As you can guess from the title, after a great surge about a week from the end of the month it has all been downhill from then. Just 1 winner at 4/9 and my first ever "lay of the day" drifted all the way out to 7/2!!!!!
If I was to lay anything today it would probably be Tazeez in the 400 at Sandown, I just think his younger rivals will be able to show him a turn of foot despite the significant drop in class.
We finished June with a £4.72 level stake profit. So if you stake £1 you made £4.72 for the month, if you stake £10 you made £47.20 etc.... Disclaimer "I am by no means telling you to up your stakes, that would be socially irresponsible, i am just explaining in laymans terms."
As it's July I'm going to set out for a bit of consistency. This page will only consist of Racing tips, as long as it doesn't break on me again, and my wordpress account will offer up sports tips.
I'm going to go back to a NAP, NB, Treble system and level staking results will be awarded as 5pt bet on NAP, 3pts on NB, 2pts on Treble, 1pt on regular selections. I will also catalogue any returns to a £1 each way treble. All sounds good!
NAP - CLASS IS CLASS 400 Sandown : Made seasonal return in a similar race at Goodwood, and was narrowly pushed into 2nd. The form is holding up from that race as the 3rd, Principle Role, went on to win a listed event next time out, and the 4th finished a half length second to Timepiece in a listed event at Warwick.
The selection has winning form in this company and also a close second to Poet in Group 3. Sir Micheal Stoute hasn't been firing them home lately but you don't forget how to train winners overnight and this could be one on the road to recovery. WINNER 5/1
NB - BOLODENKA 230 Doncaster : Twice a winner in this sort of race (1 claimer 1 seller) so far this year, stepped up to handicap company last time out but didn't fancy that one bit. Favourite Charlie Cool is clearly a far better animal than this but will prefer a fast pace and given no proven front runners in the race it should play into the hands of the consistent selection.
TREBLE - ADVANCED 335 Doncaster : I think this one stands a real chance of a place at least, has been dropped in class for this although still comes up against some classy types. Last win came in Ascot's Heritage Handicap in 2009. But overpriced at 12's especially for a place. I had a spell about 3 years back now of backing Amy Ryan when she rode for Kevin Ryan and was comfortable in my profit. That's my treble for the day.
OTHER SELECTIONS
SANDOWN
220 Desert Strike
250 Jack Who's He
HAYDOCK
645 Wicked Wilma
BEVERLEY
830 We'll Deal Again
Have a good day, Good Luck and Happy punting.
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Thursday 30 June 2011
Thursday 30th June - Profit for the month has been guaranteed.
It's our last tipping blog for June, and with only 7 selections today, level stake profit for June is secure. Seconditis appeared to be edging back in yesterday in moments. Our 16/1 NAP yesterday was a very close 3rd, official gaps were hd-hd. We also underestimated Emulous as she defied a huge weight pull to hold off my selection Claimh Solais 8/1, although over a mile perhaps? We did get a winner yesterday in the shape of Kastania 9/10 in the very last race, so each way players and/or money chasers could have gone home happy. Level stake win punters, we have work to do!
HORSERACING
HAYDOCK
400 SAN CASSIANO is due to be put up 3lb in the near future, currently within 2lb of last winning mark the feeling is that connections are having a last throw of the dice to nick a win before the raise. Ran well and narrowly missed out 5 days ago, back down in trip should suit and shouldn't be outclassed in this grade.
EPSOM
725 COLLECT ART is a hugely consistent sort, 6 wins, 4 seconds, 2 thirds, since March! He has been handling every rise in weight in his stride. He can win over multiple distances, multiple grounds. He's on a career high mark now but is sure to finish in the frame.
LEOPARDSTOWN
700 I'm taking on the favourite here with TENTH STAR on evidence it looks as though the trip will suit better and with the stable in tremendous form I'll be happy to side with this progressive sort.
730 GREAT REALIEF was disappointing when last seen here over 8f, however was C&D runner up 2 starts ago in a similar event and step back in trip to 7 should ultimately suit. Has winning form including first appearance for the season over 7f at Dundalk.
800 PRESIDENT LINCOLN is still a maiden but has been close to getting up a number of times including events similar to this. As with the 700 stable is flying at the moment and it wouldn't surprise me to see this one finally get his head in front.
835 ARTICILITIS(NAP) has been gradually dropping down the weights and is back to last winning mark. Looked very useful with succesive third places over longer and shorter trips last twice. This trip is bang in the middle and he looks a sort that will just stay when asked. Boylesports offer 10/1 and with 17 runners you get 4 places so he is my NAP for today.
905 JOHNNY MCGEENEY is taken to land this now with a bit of experience at this level, a bumper and hurdle winner in NH code, he just needs to translate that to the flat and on evidence of his first run could be a strong horse in this code.
HORSERACING
HAYDOCK
400 SAN CASSIANO is due to be put up 3lb in the near future, currently within 2lb of last winning mark the feeling is that connections are having a last throw of the dice to nick a win before the raise. Ran well and narrowly missed out 5 days ago, back down in trip should suit and shouldn't be outclassed in this grade.
EPSOM
725 COLLECT ART is a hugely consistent sort, 6 wins, 4 seconds, 2 thirds, since March! He has been handling every rise in weight in his stride. He can win over multiple distances, multiple grounds. He's on a career high mark now but is sure to finish in the frame.
LEOPARDSTOWN
700 I'm taking on the favourite here with TENTH STAR on evidence it looks as though the trip will suit better and with the stable in tremendous form I'll be happy to side with this progressive sort.
730 GREAT REALIEF was disappointing when last seen here over 8f, however was C&D runner up 2 starts ago in a similar event and step back in trip to 7 should ultimately suit. Has winning form including first appearance for the season over 7f at Dundalk.
800 PRESIDENT LINCOLN is still a maiden but has been close to getting up a number of times including events similar to this. As with the 700 stable is flying at the moment and it wouldn't surprise me to see this one finally get his head in front.
835 ARTICILITIS(NAP) has been gradually dropping down the weights and is back to last winning mark. Looked very useful with succesive third places over longer and shorter trips last twice. This trip is bang in the middle and he looks a sort that will just stay when asked. Boylesports offer 10/1 and with 17 runners you get 4 places so he is my NAP for today.
905 JOHNNY MCGEENEY is taken to land this now with a bit of experience at this level, a bumper and hurdle winner in NH code, he just needs to translate that to the flat and on evidence of his first run could be a strong horse in this code.
Tuesday 28 June 2011
Wednesday 29th June - The Drought is over?
At about 7:46pm last night after 51 and a half hours, Life of a Luso crossed the line at Stratford for my first winner since Gatepost late Sunday afternoon. How I breathed a sigh of relief. Surely I couldn't go 2 days without a winner. Over the short time I have been writing this blog and sharing my tips, the format has changed and been tweaked a number of times to get the best value and return. I was in the belief that I had cracked it during a lengthy run of either winning or skimming the post, so to go 2 whole days without a winner was earthshattering, now I'm sure Templegate, Newsboy, Pricewise all have barren spells, and they are all far better judges than me. But it still hurt. So now fresh from my elation of grabbing a winner I'm up and ready to go again. Fairyhouse will be the source of my entertainment this evening with some "top class" racing on offer. Our tennis yankee from yesterday bagged 2/3 unfortuneatly Pironkova didn't have enough to beat Kvitova. Paszek and Azarenka are to resume today. For the outright Kvitova looks plenty good enough to take this on her march to becoming world number 1 within the next 12 months. She needs to cut the errors out when she's on top. Sharapova will find her out for that, but on the flip Maria struggles, like most players, to deal with left handers. Sharapova took about 14 games to get to grips with 17 year old Laura Robson's style and with all due respect Kvitova is 20 leagues above that level. If I was Sharapova's coach I'd have her spending her free time knocking up with left handers between now and the final, provided that she deals with the monster serve of Lisicki first.
HORSE RACING
PERTH
350 Gordon Elliot's ST KILLIANS RUN seemed to enjoy every inch of the step up in trip last time and is taken to go one better of a similar mark today. The obvious danger is Peter Bowen's Sun Tzu but he has climbed 17lb this month alone and I think the handicapper would love to finally have the measure of him.
CATTERICK
400 A massive price NAP for you here. CAPABLE GUEST looks a staying type on evidence and generally keeps going until the line. He has beaten, and on considerable terms with, a lot of these who reoppose today. I think he is a solid each way chance at worst, but if he is in the mix come the 2 furlong mark then he will outstay the field to bring home a monster price NAP. Victor Chandler and William Hill both quote 16/1 at present.
WORCESTER
410 CRYSTAL ROCK for Nicky Henderson and AP McCoy is taken to improve on third over C&D when last seen, that day he was beaten by 2 very good and consistent types. Big Robert appeals most as a danger here, with the favourite Suburban Bay being dropped in trip and having a 12lb rise in weight to deal with.
FAIRYHOUSE
700 I'm going to take a chance with CURL CAT here. Needed the run when first seen this year after nearly a year off, second run can also be excused on ground he did not handle. Ground is better today and when on form he was a very consistent sort, regularly in the frame. I take him to get back to form today.
730 CLAIMH SOLAIS is massively overpriced here on classic form. Boylesports are going 9/1 on a filly who finished 4th in the 1000 guineas and Pretty Polly, she takes a weight for age pull and no penalties for her group form as she has narrowly missed out on placings. Obviously Emulous makes appeal having beaten R.Ascot winner Lolly for Dolly last time out, but she concedes a whole stone to the selection.
800 MOUNTAIN PRIDE is taken on value over Buccaneer Bob here, he won a similar event over distance with similar ground at Leopardstown last time out, a race in which the second has gone on to win a better event.
830 This is a horrible, nasty race. Nothing has form that says Pick me, Pick me. I'm going with VIA DEL CORSO, he has form and weight over some that he has opposed before and on that alone I make a tentative selection.
900 Another tricky one, I'm taking KASTANIA narrowly over Sam Lord's Castle. If this race was at the Curragh I'd call it the other way round. I think the John Oxx charge just has a little more to offer and with Johnny Murtagh, a more considerable jockey booking. If they both go off odds against and I have a little to play with, I may well back them both.
TENNIS
Another little Yankee, this time on the boys.
Mardy Fish to beat Rafael Nadal - If Fish produces the game he produced to beat Berdych in the last round then he would stretch a fully fit Nadal. Doubts are there over Nadals fitness and given the niggels Del Potro gave him a nasty runaround in an epic clash on Monday night.
Andy Murray to beat Feliciano Lopez - I have Lopez in my antepost book as he was massively overpriced at treble figure odds. I just think Murray looks different this year. He looks more intelligent for starters, he's not winning a point with a drop shot then trying that shot 15 times in the next 20 rallies. He coped with the backhand of Gasquet by mixing up his game. I predict Lopez to push him all the way but I think Murray just has something about him where he could get beat in the final this year rather than the semis!
Roger Federer to beat Jo-Wilfred Tsonga - Federer is a different class. That's it.
Bernard Tomic to beat Novak Djokovic - The "surprise package" of this years Wimbledon. (inverted commas are for the fact he pushed Lleyton Hewitt to 5 sets as a 16 year old) Tomic has absolutely blown everyone he has met out of the water. The guy has a massive serve and has beaten Malisse, Soderling and Davydenko in straight sets, all big scalps at Wimbledon. I've been waiting for Novak to falter since his winning run ended and I think this could be the shock of the tournament.
That's it for today. Hope you all have a good day.
Good Luck and Happy Punting
Profit yesterday -£3.00 Rolling 7 Day profit £5.80 Profit for month June £15.38
All profit is calculated to a £1 level stake - winnings exclusive of stake
Remember all my tips are free and will remain so, if you wish to support me for my time, you can do so by joining The Online Betting guide (a free tipping competion) via the link at the top of the page, or by clicking on any of the ads. All ads are provided and verified by Google.
HORSE RACING
PERTH
350 Gordon Elliot's ST KILLIANS RUN seemed to enjoy every inch of the step up in trip last time and is taken to go one better of a similar mark today. The obvious danger is Peter Bowen's Sun Tzu but he has climbed 17lb this month alone and I think the handicapper would love to finally have the measure of him.
CATTERICK
400 A massive price NAP for you here. CAPABLE GUEST looks a staying type on evidence and generally keeps going until the line. He has beaten, and on considerable terms with, a lot of these who reoppose today. I think he is a solid each way chance at worst, but if he is in the mix come the 2 furlong mark then he will outstay the field to bring home a monster price NAP. Victor Chandler and William Hill both quote 16/1 at present.
WORCESTER
410 CRYSTAL ROCK for Nicky Henderson and AP McCoy is taken to improve on third over C&D when last seen, that day he was beaten by 2 very good and consistent types. Big Robert appeals most as a danger here, with the favourite Suburban Bay being dropped in trip and having a 12lb rise in weight to deal with.
FAIRYHOUSE
700 I'm going to take a chance with CURL CAT here. Needed the run when first seen this year after nearly a year off, second run can also be excused on ground he did not handle. Ground is better today and when on form he was a very consistent sort, regularly in the frame. I take him to get back to form today.
730 CLAIMH SOLAIS is massively overpriced here on classic form. Boylesports are going 9/1 on a filly who finished 4th in the 1000 guineas and Pretty Polly, she takes a weight for age pull and no penalties for her group form as she has narrowly missed out on placings. Obviously Emulous makes appeal having beaten R.Ascot winner Lolly for Dolly last time out, but she concedes a whole stone to the selection.
800 MOUNTAIN PRIDE is taken on value over Buccaneer Bob here, he won a similar event over distance with similar ground at Leopardstown last time out, a race in which the second has gone on to win a better event.
830 This is a horrible, nasty race. Nothing has form that says Pick me, Pick me. I'm going with VIA DEL CORSO, he has form and weight over some that he has opposed before and on that alone I make a tentative selection.
900 Another tricky one, I'm taking KASTANIA narrowly over Sam Lord's Castle. If this race was at the Curragh I'd call it the other way round. I think the John Oxx charge just has a little more to offer and with Johnny Murtagh, a more considerable jockey booking. If they both go off odds against and I have a little to play with, I may well back them both.
TENNIS
Another little Yankee, this time on the boys.
Mardy Fish to beat Rafael Nadal - If Fish produces the game he produced to beat Berdych in the last round then he would stretch a fully fit Nadal. Doubts are there over Nadals fitness and given the niggels Del Potro gave him a nasty runaround in an epic clash on Monday night.
Andy Murray to beat Feliciano Lopez - I have Lopez in my antepost book as he was massively overpriced at treble figure odds. I just think Murray looks different this year. He looks more intelligent for starters, he's not winning a point with a drop shot then trying that shot 15 times in the next 20 rallies. He coped with the backhand of Gasquet by mixing up his game. I predict Lopez to push him all the way but I think Murray just has something about him where he could get beat in the final this year rather than the semis!
Roger Federer to beat Jo-Wilfred Tsonga - Federer is a different class. That's it.
Bernard Tomic to beat Novak Djokovic - The "surprise package" of this years Wimbledon. (inverted commas are for the fact he pushed Lleyton Hewitt to 5 sets as a 16 year old) Tomic has absolutely blown everyone he has met out of the water. The guy has a massive serve and has beaten Malisse, Soderling and Davydenko in straight sets, all big scalps at Wimbledon. I've been waiting for Novak to falter since his winning run ended and I think this could be the shock of the tournament.
That's it for today. Hope you all have a good day.
Good Luck and Happy Punting
Profit yesterday -£3.00 Rolling 7 Day profit £5.80 Profit for month June £15.38
All profit is calculated to a £1 level stake - winnings exclusive of stake
Remember all my tips are free and will remain so, if you wish to support me for my time, you can do so by joining The Online Betting guide (a free tipping competion) via the link at the top of the page, or by clicking on any of the ads. All ads are provided and verified by Google.
Monday 27 June 2011
Tuesday 28th June - Can't be worse than yesterday!
I think the less said about yesterday the better, we did land a treble in the tennis, Tomic, Fish and Paszek.
But Diddley-squat on the horses. 2 NR's, 2 Seconds and a Third. None of which at acceptable prices. So it was back to the drawing board today. It's always painful to draw a complete blank, not only on the financial aspect but also it dents the pride somewhat, it has you second guessing your system, the same system that is comfortably in profit for the month. Essentially I think it was a case of Monday being Monday.
Today I have 8 selections across 4 meetings, + a yankee in the tennis(essentially I'm just going to try to predict who will win each match today as there are only 4). Predictions for Tour De France and Copa America are being prepared and will probably be done Wednesday night while my wife teaches her birthing classes.
BRIGHTON
300 Brighton is a track where course form plays a large part. For that reason I have gone with INTEGRIA. He has won only twice on turf and both coming in 3 visits to this track. He is only 1lb up from last C&D win as he carried a 6lb penalty that occassion. Definately worth a go at a value price.
330 I'm siding with the reliable Gosden/Buick combination here. POLPERRO is clearly progressive wth figures of 432 and should have the measure of these today. Miss Excel could be a cheeky little outsider having been here before but no real form from that race.
HAMILTON
315 SAVE THE BEES is the selection here, did nothing as a 2 year old and struugled in maiden company this year, yet launched straight into Handicapping with a course and distance win 2 weeks ago. With only one win in this sphere and with him not being straightforward getting home, there is no evidence to suggest that the handicapper has a handle on him and could well be good for one more.
345 CASINO NIGHT(NAP) has to deal with a 6lb penalty for C&D win last thursday. The slightly better ground may help with overcoming that. The lightly race Circle of Angels for the in-form Mark Johnston yard has to be the main danger.
SOUTHWELL
600 I don't think any of the experienced horses offer a lot up here and I'm going to side with the newcomer from Mark Johnston VOCIFEROUS. The stable is in terrific form and in Royston Ffrench they have a very undervalued jockey(imo). Out of a Cherry Hinton winner so distance should suit.
730 I'm going with BOOGIE WALTZER here, the handicapper put him down 1lb for a pretty game 3rd last time where the trip seemed to get the better of him, back down to 5f today and also back down to C&D winning mark. However, this race is a real conundrum as you could make a case for everything involved but I'm sticking here.
STRATFORD
740 LIFE OF A LUSO, missed out on landing the hattrick here when falling at the last, last time out. He looked every inch the winner that day and as long as he doesn't remember the fence when he gets there this time he has every chance. Definately on the upgrade if he wins this it will be interesting where connections send him next.
810 I've gone for a big outsider to finish the day off. NETHER STREAM has suffered from errors in races that on paper look stronger than this one. He was a C&D winner at the back end of last year in a better event than this, if he gets rid of the mistakes then he is a big price fancy, as long as nothing gets pulled out you will get paid 4 places for this race and with the favourite hardly being the most consistent sort, this one has every chance of finishing us off with a big price place at least.
TENNIS
My little yankee for today
Lisicki to beat Bartoli
Pironkova to beat Kvtova
Paszek to beat Azarenka
Sharapova to beat Cibulkova
best average prices from sportingbet.
