Morning all. I've picked out some horses, I can't really get in the mood to do any form of wrte up though as it's 715am n a Sunday, and I might have engaged in the consumption of Alcoholic Beverage last evening. So here's my bets today for those that assume I've the faintest idea of what I'm doing.
STAR PRESENTED 250 FONTWELL
SUSIE SHEEP 300 UTTOXETER
THE GREY GATSBY 320 CURRAGH
FRUITY O ROONEY 400 FONTWELL
TAGLIETELLE 500 CURRAGH
EVERAARD 525 KELSO
Saturday 23 May 2015
Tuesday 19 May 2015
Wednesday 20 May
Morning, saved at the last yesterday as Dynamo Walt got home at 5/1. I have 3 today.
DHAULAR DHAR 520 AYR
Scored his 12th career win at Wolverhampton in January, didn't get extended trip last tie out. He has won over today's trip, albeit a while ago. He's a likeable horse and it's always dangerous to discount Jim Goldie north of the wall.
THE GINGER BERRY 610 KEMPTON
Hit a hattrick back in Jan 14 and although not winning he has been pretty consistent. Ran a decent race over C&D last time, beating a subsequent winner in the process. Patrick Pilley has been making strides recently with 4 winners from 13 rides this month.
DOUBLE DISCOUNT 740 KEMPTON
C&D winner, dropped 3lb after disappointing efforts up in class. Record in this grade is pretty decent 353322 in the last 12 months. 7/1 makes him big enough for small margin Each Way players and hopefully he can put a 1 on the end of that list.
Good Luck and Happy Punting
DHAULAR DHAR 520 AYR
Scored his 12th career win at Wolverhampton in January, didn't get extended trip last tie out. He has won over today's trip, albeit a while ago. He's a likeable horse and it's always dangerous to discount Jim Goldie north of the wall.
THE GINGER BERRY 610 KEMPTON
Hit a hattrick back in Jan 14 and although not winning he has been pretty consistent. Ran a decent race over C&D last time, beating a subsequent winner in the process. Patrick Pilley has been making strides recently with 4 winners from 13 rides this month.
DOUBLE DISCOUNT 740 KEMPTON
C&D winner, dropped 3lb after disappointing efforts up in class. Record in this grade is pretty decent 353322 in the last 12 months. 7/1 makes him big enough for small margin Each Way players and hopefully he can put a 1 on the end of that list.
Good Luck and Happy Punting
Monday 18 May 2015
Tuesday 18 May
Morning, it's very difficult to eulogise yesterday's efforts in words of more than one syllable that aren't crass or vulgar, so we shall just move on with dignity.
DUKE STREET 240 CHEPSTOW
Yard has posted 12 winners this month so far. This one is interesting on turf debut. He's already beaten 2 of the 3 above him in the betting, although you'd assume one of those may not run.
NEEDLESS SHOUTING 300 NOTTINGHAM
This is a drop in class from last time out, trip is no concern. Mick Channon doesn't send many to Nottingham but 40% of the ones he has in the last year have finished in the frame at least. With 12/1 about this it's worth an each way bet.
RUM SWIZZLE 720 CHELMSFORD
This one is in my notebook, and I'd be grateful if I could work out why. What I do know is that she beat the favourite last time out so something is wrong in the pricing. At 12/1 I'm happy to have a bet and see what happens.
DYNAMO WALT 820 CHELMSFORD
C&D winner. Been finishing in the frame in better races recently and now dropped in class presumably to grab a win. My amateur calculations suggest he holds all of these on formlines and hopefully can get home in front.
Good Luck and Happy Punting
DUKE STREET 240 CHEPSTOW
Yard has posted 12 winners this month so far. This one is interesting on turf debut. He's already beaten 2 of the 3 above him in the betting, although you'd assume one of those may not run.
NEEDLESS SHOUTING 300 NOTTINGHAM
This is a drop in class from last time out, trip is no concern. Mick Channon doesn't send many to Nottingham but 40% of the ones he has in the last year have finished in the frame at least. With 12/1 about this it's worth an each way bet.
