Friday 5 June 2015

Friday June 5

Morning, it's Oaks day. I'll pop down my 3 bets then a little ramble about the Oaks.

ABSEIL 345 EPSOM
Won this race last year and has had a mixed bag of form in better races since. Drawn high and Ryan Moore steers. Should have a big chance.

MESHARDAL 445 CATTERICK
In tremendous form, finishing in the first 2 on 10 of his last 11 starts. Has registered a win and a second in his 2 attempts over Course and Distance.

WATERVILLE ROCK 855 DOWNPATRICK
Registered 2 third place finishes to date, both times keeping on. Pushed for another furlong here and Katie Walsh always worth following in this sphere.

Good Luck

The Oaks.

Where to start, it looks an open renewal. Jack Naylor has seen the money this week after her eyecatching rattle late home in the Irish 1000 Guineas and I'll be frank is one I had pencilled down as a 2yo. Legatissimo, the English 1000 Guineas winner is bred to cope with the trip no problem but maybe at a disadvantage to those fillies who've already gone 10/11 furlongs?Also the draw in 1 won't help at all. I think the Gosden pair Jazzi Top and Star of Seville aren't without a chance with a preference to the former, winner of Newmarket's Pretty Polly stakes which has provided the Oaks winner a few times recently. The latter had to dig in to win the Musidora from a staying on Together Forever, she also was in receipt of 4lb from Aidan O'Brien's filly that day which she won't be today, combined with the extra 2 furlongs you'd assume TF has the better chance. Crystal Zvezda is progressive, I'm not sure where they've plucked her rating from though and she's not beaten a lot, I'd have to swerve at the price. Luca Cumani's Lady Of Dubai won Newbury's Height of Fashion stakes quite impressively on seasonal debut and would have every right to come on for that run, if she did you'd have to assume she'd be bang in the scrap for places and at double figure odds represents decent value. I'm going to nail my colours to the mast now. I think Jazzi Top will win, Together Forever second, Lady of Dubai third.

Jazzi Top 
Together Forever
Lady of Dubai

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