Saturday 31 August 2013

Sunday 1-9-13

Morning, and happy new month. Only 1 again for me today, in the big race of the day. The Moyglare (415 Curragh).
It's difficult to suggest that next years 1000 Guineas winner doesn't come from this race. And what a race. I'll just run through the card because i think they deserve it.
CARLA BIANCA
Probably has a lot to do, close second to the well thought of Australia on debut, she needs to find probably 20lb on that run to get to the level of these.
KIYOSHI
The Albany winner. She won that so impressively and if she ran in a straight line she'd probably be odds on here and even money for the classic. She switched near the entire width of the track at Ascot and still beat a string of subsequent Group class performers by a nearest 3 and half lengths. She's my view of the winner here.
PERHAPS
The dark horse? For me she wants further, looks a decent horse but she's struggled to get to 2 of these rivals the last twice, over this trip.
RIZEENA
She looks like she'll improve for further, which she gets today. Impressive winner of the Queen Mary at Ascot, she's been staying on nicely in 2 strong races since. She's certainly a big player here, my worry for her is that she's raced a fair bit for a 2yo filly
TAPESTRY
Visually she's done it nice enough the last twice, and the numbers suggest she's decent. She had perhaps behind comfortably last time and looks like there's more to come. For me though there has to be to get to the 2 British raiders and that's why Kiyoshi is my bet at level prices.
WONDERFULLY
A long way behind Kiyoshi at Ascot, but gets to within a length of Tapestry on a straight line through Perhaps, another still improving and the assistance of Ryan Moore is a huge positive.
TOUCH OF SNOW
It'll be a nice day out for her connections!

Kiyoshi is the winner for me, if they've straightened her out she wins easy. I couldn't put you off backing the others, well maybe 1 of them, I might chuck Wonderfully in the forecast for fun, I don't think there's a lot between her, Rizeena and Tapestry and she is the biggest price.

Enjoy the race, and good luck with whomever you pick.

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