RUM SWIZZLE 720 CHELMSFORD
This one is in my notebook, and I'd be grateful if I could work out why. What I do know is that she beat the favourite last time out so something is wrong in the pricing. At 12/1 I'm happy to have a bet and see what happens.
DYNAMO WALT 820 CHELMSFORD
C&D winner. Been finishing in the frame in better races recently and now dropped in class presumably to grab a win. My amateur calculations suggest he holds all of these on formlines and hopefully can get home in front.
Good Luck and Happy Punting
Sunday 17 May 2015
Monday 18 May
Morning all. Hit the bar yesterday with two 2nds and a 3rd. Here goes for today.
KEEP IT DARK 350 REDCAR (14/1)
C&D winner off just 2lb higher. More respectable runs than bad ones, could probably do with a bit of rain but does have form on fast ground.
AMENABLE 530 SOUTHWELL (4/1 Bet365, Paddy Power)
Dual course winner back in January and has placed here since. You could have put anything from the Beverley race last time in your notebook as there were multiple hard luck stories.
SILVER WINGS 705 WINDSOR (11/10 Paddy Power)
This Zebedee colt broke his maiden at the first attempt here before being narrowly touched off by the useful Rah Rah in the Lily Agnes at Chester. He should be favourite today and isn't.
Good Luck
KEEP IT DARK 350 REDCAR (14/1)
C&D winner off just 2lb higher. More respectable runs than bad ones, could probably do with a bit of rain but does have form on fast ground.
AMENABLE 530 SOUTHWELL (4/1 Bet365, Paddy Power)
Dual course winner back in January and has placed here since. You could have put anything from the Beverley race last time in your notebook as there were multiple hard luck stories.
SILVER WINGS 705 WINDSOR (11/10 Paddy Power)
This Zebedee colt broke his maiden at the first attempt here before being narrowly touched off by the useful Rah Rah in the Lily Agnes at Chester. He should be favourite today and isn't.
Good Luck
Saturday 16 May 2015
Sunday 17 May
Morning all. Night Of Thunder was game enough in front to give us a little profit yesterday. I have 3 today, hopefully they'll all run their race.
THE BROCK INN 230 LIMERICK (6/1 Bet365, Paddy Power)
I actually backed her a fortnight ago in a prize bumper at the Punchestown festival. She ran a creditable 4th that day and this looks, on paper, easier for her hurdles debut. Mark Enright has a 15% win rate, 36% place rate, and a £39 LSP when teaming up with this yard.
BUCK MULLIGAN 325 STRATFORD (8/1 William Hill, Ladbrokes)
A versatile performer, always capable on a going day. Record at Stratford reads very well indeed 15312. Struggled in the SkyBet Chase, but this is a far more sensible target.
LEXINGTON PLACE 450 RIPON (10/1 Paddy Power)
Put together a 4 timer 2 summers ago and hasn't won since.....but......he's slipping back down to that sort of mark and the booking of hot conditional Shane Gray is a massive positive, in fact he's the only pilot in the field that doesn't claim today.
Good Luck and Happy Punting
THE BROCK INN 230 LIMERICK (6/1 Bet365, Paddy Power)
I actually backed her a fortnight ago in a prize bumper at the Punchestown festival. She ran a creditable 4th that day and this looks, on paper, easier for her hurdles debut. Mark Enright has a 15% win rate, 36% place rate, and a £39 LSP when teaming up with this yard.
BUCK MULLIGAN 325 STRATFORD (8/1 William Hill, Ladbrokes)
A versatile performer, always capable on a going day. Record at Stratford reads very well indeed 15312. Struggled in the SkyBet Chase, but this is a far more sensible target.
LEXINGTON PLACE 450 RIPON (10/1 Paddy Power)
Put together a 4 timer 2 summers ago and hasn't won since.....but......he's slipping back down to that sort of mark and the booking of hot conditional Shane Gray is a massive positive, in fact he's the only pilot in the field that doesn't claim today.