That's that for today. Hopefully we'll have a better day than yesterday.
Good luck and Happy punting.
Profit yesterday -£7.00 Rolling 7 Day Profit £7.55 Profit for June £18.38
All profit calculated to a £1 level stake - winnings exclusive of stake
Remember these tips are free and will remain so, I will not ask for paypal donations. If you want to reward me for my time then click on any of the ads, or join the Online Betting Guide using the link at the top of the page. All ads powered and provided by Google.
But Diddley-squat on the horses. 2 NR's, 2 Seconds and a Third. None of which at acceptable prices. So it was back to the drawing board today. It's always painful to draw a complete blank, not only on the financial aspect but also it dents the pride somewhat, it has you second guessing your system, the same system that is comfortably in profit for the month. Essentially I think it was a case of Monday being Monday.
Today I have 8 selections across 4 meetings, + a yankee in the tennis(essentially I'm just going to try to predict who will win each match today as there are only 4). Predictions for Tour De France and Copa America are being prepared and will probably be done Wednesday night while my wife teaches her birthing classes.
BRIGHTON
300 Brighton is a track where course form plays a large part. For that reason I have gone with INTEGRIA. He has won only twice on turf and both coming in 3 visits to this track. He is only 1lb up from last C&D win as he carried a 6lb penalty that occassion. Definately worth a go at a value price.
330 I'm siding with the reliable Gosden/Buick combination here. POLPERRO is clearly progressive wth figures of 432 and should have the measure of these today. Miss Excel could be a cheeky little outsider having been here before but no real form from that race.
HAMILTON
315 SAVE THE BEES is the selection here, did nothing as a 2 year old and struugled in maiden company this year, yet launched straight into Handicapping with a course and distance win 2 weeks ago. With only one win in this sphere and with him not being straightforward getting home, there is no evidence to suggest that the handicapper has a handle on him and could well be good for one more.
345 CASINO NIGHT(NAP) has to deal with a 6lb penalty for C&D win last thursday. The slightly better ground may help with overcoming that. The lightly race Circle of Angels for the in-form Mark Johnston yard has to be the main danger.
SOUTHWELL
600 I don't think any of the experienced horses offer a lot up here and I'm going to side with the newcomer from Mark Johnston VOCIFEROUS. The stable is in terrific form and in Royston Ffrench they have a very undervalued jockey(imo). Out of a Cherry Hinton winner so distance should suit.
730 I'm going with BOOGIE WALTZER here, the handicapper put him down 1lb for a pretty game 3rd last time where the trip seemed to get the better of him, back down to 5f today and also back down to C&D winning mark. However, this race is a real conundrum as you could make a case for everything involved but I'm sticking here.
STRATFORD
740 LIFE OF A LUSO, missed out on landing the hattrick here when falling at the last, last time out. He looked every inch the winner that day and as long as he doesn't remember the fence when he gets there this time he has every chance. Definately on the upgrade if he wins this it will be interesting where connections send him next.
810 I've gone for a big outsider to finish the day off. NETHER STREAM has suffered from errors in races that on paper look stronger than this one. He was a C&D winner at the back end of last year in a better event than this, if he gets rid of the mistakes then he is a big price fancy, as long as nothing gets pulled out you will get paid 4 places for this race and with the favourite hardly being the most consistent sort, this one has every chance of finishing us off with a big price place at least.
TENNIS
My little yankee for today
Lisicki to beat Bartoli
Pironkova to beat Kvtova
Paszek to beat Azarenka
Sharapova to beat Cibulkova
best average prices from sportingbet.
That's that for today. Hopefully we'll have a better day than yesterday.
Good luck and Happy punting.
Profit yesterday -£7.00 Rolling 7 Day Profit £7.55 Profit for June £18.38
All profit calculated to a £1 level stake - winnings exclusive of stake
Remember these tips are free and will remain so, I will not ask for paypal donations. If you want to reward me for my time then click on any of the ads, or join the Online Betting Guide using the link at the top of the page. All ads powered and provided by Google.
Sunday 26 June 2011
Monday 27th June
Well after a massive Saturday, Sunday was a step back really. We hit the bar a few times and each way players will have gone home happy. My reading of the Grand Prix was entirely wrong. Although it was the least eventful Grand Prix I have ever watched and I feel that a couple of hours of my life have gone astray.
Yesterday we found winners at 4/9, 9/4, and 10/3. But also places at 10/1, 16/1, 25/1, 9/1 and 7/1.
Profit yest -£3.97 Rolling 7 Day Profit £12.55 Monthly Profit for June £25.38
All Profit calculated to a level £1 - winnings exclusive of stake.
Today is a bit of an anticlimax after the weekend. The best grade of race at present has 3 runners, i say at present because 1 of them won yesterday so chances are won't go again today.
PONTEFRACT
215 Amazing Blue Sky - Amateur Lady Riders Race + Serena Brotherton = Winner
445 Kinlonrannach - Was progressive as a maiden, struggled with initial handicap mark. Down 5lb now.
WOLVERHAMPTON
330 Befortyfour(NAP) - Massively dropped in class, with 100% All weather record to boot. Can't see how this could lose.
430 Jordaura - Dropped into claiming company, has won better events than this, and on surface.
WINDSOR
640 Alupka - Richard Hannon sends out 3 here, I'm going with the unraced one.
710 Anjomarba - Finished in the frame over half his runs, with a 30% All time win rate. Has won better events than this.
740 Crew Cut - Looked to have shaken greeness on second appearance, and step back up to 6 should suit, progressive looking sort.
MUSSELBURGH
825 Beneath - 4th over C&D last time in lady riders event. That contained some decent sorts. Questions to answer but this is easier.
925 See the Storm - Put in a big run in higher company last time to place, takes this on just 3lb higher than recent winning mark.
That's the lot for today. I almost forgot to mention my 123 for the Derby finished 321 so any shrewdy's involved in Combination Tricast action will be 160 x unit stake better off.
TENNIS
Tomic
Gasquet
Fish
Ferrer
Petrova
Paszek
Doubles and Trebles.
Times up, have to go. Tour De France preview should be ready Thursday at the latest.
Have a good day, good luck and Happy Punting.
Yesterday we found winners at 4/9, 9/4, and 10/3. But also places at 10/1, 16/1, 25/1, 9/1 and 7/1.
Profit yest -£3.97 Rolling 7 Day Profit £12.55 Monthly Profit for June £25.38
All Profit calculated to a level £1 - winnings exclusive of stake.
Today is a bit of an anticlimax after the weekend. The best grade of race at present has 3 runners, i say at present because 1 of them won yesterday so chances are won't go again today.
PONTEFRACT
215 Amazing Blue Sky - Amateur Lady Riders Race + Serena Brotherton = Winner
445 Kinlonrannach - Was progressive as a maiden, struggled with initial handicap mark. Down 5lb now.
WOLVERHAMPTON
330 Befortyfour(NAP) - Massively dropped in class, with 100% All weather record to boot. Can't see how this could lose.
430 Jordaura - Dropped into claiming company, has won better events than this, and on surface.
WINDSOR
640 Alupka - Richard Hannon sends out 3 here, I'm going with the unraced one.
710 Anjomarba - Finished in the frame over half his runs, with a 30% All time win rate. Has won better events than this.
740 Crew Cut - Looked to have shaken greeness on second appearance, and step back up to 6 should suit, progressive looking sort.
MUSSELBURGH
825 Beneath - 4th over C&D last time in lady riders event. That contained some decent sorts. Questions to answer but this is easier.
925 See the Storm - Put in a big run in higher company last time to place, takes this on just 3lb higher than recent winning mark.
That's the lot for today. I almost forgot to mention my 123 for the Derby finished 321 so any shrewdy's involved in Combination Tricast action will be 160 x unit stake better off.
TENNIS
Tomic
Gasquet
Fish
Ferrer
Petrova
Paszek
Doubles and Trebles.
Times up, have to go. Tour De France preview should be ready Thursday at the latest.
Have a good day, good luck and Happy Punting.
Saturday 25 June 2011
Sunday 26th June - Irish Derby and European F1 Grand Prix
No Wimbledon today so we'll look briefly at the Formula 1. We'll get to that later. Yesterday got off to a slow start but picked up with a vengeance mid-afternoon. We bagged just the seven winners at 8/11 5/2 7/2 4/1 5/1 11/2 and 14/1.
Profit Stats. Saturday +£22.22, Rolling 7 days +£20.02, June +£29.35
(all profit is calculated to a level £1, winnings exclusive of stake)
A "quick" look at the Irish Derby first
350 CURRAGH
Carlton House - Winner of Dante at 1m2f, 3rd in English equivalent at 1m4f. Excuses made on that run but never going pace of winner. For me he needs the ground to keep drying out, I don't think he's a natural stayer and any cut in the ground will hamper. The bookies best friend should be kind again, but not without a chance.
Dunboyne Express - Won 2 group 3's at 6f and 1m, latter on ground similar today. 2 previous Group 1 efforts have found him needing more, for me neither of those efforts over 1m would suggest that he'd want further and possibly the only one I could write off with any confidence. (He'll probably go and win now)
Memphis Tennessee - 2 most recent runs have belied his odds when second to Recital in a Derby trial and then went on to jump the field at Epsom before being headed 200 yards out. Similar tactics could really pay off here with the ground cut to cutting, Watch Memphis Tennessees run in the English Derby than watch Misty for Me beat Midday in the Pretty Polly yesterday. See how it could work.
Native Khan - Very impressive winner of the Craven stakes, and where 3rd and 5th in the 2000 guineas and Derby, to his credit kept going on both occasions when evidently beaten. Given that heart he stands as a big each way chance today. Will be interesting to see if he takes to the ground but seems to have a very steady engine.
Notable Graduate - The real Dark Horse in the field. Winner over Distance on ground similar to this. Maiden win came over 1m4 on yielding ground and was very impressive that occasion, won a better event next time out and narrowly missed out his progressive hattrick last time out. Handles trip and ground but this is a massive step up in class so any confidence is taken on trust.
Roderic O'Connor - The Irish 2000 guineas winner sidestepped the English Derby to tackle the French version, left found wanting for a mile and 2 on soft ground and that run suggests that conditions today will not suit. It seems interesting that Joseph O'Brien rode him to Guineas glory yet takes on Memphis today, (I know he rode Memphis in English Derby) I expect he was given the choice.
Seville - Seville will handle the ground, the trip is the question. The big question to myself is can I afford to get my fingers burnt a third time on him. The little angel on my left shoulder says let him be, the little devil on my right shoulder says he owes you money. In his favour is the number of times an Irish Horse who underperforms in an English classic comes home and lands the Irish version convincingly - see Misty for Me and Roderic O'Connor in the guineas this year as 2 shining examples. Ladbrokes go 7/1 so an each way chance.
Treasure Beach - Should be favourite, Chester Vase form has gone thorugh the roof with his 2nd in the Derby, Slumbers 3rd in the Hampton Court(Tercentenary stakes) and the impressive victory from Nathaniel in the King Edward VII. He will most likely be the first to begin the chase to draw in Memphis Tennessee and as long as he handles the ground(irish trained horses usually have an advantage over english when cut in the ground) then no reason he can't get the jump on market rivals.
Right I'm going to make a decision now.
1. Memphis Tennessee
2. Seville
3. Treasure Beach
1-2-3 Aidan O'Brien
Other Selections Today
CURRAGH
210 Lilbourne Lad - Richard Hughes stated in his RP column that he is coming across to ride this one.
240 Bay Knight - Massive field, anything could happen, should handle ground at big price.
310 Inxile - Class horse in the race, should be too good for these.
430 Top Spin - Should handle ground, stays all day.
500 Penitent - A nice double for Richard Hughes will make the trip worthwile
530 Boynagh Joy - Massively overpriced in a competitve race.
SALISBURY
445 Eureka - Impressive winner at Nottingham on debut, been awaiting reappearance
515 Gatewood - Looked good on debut, should have this his own way
UTTOXETER
420 Ballyvesey - Stable in form, should go trip, big chance at double figure early's
525 Some Catch - Taken on hurdle form in a field of useful chasers.
WINDSOR
400 Guru Girl - Outclassed last time but back down in class should suit today.
435 Guilded Warrior - C&D winner, versatile on various trips and ground, taken as value over favourite.
EUROPEAN GRAND PRIX
I'm just going to tell you what I'm backing, the reason why is that qualifying rules have changed, the cars have to qualify at what ios essentially race pace. I'm taking on Red Bull becasue they needed more laps than any team other than Ferrari to post their best laps. I've taken my selections from those that found their race pace relatively quickly, hopefully it works.
RACE WINNER
Lewis Hamilton (totesport 4/1)
Jenson Button E/w (Victor Chandler 16/1 3 places)
PODIUM FINISH
Jenson Button (Willian Hill 9/4)
Nico Roseberg (widespread 16/1)
POINTS FINISH
Sebastien Buemi (4/1 in places)
Hope you have a good day, good luck and happy punting.
If you fancy winning free money for posting winning tips join the league at OLBG via the link at the top of the page. Also where some tipsters/bloggers will ask for donations for winning tips all I ask is that you support me by clicking an ad from time to time. All links are provided and verified by Google and should be relevant to my blog.
Profit Stats. Saturday +£22.22, Rolling 7 days +£20.02, June +£29.35
(all profit is calculated to a level £1, winnings exclusive of stake)
A "quick" look at the Irish Derby first
350 CURRAGH
Carlton House - Winner of Dante at 1m2f, 3rd in English equivalent at 1m4f. Excuses made on that run but never going pace of winner. For me he needs the ground to keep drying out, I don't think he's a natural stayer and any cut in the ground will hamper. The bookies best friend should be kind again, but not without a chance.
Dunboyne Express - Won 2 group 3's at 6f and 1m, latter on ground similar today. 2 previous Group 1 efforts have found him needing more, for me neither of those efforts over 1m would suggest that he'd want further and possibly the only one I could write off with any confidence. (He'll probably go and win now)
Memphis Tennessee - 2 most recent runs have belied his odds when second to Recital in a Derby trial and then went on to jump the field at Epsom before being headed 200 yards out. Similar tactics could really pay off here with the ground cut to cutting, Watch Memphis Tennessees run in the English Derby than watch Misty for Me beat Midday in the Pretty Polly yesterday. See how it could work.
Native Khan - Very impressive winner of the Craven stakes, and where 3rd and 5th in the 2000 guineas and Derby, to his credit kept going on both occasions when evidently beaten. Given that heart he stands as a big each way chance today. Will be interesting to see if he takes to the ground but seems to have a very steady engine.
Notable Graduate - The real Dark Horse in the field. Winner over Distance on ground similar to this. Maiden win came over 1m4 on yielding ground and was very impressive that occasion, won a better event next time out and narrowly missed out his progressive hattrick last time out. Handles trip and ground but this is a massive step up in class so any confidence is taken on trust.
Roderic O'Connor - The Irish 2000 guineas winner sidestepped the English Derby to tackle the French version, left found wanting for a mile and 2 on soft ground and that run suggests that conditions today will not suit. It seems interesting that Joseph O'Brien rode him to Guineas glory yet takes on Memphis today, (I know he rode Memphis in English Derby) I expect he was given the choice.
Seville - Seville will handle the ground, the trip is the question. The big question to myself is can I afford to get my fingers burnt a third time on him. The little angel on my left shoulder says let him be, the little devil on my right shoulder says he owes you money. In his favour is the number of times an Irish Horse who underperforms in an English classic comes home and lands the Irish version convincingly - see Misty for Me and Roderic O'Connor in the guineas this year as 2 shining examples. Ladbrokes go 7/1 so an each way chance.
Treasure Beach - Should be favourite, Chester Vase form has gone thorugh the roof with his 2nd in the Derby, Slumbers 3rd in the Hampton Court(Tercentenary stakes) and the impressive victory from Nathaniel in the King Edward VII. He will most likely be the first to begin the chase to draw in Memphis Tennessee and as long as he handles the ground(irish trained horses usually have an advantage over english when cut in the ground) then no reason he can't get the jump on market rivals.
Right I'm going to make a decision now.
1. Memphis Tennessee
2. Seville
3. Treasure Beach
1-2-3 Aidan O'Brien
Other Selections Today
CURRAGH
210 Lilbourne Lad - Richard Hughes stated in his RP column that he is coming across to ride this one.
240 Bay Knight - Massive field, anything could happen, should handle ground at big price.
310 Inxile - Class horse in the race, should be too good for these.
430 Top Spin - Should handle ground, stays all day.
500 Penitent - A nice double for Richard Hughes will make the trip worthwile
530 Boynagh Joy - Massively overpriced in a competitve race.
SALISBURY
445 Eureka - Impressive winner at Nottingham on debut, been awaiting reappearance
515 Gatewood - Looked good on debut, should have this his own way
UTTOXETER
420 Ballyvesey - Stable in form, should go trip, big chance at double figure early's
525 Some Catch - Taken on hurdle form in a field of useful chasers.
WINDSOR
400 Guru Girl - Outclassed last time but back down in class should suit today.
435 Guilded Warrior - C&D winner, versatile on various trips and ground, taken as value over favourite.
EUROPEAN GRAND PRIX
I'm just going to tell you what I'm backing, the reason why is that qualifying rules have changed, the cars have to qualify at what ios essentially race pace. I'm taking on Red Bull becasue they needed more laps than any team other than Ferrari to post their best laps. I've taken my selections from those that found their race pace relatively quickly, hopefully it works.
RACE WINNER
Lewis Hamilton (totesport 4/1)
Jenson Button E/w (Victor Chandler 16/1 3 places)
PODIUM FINISH
Jenson Button (Willian Hill 9/4)
Nico Roseberg (widespread 16/1)
POINTS FINISH
Sebastien Buemi (4/1 in places)
Hope you have a good day, good luck and happy punting.
If you fancy winning free money for posting winning tips join the league at OLBG via the link at the top of the page. Also where some tipsters/bloggers will ask for donations for winning tips all I ask is that you support me by clicking an ad from time to time. All links are provided and verified by Google and should be relevant to my blog.
Saturday 25th June - Group Races all round!
Woke up, thought I might get up have a look at the racing and pick a couple of winners, one look at the ATR website and I considered going back to bed for a lay in and giving up. There are a lot, and I mean A LOT of cracking races today. Time will not allow me to give full reasoning behind all my selections as I have picked out 22 bets today, plus my customary tennis doubles. We could have a barnstormer. Yesterday we bagged Ostland 3/1 and Famous Name 4/5, plus anyone going to Newmarket was given Certral 7/4 and Ellemujie 5/1 (although I backed neither myself) In the tennis we have a double with Lopez 3.7 and Azarenka 1.57 with both running onto the unfinished Paszek at 2.375( currently 1 set each with the selection 3-2 on serve in the third). Shall we get started.
