Thursday 28 July 2011

Thursday 28th July - Glorious Goodwood Day 3

Yesterday was a better day at the feature meeting, but it was those around it that let us down. I haven't had a winning day for a little while now, and I can't say I'm too happy about it. I've tweaked my system a touch in a bid to make the NAP/NB's a little more consistent. Do I need to wax on about Frankel? Not really, I didn't back him and truth be told, I'd have preferred Canford to have won, but there is no taking away from the brilliance of Frankel. You all saw for yourselves the turn of foot that he possesses. I'll be honest, I had no idea that was there, he's been raced differently prior. Canford was already being brushed along long before Tom Quealley let Frankel go and win, in truth it was never a contest, which is disappointing, but we did get to see truly how great Frankel is, and any possible improvement is a scary prospect.

GOODWOOD
215 BELGIAN BILL
All eyes will be on Royal Ascot winner Sagramor and July festival winner Fulgur, but I'm looking at left field. Belgian Bill has not done much wrong and is well overpriced. He finished 4th to Sagramor in the Brittania, but this is where form reading is fun. That day the ground was softer than he would have liked, (he has never won with cut, but 2 wins and a 2nd on Good to Firm). He was beaten three quarters of a length conceding 4lb, today he only concedes 1. He was staying with a virtue that day and this trip is furhter. So there you have it, we have a Royal Ascot wqinner beat. He was disappointing last run, but on evidence it looks as though the longer trip is what he needs. Frankie on board is a positive. 8th, just not good enough today

245 MASAMAH (NAP)
Versatile on any ground but would prefer it quicker, given his incredible speed. I always have a look at the Dr Koukash horses as they so often pop up at winning posts up and down the country. This one is in the form of his life at present, and having beaten over a third of his rivals last time out at York in a listed event he will be full of confidence. Jamie Spencer takes the ride, Jamie is in great form at the moment and hopefully it will be a NAP landed for me. WINNER 4/1 made all.

315 TASTAHIL
Decent runner up to Overturn in the Chester Cup but something went amiss in the Ascot gold cup last time when he pulled up. He is a classy horse at this type of distance and should be there or thereabouts at the finish. 14th beat only one home, eased down quickly when beaten

345 POLLYS MARK
Richard Hughes has form of 1222241 on this horse, including a second in this race last year. She finished a little way behind the winner in the Lancashire Oaks last time out, but this is a slightly weaker race, and over, in my opinion, a more suitable trip. Well worth place claims at a double figure price. 4th, always handy, weakened final furlong.

420 SANTARINI
The past 2 days, none of the previously run maidens have caught my eye, so I've gone for unraced types. Therefore today I didn't even look at those with racecourse experience. On pedigree this is by far the best of the unraced sorts today. If not the clear best in the race. Richard Hannon is peerless when it comes to sending 2yo's to this meeting and should be a decent winner. Another newbie I like for a little EachWay money is WASPY. Neither came close

455 DIMENSION
There will be obvious support for The Tichbourne after his 100/1 third at Royal Ascot, and I'd expect Jack Mitchell will want to try to make all on him again. But, I think that was a bit of a fluke that day. An enterprising ride by the jockey making the most of conditions. The selection comfortably beat him at Newmarket a month prior and should be comfortable again today, coming late from off the pace. 2nd

525 MIKA MICA
The formline has taken a hit, but he has been racing in better races than this. Looks to be the stable second string on jockey bookings but that only serves to get you a better price. This is a good animal more than capable of winning this, but his consistency, before the last 2, points to a very big place chance at a very big price. If you fancy backing Reflect get on early as the price will go down. Julie Wood has seen her colours carried home both days so far and that will make for a few bets. I don't think it will win, maybe a back to lay though. 6th

EPSOM
710 PRINCE SIEGFRIED WINNER 10/11
740 SALIENT (NB) non runner

FFOS LAS
755 PARHELION last one home

GALWAY
300  CASELA PARK (TREB) 2nd 10/1, never troubled winner
335 ACT OF LOVE Always at the rear, not quickened
450 MOONDICE VERY IMPRESSIVE WINNER 20/1

STRATFORD
355 STREET DANCE non runner

Have a great day, good luck and happy punting

Profit yesterday -9pts Profit for July -46.22pts

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