Good Luck and Happy Punting
Friday 15 May 2015
Saturday 16 May
Morning, disappointing yesterday. Today looks tricky, I'm going to pop down 3 and see how they go.
NIGHT OF THUNDER 345 NEWBURY
Didn't manage to record a win after landing last year's 2000 Guineas, but got close on a few occasions. He sets the standard in the race.
TREAT YOURSELF 350 PUNCHESTOWN
Ran pretty much as his odds would suggest here at the festival, that race has thrown up a winner from behind already. Handicapper taken off a lb, a podium finish certainly is not far away.
CONFESSIONAL 450 THIRSK
Not won for a while but generally shapes as if one is no far away. Eyecatching 2nd at Chester having been drawn 8 of 11 gives confidence for today.
Good Luck
NIGHT OF THUNDER 345 NEWBURY
Didn't manage to record a win after landing last year's 2000 Guineas, but got close on a few occasions. He sets the standard in the race.
TREAT YOURSELF 350 PUNCHESTOWN
Ran pretty much as his odds would suggest here at the festival, that race has thrown up a winner from behind already. Handicapper taken off a lb, a podium finish certainly is not far away.
CONFESSIONAL 450 THIRSK
Not won for a while but generally shapes as if one is no far away. Eyecatching 2nd at Chester having been drawn 8 of 11 gives confidence for today.
Good Luck
Thursday 14 May 2015
Friday 15 May
Morning. No good yesterday. I have 4 today.
PRINCE OF PARIS 430 NEWBURY
Winner off 2lb higher when last in this class, been racing in higher. Martin Lane shows £38 Level Stake Profit when riding for Roger Ingram in last 12 months.
SPIRITUAL STAR 440 NEWMARKET
Broke his maiden at this track, winner over the trip as recent as January. Has it to prove this high in the weights but hasn't been far away last twice.
ONE MORE GO 620 HAMILTON
Relatively useful bumper performer. Trainer has 26% Strike Rate at this track in the last year. Only worry is he might find things happening a bit too quickly for him here.
MEADOWCROFT BOY 705 AINTREE
Looked useful at the start of his career, things levelled out but potentially there's an upturn arounfd the corner. Excuses 2 starts ago when pulled up amongst better company and stayed on eye-catchingly into second over a shorter trip last time out. Hills and Coral take no chances going 12s when there's 16s available (Lads, Victor)
My York darts for today
210 SILK BOW
240 TOP TUG
315 BROWN PANTHER
345 JELLY MONGER
420 MISS MULBBERRY
450 BINT DANDY
520 ROSENBAUM
Good Luck and Happy Punting
PRINCE OF PARIS 430 NEWBURY
Winner off 2lb higher when last in this class, been racing in higher. Martin Lane shows £38 Level Stake Profit when riding for Roger Ingram in last 12 months.
SPIRITUAL STAR 440 NEWMARKET
Broke his maiden at this track, winner over the trip as recent as January. Has it to prove this high in the weights but hasn't been far away last twice.
ONE MORE GO 620 HAMILTON
Relatively useful bumper performer. Trainer has 26% Strike Rate at this track in the last year. Only worry is he might find things happening a bit too quickly for him here.
MEADOWCROFT BOY 705 AINTREE
Looked useful at the start of his career, things levelled out but potentially there's an upturn arounfd the corner. Excuses 2 starts ago when pulled up amongst better company and stayed on eye-catchingly into second over a shorter trip last time out. Hills and Coral take no chances going 12s when there's 16s available (Lads, Victor)
My York darts for today
210 SILK BOW
240 TOP TUG
315 BROWN PANTHER
345 JELLY MONGER
420 MISS MULBBERRY
450 BINT DANDY
520 ROSENBAUM
Good Luck and Happy Punting
Wednesday 13 May 2015
Thursday 14 May
Just a quick one this morning. Me and York aren't generally friends financially so I tend to tread careful this week. But saying that I have one at York today that, to be frank, looks to good to be true.
