Sunday 24 June 2012

Wimbledon

The greatest tennis tournament of the year kicks off tomorrow and I thought id fill you in with my take on each bit of the draw, some key matches, who I think will go well, some tasty outsiders for trading and how the brits will do. Actual match tips will be on the daily blog.
I'll start with the men.
Quarter 1
This quarter contains world number 1 and defending champion  Novak Djokovic. I honestly cannot see any issue for Nole finding himself in the semi finals. There are one or two 1st round matches in this quarter that I'll be having a pop at. That's another matter. A couple of players could have elongated lives in this quarter. Rufin, Janowicz and Petzschner. 15 seed Juan Monaco could well be the big casualty of the 1st round having never won a match on grass in his career.
Quarter 2
Roger Federer dominant here for so long has been missing from the semi finals the last 2 years. I can't see him having such problems this time round. He won't meet a decent grass player until the quarters, his quarter final opponent may well be whoever gets out of the Isner, Mahut, Andreev, Seppi quartet. Wildcard Zemlja might be one to watch in this quarter. He plays Britain's Goodall in the 1st round then potentially a string of players who may prefer orange stuff underfoot. With some good tennis and good fortune he could meet Roger in round 4.
Quarter 3
It's interesting with the "big4" strangelhold in men's tennis that someone from outside the top table has made the semis every year for a long time now. This year I'm going to take on Andy Murray. This certainly looks the most exciting quarter to negotiate. I think personally it will be Ferrer or Cilic who profit from Murrays defeat. One terrific potential matchup is in round 2 where up and coming Milos Raonic should meet American grass player Sam Querrey. Murray will face Davydenko who will give him a game, he should negotiate that but a monster awaits in round 2, Karlovic. This guy is about 7 foot tall a wallops his serves back. Murray will have to be on top form here. Round 3 is okay, but Cilic, Querrey or Raonic in the 4th will be hugely tricky. Qualifier Kuznetsov could sneak his way to a match with Del Potro in the third.
Quarter 4
Nadal v Tsonga
Lets face it that's the bottom line for this quarter.  1 fun game in round 1 will be the one involving the number 22 seed, if they put it on too high number court they could be rushing about to find enough o's for the scoreboard. :-) 1 or 2 seeds could come unstuck early in this section.
Each way bets on Cilic and Ferrer both at 150/1 wouldn't be futile in my opinion.

Women
1st quarter
Maria, Maria, Maria. She is an incredible specimen of gods work. And she can hit a tennis ball too. She shouldn't face too much bother getting to the quarter final, although pocket rocket Pironkova could give her a game in round 2. The battle to play Maria in the quarters is very open. On paper you'd fancy Kim Clijsters but she may well be carrying an injury into the tournament. Zvonareva, Jankovic, Makarova and Kerber are all very good, watch out for Mathilde Johansson she could ruffle some feathers.
Quarter 2
Britains Heather Watson is in this quarter and it's a particularly open one. She won't win it mind. She may well negotiate Benesova but the beautiful Daniella Hantuchova awaits. Nadia Petrova may well have the most talent on the surface in the top half of this block but she will have to negotiate Melanie Oudin, who is in terrific form, in the second round. Another brit in this quarter is Naomi Broady, I can't see her doing much I'm afraid. Na Li is the other big hope for me in this quarter, she won't face much resistance until the quarter final itself.
3rd Quarter
The All England club appears to have handed a hall pass to Serena Williams. I wouldn't fancy anyone before the quarters to give her a game. In the bottom of the quarter we have Kvitova. The defending champion. Her tennis has not hit those heights since and could well be vulnerable. If she makes the third round her opponent should be the dangerous Pavlyuchenkova. Brits Laura Robson and Elena Baltacha are in this section. Laura has a very tough tie in Schiavone, Baltacha has a pretty close looking 1st round match with Knapp but then would find Kvitova in the 2nd. Vandeweghe is a player who may spring an upset or two, and one to watch for the future is 18 year old German Annika Beck.
Quarter 4
Another open quarter. We have former world number 1s Wozniacki, Ivanovic and Azarenka. The latter 2 could meet in round 4 if they both play their game. However I think Paszek will give Wozniacki a real test in the first round. We have a 16 year old Australian girl in this section Barty(I forget her first name) she could be another for the future.

The women's looks much like a Sharapova v S.Williams final as the betting suggests. But a bet at 80/1 on Ana Ivanovic might have some legs.

More money will be made on matches, backing and laying than the outrights in truth. But I wouldn't put anyone off a Djokovic/Sharapova double.

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