NEWMARKET
215 My Propeller - Hugely impressive last time out, should follow.
245 Cavalryman - Performed at a higher level than this, perhaps needed the run last time out.
320 The Cheka (NB) - Well overpriced on early's, in form of his life
355 Sirens Song - Should be very interesting on Handicap debut, looks a great mark considering run in oaks
430 Burj Nahar - Been off for nearly 2 years, taken to beat half-brother Zain Shamardal
505 Dark Promise - Half sister of the battling boys in the previous, first run for Roger Varian
NEWCASTLE
200 Regal Parade - Beat beaten by Delgator and The Cheka last twice, ready to win, ground should suit.
230 Arganil - Ground should suit and big each way chance.
305 Activate - Overturn won this from a wide draw, would be great for Hayley to grab a win in this grade.
340 Captain Ramius - Watched this outrun odds of 33's at Newmarket last, can go better into place at least
WINDSOR
255 Nationalism - Drops into listed, any rain would not hamper chances
330 Norville - Course and Distance winner, mark may still be a wee bit high but an each way squeak
400 Berling - This is taken to win after close second to Royal Ascot winner last time at Epsom
CURRAGH
300 Somasach - Dropped down in class, and struggled in Group 2, has a lively chance today
335 Midday(NAP) - This was almost a 2 horse race, but Snow Fairy has gone.
410 Red Cadeaux - Very unlucky in running last time out, big chance here at value price.
CHESTER
345 Bertie Whittle - Drawn well and been very consistent
420 Lucky Numbers - has won on heavy ground, overpriced
DONCASTER
745 Stella Point - Dropped a long way back in class to break maiden tag
850 Alensgrove - Better treated than some of these in the weights.
LINGFIELD
550 Arabian Falcon - Been on the improve each start, blinkers tried today for first time.
725 Viewing - Won on only visit to all weather, have a crack at 2/2 today.
TENNIS
5 selections in 10 doubles as usual
Pennetta
Simon
Melzer
Lu
Youzhny
And anyone who followed in my golf tips Webb Simpson sits 2nd and Chris Couch 1 shot off top 10 with half his 2nd round to play.
As always Good Luck and Happy punting, remeber you win I win, you lose I lose. Don't forget the link the OLBG at the top if you fancy winning prizes for free, just by posting tips. And to keep my tips coming for free (they may not be the best tips all the time but my time does cost) click on an ad or two.
Have a great day.
Guy
NEWMARKET
215 My Propeller - Hugely impressive last time out, should follow.
245 Cavalryman - Performed at a higher level than this, perhaps needed the run last time out.
320 The Cheka (NB) - Well overpriced on early's, in form of his life
355 Sirens Song - Should be very interesting on Handicap debut, looks a great mark considering run in oaks
430 Burj Nahar - Been off for nearly 2 years, taken to beat half-brother Zain Shamardal
505 Dark Promise - Half sister of the battling boys in the previous, first run for Roger Varian
NEWCASTLE
200 Regal Parade - Beat beaten by Delgator and The Cheka last twice, ready to win, ground should suit.
230 Arganil - Ground should suit and big each way chance.
305 Activate - Overturn won this from a wide draw, would be great for Hayley to grab a win in this grade.
340 Captain Ramius - Watched this outrun odds of 33's at Newmarket last, can go better into place at least
WINDSOR
255 Nationalism - Drops into listed, any rain would not hamper chances
330 Norville - Course and Distance winner, mark may still be a wee bit high but an each way squeak
400 Berling - This is taken to win after close second to Royal Ascot winner last time at Epsom
CURRAGH
300 Somasach - Dropped down in class, and struggled in Group 2, has a lively chance today
335 Midday(NAP) - This was almost a 2 horse race, but Snow Fairy has gone.
410 Red Cadeaux - Very unlucky in running last time out, big chance here at value price.
CHESTER
345 Bertie Whittle - Drawn well and been very consistent
420 Lucky Numbers - has won on heavy ground, overpriced
DONCASTER
745 Stella Point - Dropped a long way back in class to break maiden tag
850 Alensgrove - Better treated than some of these in the weights.
LINGFIELD
550 Arabian Falcon - Been on the improve each start, blinkers tried today for first time.
725 Viewing - Won on only visit to all weather, have a crack at 2/2 today.
TENNIS
5 selections in 10 doubles as usual
Pennetta
Simon
Melzer
Lu
Youzhny
And anyone who followed in my golf tips Webb Simpson sits 2nd and Chris Couch 1 shot off top 10 with half his 2nd round to play.
As always Good Luck and Happy punting, remeber you win I win, you lose I lose. Don't forget the link the OLBG at the top if you fancy winning prizes for free, just by posting tips. And to keep my tips coming for free (they may not be the best tips all the time but my time does cost) click on an ad or two.
Have a great day.
Guy
Friday 24 June 2011
Friday 24th June - Horses, Wimbledon and Newmarket Nights
Well here we are again, after 2 days off it's back to work for me today. I'm expecting my boss today so that will disrupt my viewing of Wimbledon. We got 1 winner on the horses yesterday and 3/5 on the tennis so as much as it wasn't a glowing success, it wasn't a greek tragedy either. I shall not go too much into today as time is against me but here are my selections
MARKET RASEN
210 HUCKING HERO took a similar event to this last month but came across a nag who seems to enjoy beating him last time. No Baccaulaureate in the field today and the selection shouldn't have to find any more to win this.
350 The selection here is for OSTLAND. Ostland was a decent hurdler but is 2/2 since being switched up to chasing. Nothing suggests that the handicapper has been cruel for his debut under this code and is taken to beat a field of inconsistent, at best, sorts.
NEWCASTLE
650 My preference is for PIANO marginally over Cracking Lass, the selection is on a rapid rise and should know what this level is about now after having a crack at Warwick last time out, worry is the ground and that basis I'd prefer the latter who will relish any rain and is a positive Each Way play.
725 PERFECT BLOSSOM has been marching up the grades and should now be sharper for a run. Given that last time out can be excused and the ground is no issue I'd expect her to end up in the same place she did on her last and only visit here, the winners enclosure.
NEWMARKET
630 GAMILATI(NAP) is the selection here. Beaten by the fast finishing Regal Realm last time out, yet the one behind him Samitar went on to win the Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot. This should be a penalty kick although we don't know a lot about the newcomers from the Gosden and Hannon yards which may well have something to say. But I'm prepared to Nap Gamilati under Derby winning jockey Barzalona.
805 ANEEDAH is dropped in class here and I think that could be significant. Very inconsistent but on form of her second at Ascot 2 starts ago has a big chance. Winner has since won a Group 3 and Third has taken 2 listed contests. She takes 4lb off her older rivals and I fancy a big run from her tonight. Stable is in great form at the moment.
CHESTER
745 CAPTIVATOR is taken to continue the progress. Drawn well on the rails and with James Fanshawes horses in cracking form. Took to handicapping like a duck to water last time out and will be no surprise to see her up contesting serious money before the end of the season, now that she has found her distance.
815 LAYLAS HERO has been seemingly in freefall since winning a listed event off a mark of 103. The important stat here is that his last win in handincap company came off of 83 and today has found his way down to 82. This is an easier event than he has been contesting, he should handle the ground and Cathy Gannon is bound to give him a strong ride.
CURRAGH
730 The first big race of Irish Derby weekend is going to the punters. FAMOUS NAME has a 50% strike rate on all starts. For a horse at this level that is phenomenal, found 1m3 a bit too far last time but that day was behind the steam engine that is So You Think so the pace would have been high for the trip. Will go off odds on but a chance for the punters to take something aroung 8/11, 4/6 when this one usually gets sent off 1/5 or less.
NEWMARKET NIGHTS
Know a couple of people going tonight and they asked me for tips, so I had a quick look through and this is what I'd have a little time waster on tonight if I was there.
600 Negotiation
630 GAMILATI(NAP)
705 Certral
735 Mokalif
805 ANEEDAH(NB)
840 Ellemujie
910 Lucky Art
TENNIS
Boylesports are my Wimbledon bookie today for my doubles. I think we made a teency weency profit yesterday so that's good, hoping to go a bit better today.
Feliciano Lopez to beat Andy Roddick 27/10
Elena Baltacha to beat Shuai Peng 8/5
Victoria Azarenka to beat Daniela Hantuchova 4/7 (head over heart bet. hope I'm wrong)
Svetlana Kuznetsova to beat Yanina Wickmayer 8/15
Tamira Paszek to beat Francesca Schiavone 11/8
As always these are my selections, if you win I win, if you lose I lose. Have a good day, happy punting.
If you fancy yourself as a tipster then join the league at OLBG, click the link above. And if you. have a minute to spare and fancy a look at any of the links, feel free it keeps the tips coming at no cost.
Good Luck.
MARKET RASEN
210 HUCKING HERO took a similar event to this last month but came across a nag who seems to enjoy beating him last time. No Baccaulaureate in the field today and the selection shouldn't have to find any more to win this.
350 The selection here is for OSTLAND. Ostland was a decent hurdler but is 2/2 since being switched up to chasing. Nothing suggests that the handicapper has been cruel for his debut under this code and is taken to beat a field of inconsistent, at best, sorts.
NEWCASTLE
650 My preference is for PIANO marginally over Cracking Lass, the selection is on a rapid rise and should know what this level is about now after having a crack at Warwick last time out, worry is the ground and that basis I'd prefer the latter who will relish any rain and is a positive Each Way play.
725 PERFECT BLOSSOM has been marching up the grades and should now be sharper for a run. Given that last time out can be excused and the ground is no issue I'd expect her to end up in the same place she did on her last and only visit here, the winners enclosure.
NEWMARKET
630 GAMILATI(NAP) is the selection here. Beaten by the fast finishing Regal Realm last time out, yet the one behind him Samitar went on to win the Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot. This should be a penalty kick although we don't know a lot about the newcomers from the Gosden and Hannon yards which may well have something to say. But I'm prepared to Nap Gamilati under Derby winning jockey Barzalona.
805 ANEEDAH is dropped in class here and I think that could be significant. Very inconsistent but on form of her second at Ascot 2 starts ago has a big chance. Winner has since won a Group 3 and Third has taken 2 listed contests. She takes 4lb off her older rivals and I fancy a big run from her tonight. Stable is in great form at the moment.
CHESTER
745 CAPTIVATOR is taken to continue the progress. Drawn well on the rails and with James Fanshawes horses in cracking form. Took to handicapping like a duck to water last time out and will be no surprise to see her up contesting serious money before the end of the season, now that she has found her distance.
815 LAYLAS HERO has been seemingly in freefall since winning a listed event off a mark of 103. The important stat here is that his last win in handincap company came off of 83 and today has found his way down to 82. This is an easier event than he has been contesting, he should handle the ground and Cathy Gannon is bound to give him a strong ride.
CURRAGH
730 The first big race of Irish Derby weekend is going to the punters. FAMOUS NAME has a 50% strike rate on all starts. For a horse at this level that is phenomenal, found 1m3 a bit too far last time but that day was behind the steam engine that is So You Think so the pace would have been high for the trip. Will go off odds on but a chance for the punters to take something aroung 8/11, 4/6 when this one usually gets sent off 1/5 or less.
NEWMARKET NIGHTS
Know a couple of people going tonight and they asked me for tips, so I had a quick look through and this is what I'd have a little time waster on tonight if I was there.
600 Negotiation
630 GAMILATI(NAP)
705 Certral
735 Mokalif
805 ANEEDAH(NB)
840 Ellemujie
910 Lucky Art
TENNIS
Boylesports are my Wimbledon bookie today for my doubles. I think we made a teency weency profit yesterday so that's good, hoping to go a bit better today.
Feliciano Lopez to beat Andy Roddick 27/10
Elena Baltacha to beat Shuai Peng 8/5
Victoria Azarenka to beat Daniela Hantuchova 4/7 (head over heart bet. hope I'm wrong)
Svetlana Kuznetsova to beat Yanina Wickmayer 8/15
Tamira Paszek to beat Francesca Schiavone 11/8
As always these are my selections, if you win I win, if you lose I lose. Have a good day, happy punting.
If you fancy yourself as a tipster then join the league at OLBG, click the link above. And if you. have a minute to spare and fancy a look at any of the links, feel free it keeps the tips coming at no cost.
Good Luck.
Wednesday 22 June 2011
Thursday 23rd June - Some horses, and another crack at Wimbledon
Yesterday we bagged the NAP which ws handy as would have been left emptyhanded for a third day on the bounce otherwise. My tennis selections all put up admirable shows but unfortunately their superior opponents weren't looking to help me out! I've got 6 horses for you all today plus another 5 tennis matches to stick in doubles.
NEWCASTLE
320 CHARLIE COOL is one that is always put into conideration for this sort of event and today may just be the one that finds him right. He's 1lb lower than his last winning mark after steadily creeping down the wights. He has put in some decent efforts on ground softer than good in the past so can be taken on that also. I must admit I was hoping to pull this one out when studying due to my son being named Charlie.
FFOS LAS
345 SPACE TELESCOPE had his first run for 313 days last month at Market Rasen when beaten by the impressive Speedy Directa. Has every chance now the cobwebs have been blown off and the distance should be fine given his 100% record when running over it.
455 HORSFORD has a lot of errors in his game but showed when taking a beginners chase at Worcester, by no less thanm 70 lengths, that he could well be a force to be reckoned with. If he doesn't make too many errors he wins this.
WARWICK
405 I backed SWEETIE TIME at Ascot and although Hayley Turner got a decent tune out of her, I think she found the class of opponent and the step up in trip a bit too much that day, (I know I said that it would suit on that occassion, I was wrong) back down to 7f here, I don't think she deserves to be an outsider with some decent form in the book. Would maybe like a little rain.
LEICESTER
640 CLEAR ICE(NAP) I've napped Clear Ice because I have made tentative selections all round today. This is an amateur lady riders handicap. I'll give you a tip for these, look down the list for Serena Brotherton, if she is booked on a horse that looks like it has any chance at all of winning then back it.
740 A seller! After a little skim through the race I found that ORCHID STREET is a massive class dropper and if he can take some of the form from higher events (some of it has been very poor) than has a massive chance as effectively head and shoulders the best horse in the race.
Onto the tennis.
Boylesports are the best average price for these today.
Xavier Malisse to beat Florian Mayer 8/13
Rik De Voest to beat Fernando Gonzalez 17/8
Nadia Petrova to beat Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 11/8
Tamira Paszek to beat Christina McHale 1/2
Anastasia Yakimova to beat Melinda Czink 8/5
As always I hope you have luck wherever you put your hard earned cash. If you like to look at the ads then please have a little click, that keeps the tips coming for free. Also if you fancy joining me as a tipster on the Online Betting Guide then sign up through the link above. And for my insights throughout the day follow me on twitter @GSPCCOYS.
Have a good day, good luck and Happy Punting.
NEWCASTLE
320 CHARLIE COOL is one that is always put into conideration for this sort of event and today may just be the one that finds him right. He's 1lb lower than his last winning mark after steadily creeping down the wights. He has put in some decent efforts on ground softer than good in the past so can be taken on that also. I must admit I was hoping to pull this one out when studying due to my son being named Charlie.
FFOS LAS
345 SPACE TELESCOPE had his first run for 313 days last month at Market Rasen when beaten by the impressive Speedy Directa. Has every chance now the cobwebs have been blown off and the distance should be fine given his 100% record when running over it.
455 HORSFORD has a lot of errors in his game but showed when taking a beginners chase at Worcester, by no less thanm 70 lengths, that he could well be a force to be reckoned with. If he doesn't make too many errors he wins this.
WARWICK
405 I backed SWEETIE TIME at Ascot and although Hayley Turner got a decent tune out of her, I think she found the class of opponent and the step up in trip a bit too much that day, (I know I said that it would suit on that occassion, I was wrong) back down to 7f here, I don't think she deserves to be an outsider with some decent form in the book. Would maybe like a little rain.
LEICESTER
640 CLEAR ICE(NAP) I've napped Clear Ice because I have made tentative selections all round today. This is an amateur lady riders handicap. I'll give you a tip for these, look down the list for Serena Brotherton, if she is booked on a horse that looks like it has any chance at all of winning then back it.
740 A seller! After a little skim through the race I found that ORCHID STREET is a massive class dropper and if he can take some of the form from higher events (some of it has been very poor) than has a massive chance as effectively head and shoulders the best horse in the race.
Onto the tennis.
Boylesports are the best average price for these today.
Xavier Malisse to beat Florian Mayer 8/13
Rik De Voest to beat Fernando Gonzalez 17/8
Nadia Petrova to beat Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 11/8
Tamira Paszek to beat Christina McHale 1/2
Anastasia Yakimova to beat Melinda Czink 8/5
As always I hope you have luck wherever you put your hard earned cash. If you like to look at the ads then please have a little click, that keeps the tips coming for free. Also if you fancy joining me as a tipster on the Online Betting Guide then sign up through the link above. And for my insights throughout the day follow me on twitter @GSPCCOYS.
Have a good day, good luck and Happy Punting.
Golf - The Travellers Championship
The Travellers championship will be played at the TPC River Highlands Course, I thought I'd share my limited golf knowledge with you all. Not a tournament for the tiny stakes punter this, I'm afraid. The TPC River course finds itself outside the 30 most difficult courses on the tour. I like to look for how somebody is going to win this and the pivotal holes are the par 5's and the drivable par 4. That took me to thinking well surely the best players of par 5's will be up there with a shot. So that's my system.
My 4 main selections will be
Hunter Mahan widely available at 14/1
Bubba Watson widely available at 20/1
Webb Simpson available at 28/1
JB Holmes 50/1 in places
These 4 are right up there with the best par 5 players on the tour and should relish this course.
Some bookmakers offer a First Round Leader market. I will take Sky Bets 66/1 on Spencer Levin. Spencer can often find himself up the board after Day 1 before generally throwing it away all by himself throughout the remainder. Spencer may not have featured as regularly lately but is a great par 5 player and has every chance of a good start tomorrow.
One that should outplay a treble figure price is Chris Couch. We have seen Chris feature on leaderboards a few times this season and I fancy taking on Coral's 10/1 that he finds himself in the top 10 come Sunday night.
A little bit of fun, take Sky bet's 11/10 that there will be a hole in one. There have been 6 at this course since 2004 so it happens more than not, and with the possibilty of a hole in one on the par 4 15th (296 yards) with an accurate and somewhat lucky 300 yard drive the odds are firmly in the punters favour.
Enjoy the golf and as usual good luck and happy punting.
My 4 main selections will be
Hunter Mahan widely available at 14/1
Bubba Watson widely available at 20/1
Webb Simpson available at 28/1
JB Holmes 50/1 in places
These 4 are right up there with the best par 5 players on the tour and should relish this course.
Some bookmakers offer a First Round Leader market. I will take Sky Bets 66/1 on Spencer Levin. Spencer can often find himself up the board after Day 1 before generally throwing it away all by himself throughout the remainder. Spencer may not have featured as regularly lately but is a great par 5 player and has every chance of a good start tomorrow.
