Thursday 12 May 2011

Thursday 12th May

Dante day. I'd like to clear something up first. Often the Dante winner goes well in the Derby. Often the Derby winner has gone well in the Dante. However, the 2 very rarely collide. Despite this I believe this year will be the year it happens. With the top 3 in the Derby betting going today it should be a massive pointer. I don't think anything from yesterdays Musidora will take the Oaks, on all known form it's going to Godolphin and Blue Bunting. My Derby selection is Seville so I have to favour him today.

NAP : Seville 230 York. My Derby selection, if anything I'd like to see him beat so his price drifts for the Derby but I just can't see much of a challenge from the other 2 big guns. Seville has group race form where he beat group company winners Native Khan and Dunboyne express, plus UAE Derby runner up Master of Hounds and Guineas runner up Dubawi Gold. In fact he beat Dubawi Gold by over 10 Lengths compared to the, eased down, 6 managed by Frankel. World Domination has run once, with all coming out so far is the 3rd beat the 7th in a future maiden event. Carlton House has only maiden form to read with the better race being the one he lost rather than the more recent. Pisco Sour and Yasseer have group company experience and could spring a surprise place if the other 2 get left behind, Ashva will be hoping to beat 1 home. For me Seville is the safest bet around today. And you are looking at nearly 200% interest on your investment.

NB : Midday 200 York : The racing post simply says "Class act, the one to beat." And more importantly my first Tote tentofollow points. Runner up in this race last year to Sariska, 3 group 1 wins last season speak for themselves, nothing in the 4+ mares division to challenge her this year.

TREBLE : Wikaala 250 Perth . Just a step ahead of his rivals. Should cruise home.

4-FOLD : Silly Billy 310 Salisbury. Clear highest rating in the race and connections have weighted well for a test but still kept him ahead. Hopefully the hattrick seeking Exchange will go off as favorite and we get a nice return.

Others to watch
YORK
130 Falasteen
300 Off Chance
335 Night Carnation
410 Overpowered
445 Blackmore
PERTH
325 Sounds of Thunder
435 Moment Present
540 Bury Parade
FOLKESTONE
535 Ide no Idea
605 Omme Antique
640 Captain Knock
820 Assassino
LUDLOW
810 Blue Signal
840 Tony Dinozzo
NEWMARKET
615 Misty Conquest
725 Informed Article

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