shall we?
Not much this afternnon, most of it this evening
SALISBURY
430 Just the 1 selection at Salisbury today, John Gosden's filly Istishaara showed grit to take her Nottingham maiden over a mile in September after showing a need for longer trips as a 2 year old. Ran well over C&D last time out after a lengthy break and looked a little like she needed the run to blow out some cobwebs. The progressive Miss Chicane is a live threat but I have questions over her plugging out the extra furlong, so Istishaara will be my only winner at Salisbury today. 15/8 Stan James/William Hill
REDCAR
3 selections at Redcar today beginning with a quickfire double for the Red-Hot Danny Tudhope.
200 Ingleby Angel ran second on debut in a race he was expected to come second to the horse he was expected to come second to. That looks to be the pick of the form from the lightly raced sorts. The trainer has already notched up 50 winners in his first year in the job. And as I stated at the top Daniel Tudhope is absolutely Red Hot at the moment bagging 5 winners from 8 rides in June so far. 9/4 VC/365/Boyles
230 Let's Face Facts was staying on well last time over 6 and was never nearer than at the finish. Jim Goldie has pushed her up to 7 for this run with a jockey who has won every time he has sat on a horse for this trainer, yes it's that man again Danny Tudhope. In a race where little makes much impression you have to look at Trainer/Jockey stats. 4/1 Boyles/Stan James
335 A few lively, if inconsistent, sorts in this event and I can spot a number that have found their way onto my betting slips over the past few years. One that makes obvious appeal is the progressive Boom and Bust from Marcus Tregonings yard. It is the only runner the Berkshire trainer has sent up to Redcar today and merits every chance with the terrific Hayley Turner on board. C&D winners Kiwi Bay and Rasselas also caught my eye along with Ruth Carr's San Cassiano, who was unlucky in running last time out despite perhaps looking held at the time. My selection however is Tim Easterby's Collateral Damage. This horse has handicapped at higher than this level and despite not winning since October 2009 he is a C&D winner and was only put up 1lb for a staying place over a shorter trip last time out, made every impression that he's ready to win that day and now take him to bring home the bacon today. 5/1 widely available.
Onto the evening.
FFOS LAS
600 With 6 newbies in action could be atricky one, but I'm going to go with the market. Fine Style showed enough for me on the flat to show he's a good sort. I probably wouldn't lump in on this one just in case but he seems to be the best option for me. 6/4 Paddy/Boyles/Stan James/William Hill
700 Course and Distance winner Cresswell Pride is an obvious chance here as is Big Time Billy from the in-form Peter Bowen, with Richard Johnson on board, but the one that pinches it for me is Sorcillera. For me Rhys Flint has gone off the boil a little since showing huge promise when exploding on the scene. But Big Time Billy has jumping questions and I'm not sure the ground will be quite as quick as some have suggested and that should suit Sorcillera. 15/8 widespread
810 Anything in this race could be a threat, but I'm going to side with Tae Kwon do. 2 good runs last month, first over 2m at Wincanton, he suffered an error ridden run to pick up after being passed to finish 3rd within 2 lengths to the impressive Aine's Delight. Next time out a step up to 2m4f and the introduction of todays jockey Richard Johnson proved to be a masterstroke. The horse looked in very good nick and after being headed 3 out popped back in front at the next then kicked on from the last to win 9 lengths going away. Carries a 7lb penalty for that win but looks fair as will run of a mark 2lb higher in the future so still well in here. An extra 2 furlongs doesn't look any hinderence at all and his front running style suits the jockey who is the best at pulling every inch out of a nag. Good luck to connections tonight. 9/4 Boyles/Stan James/W.Hill
845 Cold Harbour has won 3 of the 5 times he has appeared at this track, only 4 runners could result in a tactial affair and if it does then it could very well play into the hands of the outsiders but Evan Williams appears to be the master of Ffos Las and will know the best way to win this race. 2/1 William Hill
SOUTHWELL
545 On bare form Outlaw Tom makes appeal but hasn't placed in Chase events to date and for that reason I'm going to side with Supreme Keano (the only time you'll hear anyone from Ipswich saying that nowadays). Up 4lb for a solid effort at Market Rasen last time and has won prior under this code. A renewal of the effort from last time should be enough to win this. 5/2 Stan James
615 Marodima isn't as good as he once was but is well down below his winning marks and this looks like the easiest event he has contested for a while, will have to overcome topweight to take this but has the ability. Useful claim of 3lb from a decent jockey. NEXT BEST 13/8 Widely available
645 Starts to get tricky now, 3 i like in this, Quiet Whisper has a 7lb penalty as well as a step up in trip to overcome, although showed plenty last time out that would suggest he may be capable. Knight Legend in terrific form at the moment but only win over hourdles came in a seller albeit under todays jockey, I'm going to jump on board Course and Distance winner Red Not Blue. Has won all 3 starts over this distance including C&D win last time out, that win was franked by a subsequent winner coming from 20 lengths down the pack in 5th on the day. Has a rise in weights to cope with but should have the capability to put the rest of these to the sword. 7/2 widely available.
720 and my NAP. Smart Freddie, a progressive sort who ran a massive race to finish second over course and distance in January, for me he only needs to find about 80% of that form to take this. Sentimental Journey and Sara's Smile are respected but questions to the jumping of the latter. 11/8 VC/365/Boyles
830 A few that make appeal here and it would take a while to discuss the merits of each, I'll give you 3 for Each way palyers that should run a big race, Restart is a big price and capable of winning races but questions as to temperament, regularly makes mistakes and needs to be kept up to it, but if he gets on with it today the 12's offered by Boyles will look huge. Moon Melody looks much better than the widespread 33/1 on offer. Has inconsistent form but capable of winning races, i think in a close race to be the big outsider is a litle unfair. My selection is Yeoman Spirit. This horse has historically gone better over 3m+. Jockey Graham Lee regularly gets a tune out of horses that have more potential than they have been showing and at a widespread 12/1 there is value here for each way players. Looks better this year than last.
That's it, I'm going to place my bets now and then continue my work in the garden. Hope you enjoyed the read. Good luck to connections of Tae Kwon Do tonight. And hopefully we can continue to make a profit.
Happy Punting and Good Luck
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