One that should outplay a treble figure price is Chris Couch. We have seen Chris feature on leaderboards a few times this season and I fancy taking on Coral's 10/1 that he finds himself in the top 10 come Sunday night.
A little bit of fun, take Sky bet's 11/10 that there will be a hole in one. There have been 6 at this course since 2004 so it happens more than not, and with the possibilty of a hole in one on the par 4 15th (296 yards) with an accurate and somewhat lucky 300 yard drive the odds are firmly in the punters favour.
Enjoy the golf and as usual good luck and happy punting.
Wednesday 22nd June
Good Morning all,
yesterdays solo assault on Newton Abbott didn't pay off as Rio Gael just didn't fancy a run, it happens. Today I've got 2 each ways at Salisbury, 2 winners at Worcester, and some outrageous doubles for the tennis. We've drawn a blank 2 days in a row, but don't panic, the blog still sits at 10.33points profit.
Shall we get straight to it.
SALISBURY
350 My first selection is a little out there. It just caught my eye, bottom weight of those inside the official handicap, distance winner, and best run since that win came on soft ground. No form, direct or indirect versus any of these so no fears in the race. In a very open contest where you can make a case for a lot of inconsistent types I think it's worth having a stab at LINNENS STAR. Victor Chandler is kindly offering 16/1 at present and I shall have to take him up on his offer.
420 Another each way chance, another bottom weight, and another that should handle the cut in the ground. Clive Cox and Luke Morris team up aboard SLIGHT ADVANTAGE. Massively up in class but was third in a maiden behind Blue Bunting. Soft Ground form reads 21 so every chance of a place here. Bet 365 are the offer here at 20/1
WORCESTER
400 KANGAROO COURT is the selection here but I also like Great Mates each way. The selection is dropped down to this grade for the first time since winning in it, before going on a run of cup events. Will like the ground as long as it stays firm-ish. 6/1 readily available, win is the bet.
430 SUNDAY CITY(NAP) is taken to bring this home. Up seven pounds for a win at Aintree LTO but main danger Perfect Reward has an eight pound hike to contend with. A versatile performer in all codes on all grounds this should be taken to follow up for in form trainer Peter Bowen.
Onto the tennis:
I've looked at the womens draw and picked out some crazy bets. Well not so much crazy, more well priced. I shall combine 5 ladies in 10 doubles and Blue Square have the best average prices using Oddschecker.com's accumulator creator.
Petra Martic to beat Tsvetana Pironkova 13/8 - Pironkova is the bottom seed and had little resistance from the french qualifier she disposed of in the first round. Whereas Martic came thorugh a very tricky encounter with Wimbledon ever present Vania King. Martic will be more battle ready and is taken as the value in the tie.
Elena Vesnina to beat Vera Zvonareva 10/3 - I think Vesnina is a fair price here, Alison Riske pushed Zvonareva hard and Vesnina is a far better player than her. This one should go to 3 sets and nerves will pay, there is a lot of pressure on Zvonareva as last years finalist and I think that showed through at times in the first round.
Pauline Parmentier to beat Ksenia Pervak 6/5 - I'll be honest I don't know a lot about world number 89 Pervak. Well I know she beat number 22 seed Shahia Peer 2-1 in the first round. Pauline Parmentia however destroyed Sorana Cirstea dropping only 3 or 4 games(I think, I don't have the stats in front of me right now). Pervak is favourite because she beat a seed, but Parmentier is higher ranked and we have to rememer that Cirstea was hotly tipped to reach the higher echelons of the womens game only a couple of years ago.
Alexandra Dulgheru to beat Svetlana Kuznetsova 3/1 - Kuznetsova isn't getting any younger, and although still inside the top 20, is on the drift. Dulgheru looked very well in disposing of American Jill Craybas in the first round and could well spring the shock today.
Stephanie Dubois to beat Andrea Petkovic 8/1 - This is the wildest of claims but the young french girl made the most of her lucky loser berth by getting rid of Falconi in straight sets. The girl who beat her in qualifying pushed Daniela Hantuchova all the way. I think the french girl has a chance here. She looks up for the challenge and taking advantage of her second chance, she will be by no means a pushover.
Right that'll do for me. A day of watching tennis beckons I think. Hope if you follow me in that we win, but if you don't hopefully I win!
Have a good day, good luck and happy punting.
yesterdays solo assault on Newton Abbott didn't pay off as Rio Gael just didn't fancy a run, it happens. Today I've got 2 each ways at Salisbury, 2 winners at Worcester, and some outrageous doubles for the tennis. We've drawn a blank 2 days in a row, but don't panic, the blog still sits at 10.33points profit.
Shall we get straight to it.
SALISBURY
350 My first selection is a little out there. It just caught my eye, bottom weight of those inside the official handicap, distance winner, and best run since that win came on soft ground. No form, direct or indirect versus any of these so no fears in the race. In a very open contest where you can make a case for a lot of inconsistent types I think it's worth having a stab at LINNENS STAR. Victor Chandler is kindly offering 16/1 at present and I shall have to take him up on his offer.
420 Another each way chance, another bottom weight, and another that should handle the cut in the ground. Clive Cox and Luke Morris team up aboard SLIGHT ADVANTAGE. Massively up in class but was third in a maiden behind Blue Bunting. Soft Ground form reads 21 so every chance of a place here. Bet 365 are the offer here at 20/1
WORCESTER
400 KANGAROO COURT is the selection here but I also like Great Mates each way. The selection is dropped down to this grade for the first time since winning in it, before going on a run of cup events. Will like the ground as long as it stays firm-ish. 6/1 readily available, win is the bet.
430 SUNDAY CITY(NAP) is taken to bring this home. Up seven pounds for a win at Aintree LTO but main danger Perfect Reward has an eight pound hike to contend with. A versatile performer in all codes on all grounds this should be taken to follow up for in form trainer Peter Bowen.
Onto the tennis:
I've looked at the womens draw and picked out some crazy bets. Well not so much crazy, more well priced. I shall combine 5 ladies in 10 doubles and Blue Square have the best average prices using Oddschecker.com's accumulator creator.
Petra Martic to beat Tsvetana Pironkova 13/8 - Pironkova is the bottom seed and had little resistance from the french qualifier she disposed of in the first round. Whereas Martic came thorugh a very tricky encounter with Wimbledon ever present Vania King. Martic will be more battle ready and is taken as the value in the tie.
Elena Vesnina to beat Vera Zvonareva 10/3 - I think Vesnina is a fair price here, Alison Riske pushed Zvonareva hard and Vesnina is a far better player than her. This one should go to 3 sets and nerves will pay, there is a lot of pressure on Zvonareva as last years finalist and I think that showed through at times in the first round.
Pauline Parmentier to beat Ksenia Pervak 6/5 - I'll be honest I don't know a lot about world number 89 Pervak. Well I know she beat number 22 seed Shahia Peer 2-1 in the first round. Pauline Parmentia however destroyed Sorana Cirstea dropping only 3 or 4 games(I think, I don't have the stats in front of me right now). Pervak is favourite because she beat a seed, but Parmentier is higher ranked and we have to rememer that Cirstea was hotly tipped to reach the higher echelons of the womens game only a couple of years ago.
Alexandra Dulgheru to beat Svetlana Kuznetsova 3/1 - Kuznetsova isn't getting any younger, and although still inside the top 20, is on the drift. Dulgheru looked very well in disposing of American Jill Craybas in the first round and could well spring the shock today.
Stephanie Dubois to beat Andrea Petkovic 8/1 - This is the wildest of claims but the young french girl made the most of her lucky loser berth by getting rid of Falconi in straight sets. The girl who beat her in qualifying pushed Daniela Hantuchova all the way. I think the french girl has a chance here. She looks up for the challenge and taking advantage of her second chance, she will be by no means a pushover.
Right that'll do for me. A day of watching tennis beckons I think. Hope if you follow me in that we win, but if you don't hopefully I win!
Have a good day, good luck and happy punting.
Monday 20 June 2011
Tuesday 21st June - The 705 @ Newton Abbott
A complete blank yesterday, Brynfa Boy stayed on to be a game third after finding bother round the first bend, and Buxfizz was just not up for the task last night. My Tennis was even weaker with 3/3 selections that played yesterday going down in a blaze of glory, 2 of them in straight sets. I'm going to leave Wimbledon alone today and have a crack at te second round when everyone has played a game. I've just picked 1 selection today - hence the name of the blog - the 705 at Newton Abbott. A 5 runner Novice Chase and it is by far the best race on offer today!
We might as well have a little look at all the runners :
Wakeboard - The drop in trip shouldn't hinder too much but the double penatly for his 2 wins over 2m4 within the last 6 weeks just might. AP McCoy is an interesting jockey booking with a 50% strike rate when riding for this trainer.
Al Qeddaff - Will want to make the running, like wakeboard struggled when last in this grade but another Jockey/Trainer combo that sees a few winning posts. Will be tested if anything contests for the lead but if allowed own way has a massive chance.
RIO GAEL - The selection has won at this level and has a 50% strike rate over this trip, has put in some big runs at higher grades and that experience should see him work these out, at 5/1 the clear value in the race.
Bermuda Boy - Has form on good to soft which makes him a major player today. Been consistent over hurdles, the only hamper for this one is that it is his first test over fences.
Tarkari - Was a top class hurdler but never really took to chasing on his debut, given another chance on softer ground, which should suit, and by no means no chance. A live outsider with the evident ability to spoil the party.
With the Tote jackpot pool at about 650,000 in the rollover, it should surpass £1,000,000 quite easily today, I though it might be fun to offer up a little perm for you. I'd like to advise that I'm not going to put this on myself, I just thought I'd see how close I'd get. I may well find a bridge if I get it right, but we'll see.
The jackpot is at Newbury tonight and the 540 is an arab race so does not count for tote purposes.
race 1 : 7 - 8
race 2 : 10 - 13
race 3 : 1 - 3
race 4 : 11 - 12
race 5 : 1 - 6
race 6 : 1 - 5
Good luck, happy punting and unless my picks come in for the jackpot I'll see you in the morning. Remember the best way to get my thoughts through the day is to follow me on twitter @GSPCCOYS.
We might as well have a little look at all the runners :
Wakeboard - The drop in trip shouldn't hinder too much but the double penatly for his 2 wins over 2m4 within the last 6 weeks just might. AP McCoy is an interesting jockey booking with a 50% strike rate when riding for this trainer.
Al Qeddaff - Will want to make the running, like wakeboard struggled when last in this grade but another Jockey/Trainer combo that sees a few winning posts. Will be tested if anything contests for the lead but if allowed own way has a massive chance.
RIO GAEL - The selection has won at this level and has a 50% strike rate over this trip, has put in some big runs at higher grades and that experience should see him work these out, at 5/1 the clear value in the race.
Bermuda Boy - Has form on good to soft which makes him a major player today. Been consistent over hurdles, the only hamper for this one is that it is his first test over fences.
Tarkari - Was a top class hurdler but never really took to chasing on his debut, given another chance on softer ground, which should suit, and by no means no chance. A live outsider with the evident ability to spoil the party.
With the Tote jackpot pool at about 650,000 in the rollover, it should surpass £1,000,000 quite easily today, I though it might be fun to offer up a little perm for you. I'd like to advise that I'm not going to put this on myself, I just thought I'd see how close I'd get. I may well find a bridge if I get it right, but we'll see.
The jackpot is at Newbury tonight and the 540 is an arab race so does not count for tote purposes.
race 1 : 7 - 8
race 2 : 10 - 13
race 3 : 1 - 3
race 4 : 11 - 12
race 5 : 1 - 6
race 6 : 1 - 5
Good luck, happy punting and unless my picks come in for the jackpot I'll see you in the morning. Remember the best way to get my thoughts through the day is to follow me on twitter @GSPCCOYS.
Monday 20th June
We made a little profit yesterday, were generally unlucky with Red Cadeaux in running for the depleted double. The blog stats now sit at a profit of 13.33points to a level stake. Only 2 selections today. So win singles and an each way double should do the trick. The racing is pretty poor today really although a monster pool of over 300,000 in the jackpot at Windsor tonight should make it a bit more interesting. Given the evening start to the Jackpot I estimate a pot of around 800,000 come race 1, so plenty of interest for totepool players.
My selections
KEMPTON
315 BRYNFA BOY a pretty inconsistent sort on turf, just seen once this year and gave little account of himself after a lengthy beak, back today after what looks to be his optimum break (35-45 days) and on an all weather surface. His all weather form reads 112 over the last 3 races and has a big chance today. Only slight doubt is that he is still on an all time high mark but should cope with that now off the turf.
WINDSOR
810 BUXFIZZ has been running in some very good races, His last 3 races have produced 7 next time out winners, now 1lb below his last winning mark with the jockey taking off a further 3lb claim, this looks to be a terrific chance to take the money. 3 places still offering 7/1 makes each way appeal for players of that game also.
I promised a little look at Wimbledon but I confess I haven't really looked into it too hard. I will give you a little bit of my insight each day, but we'll have a quick tip up for day 1.
Tommy Haas looks a decent bet at odds against versus Gilles Muller. The German may be well down the rankings lately but he has always saved his best tennis and done well at the All-England club.
Potito Starace could be a tentative take against the out of form Stanislas Warwinka, given Warwrinka's poor performance at Queens Starace looks very overpriced at 365's 6/1
Jelena Dokic seems to be getting back to her best form and is taken at odds against to beat Francesca Schiavone on what is arguably the Italians weakest surface. Schiavone will be disappointed from missing out on her best chance of a grand slam and will get a very tough game today.
Make a yankee with second round regular Vania King to book her place by beating Petra Martic.
My selections
KEMPTON
315 BRYNFA BOY a pretty inconsistent sort on turf, just seen once this year and gave little account of himself after a lengthy beak, back today after what looks to be his optimum break (35-45 days) and on an all weather surface. His all weather form reads 112 over the last 3 races and has a big chance today. Only slight doubt is that he is still on an all time high mark but should cope with that now off the turf.
WINDSOR
810 BUXFIZZ has been running in some very good races, His last 3 races have produced 7 next time out winners, now 1lb below his last winning mark with the jockey taking off a further 3lb claim, this looks to be a terrific chance to take the money. 3 places still offering 7/1 makes each way appeal for players of that game also.
I promised a little look at Wimbledon but I confess I haven't really looked into it too hard. I will give you a little bit of my insight each day, but we'll have a quick tip up for day 1.
Tommy Haas looks a decent bet at odds against versus Gilles Muller. The German may be well down the rankings lately but he has always saved his best tennis and done well at the All-England club.
Potito Starace could be a tentative take against the out of form Stanislas Warwinka, given Warwrinka's poor performance at Queens Starace looks very overpriced at 365's 6/1
Jelena Dokic seems to be getting back to her best form and is taken at odds against to beat Francesca Schiavone on what is arguably the Italians weakest surface. Schiavone will be disappointed from missing out on her best chance of a grand slam and will get a very tough game today.
Make a yankee with second round regular Vania King to book her place by beating Petra Martic.
Saturday 18 June 2011
Sunday 19th June - Back to Reality
Well after a fantastic week it's back to reality today. I think we can claim a relative success at Royal Ascot, the blog selections are in profit £9.83 to a £ level stake for the month and I don't think that is much different from the start of the Royal Meeting. We got Power, Frankel and Canford Cliffs on Tuesday, I'm claiming Lolly for Dolly and Rewilding on Wednesday, Just Brown Panther on Thursday, Friday we landed Nathaniel and Manassas, and then Maybe, Await the Dawn and a perfect call on Swingkeel yesterday. Happy with that. Tomorrow we'll have a look at Wimbledon just for something a bit different. But today I'm just going for 3 selections.
HEXHAM
400 MASKA PONY gets the vote, mildly up in class after a game effort in second behind the classy Speedy Directa last time out. Graham Lee takes the saddle so will surely get a tune out of the horse. Shaped last time that a little further may well suit so has been stepped up, A lot of decent horses in this so wouldn't put you off any but my choice is made.
PONTEFRACT
340 Initially I sided with the favourite Dhaamer but then looked further in and found the value in Tom Dascombe's ZENNOR. The filly from the in form yard ran on assertively to land a contest over 1m1 two starts ago and suggests on that evidence that 1m2 will be a good trip to try. Last time out was a solid second under the owner, that was just 2 days ago and no weight penalty from that leaves her taking weight off all her rivals. Has every chance today going very fresh and represents value against the favourite.
410 In this I fancy RED CADEAUX to take the spoils. A proven stayer, he will handle the stiff finish at Pontefract, took a similar event at Hamilton last month and looks to be ready to go on a little run of big efforts, Ed Dunlop is a pretty consistent trainer and given the weightings would probably not have put this one here if without a chance.
I'm going to stick these in a Round Robin with an Each Way treble on top just to be a bit different.
Good Luck if you are following me or with your own selections. And Happy Punting.
HEXHAM
400 MASKA PONY gets the vote, mildly up in class after a game effort in second behind the classy Speedy Directa last time out. Graham Lee takes the saddle so will surely get a tune out of the horse. Shaped last time that a little further may well suit so has been stepped up, A lot of decent horses in this so wouldn't put you off any but my choice is made.
PONTEFRACT
340 Initially I sided with the favourite Dhaamer but then looked further in and found the value in Tom Dascombe's ZENNOR. The filly from the in form yard ran on assertively to land a contest over 1m1 two starts ago and suggests on that evidence that 1m2 will be a good trip to try. Last time out was a solid second under the owner, that was just 2 days ago and no weight penalty from that leaves her taking weight off all her rivals. Has every chance today going very fresh and represents value against the favourite.
410 In this I fancy RED CADEAUX to take the spoils. A proven stayer, he will handle the stiff finish at Pontefract, took a similar event at Hamilton last month and looks to be ready to go on a little run of big efforts, Ed Dunlop is a pretty consistent trainer and given the weightings would probably not have put this one here if without a chance.
I'm going to stick these in a Round Robin with an Each Way treble on top just to be a bit different.
Good Luck if you are following me or with your own selections. And Happy Punting.
Saturday 18th June - Final Day of Royal Ascot :-(
After the Hype, Hypnotism, Horses and Hats the Royal meeting comes to a close today for another year. My success rate has been as follows Tues 3 winners, Weds 2 winners, Thurs 1 winner, Fri 2 winners - and as I'm a firm believer in symmetry we will be looking for 3 winners today! I got very wet at Newmarket last night but Jools Holland was suberb, the ground didn't cut as quickly as I'd have liked so no success there although did pick Kingscroft from the paddock so that eased the pain somewhat. If all my selections are correct today then get your bets on Ryan Moore top jockey, I give him his 2 wins today with none for Hughsie. Back to reality tomorrow so let's get on with the selections for today shall we?