PERFECT PASTURE 210 YORK (11/1 BetVictor/Paddy Power)
This one has won 7 of 17 career starts, not bad, 4 from 9 on turf, okay, but here's the doozy. When racing over 5f his record reads 11111. WOW. Add to that the glaringly eyecatching name of the man booked to steer, Ryan Moore, the 11/1 looks too big.
SILVERTON 510 PERTH (3/1 Bet365)
Consistent mare, she regularly runs her race. Mark creeping up but she's had a little rest and hopefully comes back wound up for this.
THE THIRD MAN 550 NEWMARKET (7/1 Coral)
Lightly raced, rarely far away. Form of last 2 efforts working out relatively well and could be a big player today if things fall right.
Good Luck and Happy Punting
PERFECT PASTURE 210 YORK (11/1 BetVictor/Paddy Power)
This one has won 7 of 17 career starts, not bad, 4 from 9 on turf, okay, but here's the doozy. When racing over 5f his record reads 11111. WOW. Add to that the glaringly eyecatching name of the man booked to steer, Ryan Moore, the 11/1 looks too big.
SILVERTON 510 PERTH (3/1 Bet365)
Consistent mare, she regularly runs her race. Mark creeping up but she's had a little rest and hopefully comes back wound up for this.
THE THIRD MAN 550 NEWMARKET (7/1 Coral)
Lightly raced, rarely far away. Form of last 2 efforts working out relatively well and could be a big player today if things fall right.
Good Luck and Happy Punting
Monday 11 May 2015
Tuesday 12 May
Morning all, so yesterday was good. One bet, wins at 7/1 SP, or 8/1 if you were quick off the mark. I'm having 7 bets today, hopefully not giving back all of yesterday's profit though.
AMTIRED 245 SEDGEFIELD (7/1 widely available)
Not easy to win with but has made the frame on half his career starts. He's been competitive off much higher ratings than he finds himself running at now and was narrowly denied under today's jockey back in January. Has been given every chance and looks at least an each way steal to me.
PULL THE PIN 255 BEVERLEY (14/1 Victor, Hills, Sky)
Another tricky to win with, last win coming in 2013, but recorded 2 seconds and 3 thirds last summer on turf. Mark hasn't waivered a whole great deal and jockey is very capable. Might struggle to get lead he wants from extreme draw though.
DARING DRAGON 255 BEVERLEY (28/1 Bet365)
Nearly half that price with most other firms. Drawn well and could get a tow along from a couple that want to make the running. Often does his best work late on so if he's within striking distance it's not unthinkable that he could at least land a blow on the places.
MICK THE BOYO 330 LIMERICK (11/1 Bet365)
Still a maiden but wasn't far behind the progressive Bog War 2 starts ago. This looks slightly easier on paper than last time out when he finished 3rd, the second that day has gone on and won since so form looks reasonable.
ROBBEN 425 BEVERLEY (12/1 Ladbrokes/Bet365)
Didn't land a blow under similar conditions last time, but smaller field today should see him more involved. Mark looks workable albeit out of the handicap, has the beating of 1 of today's rivals so he shouldn't come last, there's form in his book that suggests he shouldn't be a maiden forever.
TEN TIMES BETTER 500 LIMERICK (8/1 Bet365)
Either she's a dodgepot, or she keeps bumping into 1 or 2 decent ones. For the most part horses that have beaten her have gone on and won or placed so form holds up. There's a Mullins/Mullins and a Elliot/Carberry prospects to consider today but the selection has experience in the book, and the in form Katie Walsh on board.
SPELLMAKER 835 CHELMSFORD (Widely 6/1)
35% at this trip on AW surfaces isn't a bad record, and he's been within 2 lengths of victory on 3 of 4 efforts at this track. The golden girl Hayley Turner resumes here affiliation with the hose and she's been riding very well of late.
Good Luck and Happy Punting
AMTIRED 245 SEDGEFIELD (7/1 widely available)
Not easy to win with but has made the frame on half his career starts. He's been competitive off much higher ratings than he finds himself running at now and was narrowly denied under today's jockey back in January. Has been given every chance and looks at least an each way steal to me.
