Firstly apologies for no blog yesterday, after watching the Haye "fight", we proceded to continue consuming some ropey-tasting lager in a little venue behind the docks that used to be called the premier pool club. Bearing in mind it was midnight on a Saturday we were a little bit disturbed that the only people on the dancefloor were the barstaff and that when our group turned up it actually quadrupled the patronage at the time. We should have really got the idea when we came stumbling up the road to the venue, a relatively large group of lads, on a stag do, and the front of house staff let us in without even batting an eyelid. They didn't even charge us for the priveledge. The place began to fill up between half 12 and 1 only for the lights to come on at 130 as that was the end of their licence. The place was supposed to be a nightclub! So after that we headed into town and nestled in a PUB! until closing time at 3am. Licensing laws in this country are very odd! I was awoken from my pit of slumber by my wife and she encouraged me to jump in the shower, cooked me bacon and eggs, and then drove me to work(I live a 5 minute walk from my work!) Unfortunately there was no time to study horses let alone write a blog.
Enough self indulgence, you'd like some tips. Only 2 winners Saturday, but a NB 3pt win at 14/1 on Halicarnassas went a long way to securing a 24.5 pt profit for the day. (I advised at 25/1 in am but only count SP's for profit purposes)
Onto today.
NAP VEZERE 430 Brighton.
Vezere's best run of all time came 2 starts ago at this course, a course where form at the track goes a huge way. That race at Brighton has held up ok with the winner landing 2 more events since. This race is the sort of horrible little bottom grade race that Phluke laps up but he is carrying a penalty for a win last week. Ilie Nastase is also high up the betting and is far from a convincing racehorse and that encouraged me to look further down the list. I think my selection is well treated on weights and has a lot in hand over some at the top of the handicap. I make Love Nest the real danger but Vezere looks like this could be his chance. If he doesn't win here then I don't think he ever will.
NB EL VIENTO 820 Ripon
Last time out he was hampered at the start and left in rear, but shaped well enough to outrun his 20/1 odds at the best and finish 4th. What we have to think is that without the hamper at the beginning he may well have won or at least placed. Official distances were three quarters-short head-neck. The 3rd from the race has gone out and won since and the winner holds an entry in Fridays Heritage Handicap at Newmarket. I think the trouble at the start has got us a winner on a decent weight at a decent price. WINNER 13/2
TREBLE LIVING IT LARGE 740 Windsor
6lb lower than his last run on turf due to a pretty poor run on the all weather tracks. Has to be given a chance with a 43% record of finishing in the frame when running on turf. Given his last 4 were out of the frame, law of averages and probability suggests he is primed to go well today off a decent mark. Every horse in this race has shown winning qualities and have all had purple patches but nothing appears to be in a patch right now and for that I've chosen the selection as best treated by the handicapper. WINNER 12/1
OTHERS
BRIGHTON
500 TRISKAIDEKAPHOBIA
ROSCOMMMON
730 AN MHI WINNER 5/1
800 ZERASHAN
Have a good day, good luck and happy punting.
Profit Saturday +24.5 pts Profit in July +38.5 pts
profit is calculated as follows 10pt feature race, 5pt for a NAP, 3pt for a NB, 2pt for TREBLE, 1pt EW Treble and 1pt win any other selections.
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