ROYAL ASCOT
230 MAYBE looked a monster when landing her maiden at Naas without ever looking threatened, she attains 5lb from the boys here but I don't think she needs it, trickily drawn but I think she'll run her own race, Irish horses like a bit of mud and she should find that in abundance with the ground already soft and scattered showers predicted from about 11am. Some that make each way appeal with regards to form into the Coventry are Bounty Seeker, Singalat and Esentepe.
305 AWAIT THE DAWN should be taken to land Ryan Moore a quick double, he has destroyed Group 3 fields on his last 2 starts and looks ready to step up to the plate here, will have no worries with the ground as won on soft on his debut, if anything it could turn out to be a preference. Laaheb makes the most each way appeal for me although the jockey is a turn off. Passion for gold landed a decent event on heavy going in france and showed this trip was no problem last time out when landing a listed event at Goodwood.
345 I have Delegator and Bated Breath antepost although there is still doubts whether the former will run. Hitchens looks a massive price having been knocking on the door for a while before landing a group 3 event at the Curragh on the Irish guineas meeting. I'm siding with BEWITCHED. Has won on Soft ground, but the real eyecatcher is his last time out, eased down 1 and half length victory over Zoffany, the horse that almost became a bookie best friend when chasing down Frankel to a head. That landed him a hattrick of group 3 contests and now steps up to try to land a group 1. Johnny Murtagh won this last year and takes the ride on the selection today.
425 I've taken the same tactics that landed me Manassas yesterday. I've got one here that is comfortably drawn, should handle the conditions and will run on from behind, which seems to be the modus operandi for winning this week. MACS POWER is by no means a tentative selection, big price.
500 I want to like Sharaayeen in this but the jockey puts me off, horse should be could enough to take a place though. One I really like at a good price however, is HEDDWYN, put in a good performance on heavy 2 starts ago when keeping on in behind Green Destiny over a mile, stepped up to a mile quarter last time out and finished well suggesting further would be fine, the step in trip and soft ground may well find him out, but i think he could be a decent mile halfer and take my chance today.
535 A tricky Queen Alexandra, OVERTURN won't have it as comfortable as in the Chester Cup, and similar tactics will probably be used, this time he will be taken on for the lead by Degas Art or Not Til Monday. We'll be able to tell pretty early on if he's going to win or not, and in running players could side with a hold up sort such as Swingkeel.
Other selections today
AYR
220 Margot Did
250 Barney Rebel
325 Mango Music
515 High Office
REDCAR
320 Frognal
NEWMARKET
340 Apace
Good Luck, Happy Punting.
ROYAL ASCOT
230 MAYBE looked a monster when landing her maiden at Naas without ever looking threatened, she attains 5lb from the boys here but I don't think she needs it, trickily drawn but I think she'll run her own race, Irish horses like a bit of mud and she should find that in abundance with the ground already soft and scattered showers predicted from about 11am. Some that make each way appeal with regards to form into the Coventry are Bounty Seeker, Singalat and Esentepe.
305 AWAIT THE DAWN should be taken to land Ryan Moore a quick double, he has destroyed Group 3 fields on his last 2 starts and looks ready to step up to the plate here, will have no worries with the ground as won on soft on his debut, if anything it could turn out to be a preference. Laaheb makes the most each way appeal for me although the jockey is a turn off. Passion for gold landed a decent event on heavy going in france and showed this trip was no problem last time out when landing a listed event at Goodwood.
345 I have Delegator and Bated Breath antepost although there is still doubts whether the former will run. Hitchens looks a massive price having been knocking on the door for a while before landing a group 3 event at the Curragh on the Irish guineas meeting. I'm siding with BEWITCHED. Has won on Soft ground, but the real eyecatcher is his last time out, eased down 1 and half length victory over Zoffany, the horse that almost became a bookie best friend when chasing down Frankel to a head. That landed him a hattrick of group 3 contests and now steps up to try to land a group 1. Johnny Murtagh won this last year and takes the ride on the selection today.
425 I've taken the same tactics that landed me Manassas yesterday. I've got one here that is comfortably drawn, should handle the conditions and will run on from behind, which seems to be the modus operandi for winning this week. MACS POWER is by no means a tentative selection, big price.
500 I want to like Sharaayeen in this but the jockey puts me off, horse should be could enough to take a place though. One I really like at a good price however, is HEDDWYN, put in a good performance on heavy 2 starts ago when keeping on in behind Green Destiny over a mile, stepped up to a mile quarter last time out and finished well suggesting further would be fine, the step in trip and soft ground may well find him out, but i think he could be a decent mile halfer and take my chance today.
535 A tricky Queen Alexandra, OVERTURN won't have it as comfortable as in the Chester Cup, and similar tactics will probably be used, this time he will be taken on for the lead by Degas Art or Not Til Monday. We'll be able to tell pretty early on if he's going to win or not, and in running players could side with a hold up sort such as Swingkeel.
Other selections today
AYR
220 Margot Did
250 Barney Rebel
325 Mango Music
515 High Office
REDCAR
320 Frognal
NEWMARKET
340 Apace
Good Luck, Happy Punting.
Friday 17 June 2011
Friday 17th June - Royal Ascot Day 4
Well Brown Panther saved face last night with a tremendous victory, a couple of decent places (Dorcas Lane 10/1, Opinion Poll 16/1, and Cai Shen 20/1) kept our heads above water. Today I think the bookies could be running for cover, they got smashed to pieces yesterday with the F&G gamble and I think we will see a couple of jollies firing home again today. I have picked selections for Royal Ascot and Newmarket(as I shall be there tonight) plus a couple elsewhere, I'm going to have to keep my reasoning short as I need to get ready for work!
ROYAL ASCOT
230 Jim Bolger's filly TEOLANE looks a class sort in this. She easily won a listed event last time out and the comfort of that win suggests she will handle this little step up quite comfortably. Lily's Angel makes appeal with some good form in the book, and Switcher from the Tom Dascombe yard has to make appeal given the form of the stable over the last couple of days, Micheal Owen tweeted that any rain will aid the cause.
305 NATHANIEL'S head defeat in the Chester Vase looks tremendous form given that the winner stepped up to finish second in the Derby, This race is knowhere near the class of the Derby and Nathaniel should take this in his sleep. There are a few that make appeal in behind, Glens Diamond and Alexander Pope up in class and trip, and Genius Beast and World Domination if last time runs can be forgiven.
345 I have Memory and I Love Me in my TenToFollow so hope they win, Memory owes me a lot of money and I'm not prepared to dip my toe in today just incase her stall issues haven't been rectified (remember Sariska-it happens) Theyskens Theaory is one i backed last time she won and was very impressive that day, In a miracle that the sun comes out and dries up the ground then More Than Real makes appeal with good form in the book but she needs better ground. The winner will be an Irish horse, I really like Claimh Solais tipped her up for a big run in the Irish 1000 guineas and she delivered in a close 4th, but I think the winner will be TOGETHER, I gave her a solid write up for the 1000 guineas which she'd have won for me but for Frankie diving up the line and mugging me, then I fancied her for the Irish 1000 but gave Misty for Me as the Danger, guess what happened. It's third time lucky for Together today, the race should be run at a strong pace and that will suit.
425 I'm going to let the bookies have this one, obviously the favourite Green Destiny makes appeal having been scratched from the Hunt Cup in favour of today, Godolphin's lost in the moment makes big appeal with soft ground form and Mickael Barzalona on board, but I'm going for SHAMALI. Has form against some very good horses, unsure as to how he will handle the going but he won a listed event at Kempton on the Polytrack so has versatility. The booking of Ryan Moore speaks volumes of his chances and with Ladbrokes going 14/1 is a massive each way chance, Stan James only 8/1.
500 I gave Eternal Heart as a danger yesterday but he was pulled out and placed here instead, that obvously gives him a chance but the preference is for stablemate Namibian. Had to give away 16lb to the former last time they met and on level terms today. Even said my selection is for REGENT STREET from Aidan O'Brien, the irish horses have started coming into their own now the rain has come, and I can see the bookies running for cover again.
535 Just one bold selection here for MANASSAS. Has been knocking on the door of late, has put in a couple of big runs on ground softer than good and has every chance of a big run at a big price.
NEWMARKET
The going at the moment is Good to Firm, Firm in places. The weather forecast is rain all afternoon until late in the evening, I fear I am going to get very wet tonight but if I can make a few pounds in the process perhaps I'll be able to buy a towel!
I've tried to pick them with form on slower ground, I can't go into it because I'm seriously running out of time so I'll just give my selections. I will be tweeting anything that catches my eye from the track tonight.
600 Ilie Nastase
630 King Kurt
705 Elite
735 Cinta
810 Masked Dance
840 Buglers Dream
910 Rylee Mooch
Others
Redcar 400 - Piazza San Pietro
Goodwood 755 - Plato
Limerick 710 - Bob Le Beau
Good Luck and Happy Punting.
ROYAL ASCOT
230 Jim Bolger's filly TEOLANE looks a class sort in this. She easily won a listed event last time out and the comfort of that win suggests she will handle this little step up quite comfortably. Lily's Angel makes appeal with some good form in the book, and Switcher from the Tom Dascombe yard has to make appeal given the form of the stable over the last couple of days, Micheal Owen tweeted that any rain will aid the cause.
305 NATHANIEL'S head defeat in the Chester Vase looks tremendous form given that the winner stepped up to finish second in the Derby, This race is knowhere near the class of the Derby and Nathaniel should take this in his sleep. There are a few that make appeal in behind, Glens Diamond and Alexander Pope up in class and trip, and Genius Beast and World Domination if last time runs can be forgiven.
345 I have Memory and I Love Me in my TenToFollow so hope they win, Memory owes me a lot of money and I'm not prepared to dip my toe in today just incase her stall issues haven't been rectified (remember Sariska-it happens) Theyskens Theaory is one i backed last time she won and was very impressive that day, In a miracle that the sun comes out and dries up the ground then More Than Real makes appeal with good form in the book but she needs better ground. The winner will be an Irish horse, I really like Claimh Solais tipped her up for a big run in the Irish 1000 guineas and she delivered in a close 4th, but I think the winner will be TOGETHER, I gave her a solid write up for the 1000 guineas which she'd have won for me but for Frankie diving up the line and mugging me, then I fancied her for the Irish 1000 but gave Misty for Me as the Danger, guess what happened. It's third time lucky for Together today, the race should be run at a strong pace and that will suit.
425 I'm going to let the bookies have this one, obviously the favourite Green Destiny makes appeal having been scratched from the Hunt Cup in favour of today, Godolphin's lost in the moment makes big appeal with soft ground form and Mickael Barzalona on board, but I'm going for SHAMALI. Has form against some very good horses, unsure as to how he will handle the going but he won a listed event at Kempton on the Polytrack so has versatility. The booking of Ryan Moore speaks volumes of his chances and with Ladbrokes going 14/1 is a massive each way chance, Stan James only 8/1.
500 I gave Eternal Heart as a danger yesterday but he was pulled out and placed here instead, that obvously gives him a chance but the preference is for stablemate Namibian. Had to give away 16lb to the former last time they met and on level terms today. Even said my selection is for REGENT STREET from Aidan O'Brien, the irish horses have started coming into their own now the rain has come, and I can see the bookies running for cover again.
535 Just one bold selection here for MANASSAS. Has been knocking on the door of late, has put in a couple of big runs on ground softer than good and has every chance of a big run at a big price.
NEWMARKET
The going at the moment is Good to Firm, Firm in places. The weather forecast is rain all afternoon until late in the evening, I fear I am going to get very wet tonight but if I can make a few pounds in the process perhaps I'll be able to buy a towel!
I've tried to pick them with form on slower ground, I can't go into it because I'm seriously running out of time so I'll just give my selections. I will be tweeting anything that catches my eye from the track tonight.
600 Ilie Nastase
630 King Kurt
705 Elite
735 Cinta
810 Masked Dance
840 Buglers Dream
910 Rylee Mooch
Others
Redcar 400 - Piazza San Pietro
Goodwood 755 - Plato
Limerick 710 - Bob Le Beau
Good Luck and Happy Punting.
Thursday 16 June 2011
Thursday 16th June - Royal Ascot Day 3 - Gold Cup Day
Yesterday was almost a disaster for the black type selections in the blog, but for Thirteen Shivers preventing a blank late last night at Ripon! I'd implore you to read between the lines as I picked Rewilding as the main threat to So You Think and also declared my admiration for Lolly for Dolly, plus gave an each way for Dance and Dance. Some tricky races today but I have admiration for a few going today and will try to keep it simple. The "non-obvious" draw bias that has seen all the winners on the straight course come from the high numbers, bar the Dascombe 2yo late yesterday evening, may be levelled out today with the rain and we may well see a shift to the low numbers to be sure I'll try to find a couple from each side in the monster handicap later.
230 The Norfolk Stakes - Bapak Chinta obviously merits respect from winning the maiden that produced Frederik Engels. Right next door to him is my Each Way play Pyman's Theory from Micheal Owen and Tom Dascombe's yard. Been progressive and gave evidence towards wretched luck in York's Shirocco Stakes when impressively landing a listed event at Sandown, beating the hatrick seeking Bannock in the process. Unsure of the draw as evidence points the other side and that is why this is my Each Way play. My main selection is for EVERYDAY DAVE I figure if I keep backing the American sprinters, 1 of them will come good. This one put away a decent field at Chantilly in preparation for this and looks primed and ready. Has a lot of pace, which could be hampered by the rain if it keeps falling, and on evidence is drawn well.
305 A tricky looking Ribblesdale. Banimpire is a true favourite having landed a group 3 over the trip as recently as Sunday, but there isn't a lot of evidence as to how good that field was as yet. My selection is going to be for RUMH. I backed her when comfortably winning at Newbury last time out. She looks a lot better at 3 than at 2 and seems to be progressing well. Given the manner of victory last time the trip shouldn't be a problem at all. For an each way play I'm going to side with Dorcas Lane, a comfortable winner of the pretty polly, form has been franked by the 3rd that day landing 3rd in the Oaks. Could give the top 2 in the betting a real scare today and 8/1 looks like value to me.
345 An interesting Gold Cup as the leading fancies all have to prove their stamina. Fame and Glory, although a fantastic horse, is far too short a price for me to trust that he will stay. Duncan also a good horse and won well last time out but held on for that over 1m6 and this is a full 6 furlongs further. Holberg looked one paced when chasing BLUE BAJAN over 2m last time out at Sandown. So of the ones with a bit to prove I have to side with the selection. Finished like an express train on lst 2 efforts and suggests he will go further. I'll take 2 each ways in this, firstly Opinion Poll for Mahmood Al Zarooni. The trainer suggests that he has been preparing the horse for this and a big run in Dubai suggested he may want further. Also Chester Cup runner up Tastahil has the proven stamina and was caught out by the pace of the race on that day. The ground will be slower here and so will the race as a quick pace would not suit the big names.
425 The Brittania Stakes. Aaargh! Someone tweeted this morning "there are 28 that can win this". That shows the intensity of the task, but at 8/1 the field and some bookies paying 5 places there is value to find. It might be worth waiting until about 235 to chance your arm for this as we can see where the quicker ground is. 2 in the middle-ish that I'm looking at are EKTIBAAS and Cai Shen. The former effectively came 2nd within a legth to the impressive Dubai Queen last time out. You can ignore the winner as he ran a race of his own under a Mickael Barzalona masterclass. I was hugely impressed with the turn of foot shown by the latter 3 starts ago. While the 2 favourites where looking at each other he attacked and was away. The drop back in trip should suit and an each way player. Both are partnered by jockeys experienced enough to go the right way at the break. 1 in the high numbers I like is Kuala Limper. Seems to have a good attitude and keeps up to work even when job done and that is essential in these massive handicaps. 1 down the bottom i like is Honey of a kitten. Entitled to come on for the last run, off a break and very soft ground. This will suit better and a big chance.
500 Tough one for me this as I backed both TAZAHUM and Alkimos when they won last time out. I'm going to go with the selection because I feel he has the better form in the book. The only horse to beat him is Dual guineas runner up Dubawi Gold. Midsummer Sun merits some each way money having looked much better when winning than first time out, and a similar progression could see him a big player here.
535 I was very impressed with the way BROWN PANTHER was pushed out to win last time out, I can't see this trip being a problem and at 7/1 is worth a few of my pounds. For each ways I'm playing Charles Camoin who was a notebook winner at the Epsom meeting staying on home to get up on the line, and Eternal Heart for Mark Johnston who has proven stamina and chasing a four timer. Malthouse has form but found a couple too good at Epsom last time but I couldn't write him of under a terrific jockey from a decent draw.
I will also be backing Fighting Brave 735 Leopardstown and Tartan Gunna 400 Ripon.
Hope evryone has a good day, Happy punting and good luck.
230 The Norfolk Stakes - Bapak Chinta obviously merits respect from winning the maiden that produced Frederik Engels. Right next door to him is my Each Way play Pyman's Theory from Micheal Owen and Tom Dascombe's yard. Been progressive and gave evidence towards wretched luck in York's Shirocco Stakes when impressively landing a listed event at Sandown, beating the hatrick seeking Bannock in the process. Unsure of the draw as evidence points the other side and that is why this is my Each Way play. My main selection is for EVERYDAY DAVE I figure if I keep backing the American sprinters, 1 of them will come good. This one put away a decent field at Chantilly in preparation for this and looks primed and ready. Has a lot of pace, which could be hampered by the rain if it keeps falling, and on evidence is drawn well.
305 A tricky looking Ribblesdale. Banimpire is a true favourite having landed a group 3 over the trip as recently as Sunday, but there isn't a lot of evidence as to how good that field was as yet. My selection is going to be for RUMH. I backed her when comfortably winning at Newbury last time out. She looks a lot better at 3 than at 2 and seems to be progressing well. Given the manner of victory last time the trip shouldn't be a problem at all. For an each way play I'm going to side with Dorcas Lane, a comfortable winner of the pretty polly, form has been franked by the 3rd that day landing 3rd in the Oaks. Could give the top 2 in the betting a real scare today and 8/1 looks like value to me.
345 An interesting Gold Cup as the leading fancies all have to prove their stamina. Fame and Glory, although a fantastic horse, is far too short a price for me to trust that he will stay. Duncan also a good horse and won well last time out but held on for that over 1m6 and this is a full 6 furlongs further. Holberg looked one paced when chasing BLUE BAJAN over 2m last time out at Sandown. So of the ones with a bit to prove I have to side with the selection. Finished like an express train on lst 2 efforts and suggests he will go further. I'll take 2 each ways in this, firstly Opinion Poll for Mahmood Al Zarooni. The trainer suggests that he has been preparing the horse for this and a big run in Dubai suggested he may want further. Also Chester Cup runner up Tastahil has the proven stamina and was caught out by the pace of the race on that day. The ground will be slower here and so will the race as a quick pace would not suit the big names.
