Well, yesterdays analysis, Golf - going pretty well 3 players in the mix in the Open and 2 players in the mix in the US, Cycling - bagged 3rd and 4th and have stage winner outright. Horses - could do better! We hit the bar a couple of times in France, 3 seconds in fact. A little treble at Leopardstown spared any major blushes but still a considerable loss. Don't despair though, if you've used my staking plan all month you will still be in profit and that profit is safe for today at least. I'll get straight into it as I really have a little writers block this morning, oh and Twitter peeps, if you enjoy my little ramblings don't forget a #ff today, I'm stuck on 97 followers. I'm at work so I'll have plenty of time to do mine! he he.
NAP WHOZTHECAT 735 Pontefract
This horse likes the ground as quick as it can be, very well treated in the weights, 1lb lower than last winning mark. Last time out he was second when one paced in the finish after taking a hefty nudge when winding up his run, without that nudge he would certainly have been closer and the handicapper may have added a lb to him, but he has gotten away with it and should be able to take advantage today against a pretty inconsistent field. 5pt win
NB A HORSE CALLED MOLLY 825 Kilbeggan
Has done his winning at 3m but over 2m6 isn't really a lot of difference comparitively, he(i know molly the he, but it's a gelding so he must have been born with boy parts) seems to prefer chasing to hurdling and looks to be quite a stayer. Molly the boy horse comes in right at the bottom of the official weights with just the reserves lower, and is well treated to all reopposing rivals. I think a brisk gallop will suit him today as he is a stayer and with the quick ground he may just get it. 3pt win
TREBLE CAPTAIN BROWN 435 Haydock
Last run can be forgiven as it was a massive step up in class and the winner Eternal Heart is a very classy horse. This race is a lot easier and the favourite Colour Vision finished last in that race. It will be hard to guess the price here but tissue is 5/1 whereas he trades at 2.3bf and 1.97bd. I think Colour Vision may even be a safe lay for a place for those who like to get involved, he is far to short for me on conditions with the selection and i'd probably rate up C&D winner Dark Dune as the main danger. 2pt win
1pt E/w treble on the above.
1pt selections
HAMILTON
745 COLONEL MAK
HAYDOCK
220 NO MORE BLONDES
NEWBURY
340 SAIGON WINNER 6/1
520 SUITS ME
NEWMARKET
550 TWICE BITTEN
TOUR DE FRANCE
Today should be a "little rest" for the main favourites after their excertions yesterday. A pretty light day climbing wise with just the HC Col D'Aubisque to worry about. A 42km drop to the finish will suit any breakaway that can get to the top of the Aubisque first with a moderate gap, and expect any descending machines to have a go. Expect someone from sky to have a pop and with Uran and Thomas well placed in the white jersey comp they might not be allowed, I'd throw Xabier Zandio in the mix for them. Others to like are Linus Gerdeman and Luis Leon Sanchez who both enjoy a big descent. Euskatel will probably want someone to have a pop and try to take a second consecutive stage in the pyrenees one chap well -placed to have a go for them is Egoi Martinez. I'd like to see the young american Tejay Van Garderen show the peloton his heels again as he is a very exciting prospect. But my main fancy today is PHILLIP GILBERT, the belgian has been riding out of his skin on this tour and even mixed it with some big guys on the Tourmalet yesterday. He knows his legs will carry him over an HC now and we saw the gap he pulled out just free wheeling down the back yesterday, if he descends with purpose I can't see anyone catching him.
Have a good day, good luck and happy punting.
Profit yesterday -16.9pts Profit for July +64.34pts.
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