PULL THE PIN 255 BEVERLEY (14/1 Victor, Hills, Sky)
Another tricky to win with, last win coming in 2013, but recorded 2 seconds and 3 thirds last summer on turf. Mark hasn't waivered a whole great deal and jockey is very capable. Might struggle to get lead he wants from extreme draw though.
DARING DRAGON 255 BEVERLEY (28/1 Bet365)
Nearly half that price with most other firms. Drawn well and could get a tow along from a couple that want to make the running. Often does his best work late on so if he's within striking distance it's not unthinkable that he could at least land a blow on the places.
MICK THE BOYO 330 LIMERICK (11/1 Bet365)
Still a maiden but wasn't far behind the progressive Bog War 2 starts ago. This looks slightly easier on paper than last time out when he finished 3rd, the second that day has gone on and won since so form looks reasonable.
ROBBEN 425 BEVERLEY (12/1 Ladbrokes/Bet365)
Didn't land a blow under similar conditions last time, but smaller field today should see him more involved. Mark looks workable albeit out of the handicap, has the beating of 1 of today's rivals so he shouldn't come last, there's form in his book that suggests he shouldn't be a maiden forever.
TEN TIMES BETTER 500 LIMERICK (8/1 Bet365)
Either she's a dodgepot, or she keeps bumping into 1 or 2 decent ones. For the most part horses that have beaten her have gone on and won or placed so form holds up. There's a Mullins/Mullins and a Elliot/Carberry prospects to consider today but the selection has experience in the book, and the in form Katie Walsh on board.
SPELLMAKER 835 CHELMSFORD (Widely 6/1)
35% at this trip on AW surfaces isn't a bad record, and he's been within 2 lengths of victory on 3 of 4 efforts at this track. The golden girl Hayley Turner resumes here affiliation with the hose and she's been riding very well of late.
Good Luck and Happy Punting
Sunday 10 May 2015
Monday May 11
Morning, I've had a bit of a break. It's tough doing this, having a full time job, and raising three kids. It leaves little time for Football Manager, the struggle is real people. Anyway, I just have 1 today, and it's speculative but we'll see how we go.
HOUDINI 255 WOLVERHAMPTON (Generally 8/1)
Dropped a couple of pounds for coming 5th on handicap debut, the second from that race has come out and won. Timmy Murphy takes the ride, looking for his first winner since switching from the jumps. He has met Longside and Arlechino's Leap previously and is on more favourable terms with both today.
Good Luck
HOUDINI 255 WOLVERHAMPTON (Generally 8/1)
Dropped a couple of pounds for coming 5th on handicap debut, the second from that race has come out and won. Timmy Murphy takes the ride, looking for his first winner since switching from the jumps. He has met Longside and Arlechino's Leap previously and is on more favourable terms with both today.
Good Luck
Sunday 3 May 2015
Monday 4 May
Morning, did everyone enjoy the Guineas weekend. For me the biggest punting success of the weekend was watching a chap dressed as an inflatable duck beat a casually dressed gentleman in a race across floating punts in the river Cam. Anyway, here's today's treble.
EMILY DAVISON 155 BATH
A solid run down on the south coast last week, gets another chance today on similar ground under similar conditions and should certainly go close again.
ROUSAYAN 245 BEVERLEY
Close second a week ago in a race that has already thrown up a winner. Yard in very good form, especially with handicappers.
SAKHALIN STAR 320 BEVERLEY
Taking a chance that this one mirrors 2014. He needed a run in April before scoring in May off a 2lb higher mark than today. Seen overnight money.
Good Luck and Happy Punting
EMILY DAVISON 155 BATH
A solid run down on the south coast last week, gets another chance today on similar ground under similar conditions and should certainly go close again.
ROUSAYAN 245 BEVERLEY
Close second a week ago in a race that has already thrown up a winner. Yard in very good form, especially with handicappers.
SAKHALIN STAR 320 BEVERLEY
Taking a chance that this one mirrors 2014. He needed a run in April before scoring in May off a 2lb higher mark than today. Seen overnight money.
Good Luck and Happy Punting
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)