425 The Brittania Stakes. Aaargh! Someone tweeted this morning "there are 28 that can win this". That shows the intensity of the task, but at 8/1 the field and some bookies paying 5 places there is value to find. It might be worth waiting until about 235 to chance your arm for this as we can see where the quicker ground is. 2 in the middle-ish that I'm looking at are EKTIBAAS and Cai Shen. The former effectively came 2nd within a legth to the impressive Dubai Queen last time out. You can ignore the winner as he ran a race of his own under a Mickael Barzalona masterclass. I was hugely impressed with the turn of foot shown by the latter 3 starts ago. While the 2 favourites where looking at each other he attacked and was away. The drop back in trip should suit and an each way player. Both are partnered by jockeys experienced enough to go the right way at the break. 1 in the high numbers I like is Kuala Limper. Seems to have a good attitude and keeps up to work even when job done and that is essential in these massive handicaps. 1 down the bottom i like is Honey of a kitten. Entitled to come on for the last run, off a break and very soft ground. This will suit better and a big chance.
500 Tough one for me this as I backed both TAZAHUM and Alkimos when they won last time out. I'm going to go with the selection because I feel he has the better form in the book. The only horse to beat him is Dual guineas runner up Dubawi Gold. Midsummer Sun merits some each way money having looked much better when winning than first time out, and a similar progression could see him a big player here.
535 I was very impressed with the way BROWN PANTHER was pushed out to win last time out, I can't see this trip being a problem and at 7/1 is worth a few of my pounds. For each ways I'm playing Charles Camoin who was a notebook winner at the Epsom meeting staying on home to get up on the line, and Eternal Heart for Mark Johnston who has proven stamina and chasing a four timer. Malthouse has form but found a couple too good at Epsom last time but I couldn't write him of under a terrific jockey from a decent draw.
I will also be backing Fighting Brave 735 Leopardstown and Tartan Gunna 400 Ripon.
Hope evryone has a good day, Happy punting and good luck.
Wednesday 15 June 2011
Wednesday 15th June
Hopefully everyone had a great day yesterday, I called Tom Quealley as the only jockey who knew how to beat Frankel and he almost managed it. There was certainly favour for horses running on from a high draw in the big fields yesterday and with no real going change that should help narrow the fields a bit today. Well the blog picked up 68p profit per pound. Pushing June up to £9.25 per pound. Power has been cut to 12's for the 2000 guineas and the way he stayed surely accentuated my tip from yesterday. Shall we disect Tom Quealley's run, not really, that will be done all day (or at least until 230) by plenty more knowledgable persons than myself, my view is that the pacemaker was supposed to run the legs off the field so Frankel didn't have to, everyone else was wise to the plan so ran their own race, Rerouted got away by the bend, Quealley panicked and sent Frankel early. Simple as that. Right onto today.
230 We start with a very tricky looking Jersey stakes, most of these are handicappers stepped up to Group racing. I think we have to look for experience on a stage like this, and I'm actually going to make my final selection when I've written it! Strong Suit knows how to win here having taken the Coventry last year, he then placed in the Group 1 Phoenix Stakes at the Curragh. Only been seen once where he limped home behind the monster Frankel in the Greenham. He may well have needed the run but I worry that he hasn't won since this meeting last year and horses are creatures of habit, they like winning and the more they don't the harder it is. Splashpoint was the impressive winner of the Arab 2000 guineas although needed the extra furlong to reverse the form with 1 from the prior month and back down to 7 may prove a bit sharp at this grade. Codemaster was a decent winner last time out in listed company, but that form hasn't really been franked as yet and doubts on the step up in class. Fury, much was made of his 5th in the guineas but on that day a lot of horses had given up and it was open for anything to stay on for minor prize money, I called it last time out on 26th May when he was beaten by Tazahum and nothing suggests he will take this. I'm ready, my selection for this is HAVANE SMOKER. A game second in the french 2000 guineas from a poor draw, can go one better here today and connections say he is primed for the race.
305 The Windsor Forest and I'm going for a shock here, the straight mile makes the draw important. Frankie gave Sajjhaa a terrific ride when he jumped the field up the rail in the middleton when second to Midday, for me she's drawn the wrong side of the track for repeated tactics, right next to her is Lolly for Dolly, I like Lolly for Dolly, she is a game horse but has struggled to put her head in front a couple of times now, I'm not going to back her but would be happy if she won, won drawn well that could win is Newmarket Dahlia stakes winner I'm a dreamer. Will Buick takes the ride again here after getting a great tune out of her at Newmarket and watching that race and the straight course races here yesterday there are similarities that suggest she will go well. My selection is ANNA SALAI the godolphin "second string", this is by no means a pacemaker, in a race where finding the right run will be critical there is no better jockey than the young man Barzalona. He does as he's told and he does it well. Theres a chance she could be on the far side rail by herself and if she does that then for me she wins. Mickael will dive for the best ground and stay there. Skybet are offering 18/1 and they will be getting mine.
345 I love Twice Over, I don't think he is the best horse in the race, and I don't think he can go with the monster that is SO YOU THINK. Could be an interesting race as Debussy seems to be a pacemaker for Rewilding but if you ask me I think Jan Vermeer is a pacemaker for the selection. Joseph O'Brien hasn't ridden the horse before and who wouldn't want a group 1 winner as a pacemaker? The selection won 10L on Irish debut over this trip and looked hugely impressive, another 5 length win over 1m3 next time showed his class. The favourite should take this quite comfortably for me with Godolphin's Rewilding the main danger.
425 Ouch, my head hurts, I'll keep this simple, pick what you like make sure it's in stall 15 or above and get on each way with a bookies paying 5 or more places and enjoy the race. I have Start right antepost but not drawn quite well enough for me to go in again today. The 2 I like that are drawn well and potentially well off with the handicapper are Dance and Dance for Ryan Moore and the selection, another favourite of mine, KAY GEE BE for Paul Hanaghan.
500 Shumoos looks to have the angle for most of the press and bookies here. But I'm going to take another stab at a Wesley Ward sprinter, he isn't going back to America empty handed and has a great chance here, GYPSY ROBIN looks to have pace in abundance and is drawn well. Will look to make all and if he gets a jump on the field then why not?
535 I don't really know a lot about many of these fillies. The best bare form and experience looks to be Humdrum for her Maj, also Luca Cumani's Dubai Queen looks to have a chance also but I'm going to side with SWEETIE TIME for Micheal Bell and Hayler Turner. Has been shaping as if she wants a mile or maybe even further definately an Each way play in a very tricky race.
I'll also be backing Thirteen Shivers in the 820 Ripon and Majy D'Auteuil in 435 Worcester.
Hope everyone has a great day, good luck and happy punting. Working this morning but then will be sta comfortably on my sofa watching the racing this afternoon!
230 We start with a very tricky looking Jersey stakes, most of these are handicappers stepped up to Group racing. I think we have to look for experience on a stage like this, and I'm actually going to make my final selection when I've written it! Strong Suit knows how to win here having taken the Coventry last year, he then placed in the Group 1 Phoenix Stakes at the Curragh. Only been seen once where he limped home behind the monster Frankel in the Greenham. He may well have needed the run but I worry that he hasn't won since this meeting last year and horses are creatures of habit, they like winning and the more they don't the harder it is. Splashpoint was the impressive winner of the Arab 2000 guineas although needed the extra furlong to reverse the form with 1 from the prior month and back down to 7 may prove a bit sharp at this grade. Codemaster was a decent winner last time out in listed company, but that form hasn't really been franked as yet and doubts on the step up in class. Fury, much was made of his 5th in the guineas but on that day a lot of horses had given up and it was open for anything to stay on for minor prize money, I called it last time out on 26th May when he was beaten by Tazahum and nothing suggests he will take this. I'm ready, my selection for this is HAVANE SMOKER. A game second in the french 2000 guineas from a poor draw, can go one better here today and connections say he is primed for the race.
305 The Windsor Forest and I'm going for a shock here, the straight mile makes the draw important. Frankie gave Sajjhaa a terrific ride when he jumped the field up the rail in the middleton when second to Midday, for me she's drawn the wrong side of the track for repeated tactics, right next to her is Lolly for Dolly, I like Lolly for Dolly, she is a game horse but has struggled to put her head in front a couple of times now, I'm not going to back her but would be happy if she won, won drawn well that could win is Newmarket Dahlia stakes winner I'm a dreamer. Will Buick takes the ride again here after getting a great tune out of her at Newmarket and watching that race and the straight course races here yesterday there are similarities that suggest she will go well. My selection is ANNA SALAI the godolphin "second string", this is by no means a pacemaker, in a race where finding the right run will be critical there is no better jockey than the young man Barzalona. He does as he's told and he does it well. Theres a chance she could be on the far side rail by herself and if she does that then for me she wins. Mickael will dive for the best ground and stay there. Skybet are offering 18/1 and they will be getting mine.
345 I love Twice Over, I don't think he is the best horse in the race, and I don't think he can go with the monster that is SO YOU THINK. Could be an interesting race as Debussy seems to be a pacemaker for Rewilding but if you ask me I think Jan Vermeer is a pacemaker for the selection. Joseph O'Brien hasn't ridden the horse before and who wouldn't want a group 1 winner as a pacemaker? The selection won 10L on Irish debut over this trip and looked hugely impressive, another 5 length win over 1m3 next time showed his class. The favourite should take this quite comfortably for me with Godolphin's Rewilding the main danger.
425 Ouch, my head hurts, I'll keep this simple, pick what you like make sure it's in stall 15 or above and get on each way with a bookies paying 5 or more places and enjoy the race. I have Start right antepost but not drawn quite well enough for me to go in again today. The 2 I like that are drawn well and potentially well off with the handicapper are Dance and Dance for Ryan Moore and the selection, another favourite of mine, KAY GEE BE for Paul Hanaghan.
500 Shumoos looks to have the angle for most of the press and bookies here. But I'm going to take another stab at a Wesley Ward sprinter, he isn't going back to America empty handed and has a great chance here, GYPSY ROBIN looks to have pace in abundance and is drawn well. Will look to make all and if he gets a jump on the field then why not?
535 I don't really know a lot about many of these fillies. The best bare form and experience looks to be Humdrum for her Maj, also Luca Cumani's Dubai Queen looks to have a chance also but I'm going to side with SWEETIE TIME for Micheal Bell and Hayler Turner. Has been shaping as if she wants a mile or maybe even further definately an Each way play in a very tricky race.
I'll also be backing Thirteen Shivers in the 820 Ripon and Majy D'Auteuil in 435 Worcester.
Hope everyone has a great day, good luck and happy punting. Working this morning but then will be sta comfortably on my sofa watching the racing this afternoon!
Monday 13 June 2011
Tuesday 14th June - Royal Ascot Day 1 - Happy Frankel Day
I think it's quite obvious who everyones NAP has to be today, given that a NAP is the one bet of the day that you fell cannot lose, and there is no way Frankel can lose! Well technically there is one way and that is largely to the muppet sat on board, I make no apologies for my distain for Tom Queally, the lad has lost me a tremendous amount of money for poor rides and I feel has got pretty lucky with the rides he has been given. Although where credits due he did ride a pretty convincing double last night. It was unfortunate not to see Sweet Secret put up a bold show last night but as I suggested yesterday there was always a chance the horse would need the run. I do feel the concept is a tremendous one, however. In a time where horse racing is eating itself alive through a)lack of interest, b)poor prize money and c)bookies all jumping ship abroad to avoid the levy hikes, a group of racing enthusiasts have gotten together and created syndicates through social media networks at a very limited cost. Unless there is a real live springer found they stand little to no chance of recouping the money outlaid but as far as I can see they don't need to. The syndicate is joined for the love of the game and the thrill of being a part of the game that they love. If we get one winner from this idea in the near future it could be the concept that racing has been screaming for, to get the common man interested in racing again. Fred Done believes he is the saviour of horse racing but these guys beat him hands down. I'm unsure who invented the concept of the social media syndicates but the man(or men or women?) is a genius and was overlooked in the Queens honours list.
Right Ascot, well I've been up and having a little look. May dive into another coffee in a minute but I'll try and find us some winners.
230 It's a shame really that there is only 2 horses involved here, as over half the field are 5 or above there is a massive amount of form to pick through and it serves to remove 5 of the runners. Flash Dance has been thrown in as a pacemaker for Goldikova so won't have a chance to win, Ransom note was thoroughly convincing when landing a group 3 in april but was found needing a lot when 8th to Goldikova last time out. As I stated when I looked at the Diomed Stakes at Epsom all of Rio De La Platas top form has been abroad and again should be overlooked today. Cityscape has not won above group 3, although a few close seconds in group 2 company but this step up should find him wanting. Cape Blanco is the pick of the also rans although all his group 1 wins have been in Ireland, although did beat Workforce in the Dante last year. A strong pace would suit, not too quick but strong, altough chance he could find the trip a bit sharp. Onto the big battle Goldikova v Canford Cliffs. Both horses share the same most recent conqueror, Makfi, Goldi by 2 and half, Canford by 1 and 3qtr. Another thing we can look at was the male/female battle between St Nich Abbey and Midday which the colt came out on top albeit Tom Queally sent the mare on far too early. My prediction for today is that Richard Hughes will finally get to see Goldikova's face after staring at her rump so many times, boys to beat girls. CANFORD CLIFFS to win.
305 Sole Power beat Kingsgaite Native in the Temple Stakes and everything suggests those 2 should be involved today. War Artist makes appeal after a decent effort in Dubai, Prohibit is in pretty good nick at the moment and progressing, could be a big player today. American Horses come here with a big chance due to the explosive speed they possess, Bridgetown is the pick but I'm going to throw my hand in each way with Holiday for Kitten. But my selection is going to be TANGERINE TREES, a very game front runner when winning at Newmarket on Guineas day, unfortuneatly got sucked into the Overdose furuor last time at Haydock and tried to do too much at the start. Big price today and capable of winning this.
345 FRANKEL is going to win! I'm not even going to waste anyones time, I quite like a little each way play on Grand Prix boss, a decent group 1 win in Japan last time out and connections have stated that he's in the form of his life.
425 There is a hideous amount of form to pick apart here, the majority of the contestants have been impressive enough in their wins to be given a chance here today. For each way plays I like Gatepost, the progressive Brockelbank, Fulbright who won very nicely at epsom, or Gabrial for Fahey/Hanaghan but I'm going to side with Irish raider POWER. 2 very convincing wins at the Curragh with the more convincing coming over this trip on debut hitting the front 2f out and going away. Suggestions are that he will look for further in time and I've had a little punt at 25/1 for this in next years 2000 guineas so I hope he wins this going away today to give me massive value.
500 Junior won this race last year and has been going very well over fences during the winter so has to come in for respect, Zigato looks like the trip won't be an issue and worth a play with the everwell William Buick on board. Veiled and Ashbrittle need to come on a bit and could be tough under these conditions, my selection is going to be for Jeremy Noseda's PLYMOUTH ROCK. Was staying on well into 3rd in last years Cesarewich and I think we can ignore the Frankel inspired performance by Overturn in the Chester Cup which made for a false race for everything in behind. I think this is a decent price today and every indication the trip will suit. Frankie knows what he's doing and is a positive booking.
535 The problem I have with this race is that pretty much all of these need to improve to win this, I'm going to side with the US raider GENTLEMANS CODE. I wouldn't comfortably write anything off here but the US horses do turn foot very well over the sprint trips and this one has been seen in England, impressively landing a maiden at Folkestone, the effort made to send the horse and jockey over to England speaks volumes of chances and definately worth a go today.
I'm also backing She's a Character in the 440 Thirsk and Bermuda Boy in the 745 Newton Abbott if anyone cares.
Have a great day, I'm working today but will be sat comfortably watching the rest of Royal Ascot from my sofa!!! Happy days. Oh by the way we lost £5.63 to the £ yesterday leaving a pot of £8.57 to the £.
Happy punting and Good luck.
Right Ascot, well I've been up and having a little look. May dive into another coffee in a minute but I'll try and find us some winners.
230 It's a shame really that there is only 2 horses involved here, as over half the field are 5 or above there is a massive amount of form to pick through and it serves to remove 5 of the runners. Flash Dance has been thrown in as a pacemaker for Goldikova so won't have a chance to win, Ransom note was thoroughly convincing when landing a group 3 in april but was found needing a lot when 8th to Goldikova last time out. As I stated when I looked at the Diomed Stakes at Epsom all of Rio De La Platas top form has been abroad and again should be overlooked today. Cityscape has not won above group 3, although a few close seconds in group 2 company but this step up should find him wanting. Cape Blanco is the pick of the also rans although all his group 1 wins have been in Ireland, although did beat Workforce in the Dante last year. A strong pace would suit, not too quick but strong, altough chance he could find the trip a bit sharp. Onto the big battle Goldikova v Canford Cliffs. Both horses share the same most recent conqueror, Makfi, Goldi by 2 and half, Canford by 1 and 3qtr. Another thing we can look at was the male/female battle between St Nich Abbey and Midday which the colt came out on top albeit Tom Queally sent the mare on far too early. My prediction for today is that Richard Hughes will finally get to see Goldikova's face after staring at her rump so many times, boys to beat girls. CANFORD CLIFFS to win.
305 Sole Power beat Kingsgaite Native in the Temple Stakes and everything suggests those 2 should be involved today. War Artist makes appeal after a decent effort in Dubai, Prohibit is in pretty good nick at the moment and progressing, could be a big player today. American Horses come here with a big chance due to the explosive speed they possess, Bridgetown is the pick but I'm going to throw my hand in each way with Holiday for Kitten. But my selection is going to be TANGERINE TREES, a very game front runner when winning at Newmarket on Guineas day, unfortuneatly got sucked into the Overdose furuor last time at Haydock and tried to do too much at the start. Big price today and capable of winning this.
345 FRANKEL is going to win! I'm not even going to waste anyones time, I quite like a little each way play on Grand Prix boss, a decent group 1 win in Japan last time out and connections have stated that he's in the form of his life.
425 There is a hideous amount of form to pick apart here, the majority of the contestants have been impressive enough in their wins to be given a chance here today. For each way plays I like Gatepost, the progressive Brockelbank, Fulbright who won very nicely at epsom, or Gabrial for Fahey/Hanaghan but I'm going to side with Irish raider POWER. 2 very convincing wins at the Curragh with the more convincing coming over this trip on debut hitting the front 2f out and going away. Suggestions are that he will look for further in time and I've had a little punt at 25/1 for this in next years 2000 guineas so I hope he wins this going away today to give me massive value.
500 Junior won this race last year and has been going very well over fences during the winter so has to come in for respect, Zigato looks like the trip won't be an issue and worth a play with the everwell William Buick on board. Veiled and Ashbrittle need to come on a bit and could be tough under these conditions, my selection is going to be for Jeremy Noseda's PLYMOUTH ROCK. Was staying on well into 3rd in last years Cesarewich and I think we can ignore the Frankel inspired performance by Overturn in the Chester Cup which made for a false race for everything in behind. I think this is a decent price today and every indication the trip will suit. Frankie knows what he's doing and is a positive booking.
535 The problem I have with this race is that pretty much all of these need to improve to win this, I'm going to side with the US raider GENTLEMANS CODE. I wouldn't comfortably write anything off here but the US horses do turn foot very well over the sprint trips and this one has been seen in England, impressively landing a maiden at Folkestone, the effort made to send the horse and jockey over to England speaks volumes of chances and definately worth a go today.
I'm also backing She's a Character in the 440 Thirsk and Bermuda Boy in the 745 Newton Abbott if anyone cares.
Have a great day, I'm working today but will be sat comfortably watching the rest of Royal Ascot from my sofa!!! Happy days. Oh by the way we lost £5.63 to the £ yesterday leaving a pot of £8.57 to the £.
Happy punting and Good luck.
Monday 13th June
Back to work today after a relaxing week off, won't be too many tweets today as I'm in a shop with little signal and steady race by race trade. Also going to have to make it quick this morning as time won't allow. Good luck to the 140 Characters tonight with Sweet Secret, I shall write my thoughts tomorrow, win or lose. For the sake of the game I hope it wins or at least puts in a bold show and I will explain during tomorrows blog.
Yesterday we made £6.50 per £1 profit making a profit pot of £14.20 per £1 for June.
9 Selections today, all have been stringently looked at.
SEDGEFIELD
230 Sedgefield opens with a juvenile hurdle contest and the already raced pair of Dance for Livvy and Fine Style make the obvious appeal, but I'm going to throw a bone at OPERATEUR. The newcomer carries the jockey that won this race last year and he turns a profit when riding at this track. Worth a little look me thinks.
330 Showed last time out that he wouldn't be hampered by a longer trip by sticking to the task, if not picking up, under a conditional jockey. WINGED FARASI is the selection in this, he is creeping back towards his last winning mark and as i said he kept up to his work lasttime out suggesting thathe could handle another trip. Definately the value in the race and the 7/1 sticking out at Stan James looks like a bit for each way players given that he has finished 3rd in all 3 races this term.
400 JUSTWHATEVERULIKE is down in weight, down in class and ready to win.
500 A game second last time out suggests that LISBON LION is now ready for this code of racing, will need to come on for that run to take this but progression shows every chance that he will.
CARLISLE
315 A tricky little race and I'm going to side with DAISYCLIPPER on handicap debut under the champ. Has looked very progressive and unfortunate not to break maiden when a nk second last time out, the form of that race has stood up as reasonably strong and with a very positive jockey booking this could go well at the 8/1 on offer this morning.
WINDSOR
700 Sorry 140 Characters I truly hope I'm in the wrong here but no spoils for Sweet Secret tonight, needed the run last time she had a lengthy break and nothing suggests it should be different tonight. My selection in this is PRINCE OF SORRENTO. Thoroughly enjoyed the cut in the ground over C&D last week and runs under a 6lb penalty as connections feel he could be worse treated by the handicapper in the near future, should double up nicely.
730 Only beaten a short head over C&D at the start of May, NEW LEYF(NB) is taken to bring this home, Jeremy Gask has secured the services of the in form Ryan Moore which shows confidence in the horse. To keen over a longer trip last time and should appreciate the drop back in trip.
WARWICK
740 For me it's last chance saloon for Henry Cecil's TIMEPIECE(NAP), back down to listed company where she has won most of her races. Ran creditably 2 starts ago when third to stablemate Midday but very poor last time out at Epsom, although I feel most will agree that was entirely the fault of the jockey. Hopefully Mr Queally will have learnt from his mistakes and not send the horse too early here. If the race is run right the selection should take this on hands and heels.
Just spotted my selection for the 810 is a non runner so I'll leave it there. Only the 8 today now.
Good luck and happy punting.
Until tomorrow.
Yesterday we made £6.50 per £1 profit making a profit pot of £14.20 per £1 for June.
9 Selections today, all have been stringently looked at.
SEDGEFIELD
230 Sedgefield opens with a juvenile hurdle contest and the already raced pair of Dance for Livvy and Fine Style make the obvious appeal, but I'm going to throw a bone at OPERATEUR. The newcomer carries the jockey that won this race last year and he turns a profit when riding at this track. Worth a little look me thinks.
330 Showed last time out that he wouldn't be hampered by a longer trip by sticking to the task, if not picking up, under a conditional jockey. WINGED FARASI is the selection in this, he is creeping back towards his last winning mark and as i said he kept up to his work lasttime out suggesting thathe could handle another trip. Definately the value in the race and the 7/1 sticking out at Stan James looks like a bit for each way players given that he has finished 3rd in all 3 races this term.
400 JUSTWHATEVERULIKE is down in weight, down in class and ready to win.
500 A game second last time out suggests that LISBON LION is now ready for this code of racing, will need to come on for that run to take this but progression shows every chance that he will.
CARLISLE
315 A tricky little race and I'm going to side with DAISYCLIPPER on handicap debut under the champ. Has looked very progressive and unfortunate not to break maiden when a nk second last time out, the form of that race has stood up as reasonably strong and with a very positive jockey booking this could go well at the 8/1 on offer this morning.
WINDSOR
700 Sorry 140 Characters I truly hope I'm in the wrong here but no spoils for Sweet Secret tonight, needed the run last time she had a lengthy break and nothing suggests it should be different tonight. My selection in this is PRINCE OF SORRENTO. Thoroughly enjoyed the cut in the ground over C&D last week and runs under a 6lb penalty as connections feel he could be worse treated by the handicapper in the near future, should double up nicely.
730 Only beaten a short head over C&D at the start of May, NEW LEYF(NB) is taken to bring this home, Jeremy Gask has secured the services of the in form Ryan Moore which shows confidence in the horse. To keen over a longer trip last time and should appreciate the drop back in trip.
WARWICK
740 For me it's last chance saloon for Henry Cecil's TIMEPIECE(NAP), back down to listed company where she has won most of her races. Ran creditably 2 starts ago when third to stablemate Midday but very poor last time out at Epsom, although I feel most will agree that was entirely the fault of the jockey. Hopefully Mr Queally will have learnt from his mistakes and not send the horse too early here. If the race is run right the selection should take this on hands and heels.
Just spotted my selection for the 810 is a non runner so I'll leave it there. Only the 8 today now.
Good luck and happy punting.
Until tomorrow.
Sunday 12 June 2011
Sunday 12th June - the birthday blog
Well the big 30 has finally arrived, the grey hairs seem to have achieved greater prominence overnight, and a sensational fry-up has solved any mild discomfort from the previous days alcohol-antics. Unfortunately we suffered a small loss of £5 per £1 yesterday which although is not ideal still leaves a £7.70 per pound profit in the Royal Ascot pot. Just 6 bets today will ensure we still have some pot regardless come tomorrow and then we can weigh up what we are going to do then. Well done to Ryan Moore for his masterful five-timer yesterday although he didn't come off as the sharpest tool in the box when asked "have you ever ridden 5 winners on the same card before?" Ryan replied "I'm unsure, maybe not at the same meeting" No, then Ryan!
Donny and Sally provide the action today, I would have looked at Cork but lethargically decided I couldn't be bothered, so heres what I'llbe betting on today.
SALISBURY
200 Warlu Way makes appeal from a good draw and remains well weighted having not got any sort of run last time out. Also I like Spice Fair under Hayley Turner to have a big run and could be the each way play. But my selection has to be for the in-form Sir Micheal Stoute and Ryan Moore partnership on the favourite NIBANI, looks like he will appreciate the step up in trip, as mentioned connections are flying, unfortunately the early bird catches the worm and the 7/2 available this morning has long gone and we are looking to play with around 13/8 if we're quick, I'd implore you to take the price if going in on this because being the favourite in the first race of the day and the jockey riding a 5-timer yesterday this will plunge and I wouldn't be surprised to see it go off even money or odds-on.
230 SOHRAAB(NB) is the selection here, the horse has run huge races in contests much tougher than this including last time out when 4th only half a length behing the impressive Captain Dunne. The booking of Ryan Moore speaks volumes of the trainers faith in the horse and the 5/2 available at present will look big value come racetime.
340 Border Patrol is the class animal in the race but returns from a year out so will be touch and go whether he picks up immediately, it's between High Standing and ELNAWIN for me and the bookies are undecided also with both horses being favourite across the books. I'm taking the selection at SP as I think it's very close on bare form but this one has been more in tune recently and the Ryan Moore express will force High Standing into favouritism.
415 Yammos is entitled to come on after a big run at Brighton last time out, and Henry Candy's Avon Pearl is given respect having looked a bit green last time but I'm going to jump on a newcomer today. HARBOUR WATCH is the selection for Hannon/Hughes, the pairing have a great record with first time out 2yo and this one looks like he could be ready.
DONCASTER
325 MEDICEAN MAN(NAP) has always performed well in this class of handicap. He has decent form against most of these and looks on a pretty good mark. Dorback, King of Eden and Fitz Flyer also make appeal but I'm jumping on the back of Medicean Man today. Will Buick is in decent form as always and a positive booking.
400 HAIL PROMENADER looks the selection here with excuses in defeat last time out. Won 2 starts ago getting up ahead of Cono Zur who looks the each way play today 1lb better off, but the selection has the pick of the recent form against the rest and will carry my money today.
Have a great day, good luck and happy punting. We'll see what happens today and decide on the quality of tomorrows racing whether it be worth having a bet or saving the pot until Tuesday.
Donny and Sally provide the action today, I would have looked at Cork but lethargically decided I couldn't be bothered, so heres what I'llbe betting on today.
SALISBURY
200 Warlu Way makes appeal from a good draw and remains well weighted having not got any sort of run last time out. Also I like Spice Fair under Hayley Turner to have a big run and could be the each way play. But my selection has to be for the in-form Sir Micheal Stoute and Ryan Moore partnership on the favourite NIBANI, looks like he will appreciate the step up in trip, as mentioned connections are flying, unfortunately the early bird catches the worm and the 7/2 available this morning has long gone and we are looking to play with around 13/8 if we're quick, I'd implore you to take the price if going in on this because being the favourite in the first race of the day and the jockey riding a 5-timer yesterday this will plunge and I wouldn't be surprised to see it go off even money or odds-on.
230 SOHRAAB(NB) is the selection here, the horse has run huge races in contests much tougher than this including last time out when 4th only half a length behing the impressive Captain Dunne. The booking of Ryan Moore speaks volumes of the trainers faith in the horse and the 5/2 available at present will look big value come racetime.
340 Border Patrol is the class animal in the race but returns from a year out so will be touch and go whether he picks up immediately, it's between High Standing and ELNAWIN for me and the bookies are undecided also with both horses being favourite across the books. I'm taking the selection at SP as I think it's very close on bare form but this one has been more in tune recently and the Ryan Moore express will force High Standing into favouritism.
415 Yammos is entitled to come on after a big run at Brighton last time out, and Henry Candy's Avon Pearl is given respect having looked a bit green last time but I'm going to jump on a newcomer today. HARBOUR WATCH is the selection for Hannon/Hughes, the pairing have a great record with first time out 2yo and this one looks like he could be ready.
DONCASTER
325 MEDICEAN MAN(NAP) has always performed well in this class of handicap. He has decent form against most of these and looks on a pretty good mark. Dorback, King of Eden and Fitz Flyer also make appeal but I'm jumping on the back of Medicean Man today. Will Buick is in decent form as always and a positive booking.
400 HAIL PROMENADER looks the selection here with excuses in defeat last time out. Won 2 starts ago getting up ahead of Cono Zur who looks the each way play today 1lb better off, but the selection has the pick of the recent form against the rest and will carry my money today.
Have a great day, good luck and happy punting. We'll see what happens today and decide on the quality of tomorrows racing whether it be worth having a bet or saving the pot until Tuesday.
Saturday 11 June 2011
Saturday 11th June
Right it's my last 24 hours of being 29. I have a long list of things to do before i can start drinking. I have 12 selections today and all have been given thorough thought today. Miraculously we made £3.65 to a level £1 yesterday making the pot £12.70 profit to a £1 level stake. So doing the maths drawing a blank today would still leave us in profit for the month! I'm afraid I can't really delve into my reasoning for my selections today as time does not allow but I shall give my picks and hopefully you all trust me enough to have a little play on a couple that catch your eye, and hopefully we can all make some more money.
SANDOWN
155 MASHAAREF
225 ANOINT
255 CROWN CHOICE
330 NIGHT CARNATION(TREBLE)
YORK
210 ANTIGUA SUNRISE
240 CHARLIE COOL(NAP)
315 SEAL ROCK
350 MARIACHI MAN
425 DISCRESSION (Based solely on trainer form)
CHESTER
320 FRED WILLETTS
355 ABSINTHE
505 BOUNDARIES(NB)
Good luck, happy punting and I'll be back with a hangover and another year to my name tomorrow.
SANDOWN
155 MASHAAREF
225 ANOINT
255 CROWN CHOICE
330 NIGHT CARNATION(TREBLE)
YORK
210 ANTIGUA SUNRISE
240 CHARLIE COOL(NAP)
315 SEAL ROCK
350 MARIACHI MAN
425 DISCRESSION (Based solely on trainer form)
CHESTER
320 FRED WILLETTS
355 ABSINTHE
505 BOUNDARIES(NB)
Good luck, happy punting and I'll be back with a hangover and another year to my name tomorrow.
Friday 10 June 2011
Friday 10th June
Right just a quickie today. Lots to cram into my final 48 hours of my twenties and thus far horse racing has to take a back seat today. I've done the usual 15 selections but will warn you that I only really skimmed through the form and where there are 3 or 4 I'm pretty sure of there are 1 or 2 that I have snatched at. So another profitable day yesterday, £1.38 to a level £1. That takes June's total to £9.06 profit to a £1 level stake. The Royal Ascot pot is getting bigger. Todays selections are as follows.
PS I have a NAP and 3 NB's!
MARKET RASEN
200 This looks a pretty solid chance for Grand National winning trainer/jockey with CYGNET(NB), got more in the book than anything else here and although Peadar Miguel makes appeal after a rusty debut in this code he remains a big what if having bean beaten long odds on last time.
230 A lot of these look good on paper but have a big step up in trip to cope with. Favourite Andorn also has to contend with an 8lb penalty and I think it pays to side with POLLENJOCK who is proven on the stamina front and tactics may be to go from the front and try to run the legs out of the sharper horses. A slow pace will not suit the selection.
300 Another winner for Jason Maguire. Don't even look anywhere other than POINTS OF VIEW(NAP) in this race. Stage Acclaim is considered a challenge in the market but the drop in trip should find him short of foot.
335 I'm going to have an Each Way speculation on TOPENHALL. Has come out looking ok but for jumping errors from some pretty decent looking races, jumping was a touch better last time than previously but left one paced and looked to need the run. I think if jumping is right today there is no reason whatsoever he can't challenge for honours here at a very generous 14/1 on offer.
410 I'm going for last years winner in this CHORIZO, I think all make appeal but this one gets the nod through C&D experience.
445 SILVER ADONIS needs to translate his chase form into hurdles. A relatively useful chaser has come out of some decent races but never really has got it going over the smaller fences. Will have to contend with top weight here and to be honest it wasn't until I started writing that I realised this was a hurdle and I had picked a chaser but I'm not changing my mind now!
YORK
210 3 that make appeal here are Church Music, Pen Bal Crag and RIGHT RESULT(NB). The former has the form of Kevin Ryan to fall back on with the trainer in terrific first time out form this year. The second is obviously worthy of respect given the Hanaghan/Fahey factor and the selection is for Richard Hannon and ridden by Mr Kieron Fallon. Very tough choice but I think the selection has looked like winning before and will appreciate the drop back to 5f.
315 A monster handicap here and I'm siding with David O'Meara, Danny Tudhope and DESCARO, looks well in the weights and a lively price.
425 I actually wrote down Haajes and then spotted that ROCKET ROB is 5lb ahead of the handicapper, that will prove a lot in a race like this and should make the difference.
SANDOWN
400 SURE ROUTE is pushed up 7lb for a solid effort on HC debut, but looks a progressive sort and that shouldn't hamper too much. Some unexposed in behind but I'll back Hughsey to carry this one home today.
435 ALL ACTION looks to have the potential to improve above his mark and was a decent second to the impressive Merchant of Medici last time out. Perpetually is ahead of the handicapper and could be the each way play.
GOODWOOD
755 CLUB OCEANIC(NB) and Zain Shamardal make the most appeal of these but Frankie rode me a nice winner yesterday and for that I'm diving aboard this one, I'll think the selection will handle the trip better and should cope with the penalty.
AINTREE
600 KEENANS FUTURE looks on a decent mark here and just has to overcome a fall last time out.
635 I think anything can win this so on that I guess why not take on the outsider DR LIVINGSTONE.
705 Double figure prices look generous for SUNDAY CITY. Will appreciate the drop back in trip and has come up against some very good horse. I think the selection can win this and is a lovely price for each way players.
Better go and give my children some lunch now, blog should be back to standard tomorrow as I love Saturday racing. Hopefully we can pull out another little profit today, good luck and happy punting.
PS I have a NAP and 3 NB's!
MARKET RASEN
200 This looks a pretty solid chance for Grand National winning trainer/jockey with CYGNET(NB), got more in the book than anything else here and although Peadar Miguel makes appeal after a rusty debut in this code he remains a big what if having bean beaten long odds on last time.
230 A lot of these look good on paper but have a big step up in trip to cope with. Favourite Andorn also has to contend with an 8lb penalty and I think it pays to side with POLLENJOCK who is proven on the stamina front and tactics may be to go from the front and try to run the legs out of the sharper horses. A slow pace will not suit the selection.
300 Another winner for Jason Maguire. Don't even look anywhere other than POINTS OF VIEW(NAP) in this race. Stage Acclaim is considered a challenge in the market but the drop in trip should find him short of foot.
335 I'm going to have an Each Way speculation on TOPENHALL. Has come out looking ok but for jumping errors from some pretty decent looking races, jumping was a touch better last time than previously but left one paced and looked to need the run. I think if jumping is right today there is no reason whatsoever he can't challenge for honours here at a very generous 14/1 on offer.
410 I'm going for last years winner in this CHORIZO, I think all make appeal but this one gets the nod through C&D experience.
445 SILVER ADONIS needs to translate his chase form into hurdles. A relatively useful chaser has come out of some decent races but never really has got it going over the smaller fences. Will have to contend with top weight here and to be honest it wasn't until I started writing that I realised this was a hurdle and I had picked a chaser but I'm not changing my mind now!
YORK
210 3 that make appeal here are Church Music, Pen Bal Crag and RIGHT RESULT(NB). The former has the form of Kevin Ryan to fall back on with the trainer in terrific first time out form this year. The second is obviously worthy of respect given the Hanaghan/Fahey factor and the selection is for Richard Hannon and ridden by Mr Kieron Fallon. Very tough choice but I think the selection has looked like winning before and will appreciate the drop back to 5f.
315 A monster handicap here and I'm siding with David O'Meara, Danny Tudhope and DESCARO, looks well in the weights and a lively price.
425 I actually wrote down Haajes and then spotted that ROCKET ROB is 5lb ahead of the handicapper, that will prove a lot in a race like this and should make the difference.
SANDOWN
400 SURE ROUTE is pushed up 7lb for a solid effort on HC debut, but looks a progressive sort and that shouldn't hamper too much. Some unexposed in behind but I'll back Hughsey to carry this one home today.
435 ALL ACTION looks to have the potential to improve above his mark and was a decent second to the impressive Merchant of Medici last time out. Perpetually is ahead of the handicapper and could be the each way play.
GOODWOOD
755 CLUB OCEANIC(NB) and Zain Shamardal make the most appeal of these but Frankie rode me a nice winner yesterday and for that I'm diving aboard this one, I'll think the selection will handle the trip better and should cope with the penalty.
AINTREE
600 KEENANS FUTURE looks on a decent mark here and just has to overcome a fall last time out.
635 I think anything can win this so on that I guess why not take on the outsider DR LIVINGSTONE.
705 Double figure prices look generous for SUNDAY CITY. Will appreciate the drop back in trip and has come up against some very good horse. I think the selection can win this and is a lovely price for each way players.
Better go and give my children some lunch now, blog should be back to standard tomorrow as I love Saturday racing. Hopefully we can pull out another little profit today, good luck and happy punting.
Thursday 9 June 2011
Thursday 9th June
Well another day, another dollar. Yesterday became the 4th profitable day in the last 6. Botham being a non runner in the 900 swung us from a half point loss to a half point profit! Current June total now sits at a profit of £7.71 to £1 level stake. As usual I'm heavy handed in the evening over the afternoon. And after being 1 from 1 at Yarmouth yesterday I'm going for just the 1 again today. Wouldn't mind a few bigguns today as we are steadily building an attack pot for the daily Royal Ascot Naps next week. Can't wait. 15 selections today start here.
NEWBURY
200 A good old fashioned maiden, the only declared runner with a run has been since withdrawn and so you have to look at yards that can get one ready first time. The first name that jumps in your head is Richard Hannon. He has 2 in the race. Obviously Richard Hughes will have been given first choice of rides and he chooses the favourite Moustache. However, Ryan Moore takes the "second string", and if Ryan Moore is happy to take a ride as second fiddle then it must be a decent horse. Breeding may suggest he wants a bit further but has the plum draw and with 4/1 available represents more value than the afore mentioned. I'll take on the favourite with stablemate GRAPHIC.
305 A tricky looking race on paper. Albaraka is reported to have been working very well at home and could go well if ready for this level. Gracefield is lightly tried but a big step up in class and trip may find her out. Poplin needs to at least reverse the form with Imperial Pippin, they met at Goodwood and the latter came home 1 and quarter lengths before. The winner that day was Beatrice Aurore (6th in Oaks). However last time we saw RUMH was a fillies trial over C&D. On the day he was beaten into 3rd by the winner and 3rd of the Oaks, Dancing Rain and Izzi Top. So where the race looks tricky at first glance, once we tear apart the form the selection looks far superior. Albaraka and Gracefield make appeal if stepping up well.
NOTTINGHAM
325 Jibaals win at Newmarket last month sets him up nicely for this but I'm going to take him on with hanicap debutant AJEEB. Will benefit from a more experienced jockey than previously as the horse seems to need to get involved a bit earlier. Looks as though he may want further in time but given a fair mark by the handicapper and should run a big race.
YARMOUTH
350 When I looked at this it was a 6 runner affair but Primo Lady has been pulled out since. Fortuneatly that one made no appeal whatsoever anyway. Eshoog has to hope there are no cobwebs and should go well if ready. But i think it's between Ming Meng and SAIRAAM. C&D winner albeit 18 months ago. Prefers to run in a straight line and looked unlucky not to end a losing run at Leicester last time out.
UTTOXETER
610 This looks like a 2 horse race to me. Morning Farewell and SPIRIT IS NEEDED(NAP). The aforementioned is stepping up in trip and although he stuck on last time out made no impression on the leader and may come up a bit short today. The selection ran 21f last time out and mistakes on the way round caused a bit of a falter into 3rd. This looks a bit easier than that event and if his jumping is right he will win this by any distance, the ability is there but the temperament maybe not always. Paddy Brennan takes the ride and that convinces me to jump in. I've Nap'd it because of the gulf in ability between him and his rivals and a positive rider booking.
640 This race threw up a contender for NAP/NB status but narrowily missed out due to the progression of a rival. SUN TZU looks the winner all day long but does have a 7lb penalty to contend with. See you Jack has come on very well could provide a challenge if he progresses further. On bare form the selection wins this any length you like and I'm not prepared to take him on with a what if.
740 Another tricky looking race but once you delve into the form it looks a bit more comfortable. Haoyunma could push the selection if making the step up in trip but I'm on the side of AJZAL. He beat the danger over 2miles at Towcester and I think the fact that he has won over this longer distance will negate the weight changes from the prior contest.
FONTWELL
630 Names in a hat for this one, I'm going to take the value on CLOSEST THING TO CRAZY. Connections will be hoping, like me, that this is an easier affair than some before, as it looks. If this was over the hurdles then the 4/6 and shorter quoted on Barizan would be great value but he looked a bit off on his chasing debut and I'm hoping my selection can push him all the way.
700 GREEN MINING(NB) was a consistent sort in Ireland and looks to have enough for back to back wins now with Tim Vaughan, I can't see anything here capable of winning the race without the selection in it let alone with. Richard Johnson just has to get the horse over the obstacles for a simple payday.
730 Lansdowne Princess has beaten ORIONS STAR, twice this year but weights are well and truly in the selections favour now. Trainer/Jockey won this race last year and therefore will know how the horse needs to be readied. Some generous 5/2 around and I expect favouritism to switch and maybe be shared by the off.
HAYDOCK
720 A very competitve sprint handicap and I'm siding with INGLEBY STAR. He has won off a higher mark than today in the past and has positive direct or indirect form against most of these. If I was to make a second guess it would be Taurus Twins.
750 Favourite Nahrain makes obvious appeal but nothing much has come from his maiden win as yet and I can't trust him and even money or odds-on. For value I'm going to make the selection BUZZ LAW. Ladbrokes and Totesport go 11/2 at the moment making decent each way value and just has a bit more to read into for my liking.
820 I'm going to take a stab at REGIMENTAL here, 2 disappointing runs so far this term but creeping back down to a winning mark, with the champion jockey on board and looking well weighted he could go well and a decent price. 11/1 365 and Stan James
LEOPARDSTOWN
655 Invincible Ash looks to be the winner of this hands down, Sing Softly fails to convince me on the quicker ground but I'm looking at a British raider for Clive Cox and Luke Morris. CAPERCAILLIE has convincingly beaten both of todays rivals that he has faced prior and on that has indirectly scored form against some others. A solid effort in a very strong race last time out which has thrown up winners in front and behind. Expect a big run and taking 16/1 off the bookies seems like daylight robbery to me.
855 Notable Graduate makes appeal with the manner of his victories but I'm again going to back value over speculation and go in with HAZIYNA. Johnny Murtagh takes the ride and the selection has won here in the past. Like the favourite is stepping up in class but a good win last time out makes him eyecatching and 13/2 looks pretty good value.
NEWBURY
200 A good old fashioned maiden, the only declared runner with a run has been since withdrawn and so you have to look at yards that can get one ready first time. The first name that jumps in your head is Richard Hannon. He has 2 in the race. Obviously Richard Hughes will have been given first choice of rides and he chooses the favourite Moustache. However, Ryan Moore takes the "second string", and if Ryan Moore is happy to take a ride as second fiddle then it must be a decent horse. Breeding may suggest he wants a bit further but has the plum draw and with 4/1 available represents more value than the afore mentioned. I'll take on the favourite with stablemate GRAPHIC.
305 A tricky looking race on paper. Albaraka is reported to have been working very well at home and could go well if ready for this level. Gracefield is lightly tried but a big step up in class and trip may find her out. Poplin needs to at least reverse the form with Imperial Pippin, they met at Goodwood and the latter came home 1 and quarter lengths before. The winner that day was Beatrice Aurore (6th in Oaks). However last time we saw RUMH was a fillies trial over C&D. On the day he was beaten into 3rd by the winner and 3rd of the Oaks, Dancing Rain and Izzi Top. So where the race looks tricky at first glance, once we tear apart the form the selection looks far superior. Albaraka and Gracefield make appeal if stepping up well.
NOTTINGHAM
325 Jibaals win at Newmarket last month sets him up nicely for this but I'm going to take him on with hanicap debutant AJEEB. Will benefit from a more experienced jockey than previously as the horse seems to need to get involved a bit earlier. Looks as though he may want further in time but given a fair mark by the handicapper and should run a big race.
YARMOUTH
350 When I looked at this it was a 6 runner affair but Primo Lady has been pulled out since. Fortuneatly that one made no appeal whatsoever anyway. Eshoog has to hope there are no cobwebs and should go well if ready. But i think it's between Ming Meng and SAIRAAM. C&D winner albeit 18 months ago. Prefers to run in a straight line and looked unlucky not to end a losing run at Leicester last time out.
UTTOXETER
610 This looks like a 2 horse race to me. Morning Farewell and SPIRIT IS NEEDED(NAP). The aforementioned is stepping up in trip and although he stuck on last time out made no impression on the leader and may come up a bit short today. The selection ran 21f last time out and mistakes on the way round caused a bit of a falter into 3rd. This looks a bit easier than that event and if his jumping is right he will win this by any distance, the ability is there but the temperament maybe not always. Paddy Brennan takes the ride and that convinces me to jump in. I've Nap'd it because of the gulf in ability between him and his rivals and a positive rider booking.
640 This race threw up a contender for NAP/NB status but narrowily missed out due to the progression of a rival. SUN TZU looks the winner all day long but does have a 7lb penalty to contend with. See you Jack has come on very well could provide a challenge if he progresses further. On bare form the selection wins this any length you like and I'm not prepared to take him on with a what if.
740 Another tricky looking race but once you delve into the form it looks a bit more comfortable. Haoyunma could push the selection if making the step up in trip but I'm on the side of AJZAL. He beat the danger over 2miles at Towcester and I think the fact that he has won over this longer distance will negate the weight changes from the prior contest.
FONTWELL
630 Names in a hat for this one, I'm going to take the value on CLOSEST THING TO CRAZY. Connections will be hoping, like me, that this is an easier affair than some before, as it looks. If this was over the hurdles then the 4/6 and shorter quoted on Barizan would be great value but he looked a bit off on his chasing debut and I'm hoping my selection can push him all the way.
700 GREEN MINING(NB) was a consistent sort in Ireland and looks to have enough for back to back wins now with Tim Vaughan, I can't see anything here capable of winning the race without the selection in it let alone with. Richard Johnson just has to get the horse over the obstacles for a simple payday.
730 Lansdowne Princess has beaten ORIONS STAR, twice this year but weights are well and truly in the selections favour now. Trainer/Jockey won this race last year and therefore will know how the horse needs to be readied. Some generous 5/2 around and I expect favouritism to switch and maybe be shared by the off.
HAYDOCK
720 A very competitve sprint handicap and I'm siding with INGLEBY STAR. He has won off a higher mark than today in the past and has positive direct or indirect form against most of these. If I was to make a second guess it would be Taurus Twins.
750 Favourite Nahrain makes obvious appeal but nothing much has come from his maiden win as yet and I can't trust him and even money or odds-on. For value I'm going to make the selection BUZZ LAW. Ladbrokes and Totesport go 11/2 at the moment making decent each way value and just has a bit more to read into for my liking.
820 I'm going to take a stab at REGIMENTAL here, 2 disappointing runs so far this term but creeping back down to a winning mark, with the champion jockey on board and looking well weighted he could go well and a decent price. 11/1 365 and Stan James
LEOPARDSTOWN
655 Invincible Ash looks to be the winner of this hands down, Sing Softly fails to convince me on the quicker ground but I'm looking at a British raider for Clive Cox and Luke Morris. CAPERCAILLIE has convincingly beaten both of todays rivals that he has faced prior and on that has indirectly scored form against some others. A solid effort in a very strong race last time out which has thrown up winners in front and behind. Expect a big run and taking 16/1 off the bookies seems like daylight robbery to me.
855 Notable Graduate makes appeal with the manner of his victories but I'm again going to back value over speculation and go in with HAZIYNA. Johnny Murtagh takes the ride and the selection has won here in the past. Like the favourite is stepping up in class but a good win last time out makes him eyecatching and 13/2 looks pretty good value.
Wednesday 8 June 2011
Wednesday 8th June
Well hopefully the early bird catches the worm this morning but I'm not so sure. I have tentatively picked apart a few tricky looking races and am still unsure post-commital if I have it right. I would endeavour people not to jump in too hard today. A little loss to SP yesterday but at advised prices we turned a slight profit and each way backers will have enjoyed Yeoman Spirit 2nd at advised 12's (SP 7's).
Friday 3rd June - £4.30 to £1 level stake
Saturday 4th June - £4.50 to £1 level stake
Sunday 5th June - -£5.07 to £1 level stake
Monday 6th June - £4.95 to £1 level stake
Tuesday 7th June - -£1.47 to £1 level stake
current total for June £7.21 to £1 level stake.
Shall we begin?
YARMOUTH
340 Just the one selection at Yarmouth today. A few that make appeal in this but one that is in terrific form is C&D winner Collect Art (NB). Not finished out of the frame in 10 runs since February. A Progressive sort with youth on his side, still looks well treated as last win came in an apprentice race. the selection to take the spoils and Magical Speedfit to provide a challenge.
HAYDOCK
220 Preference in this is for Udabaa. Ran well last time out at Ascot and could have gone better if finding room, that was a much stiffer affair than this and he is dropped back to 10f. Dahaam provides a lively threat at a decent price and Richard Hills on board the selection may put a few off but I've made my choice and I'm sticking with it.
320 This is a race where I'm still very undecided.I've got 3 written down and I've gone for the favourite and may edge in each way on the other 2 just to be sure. My selection is Kitty Wells. Ran reasonably well off a break last time out over C&D, only beaten by the impressive Plaisterer, and was a game winner over this distance at the end of last year with todays jockey on board. The 2 that make each way appeal for me are Porgy (8/1 365) and Classic Vintage (14/1 3 places).
420 Georgebernardshaw has to be respected at a big price with connections going well but the selection in this is One Scoop or Two. Last race form has been franked by the winner following up and the second (they dead heated) also following up with a win. Not penalised for that second in what now looks a good race and can follow up here.
HAMILTON
600 An amateur riders handicap, and in these events a lot of the time you have to look at the jockey more than the horse. The jockey in form is Miss Serena Brotherton and I see no reason why she can't continue her good run on Hambleton.
730 Another tricky race. I'm taking it on with Jobe (NAP). Up in class and under a penalty but broke a long losing run last time out and that will have filled the horse with no end of confidence, the obvious danger is Karaka Jack but a less obvious one who could go well is Desert Icon at a big price.
900 In another tricky affair, I'm going to take another stab at the pairing of Jim Goldie and Danny Tudhope. A disappointing effort withLet's face facts yesterday but we all have off days and they are still the pick pairing on form. Botham.
KEMPTON
715 Should be a 2 horse race between Speightowns Kid and Mosaicist. The former has a 6lb penalty to overcome and therefore I'll side with the selection.
745 An interesting 3yo handicap with a few lightly raced sorts. I'm going to side with the Gosden/Buick pairing on Antartic. The selection makes most appeal to me. Ran well to hold a win last time out just 19 days ago and should be fired up and ready to go from a yard in form.
915 I'm going with Spa's Dancer to take this in what looks a very open affair, however, you'll know your fate early doors. The horse has shown a tendancy to idle on the break and unless he's up with the pace early he will not do well. He's well drawn today and Seb Sanders takes the ride and will do his utmost to get this nag in front early. I say if he leads at the bend he wins.
Friday 3rd June - £4.30 to £1 level stake
Saturday 4th June - £4.50 to £1 level stake
Sunday 5th June - -£5.07 to £1 level stake
Monday 6th June - £4.95 to £1 level stake
Tuesday 7th June - -£1.47 to £1 level stake
current total for June £7.21 to £1 level stake.
Shall we begin?
YARMOUTH
340 Just the one selection at Yarmouth today. A few that make appeal in this but one that is in terrific form is C&D winner Collect Art (NB). Not finished out of the frame in 10 runs since February. A Progressive sort with youth on his side, still looks well treated as last win came in an apprentice race. the selection to take the spoils and Magical Speedfit to provide a challenge.
HAYDOCK
220 Preference in this is for Udabaa. Ran well last time out at Ascot and could have gone better if finding room, that was a much stiffer affair than this and he is dropped back to 10f. Dahaam provides a lively threat at a decent price and Richard Hills on board the selection may put a few off but I've made my choice and I'm sticking with it.
320 This is a race where I'm still very undecided.I've got 3 written down and I've gone for the favourite and may edge in each way on the other 2 just to be sure. My selection is Kitty Wells. Ran reasonably well off a break last time out over C&D, only beaten by the impressive Plaisterer, and was a game winner over this distance at the end of last year with todays jockey on board. The 2 that make each way appeal for me are Porgy (8/1 365) and Classic Vintage (14/1 3 places).
420 Georgebernardshaw has to be respected at a big price with connections going well but the selection in this is One Scoop or Two. Last race form has been franked by the winner following up and the second (they dead heated) also following up with a win. Not penalised for that second in what now looks a good race and can follow up here.
HAMILTON
600 An amateur riders handicap, and in these events a lot of the time you have to look at the jockey more than the horse. The jockey in form is Miss Serena Brotherton and I see no reason why she can't continue her good run on Hambleton.
730 Another tricky race. I'm taking it on with Jobe (NAP). Up in class and under a penalty but broke a long losing run last time out and that will have filled the horse with no end of confidence, the obvious danger is Karaka Jack but a less obvious one who could go well is Desert Icon at a big price.
900 In another tricky affair, I'm going to take another stab at the pairing of Jim Goldie and Danny Tudhope. A disappointing effort withLet's face facts yesterday but we all have off days and they are still the pick pairing on form. Botham.
KEMPTON
715 Should be a 2 horse race between Speightowns Kid and Mosaicist. The former has a 6lb penalty to overcome and therefore I'll side with the selection.
745 An interesting 3yo handicap with a few lightly raced sorts. I'm going to side with the Gosden/Buick pairing on Antartic. The selection makes most appeal to me. Ran well to hold a win last time out just 19 days ago and should be fired up and ready to go from a yard in form.
915 I'm going with Spa's Dancer to take this in what looks a very open affair, however, you'll know your fate early doors. The horse has shown a tendancy to idle on the break and unless he's up with the pace early he will not do well. He's well drawn today and Seb Sanders takes the ride and will do his utmost to get this nag in front early. I say if he leads at the bend he wins.
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